Has dyke development in the Vietnamese Mekong Delta shifted flood hazard downstream?

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences

Volumn 21, Issue 8, 2017, Pages 3991-4010

  Van Khanh Triet, Nguyen ^a,d   Viet Dung, Nguyen ^a,d   Fujii, Hideto ^b   Kummu, Matti ^c   Merz, Bruno ^a   Apel, Heiko ^a  

^a GFZ GERMAN RESEARCH CENTRE FOR GEOSCIENCES   (Germany)

^b YAMAGATA UNIVERSITY   (Japan)

^c AALTO UNIVERSITY   (Finland)

^d Southern Institute of Water Resources Research SIWRR   (Viet Nam)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

FLOOD CONTROL; HAZARDS; HYDRAULIC MODELS; RISK MANAGEMENT; RIVERS; SEA LEVEL; WATER LEVELS;

CONTROL STRUCTURE; DOWNSTREAM AREAS; FLOOD CHARACTERISTICS; FLOOD HYDROGRAPHS; FLOOD RISK MANAGEMENT; LAND SUBSIDENCE; MODEL SIMULATION; RELATIVE CONTRIBUTION;

FLOODS;

CONSTRUCTION; CULTIVATION; DIKE; FLOOD CONTROL; HAZARD MANAGEMENT; HYDROGRAPH; MITIGATION; PADDY FIELD; PERFORMANCE ASSESSMENT; RICE; RISK ASSESSMENT; TEMPORAL ANALYSIS; WATER LEVEL;

MEKONG DELTA; VIET NAM;

EID: 85027346513     PISSN: 10275606     EISSN: 16077938     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.5194/hess-21-3991-2017     Document Type: Article

References (49)

1. Abbott, M. B., Ionescu, F.: On the numerical computation of nearly horizontal flows, J. Hydraulic Res., 5, 97-117, 1967.
2. Anthony, E. J., Brunier, G., Besset, M., Goichot, M., Dussouillez, P., Nguyen, V. L.: Linking rapid erosion of the Mekong River delta to human activities, Scient. Rep., 5, 14745, 2015.
3. Apel, H., Martínez Trepat, O., Hung, N. N., Chinh, D. T., Merz, B., Dung, N. V.: Combined fluvial and pluvial urban flood hazard analysis: Concept development and application to Can Tho city, Mekong Delta, Vietnam, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 941-961, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-941-2016, 2016.
4. Aronica, G., Bates, P., Horritt, M.: Assessing the uncertainty in distributed model predictions using observed binary pattern information within GLUE, Hydrol. Process., 16, 2001-2016, 2002.
5. Dang, T. D., Cochrane, T. A., Arias, M. E., Van, P. D. T., de Vries, T. T.: Hydrological alterations from water infrastructure development in the Mekong floodplains, Hydrol. Process., 30, 3824-3838, https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.10894, 2016.
6. Delgado, J. M., Apel, H., Merz, B.: Flood trends and variability in the Mekong river, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 14, 407-418, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-14-407-2010, 2010.
7. Dung, N., Apel, H., Thang, T.: Floods in the Mekong Delta: A future perspective, EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, 13470, 2009.
8. Dung, N. V., Merz, B., Bárdossy, A., Thang, T. D., Apel, H.: Multi-objective automatic calibration of hydrodynamic models utilizing inundation maps and gauge data, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 1339-1354, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-15-1339-2011, 2011.
9. Dung, N. V., Merz, B., Bárdossy, A., Apel, H.: Handling uncertainty in bivariate quantile estimation-An application to flood hazard analysis in the Mekong Delta, J. Hydrol., 527, 704-717, 2015.
10. Erban, L. E., Gorelick, S. M., Zebker, H. A.: Groundwater extraction, land subsidence, and sea-level rise in the Mekong Delta, Vietnam, Environ. Res. Lett., 9, 084010, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/9/8/084010, 2014.
11. Fu, K., He, D.: Analysis and prediction of sediment trapping efficiencies of the reservoirs in the mainstream of the Lancang River, Chinese Sci. Bull., 52, 134-140, 2007.
12. Fu, K., He, D., Lu, X.: Sedimentation in the Manwan reservoir in the Upper Mekong and its downstream impacts, Quaternary Int., 186, 91-99, 2008.
13. Fujihara, Y., Hoshikawa, K., Fujii, H., Kotera, A., Nagano, T., Yokoyama, S.: Analysis and attribution of trends in water levels in the Vietnamese Mekong Delta, Hydrol. Process., 30, 835-845, 2016.
14. The Government of Vietnam: Decision No. 99/TTg on water resources, infrastructure and rural development plan for the Vietnamese Mekong Delta during the period 1996-2000 1996 (in Vietnamese). GSO: Statistical handbook of Vietnam 2015, General statistics office of Viet Nam 2015.
15. Gupta, H., Kao, S.-J., Dai, M.: The role of mega dams in reducing sediment fluxes: A case study of large Asian rivers, J. Hydrol., 464, 447-458, 2012.
16. Hak, D., Nadaoka, K., Patrick Bernado, L., Le Phu, V., Hong Quan, N., Quang Toan, T., Hieu Trung, N., Van Ni, D., Pham Dang Tri, V.: Spatio-temporal variations of sea level around the Mekong Delta: Their causes and consequences on the coastal environment, Hydrol. Res. Lett., 10, 60-66, 2016.
17. Hall, J., Arheimer, B., Borga, M., Brázdil, R., Claps, P., Kiss, A., Kjeldsen, T. R., Kriauciuniene, J., Kundzewicz, Z. W., Lang, M., Llasat, M. C., Macdonald, N., McIntyre, N., Mediero, L., Merz, B., Merz, R., Molnar, P., Montanari, A., Neuhold, C., Parajka, J., Perdigaõ, R. A. P., Plavcová, L., Rogger, M., Salinas, J. L., Sauquet, E., Schär, C., Szolgay, J., Viglione, A., Blöschl, G.: Understanding flood regime changes in Europe: A state-of-the-art assessment, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 2735-2772, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-2735-2014, 2014.
18. Hashimoto, T.: Environmental Issues and Recent Infrastructure Development in the Mekong Delta: Review, analysis and recommendations with particular reference to large-scale water control projects and the development of coastal areas, Australian Mekong Resource Centre, 2001.
19. Hoi, T. N.: Research on scientific and technological solutions on building dike system for sustainable development in the Mekong Delta, Southern Institute of Water Resour. Res., Ho Chi Minh City, 2005 (in Vietnamese).
20. Howie, C.: High dykes in the Mekong Delta in Vietnam bring social gains and environmental pains, Aquaculture News, 32, 15-17, 2005.
21. Hung, N. N., Delgado, J. M., Tri, V. K., Hung, L. M., Merz, B., Bárdossy, A., Apel, H.: Floodplain hydrology of the Mekong Delta, Vietnam, Hydrol. Process., 26, 674-686, https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.8183, 2012.
22. Huong, H. T. L., Pathirana, A.: Urbanization and climate change impacts on future urban flooding in Can Tho city, Vietnam, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 379-394, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-379-2013, 2013.
23. IPCC: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis, (Technical Summary), Intergov. Panel Clim. Chang., 33-115, 2014.
24. Käkönen, M.: Mekong Delta at the crossroads: More control or adaptation, Ambio, 37, 205-212, 2008.
25. Kendall, M. G.: Rank Correlation Methods, Charles Griffin, London, UK, 1975.
26. Khang, N., Kotera, A., Sakamoto, T., Yokozawa, M.: Sensitivity of salinity intrusion to sea level rise and river flow change in Vietnamese Mekong Delta-Impacts on potential irrigation water, in: Proceedings of annual meeting of the Society of Agricultural Meteorology of Japan, isam08, 158, https://doi.org/10.14877/agrmet2.isam08.0.158.0, 2008.
27. Kotera, A., Nguyen, K. D., Sakamoto, T., Iizumi, T., Yokozawa, M.: A modeling approach for assessing rice cropping cycle affected by flooding, salinity intrusion, and monsoon rains in the Mekong Delta, Vietnam, Paddy Water Environ., 12, 343-354, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10333-013-0386-y, 2014.
28. Kotera, A., Nagano, T., Hanittinan, P., Koontanakulvong, S.: Assessing the degree of flood damage to rice crops in the Chao Phraya delta, Thailand, using MODIS satellite imaging, Paddy Water Environ., 14, 271-280, 2016.
29. Kuenzer, C., Guo, H., Huth, J., Leinenkugel, P., Li, X., Dech, S.: Flood mapping and flood dynamics of the Mekong delta: Envisat-ASAR-WSM based time series analyses, Remote Sensing, 5, 687-715, 2013.
30. Kummu, M., Varis, O.: Sediment-related impacts due to upstream reservoir trapping, the Lower Mekong River, Geomorphology, 85, 275-293, 2007.
31. Kummu, M., Lu, X., Wang, J., Varis, O.: Basin-wide sediment trapping efficiency of emerging reservoirs along the Mekong, Geomorphology, 119, 181-197, 2010.
32. Le, T. V. H., Nguyen, H. N., Wolanski, E., Tran, T. C., Haruyama, S.: The combined impact on the flooding in Vietnam's Mekong River delta of local man-made structures, sea level rise, and dams upstream in the river catchment, Estuarine, Coast. Shelf Sci., 71, 110-116, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecss.2006.08.021, 2007.
33. Manh, N. V., Merz, B., Apel, H.: Sedimentation monitoring including uncertainty analysis in complex floodplains: A case study in the Mekong Delta, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 3039-3057, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-3039-2013, 2013.
34. Manh, N. V., Dung, N. V., Hung, N. N., Merz, B., Apel, H.: Large-scale suspended sediment transport and sediment deposition in the Mekong Delta, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 3033-3053, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-3033-2014, 2014.
35. Manh, N. V., Dung, N. V., Hung, N. N., Kummu, M., Merz, B., Apel, H.: Future sediment dynamics in the Mekong Delta floodplains: Impacts of hydropower development, climate change and sea level rise, Global Planet. Change, 127, 22-33, 2015.
36. Mann, H. B.: Non-Parametric tests against trend, Econometrica 13, 245-259, 1945.
37. MRC: The Impact and Management of Floods and Droughts in the Lower Mekong Basin and The Implications of Possible Climate Change, Mekong River Commission, 129, 2012.
38. MRC: Annual Mekong Flood Report 2011, Mekong River Commission, 72 pp., 2015.
39. Pettitt, A. N.: A Non-Parametric Approach to the Change-Point Problem, J. Roy. Stat. Soc. C, 28, 126-135, https://doi.org/10.2307/2346729, 1979.
40. Sakamoto, T., Van Nguyen, N., Kotera, A., Ohno, H., Ishitsuka, N., Yokozawa, M.: Detecting temporal changes in the extent of annual flooding within the Cambodia and the Vietnamese Mekong Delta from MODIS timeseries imagery, Remote Sens. Environ., 109, 295-313, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2007.01.011, 2007.
41. Schumann, G., Matgen, P., Cutler, M. E. J., Black, A., Hoffmann, L., Pfister, L.: Comparison of remotely sensed water stages from LiDAR, topographic contours and SRTM, ISPRS J. Photogramm., 63, 283-296, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.isprsjprs.2007.09.004, 2008.
42. Sen, P. K.: Estimates of the regression coefficient based on Kendall's tau, J. Am. Stat. Assoc., 63, 1379-1389, 1968.
43. SIWRR: Results of dyke survey for 4 provinces located in the flood prone areas of Vietnamese Mekong Delta, Southern Institue of Water Resources Research, Viet Nam, Hochiminh City, Vietnam, 2010.
44. Toan, T. Q.: Climate Change and Sea Level Rise in the Mekong Delta: Flood, Tidal Inundation, Salinity Intrusion, and Irrigation Adaptation Methods, in: Coastal Disasters and Climate Change in Vietnam, edited by: Esteban, N. D. T., Hiroshi Takagi Miguel, Elsevier, Oxford, 199-218, 2014.
45. Tri, V.: Hydrology and Hydraulic Infrastructure Systems in the Mekong Delta, Vietnam, in: The Mekong Delta System, edited by: Renaud, F. G., Kuenzer, C., Springer Environmental Science and Engineering, Springer Netherlands, 49-81, 2012.
46. Van, P. D. T., Popescu, I., van Griensven, A., Solomatine, D. P., Trung, N. H., Green, A.: A study of the climate change impacts on fluvial flood propagation in the Vietnamese Mekong Delta, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 4637-4649, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-16-4637-2012, 2012.
47. Wassmann, R., Hien, N., Hoanh, C., Tuong, T.: Sea Level Rise Affecting the Vietnamese Mekong Delta: Water Elevation in the Flood Season and Implications for Rice Production, Climatic Change, 66, 89-107, https://doi.org/10.1023/B:CLIM.0000043144.69736.b7, 2004.
48. Xo, L. Q., Hien, N. X., Thanh, N. D., Ngoc, B., Khoi, N. H., Lam, D. T., Khoi, T. M., Tien, H. T., Uyen, N. T.: Mekong Delta flood management plan to 2020 and 2030, Southern Institute of Water Resources Planning, Hochiminh City, Vietnam, 2015.
49. Xue, Z., Liu, J. P., Ge, Q.: Changes in hydrology and sediment delivery of the Mekong River in the last 50 years: Connection to damming, monsoon, and ENSO, Earth Surf. Proc. Landf., 36, 296-308, https://doi.org/10.1002/esp.2036, 2011.