메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 31, Issue 6, 2017, Pages 1397-1408

Connecting today's climates to future climate analogs to facilitate movement of species under climate change

Author keywords

adaptaci n al cambio clim tico; an logos clim ticos; climate analogs; climate change adaptation; conectividad; connectivity; dispersal; dispersi n

Indexed keywords

ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE CONDITIONS; CLIMATE PREDICTION; CONNECTIVITY; DATA SET; DISPERSAL; ECOREGION; FACILITATION; FUTURE PROSPECT; MOVEMENT;

EID: 85022221750     PISSN: 08888892     EISSN: 15231739     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/cobi.12938     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (85)

References (63)
  • 2
    • 77955360305 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Conserving the stage: climate change and the geophysical underpinnings of species diversity
    • Anderson MG, Ferree CE. 2010. Conserving the stage: climate change and the geophysical underpinnings of species diversity. PLOS ONE 5(e11554) https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0011554.
    • (2010) PLOS ONE , vol.5 , Issue.e11554
    • Anderson, M.G.1    Ferree, C.E.2
  • 4
    • 83655177863 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Birdlife International, Cambridge, United Kingdom, Available from, (accessed July 2014)
    • Birdlife International. 2014. Bird species distribution maps of the world. Birdlife International, Cambridge, United Kingdom. Available from http://datazone.birdlife.org/home (accessed July 2014).
    • (2014) Bird species distribution maps of the world
  • 5
    • 0012243512 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dispersal distance of mammals is proportional to home range size
    • Bowman J, Jaeger JAG, Fahrig L. 2002. Dispersal distance of mammals is proportional to home range size. Ecology 83:2049–2055.
    • (2002) Ecology , vol.83 , pp. 2049-2055
    • Bowman, J.1    Jaeger, J.A.G.2    Fahrig, L.3
  • 6
    • 80052562810 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Use of land facets to design linkages for climate change
    • Brost BM, Beier P. 2012. Use of land facets to design linkages for climate change. Ecological Applications 22:87–103.
    • (2012) Ecological Applications , vol.22 , pp. 87-103
    • Brost, B.M.1    Beier, P.2
  • 7
    • 84897954572 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Geographical limits to species-range shifts are suggested by climate velocity
    • Burrows MT, et al. 2014. Geographical limits to species-range shifts are suggested by climate velocity. Nature 507:492–495.
    • (2014) Nature , vol.507 , pp. 492-495
    • Burrows, M.T.1
  • 8
    • 84949008699 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Biotic and climatic velocity identify contrasting areas of vulnerability to climate change
    • Carroll C, Lawler JJ, Roberts DR, Hamann A. 2015. Biotic and climatic velocity identify contrasting areas of vulnerability to climate change. PLOS ONE 10(e0140486) https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0140486.
    • (2015) PLOS ONE , vol.10 , Issue.e0140486
    • Carroll, C.1    Lawler, J.J.2    Roberts, D.R.3    Hamann, A.4
  • 10
    • 0035957694 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Range shifts and adaptive responses to Quaternary climate change
    • Davis MB, Shaw RG. 2001. Range shifts and adaptive responses to Quaternary climate change. Science 292:673–679.
    • (2001) Science , vol.292 , pp. 673-679
    • Davis, M.B.1    Shaw, R.G.2
  • 11
    • 78650784340 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A climatic basis for microrefugia: the influence of terrain on climate
    • Dobrowski SZ. 2011. A climatic basis for microrefugia: the influence of terrain on climate. Global Change Biology 17:1022–1035.
    • (2011) Global Change Biology , vol.17 , pp. 1022-1035
    • Dobrowski, S.Z.1
  • 12
    • 85022143150 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change velocity underestimates climate change exposure in mountainous regions
    • Dobrowski SZ, Parks SA. 2016. Climate change velocity underestimates climate change exposure in mountainous regions. Nature Communications 7:12349.
    • (2016) Nature Communications , vol.7 , pp. 12349
    • Dobrowski, S.Z.1    Parks, S.A.2
  • 13
    • 79955044421 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The dynamical core, physical parameterizations, and basic simulation characteristics of the atmospheric component AM3 of the GFDL global coupled model CM3
    • Donner LJ, et al. 2011. The dynamical core, physical parameterizations, and basic simulation characteristics of the atmospheric component AM3 of the GFDL global coupled model CM3. Journal of Climate 24:3484–3519.
    • (2011) Journal of Climate , vol.24 , pp. 3484-3519
    • Donner, L.J.1
  • 14
    • 80053648224 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Analysis of climate paths reveals potential limitations on species range shifts
    • Early R, Sax DF. 2011. Analysis of climate paths reveals potential limitations on species range shifts. Ecology Letters 14:1125–1133.
    • (2011) Ecology Letters , vol.14 , pp. 1125-1133
    • Early, R.1    Sax, D.F.2
  • 17
    • 84861757112 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Incorporating climate change into systematic conservation planning
    • Groves CR, et al. 2012. Incorporating climate change into systematic conservation planning. Biodiversity and Conservation 21:1651–1671.
    • (2012) Biodiversity and Conservation , vol.21 , pp. 1651-1671
    • Groves, C.R.1
  • 19
    • 80955137954 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change, connectivity, and conservation success
    • Hannah L. 2011. Climate change, connectivity, and conservation success. Conservation Biology 25:1139–1142.
    • (2011) Conservation Biology , vol.25 , pp. 1139-1142
    • Hannah, L.1
  • 21
    • 57049117901 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Biodiversity management in the face of climate change: A review of 22 years of recommendations
    • Heller N, Zavaleta ES. 2009. Biodiversity management in the face of climate change: A review of 22 years of recommendations. Biological Conservation 142:14–32.
    • (2009) Biological Conservation , vol.142 , pp. 14-32
    • Heller, N.1    Zavaleta, E.S.2
  • 22
    • 84887921785 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Contribution of Working Group I to IPCC AR5., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom
    • IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). 2013. Climate change 2013: the physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to IPCC AR5. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
    • (2013) Climate change 2013: the physical science basis
  • 23
    • 0003522667 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Version 2014.1., IUCN, Gland, Switzerland, Available from, (accessed July 2014)
    • IUCN (International Union for the Conservation of Nature). 2014. Red list of threatened species. Version 2014.1. IUCN, Gland, Switzerland. Available from http://www.iucnredlist.org (accessed July 2014).
    • (2014) Red list of threatened species
  • 24
    • 51549090248 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting extinction risks under climate change: coupling stochastic population models with dynamic bioclimatic habitat models
    • Keith DA, et al. 2008. Predicting extinction risks under climate change: coupling stochastic population models with dynamic bioclimatic habitat models. Biology Letters 4:560–563.
    • (2008) Biology Letters , vol.4 , pp. 560-563
    • Keith, D.A.1
  • 25
    • 84937549007 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change impacts on bumblebees converge across continents
    • Kerr JT, et al. 2015. Climate change impacts on bumblebees converge across continents. Science 349:177–180.
    • (2015) Science , vol.349 , pp. 177-180
    • Kerr, J.T.1
  • 27
    • 84873544399 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Conservation planning with uncertain climate change projections
    • Kujala H, Moilanen A, Araújo MB, Cabeza M. 2013. Conservation planning with uncertain climate change projections. PLOS ONE 8(e53315) https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0053315.
    • (2013) PLOS ONE , vol.8 , Issue.e53315
    • Kujala, H.1    Moilanen, A.2    Araújo, M.B.3    Cabeza, M.4
  • 32
    • 58149355439 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Using circuit theory to model connectivity in ecology, evolution, and conservation
    • McRae BH, Dickson BG, Keitt TH, Shah VB. 2008. Using circuit theory to model connectivity in ecology, evolution, and conservation. Ecology 89:2712–2724.
    • (2008) Ecology , vol.89 , pp. 2712-2724
    • McRae, B.H.1    Dickson, B.G.2    Keitt, T.H.3    Shah, V.B.4
  • 34
    • 77953506330 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Nature Conservancy, Arlington, Virginia, Available from, (accessed October 2015)
    • McRae BH, Shah VB, Mohapatra TK. 2013. Circuitscape 4 user guide. The Nature Conservancy, Arlington, Virginia. Available from http://docs.circuitscape.org/circuitscape_4_0_user_guide.html?&id=gsite (accessed October 2015).
    • (2013) Circuitscape 4 user guide
    • McRae, B.H.1    Shah, V.B.2    Mohapatra, T.K.3
  • 37
    • 33745630644 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Towards European climate risk surfaces: the extent and distribution of analogous and non-analogous climates 1931–2100
    • Ohlemüller R, Gritti ES, Sykes MT, Thomas CD. 2006. Towards European climate risk surfaces: the extent and distribution of analogous and non-analogous climates 1931–2100. Global Ecology and Biogeography 15:395–405.
    • (2006) Global Ecology and Biogeography , vol.15 , pp. 395-405
    • Ohlemüller, R.1    Gritti, E.S.2    Sykes, M.T.3    Thomas, C.D.4
  • 38
    • 84880570015 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Projected climate reshuffling based on multivariate climate-availability, climate-analog, and climate-velocity analyses: implications for community disaggregation
    • Ordonez A, Williams JW. 2013. Projected climate reshuffling based on multivariate climate-availability, climate-analog, and climate-velocity analyses: implications for community disaggregation. Climatic Change 119:659–675.
    • (2013) Climatic Change , vol.119 , pp. 659-675
    • Ordonez, A.1    Williams, J.W.2
  • 39
    • 0037413628 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems
    • Parmesan C, Yohe G. 2003. A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems. Nature 421:37–42.
    • (2003) Nature , vol.421 , pp. 37-42
    • Parmesan, C.1    Yohe, G.2
  • 40
    • 20444468311 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Version3.0., NatureServe, Arlington, Virginia, Available from, (accessed July 2014)
    • Patterson BD, et al. 2007. Digital distribution maps of the mammals of the Western Hemisphere. Version.3.0. NatureServe, Arlington, Virginia. Available from http://www.natureserve.org/conservation-tools/data-maps-tools/digital-distribution-maps-mammals-western-hemisphere (accessed July 2014).
    • (2007) Digital distribution maps of the mammals of the Western Hemisphere
    • Patterson, B.D.1
  • 41
    • 0022385895 scopus 로고
    • The greenhouse effect and nature reserves
    • Peters RL, Darling JDS. 1985. The greenhouse effect and nature reserves. BioScience 35:707–717.
    • (1985) BioScience , vol.35 , pp. 707-717
    • Peters, R.L.1    Darling, J.D.S.2
  • 42
    • 84863436698 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Method selection for species distribution modelling: Are temporally or spatially independent evaluations necessary?
    • Roberts DR, Hamann A 2012. Method selection for species distribution modelling: Are temporally or spatially independent evaluations necessary? Ecography 35:792–802.
    • (2012) Ecography , vol.35 , pp. 792-802
    • Roberts, D.R.1    Hamann, A.2
  • 43
    • 84955201366 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Facilitating climate-change-induced range shifts across continental land-use barriers
    • Robillard CM, Coristine LE, Soares RN, Kerr JT. 2015. Facilitating climate-change-induced range shifts across continental land-use barriers. Conservation Biology 29:1586–1595.
    • (2015) Conservation Biology , vol.29 , pp. 1586-1595
    • Robillard, C.M.1    Coristine, L.E.2    Soares, R.N.3    Kerr, J.T.4
  • 45
    • 84921917168 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Conserving Biodiversity: Practical guidance about climate change adaptation approaches in support of land-use planning
    • Schmitz OJ, et al. 2015. Conserving Biodiversity: Practical guidance about climate change adaptation approaches in support of land-use planning. Natural Areas Journal 35:190–203.
    • (2015) Natural Areas Journal , vol.35 , pp. 190-203
    • Schmitz, O.J.1
  • 46
    • 84925949624 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Protected areas in Borneo may fail to conserve tropical forest biodiversity under climate change
    • Scriven SA, Hodgson JA, McClean CJ, Hill JK. 2015. Protected areas in Borneo may fail to conserve tropical forest biodiversity under climate change. Biological Conservation 184:414–423.
    • (2015) Biological Conservation , vol.184 , pp. 414-423
    • Scriven, S.A.1    Hodgson, J.A.2    McClean, C.J.3    Hill, J.K.4
  • 47
    • 84865296592 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A meta-analysis of global urban land expansion
    • Seto KC, Fragkias M, Güneralp B, Reilly MK. 2011. A meta-analysis of global urban land expansion. PLOS ONE 6(e23777) https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0023777.
    • (2011) PLOS ONE , vol.6 , Issue.e23777
    • Seto, K.C.1    Fragkias, M.2    Güneralp, B.3    Reilly, M.K.4
  • 49
    • 77952336226 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Erosion of lizard diversity by climate change and altered thermal niches
    • Sinervo B, et al. 2010. Erosion of lizard diversity by climate change and altered thermal niches. Science 328:894–899.
    • (2010) Science , vol.328 , pp. 894-899
    • Sinervo, B.1
  • 50
    • 13944273116 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dispersal and the metapopulation paradigm in amphibian ecology and conservation: Are all amphibian populations metapopulations?
    • Smith MA, Green DM. 2005. Dispersal and the metapopulation paradigm in amphibian ecology and conservation: Are all amphibian populations metapopulations? Ecography 28:110–128.
    • (2005) Ecography , vol.28 , pp. 110-128
    • Smith, M.A.1    Green, D.M.2
  • 51
  • 52
    • 0027141214 scopus 로고
    • Connectivity is a vital element of landscape structure
    • Taylor PD, Fahrig L, Henein K, Merriam G. 1993. Connectivity is a vital element of landscape structure. Oikos 68:571–573.
    • (1993) Oikos , vol.68 , pp. 571-573
    • Taylor, P.D.1    Fahrig, L.2    Henein, K.3    Merriam, G.4
  • 54
    • 85033458556 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Human modification for North America
    • Conservation Biology Instititue, Corvallis, Oregon, Available from, (accessed January 2016)
    • Theobald D. 2016. Human modification for North America. Data basin. Conservation Biology Instititue, Corvallis, Oregon. Available from http://databasin.org/datasets/110a8b7e238444e2ad95b7c17e889b66 (accessed January 2016).
    • (2016) Data basin
    • Theobald, D.1
  • 55
    • 84888234320 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A general model to quantify ecological integrity for landscape assessments and US application
    • Theobald D. 2013. A general model to quantify ecological integrity for landscape assessments and US application. Landscape Ecology 28:1859–1874.
    • (2013) Landscape Ecology , vol.28 , pp. 1859-1874
    • Theobald, D.1
  • 56
    • 1542329839 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Extinction risk from climate change
    • Thomas CD, et al. 2004. Extinction risk from climate change. Nature 427:145–148.
    • (2004) Nature , vol.427 , pp. 145-148
    • Thomas, C.D.1
  • 57
    • 85033481230 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • National Health and Environmental Effects Research Laboratory, Corvallis, Oregon
    • U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (U.S. EPA). 2010. Ecoregions of the continental United States. National Health and Environmental Effects Research Laboratory, Corvallis, Oregon.
    • (2010) Ecoregions of the continental United States
  • 58
    • 85027942003 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Moving forward: dispersal and species interactions determine biotic responses to climate change
    • Urban MC, Zarnetske PL, Skelly DK. 2013. Moving forward: dispersal and species interactions determine biotic responses to climate change. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences 1297:44–60.
    • (2013) Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences , vol.1297 , pp. 44-60
    • Urban, M.C.1    Zarnetske, P.L.2    Skelly, D.K.3
  • 59
    • 84880098297 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Vulnerability of baobab species to climate change and effectiveness of the protected area network in Madagascar
    • Vieilledent G, Cornu C, Cuní Sanchez A, Leong Pock-Tsy J-M, Danthu P. 2013. Vulnerability of baobab species to climate change and effectiveness of the protected area network in Madagascar. Biological Conservation 166:11–22.
    • (2013) Biological Conservation , vol.166 , pp. 11-22
    • Vieilledent, G.1    Cornu, C.2    Cuní Sanchez, A.3    Leong Pock-Tsy, J.-M.4    Danthu, P.5
  • 60
    • 77956285070 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simulating present-day climate with the INMCM4.0 coupled model of the atmospheric and oceanic general circulations
    • Volodin EM, Dianskii NA, Gusev AV. 2010. Simulating present-day climate with the INMCM4.0 coupled model of the atmospheric and oceanic general circulations. Izvestiya, Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics 46:414–431.
    • (2010) Izvestiya, Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics , vol.46 , pp. 414-431
    • Volodin, E.M.1    Dianskii, N.A.2    Gusev, A.V.3
  • 61
    • 84974849166 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Locally downscaled and spatially customizable climate data for historical and future periods for North America
    • Wang T, Hamann A, Spittlehouse DL, Carroll C. 2016. Locally downscaled and spatially customizable climate data for historical and future periods for North America. PLOS ONE 11(e0156720) https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0156720.
    • (2016) PLOS ONE , vol.11 , Issue.e0156720
    • Wang, T.1    Hamann, A.2    Spittlehouse, D.L.3    Carroll, C.4
  • 62
    • 78650547976 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Improved climate simulation by MIROC5: Mean states, variability, and climate sensitivity
    • Watanabe M, et al. 2010. Improved climate simulation by MIROC5: Mean states, variability, and climate sensitivity. Journal of Climate 23:6312–6335.
    • (2010) Journal of Climate , vol.23 , pp. 6312-6335
    • Watanabe, M.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.