Urban expansion in 30 megacities of China: categorizing the driving force profiles to inform the urbanization policy

Land Use Policy

Volumn 68, Issue , 2017, Pages 531-551

  You, Heyuan ^a   Yang, Xuefeng ^a  

^a ZHEJIANG UNIVERSITY OF FINANCE AND ECONOMICS   (China)

Author keywords

Data mining; Driving forces profiles; Self organizing map; Spatial determinants; Urban expansion; Urbanization policy

Indexed keywords

EID: 85028071394     PISSN: 02648377     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2017.06.020     Document Type: Article

References (45)

1. Angel, S., Parent, J., Civco, D.L., Blei, A., Potere, D., The dimensions of global urban expansion: estimates and projections for all countries, 2000–2050. Prog. Plan. 75 (2011), 53–107.
2. Arribas-Bel, D., Nijkamp, P., Scholten, H., Multidimensional urban sprawl in Europe: a self-organizing map approach. Comput. Environ. Urban Syst. 35 (2011), 263–275.
3. Breiman, L., Random forests. MLear 45 (2001), 5–32.
4. Cartier, C., ‘Zone fever’ the arable land debate, and real estate speculation: china's evolving land use regime and its geographical contradictions. J. Contemp. China 10 (2001), 445–469.
5. Chen, J., Huang, Q., Lv, T., Li, X., The Report on China's Industrialization Social Sciences., 2012, Documentation Publishing House, Beijing.
6. Chen, J., Chang, K., Karacsonyi, D., Zhang, X., Comparing urban land expansion and its driving factors in Shenzhen and Dongguan, China. Habitat Int. 43 (2014), 61–71.
7. Chen, J., Gao, J., Chen, W., Urban land expansion and the transitional mechanisms in Nanjing, China. Habitat Int. 53 (2016), 274–283.
8. Chen, M., Liu, W., Lu, D., Challenges and the way forward in China's new-type urbanization. Land Use Policy 55 (2016), 334–339.
9. Deng, X., Huang, J., Rozelle, S., Uchida, E., Growth, population and industrialization: and urban land expansion of China. J. Urban Econ. 63 (2008), 96–115.
10. Eboli, L., Forciniti, C., Mazzulla, G., Exploring land use and transport interaction through structural equation modelling. Procedia Social Behav. Sci. 54 (2012), 107–116.
11. Feng, J., Lichtenberg, E., Ding, C., Balancing act: economic incentives administrative restrictions, and urban land expansion in China. China Econ. Rev. 36 (2015), 184–197.
12. Fielding, A.H., Bell, J.F., A review of methods for the assessment of prediction errors in conservation presence/absence models. Environ. Conserv. 24 (1997), 38–49.
13. Gao, B., Huang, Q., He, C., Sun, Z., Zhang, D., How does sprawl differ across cities in China? a multi-scale investigation using nighttime light and census data. Landscape Urban Plann. 148 (2016), 89–98.
14. Huang, Z., Wei, Y., He, C., Li, H., Urban land expansion under economic transition in China: a multilevel modeling analysis. Habitat Int. 47 (2015), 69–82.
15. Kohonen, T., Self-organizing Maps. 2001, Springer, Berlin.
16. Kuang, W., Chi, W., Lu, D., Dou, Y., A comparative analysis of megaurban expansions in China and the U.S.: Patterns: rates and driving forces. Landscape Urban Plann. 132 (2014), 121–135.
17. Li, C., Li, J., Wu, J., Quantifying the speed growth modes, and landscape pattern changes of urbanization: a hierarchical patch dynamics approach. Landscape Ecol. 28 (2013), 1875–1888.
18. Li, J., Li, C., Zhu, F., Song, C., Wu, J., Spatiotemporal pattern of urbanization in Shanghai: china between 1989 and 2005. Landscape Ecol. 28 (2013), 1545–1565.
19. Li, X., Zhou, W., Ouyang, Z., Forty years of urban expansion in Beijing: what is the relative importance of physical, socioeconomic, and neighborhood factors?. Appl. Geogr. 38 (2013), 1–10.
20. Liu, Y., Feng, Y., Zhao, Z., Zhang, Q., Su, S., Socioeconomic drivers of forest loss and fragmentation: a comparison between different land use planning schemes and policy implications. Land Use Policy 54 (2016), 58–68.
21. Müller, D., Sikor, T., Effects of postsocialist reforms on land cover and land use in South-Eastern Albania. Appl. Geogr. 26 (2006), 175–191.
22. Müller, D., Leitão, P.J., Sikor, T., Comparing the determinants of cropland abandonment in Albania and Romania using boosted regression trees. Agric. Syst. 117 (2013), 66–77.
23. Ma, Y., Xu, R., Remote sensing monitoring and driving force analysis of urban expansion in Guangzhou City, China. Habitat Int. 34 (2010), 228–235.
24. Maimaitijiang, M., Ghulam, A., Sandoval, J.S.O., Maimaitiyiming, M., Determinants of land cover and land use changes in St. Louis city area over the past 40 years characterized by remote sensing and census population data. Int. J. Appl. Earth Obs. Geoinf. 35 (2015), 161–174.
25. Park, Y., Kwon, Y., Hwang, S., Park, S., Characterizing effects of landscape and morphometric factors on water quality of reservoirs using a self-organizing map. Environ. Modell. Softw 55 (2014), 214–221.
26. Parker, D.C., Hessl, A., Davis, S.C., Complexity land-use modeling, and the human dimension: fundamental challenges for mapping unknown outcome spaces. Geoforum 39 (2008), 789–804.
27. Peng, W., Wang, G., Zhou, J., Zhao, J., Yang, C., Studies on the temporal and spatial variations of urban expansion in Chengdu western China, from 1978 to 2010. Sustain. Cities Soc. 17 (2015), 141–150.
28. Redo, D.J., Aide, T.M., Clark, M.L., The relative importance of socioeconomic and environmental variables in explaining land change in Bolivia, 2001–2010. Ann. Assoc. Am. Geogr. 102 (2012), 778–807.
29. Seto, K.C., Fragkias, M., Gueneralp, B., Reilly, M.K., A meta-analysis of global urban land expansion. PLoS One, 6, 2011.
30. Shafizadeh-Moghadam, H., Helbich, M., Spatiotemporal variability of urban growth factors: a global and local perspective on the megacity of Mumbai. Int. J. Appl. Earth Obs. Geoinf. 35 (2015), 187–198.
31. Su, S., Jiang, Z., Zhang, Q., Zhang, Y., Transformation of agricultural landscapes under rapid urbanization: a threat to sustainability in Hang-Jia-Hu region, China. Appl. Geogr. 31 (2011), 439–449.
32. Su, S., Zhang, Q., Zhang, Z., Zhi, J., Wu, J., Rural settlement expansion and paddy soil loss across an ex-urbanizing watershed in eastern coastal China during market transition. Reg. Environ. Change 11 (2011), 651–662.
33. Su, S., Liu, Z., Xu, Y., Li, J., Pi, J., Weng, M., China's megaregion policy: performance evaluation framework: empirical findings and implications for spatial polycentric governance. Land Use Policy 63 (2017), 1–19.
34. Tan, R., Liu, Y., Liu, Y., He, Q., Ming, L., Tang, S., Urban growth and its determinants across the Wuhan urban agglomeration central China. Habitat Int. 44 (2014), 268–281.
35. Thapa, R.B., Murayama, Y., Determinants of urban growth in the Kathmandu valley: nepal: Examining the efficacy of the analytic hierarchy process. Appl. Geogr. 30 (2010), 70–83.
36. Tian, L., Land use dynamics driven by rural industrialization and land finance in the peri-urban areas of China: the examples of Jiangyin and Shunde. Land Use Policy 45 (2015), 117–127.
37. Turner, B.L. II, Lambin, E.F., Reenberg, A., The emergence of land change science for global environmental change and sustainability. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. 104 (2007), 20666–20671.
38. UN-DESA, United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Distribution, Urbanization, Internal Migration and Development: An International Perspective. 2011, United Nations Publications, New York.
39. UN-Habitat, State of the World's Cities 2012/2013 Prosperity of Cities. United Nations Human Settlements Programme. 2013, Routledge, New York.
40. Verburg, P.H., Simulating feedbacks in land use and land cover change models. Landscape Ecol. 21 (2006), 1171–1183.
41. Wang, Q., Ren, Q., Liu, J., Identification and apportionment of the determinants of land use change on a regional scale: unbiased recursive partitioning-based stochastic model application. Agriculture. Ecosyst. Environ. 217 (2016), 99–110.
42. Xiao, J., Shen, Y., Ge, J., Tateishi, R., Tang, C., Liang, Y., et al. Evaluating urban expansion and land use change in Shijiazhuang China, by using GIS and remote sensing. Landscape Urban Plann. 75 (2006), 69–80.
43. You, H., Quantifying megacity growth in response to economic transition: a case of Shanghai, China. Habitat Int. 53 (2016), 115–122.
44. Zhang, Q., Su, S., Determinants of urban expansion and their relative importance: a comparative analysis of 30 major metropolitans in China. Habitat Int. 58 (2016), 89–107.
45. Zhang, Z., Su, S., Xiao, R., Jiang, D., Wu, J., Identifying determinants of urban growth from a multi-scale perspective: a case study of the urban agglomeration around Hangzhou Bay, China. Appl. Geogr. 45 (2013), 193–202.