Predicting asthma in preschool children with asthma-like symptoms: Validating and updating the PIAMA risk score

Journal of Allergy and Clinical Immunology

Volumn 132, Issue 6, 2013, Pages

  Hafkamp De Groen, Esther ^a   Lingsma, Hester F ^a   Caudri, Daan ^b   Levie, Deborah ^a   Wijga, Alet ^c   Koppelman, Gerard H ^d   Duijts, Liesbeth ^a,b   Jaddoe, Vincent W V ^a,b   Smit, Henriëtte A ^e   Kerkhof, Marjan ^f   Moll, Henriëtte A ^b   Hofman, Albert ^a   Steyerberg, Ewout W ^a   De Jongste, Johan C ^b   Raat, Hein ^a  

^a ERASMUS MEDICAL CENTER   (Netherlands)

^b SOPHIA CHILDREN S HOSPITAL   (Netherlands)

^c NATIONAL INSTITUTE FOR PUBLIC HEALTH AND THE ENVIRONMENT   (Netherlands)

^d UNIVERSITY OF GRONINGEN   (Netherlands)

^e UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER UTRECHT   (Netherlands)

^f UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER GRONINGEN   (Netherlands)

Author keywords

Asthma; birth cohort; children; external validation; prediction; Prevention and Incidence of Asthma and Mite Allergy risk score; prognosis; updating; wheeze

Indexed keywords

AGE DISTRIBUTION; ARTICLE; ASTHMA; CHILD; DISCRIMINANT VALIDITY; ETHNICITY; FEMALE; HUMAN; MAJOR CLINICAL STUDY; MALE; PREDICTION; PRESCHOOL CHILD; PREVENTION AND INCIDENCE OF ASTHMA AND MITE ALLERGY RISK SCORE; PRIORITY JOURNAL; RISK ASSESSMENT; SCORING SYSTEM; SOCIOECONOMICS; SYMPTOM; VALIDATION STUDY;

ASTHMA; BIRTH COHORT; C-INDEX; CHILDREN; CONCORDANCE INDEX; EXTERNAL VALIDATION; LIKELIHOOD RATIO OF A NEGATIVE TEST RESULT; LIKELIHOOD RATIO OF A POSITIVE TEST RESULT; LR+; LR-; NEGATIVE PREDICTIVE VALUE; NPV; ODDS RATIO; OR; PIAMA; POSITIVE PREDICTIVE VALUE; PPV; PREDICTION; PREVENTION AND INCIDENCE OF ASTHMA AND MITE ALLERGY; PREVENTION AND INCIDENCE OF ASTHMA AND MITE ALLERGY RISK SCORE; PROGNOSIS; UPDATING; WHEEZE;

ASTHMA; CHILD; CHILD, PRESCHOOL; ETHNIC GROUPS; FEMALE; FOLLOW-UP STUDIES; HUMANS; INFANT; MALE; PREDICTIVE VALUE OF TESTS; PROGNOSIS; PROSPECTIVE STUDIES; QUESTIONNAIRES; RISK FACTORS; SOCIOECONOMIC FACTORS;

EID: 85027920918     PISSN: 00916749     EISSN: 10976825     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jaci.2013.07.007     Document Type: Article

References (41)

1. O.E. Savenije, M. Kerkhof, G.H. Koppelman, and D.S. Postma Predicting who will have asthma at school age among preschool children J Allergy Clin Immunol 130 2012 325 331
2. F.D. Martinez What have we learned from the Tucson Children's Respiratory Study? Paediatr Respir Rev 3 2002 193 197
3. W.A. Balemans, C.K. van der Ent, A.G. Schilder, E.A. Sanders, G.A. Zielhuis, and M.M. Rovers Prediction of asthma in young adults using childhood characteristics: development of a prediction rule J Clin Epidemiol 59 2006 1207 1212
4. J.A. Castro-Rodriguez, C.J. Holberg, A.L. Wright, and F.D. Martinez A clinical index to define risk of asthma in young children with recurrent wheezing Am J Respir Crit Care Med 162 2000 1403 1406
5. D. Caudri, A. Wijga, C.M. Schipper, M. Hoekstra, D.S. Postma, and G.H. Koppelman Predicting the long-term prognosis of children with symptoms suggestive of asthma at preschool age J Allergy Clin Immunol 124 2009 903 910 e1-7
6. P.E. Eysink, G. ter Riet, R.C. Aalberse, W.M. van Aalderen, C.M. Roos, and J.S. van der Zee Accuracy of specific IgE in the prediction of asthma: development of a scoring formula for general practice Br J Gen Pract 55 2005 125 131
7. R.J. Kurukulaaratchy, S. Matthews, S.T. Holgate, and S.H. Arshad Predicting persistent disease among children who wheeze during early life Eur Respir J 22 2003 767 771
8. P.M. Matricardi, S. Illi, C. Gruber, T. Keil, R. Nickel, and U. Wahn Wheezing in childhood: incidence, longitudinal patterns and factors predicting persistence Eur Respir J 32 2008 585 592
9. J. Wever-Hess, J.M. Kouwenberg, E.J. Duiverman, J. Hermans, and A.M. Wever Prognostic characteristics of asthma diagnosis in early childhood in clinical practice Acta Paediatr 88 1999 827 834
10. B. Brunekreef, J. Smit, J. de Jongste, H. Neijens, J. Gerritsen, and D. Postma The prevention and incidence of asthma and mite allergy (PIAMA) birth cohort study: design and first results Pediatr Allergy Immunol 13 Suppl 15 2002 55 60
11. D. Sole, A.T. Vanna, E. Yamada, M.C. Rizzo, and C.K. Naspitz International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood (ISAAC) written questionnaire: validation of the asthma component among Brazilian children J Investig Allergol Clin Immunol 8 1998 376 382
12. V.W. Jaddoe, C.M. van Duijn, O.H. Franco, A.J. van der Heijden, M.H. van Iizendoorn, and J.C. de Jongste The Generation R Study: design and cohort update 2012 Eur J Epidemiol 27 2012 739 756
13. E. Hafkamp-de Groen, H.F. Lingsma, D. Caudri, A. Wijga, V.W. Jaddoe, and E.W. Steyerberg Predicting asthma in preschool children with asthma symptoms: study rationale and design BMC Pulm Med 12 2012 65
14. N.A. Leonardi, B.D. Spycher, M.P. Strippoli, U. Frey, M. Silverman, and C.E. Kuehni Validation of the Asthma Predictive Index and comparison with simpler clinical prediction rules J Allergy Clin Immunol 127 2011 1466 1472.e6
15. K.J. Janssen, Y. Vergouwe, A.R. Donders, F.E. Harrell Jr., Q. Chen, and D.E. Grobbee Dealing with missing predictor values when applying clinical prediction models Clin Chem 55 2009 994 1001
16. F.R. Harrell Jr., K.L. Lee, R.M. Califf, D.B. Pryor, and R.A. Rosati Regression modeling strategies for improved prognostic prediction Stat Med 3 1984 143 152
17. O. Swertz, P. Duimelaar, and J. Thijssen Migrants in the Netherlands 2004 2004 Statistics Netherlands Voorburg/Heerlen
18. K.G. Moons, A.P. Kengne, D.E. Grobbee, P. Royston, Y. Vergouwe, and D.G. Altman Risk prediction models: II. External validation, model updating, and impact assessment Heart 98 2012 691 698
19. I.M. Chugh, P. Khanna, and A. Shah Nocturnal symptoms and sleep disturbances in clinically stable asthmatic children Asian Pac J Allergy Immunol 24 2006 135 142
20. J.J. Jaakkola, P. Ahmed, A. Ieromnimon, P. Goepfert, E. Laiou, and R. Quansah Preterm delivery and asthma: a systematic review and meta-analysis J Allergy Clin Immunol 118 2006 823 830
21. P. Subbarao, A. Becker, J.R. Brook, D. Daley, P.J. Mandhane, and G.E. Miller Epidemiology of asthma: risk factors for development Expert Rev Clin Immunol 5 2009 77 95
22. R. Van Gent, E.E. van Essen-Zandvliet, P. Klijn, H.J. Brackel, J.L. Kimpen, and C.K. van Der Ent Participation in daily life of children with asthma J Asthma 45 2008 807 813
23. S. Greenland, and W.D. Finkle A critical look at methods for handling missing covariates in epidemiologic regression analyses Am J Epidemiol 142 1995 1255 1264
24. G.J. Van der Heijden, A.R. Donders, T. Stijnen, and K.G. Moons Imputation of missing values is superior to complete case analysis and the missing-indicator method in multivariable diagnostic research: a clinical example J Clin Epidemiol 59 2006 1102 1109
25. Von Hippel, and T. Paul Regression with missing Y's: an improved strategy for analyzing multiply imputed data Sociol Methodol 37 2007 83 117
26. C.E. Rodriguez-Martinez, M.P. Sossa-Briceno, and J.A. Castro-Rodriguez Discriminative properties of two predictive indices for asthma diagnosis in a sample of preschoolers with recurrent wheezing Pediatr Pulmonol 46 2011 1175 1181
27. W.H. Wang, P.C. Chen, W.S. Hsieh, and Y.L. Lee Joint effects of birth outcomes and childhood body mass index on respiratory symptoms Eur Respir J 39 2012 1213 1219
28. C.S. Devulapalli, K.C. Carlsen, G. Haland, M.C. Munthe-Kaas, M. Pettersen, and P. Mowinckel Severity of obstructive airways disease by age 2 years predicts asthma at 10 years of age Thorax 63 2008 8 13
29. K.E. Van Wonderen, L.B. Van Der Mark, J. Mohrs, P.J. Bindels, W.M. Van Aalderen, and G. Ter Riet Different definitions in childhood asthma: how dependable is the dependent variable? Eur Respir J 36 2010 48 56
30. M.A. Jenkins, J.R. Clarke, J.B. Carlin, C.F. Robertson, J.L. Hopper, and M.F. Dalton Validation of questionnaire and bronchial hyperresponsiveness against respiratory physician assessment in the diagnosis of asthma Int J Epidemiol 25 1996 609 616
31. R.S. Cane, S.C. Ranganathan, and S.A. McKenzie What do parents of wheezy children understand by "wheeze"? Arch Dis Child 82 2000 327 332
32. J.A. Castro-Rodriguez, C.J. Holberg, A.L. Wright, and F.D. Martinez A clinical index to define risk of asthma in young children with recurrent wheezing Am J Respir Crit Care Med 162 2000 1403 1406
33. Heijmans MJWM, Spreeuwenberg P, Rijken PM. Monitor Zorg-en leefsituatie van mensen met astma en COPD. Trends en ontwikkelingen over de periode 2000-2004. Utrecht: NIVEL
34. K.J. Janssen, Y. Vergouwe, A.R. Donders, F.E. Harrell Jr., Q. Chen, and D.E. Grobbee Dealing with missing predictor values when applying clinical prediction models Clin Chem 55 2009 994 1001
35. D. Sole, A.T. Vanna, E. Yamada, M.C. Rizzo, and C.K. Naspitz International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood (ISAAC) written questionnaire: validation of the asthma component among Brazilian children J Investig Allergol Clin Immunol 8 1998 376 382
36. A.K. Akobeng Understanding diagnostic tests 3: Receiver operating characteristic curves Acta Paediatr 96 2007 644 647
37. J.A. Castro-Rodriguez The Asthma Predictive Index: early diagnosis of asthma Curr Opin Allergy Clin Immunol 11 2011 157 161
38. R. Jaeschke, G.H. Guyatt, and D.L. Sackett Users' guides to the medical literature. III. How to use an article about a diagnostic test. B. What are the results and will they help me in caring for my patients? The Evidence-Based Medicine Working Group JAMA 271 1994 703 707
39. D. Caudri, A. Wijga, C.M. Schipper, M. Hoekstra, D.S. Postma, and G.H. Koppelman Predicting the long-term prognosis of children with symptoms suggestive of asthma at preschool age J Allergy Clin Immunol 124 2009 903 910 e1-7
40. N.A. Leonardi, B.D. Spycher, M.P. Strippoli, U. Frey, M. Silverman, and C.E. Kuehni Validation of the Asthma Predictive Index and comparison with simpler clinical prediction rules J Allergy Clin Immunol 127 2011 1466 1472.e6
41. O. Swertz, P. Duimelaar, and J. Thijssen Migrants in the Netherlands 2004 2004 Statistics Netherlands Voorburg/Heerlen