Understanding long-term (1982–2013) patterns and trends in winter wheat spring green-up date over the North China Plain

International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation

Volumn 57, Issue , 2017, Pages 235-244

  Wang, Sisi ^a,b   Mo, Xingguo ^a   Liu, Zhengjia ^a,c   Baig, Muhammad Hasan Ali ^d   Chi, Wenfeng ^e  

^a INSTITUTE OF GEOGRAPHIC SCIENCES AND NATURAL RESOURCES RESEARCH   (China)

^b UNIVERSITY OF CHINESE ACADEMY OF SCIENCES   (China)

^c INSTITUTE OF GEOLOGY AND GEOPHYSICS   (China)

^d PAKISTAN METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT   (Pakistan)

^e INNER MONGOLIA AGRICULTURAL UNIVERSITY   (China)

Author keywords

GIMMS3g NDVI; North China Plain; Soil moisture; Spring green up date; Winter wheat

Indexed keywords

AGRICULTURAL LAND; ALGORITHM; CROP PRODUCTION; ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING; FOOD SECURITY; MAPPING; NDVI; SOIL MOISTURE; SPRING (SEASON); WHEAT; WINTER;

CHINA; NORTH CHINA PLAIN;

TRITICUM AESTIVUM;

EID: 85018470829     PISSN: 15698432     EISSN: 1872826X     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jag.2017.01.008     Document Type: Article

References (64)

1. Ault, T.R., Schwartz, M.D., Zurita-Milla, R., Weltzin, J.F., Betancourt, J.L., Trends and natural variability of spring onset in the coterminous United States as evaluated by a new gridded dataset of spring indices. J. Climate 28:21 (2015), 8363–8378.
2. Badeck, F.W., Bondeau, A.K., Doktor, D., Lucht, W., Schaber, J., Responses of spring phenology to climate change. New Phytol. 162:2 (2004), 295–309.
3. Bradley, A.V., Gerard, F.F., Barbier, N., Weedon, G.P., Anderson, L.O., Huntingford, C., Aragão, L.E.O.C., Zelazowski, P., Arai, E., Relationships between phenology, radiation and precipitation in the Amazon region. Global Change Biol. 17:6 (2011), 2245–2260.
4. Broich, M., Huete, A., Paget, M., Ma, X., Tulbure, M., Coupe, N.R., Evans, B., Beringer, J., Devadas, R., Davies, K., A spatially explicit land surface phenology data product for science, monitoring and natural resources management applications. Environl. Modell. Softw. 64 (2015), 191–204.
5. Cao, R., Chen, J., Shen, M., Tang, Y., An improved logistic method for detecting spring vegetation phenology in grasslands from MODIS EVI time-series data. Agric. For. Meteorol. 200 (2015), 9–20.
6. Chen, J., Jönsson, P., Tamura, M., Gu, Z., Matsushita, B., Eklundh, L., A simple method for reconstructing a high-quality NDVI time-series data set based on the Savitzky–Golay filter. Remote Sens. Environ. 91:3-4 (2004), 332–344.
7. Chmielewski, F.M., Müller, A., Bruns, E., Climate changes and trends in phenology of fruit trees and field crops in Germany, 1961–2000. Agric. For. Meteorol. 121:1–2 (2004), 69–78.
8. Cong, N., Piao, S., Chen, A., Wang, X., Lin, X., Chen, S., Han, S., Zhou, G., Zhang, X., Spring vegetation green-up date in China inferred from SPOT NDVI data: a multiple model analysis. Agric. For. Meteorol. 165 (2012), 104–113.
9. Cong, N., Wang, T., Nan, H., Ma, Y., Wang, X., Myneni, R.B., Piao, S., Changes in satellite-derived spring vegetation green-up date and its linkage to climate in China from 1982 to 2010: a multimethod analysis. Global Change Biol. 19:3 (2013), 881–891.
10. Cornelissen, J.H.C., Bodegom, P.M.V., Aerts, R., Callaghan, T.V., Logtestijn, R.S.P.V., Alatalo, J., Chapin, F.S., Gerdol, R., Gudmundsson, J., Gwynn-Jones, D., Global negative vegetation feedback to climate warming responses of leaf litter decomposition rates in cold biomes. Ecol. Lett. 10:7 (2007), 619–627.
11. Dorigo, W., Jeu, R.D., Chung, D., Parinussa, R., Liu, Y., Wagner, W., Fernández-Prieto, D., Evaluating global trends (1988–2010) in harmonized multi-satellite surface soil moisture. Geophys. Res. Lett. 39:18 (2012), 143–157.
12. Dorigo, W.A., Gruber, A., De Jeu, R.A.M., Wagner, W., Stacke, T., Loew, A., Albergel, C., Brocca, L., Chung, D., Parinussa, R.M., Kidd, R., Evaluation of the ESA CCI soil moisture product using ground-based observations. Remote Sens. Environ. 162 (2015), 380–395.
13. Fu, Y.H., Hongfang, Z., Shilong, P., Marc, P., Shushi, P., Guiyun, Z., Philippe, C., Mengtian, H., Annette, M., Josep, P.U., Declining global warming effects on the phenology of spring leaf unfolding. Nature 526:7571 (2015), 104–107.
14. Garonna, I., de Jong, R., Schaepman, M.E., Variability and evolution of global land surface phenology over the past three decades (1982–2012). Global Change Biol. 22:4 (2016), 1456–1468.
15. Guo, L., An, N., Wang, K., Reconciling the discrepancy in ground- and satellite-observed trends in the spring phenology of winter wheat in China from 1993 to 2008. J. Geophys. Res. 121:3 (2016), 1027–1042.
16. Hashemian, M., Ryu, D., Crow, W.T., Kustas, W.P., Improving root-zone soil moisture estimations using dynamic root growth and crop phenology. Adv. Water Resour. 86 (2015), 170–183 (Part A).
17. He, L., Asseng, S., Zhao, G., Wu, D., Yang, X., Zhuang, W., Jin, N., Yu, Q., Impacts of recent climate warming, cultivar changes, and crop management on winter wheat phenology across the Loess Plateau of China. Agric. For. Meteorol. 200 (2015), 135–143.
18. Hou, X., Gao, S., Niu, Z., Xu, Z., Extracting grassland vegetation phenology in North China based on cumulative SPOT-VEGETATION NDVI data. Int. J. Remote Sens. 35:9 (2014), 3316–3330.
19. Hutchinson, M.F., McKenney, D.W., Lawrence, K., Pedlar, J.H., Hopkinson, R.F., Milewska, E., Papadopol, P., Development and testing of Canada-wide interpolated spatial models of daily minimum-maximum temperature and precipitation for 1961–2003. J. Appl. Meteorol. Clim. 48:4 (2009), 725–741.
20. Jeong, S.J., Ho, C.H., Gim, H.J., Brown, M.E., Phenology shifts at start vs. end of growing season in temperate vegetation over the Northern Hemisphere for the period 1982–2008. Global Change Biol. 17:7 (2011), 2385–2399.
21. Jeong, S.J., Medvigy, D., Shevliakova, E., Malyshev, S., Uncertainties in terrestrial carbon budgets related to spring phenology. J. Geophys. Res., 117(G1), 2012, G01030.
22. Julien, Y., Sobrino, J.A., Global land surface phenology trends from GIMMS database. Int. J. Remote Sens. 30:13 (2009), 3495–3513.
23. Liu, Y.Y., Parinussa, R.M., Dorigo, W.A., De Jeu, R.A.M., Wagner, W., van Dijk, A.I.J.M., McCabe, M.F., Evans, J.P., Developing an improved soil moisture dataset by blending passive and active microwave satellite-based retrievals. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 15:2 (2011), 425–436.
24. Liu, Z., Yu, X., Wang, S., Shang, G., Comparative analysis of three covariates methods in thin-plate smoothing splines for interpolating precipitation. Prog. Geog. 31:1 (2012), 56–62 (in Chinese).
25. Liu, J., Kuang, W., Zhang, Z., Xu, X., Qin, Y., Ning, J., Zhou, W., Zhang, S., Li, R., Yan, C., Wu, S., Shi, X., Jiang, N., Yu, D., Pan, X., Chi, W., Spatiotemporal characteristics, patterns, and causes of land-use changes in China since the late 1980. J. Geogr. Sci. 24:2 (2014), 195–210.
26. Liu, Z., Wu, C., Peng, D., Wang, S., Gonsamo, A., Fang, B., Yuan, W., Improved modeling of gross primary production from a better representation of photosynthetic components in vegetation canopy. Agric. For. Meteorol. 233 (2017), 222–234.
27. Lu, L., Wang, C., Guo, H., Li, Q., Detecting winter wheat phenology with SPOT-VEGETATION data in the North China Plain. Geocarto Int. 29:3 (2014), 244–255.
28. Melaas, E.K., Richardson, A.D., Friedl, M.A., Dragoni, D., Gough, C.M., Herbst, M., Montagnani, L., Moors, E., Using FLUXNET data to improve models of springtime vegetation activity onset in forest ecosystems. Agric. For. Meteorol. 171-172 (2013), 46–56.
29. Mo, X., Liu, S., Lin, Z., Guo, R., Regional crop yield, water consumption and water use efficiency and their responses to climate change in the North China Plain. Agr. Ecosyst. Environ. 134:1 (2009), 67–78.
30. Penuelas, J., Rutishauser, T., Filella, I., Phenology feedbacks on climate change. Science 324:5929 (2009), 887–888.
31. Piao, S., Fang, J., Zhou, L., Ciais, P., Zhu, B., Variations in satellite-derived phenology in China's temperate vegetation. Global Change Biol. 12:4 (2006), 672–685.
32. Piao, S., Cui, M., Chen, A., Wang, X., Ciais, P., Liu, J., Tang, Y., Altitude and temperature dependence of change in the spring vegetation green-up date from 1982 to 2006 in the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau. Agric. For. Meteorol. 151:12 (2011), 1599–1608.
33. Piao, S., Tan, J., Chen, A., Fu, Y.H., Ciais, P., Liu, Q., Janssens, I.A., Vicca, S., Zeng, Z., Jeong, S.-J., Li, Y., Myneni, R.B., Peng, S., Shen, M., Penuelas, J., Leaf onset in the northern hemisphere triggered by daytime temperature. Nat. Commun., 6, 2015.
34. Pinzon, J., Tucker, C., A non-Stationary 1981–2012 AVHRR NDVI3g time series. Remote Sens. 6:8 (2014), 6929–6960.
35. Qiu, J., Gao, Q., Wang, S., Su, Z., Comparison of temporal trends from multiple soil moisture data sets and precipitation: the implication of irrigation on regional soil moisture trend. Int. J. Appl. Earth Obs. 48 (2016), 17–27.
36. Ramos, A., Pereira, M.J., Soares, A., Rosário, L.D., Matos, P., Nunes, A., Branquinho, C., Pinho, P., Seasonal patterns of Mediterranean evergreen woodlands (Montado) are explained by long-term precipitation. Agric. For. Meteorol. 202 (2015), 44–50.
37. Richardson, A.D., Black, T.A., Ciais, P., Delbart, N., Friedl, M.A., Gobron, N., Hollinger, D.Y., Kutsch, W.L., Longdoz, B., Luyssaert, S., Influence of spring and autumn phenological transitions on forest ecosystem productivity. Philos. T. R. Soc. B 365:1555 (2010), 3227–3246.
38. Sacks, W.J., Kucharik, C.J., Crop management and phenology trends in the U. S Corn Belt: impacts on yields, evapotranspiration and energy balance. Agric. For. Meteorol. 151:7 (2011), 882–894.
39. Schwartz, M.D., Ahas, R., Aasa, A., Onset of spring starting earlier across the Northern Hemisphere. Global Change Biol. 12:2 (2006), 343–351.
40. Schwartz, M.D., Hanes, J.M., Liang, L., Comparing carbon flux and high-resolution spring phenological measurements in a northern mixed forest. Agric. For. Meteorol. 169 (2013), 136–147.
41. Seghieri, J., Vescovo, A., Padel, K., Soubie, R., Arjounin, M., Boulain, N., de Rosnay, P., Galle, S., Gosset, M., Mouctar, A.H., Peugeot, C., Timouk, F., Relationships between climate, soil moisture and phenology of the woody cover in two sites located along the West African latitudinal gradient. J. Hydrol. 375:1–2 (2009), 78–89.
42. Semenov, M.A., Impacts of climate change on wheat in England and Wales. J. Royal Soc. Interface 6:33 (2009), 343–350.
43. Shen, M., Tang, Y., Chen, J., Zhu, X., Zheng, Y., Influences of temperature and precipitation before the growing season on spring phenology in grasslands of the central and eastern Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau. Nature Geosci. Agric. For. Meteorol., 151, 2011.
44. Shen, M., Zhang, G., Cong, N., Wang, S., Kong, W., Piao, S., Increasing altitudinal gradient of spring vegetation phenology during the last decade on the Qinghai–Tibetan Plateau. Agric. For. Meteorol. 189-190 (2014), 71–80.
45. Shen, M., Piao, S., Cong, N., Zhang, G., Jassens, I.A., Precipitation impacts on vegetation spring phenology on the Tibetan Plateau. Global Change Biol. 21:10 (2015), 3647–3656.
46. Shen, M., Spring phenology was not consistently related to winter warming on the Tibetan Plateau. P. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A. 108:19 (2011), E91–E92.
47. Siddique, K.H.M., Whan, B.R., Ear: stem ratios in breeding populations of wheat: significance for yield improvement. Euphytica 73:3 (1993), 241–254.
48. Tao, F., Zhang, S., Zhang, Z., Spatiotemporal changes of wheat phenology in China under the effects of temperature, day length and cultivar thermal characteristics. Eur. J. Agron. 43 (2012), 201–212.
49. Vitasse, Y., François, C., Delpierre, N., Dufrêne, E., Kremer, A., Chuine, I., Delzon, S., Assessing the effects of climate change on the phenology of European temperate trees. Agric. For. Meteorol. 151:7 (2011), 969–980.
50. Wang, J., Dong, J., Liu, J., Huang, M., Li, G., Running, S., Smith, W., Harris, W., Saigusa, N., Kondo, H., Liu, Y., Hirano, T., Xiao, X., Comparison of gross primary productivity derived from GIMMS NDVI3g GIMMS, and MODIS in Southeast Asia. Remote Sens. 6:3 (2014), 2108–2133.
51. Wang, S., Yu, X., Liu, Z., Spatiotemporal patterns of NDVI and its responses to temperature and precipitation over Yimeng Mountainous Area. Remote Sens. Technol. Appl. 29:1 (2014), 61–68 (in Chinese).
52. Wang, N., Wang, J., Wang, E., Yu, Q., Shi, Y., He, D., Increased uncertainty in simulated maize phenology with more frequent supra-optimal temperature under climate warming. Eur. J. Agron. 71 (2015), 19–33.
53. Wang, S., Mo, X., Liu, S., Lin, Z., Hu, S., Validation and trend analysis of ECV soil moisture data on cropland in North China Plain during 1981–2010. Int. J. Appl. Earth Obs. 48 (2016), 110–121.
54. White, M.A., De Beurs, K.M., Didan, K., Inouye, D.W., Richardson, A.D., Jensen, O.P., O'Keefe, J., Zhang, G., Nemani, R.R., Van Leeuwen, W.J.D., Brown, J.F., De Wit, A., Schaepman, M., Lin, X., Dettinger, M., Bailey, A.S., Kimball, J., Schwartz, M.D., Baldocchi, D.D., Lee, J.T., Lauenroth, W.K., Intercomparison, interpretation, and assessment of spring phenology in North America estimated from remote sensing for 1982–2006. Global Change Biol. 15:10 (2009), 2335–2359.
55. White, K., Pontius, J., Schaberg, P., Remote sensing of spring phenology in northeastern forests: a comparison of methods, field metrics and sources of uncertainty. Remote Sens. Environ. 148 (2014), 97–107.
56. Wu, C., Hou, X., Peng, D., Gonsamo, A., Xu, S., Land surface phenology of China's temperate ecosystems over 1999–2013: spatial-temporal patterns, interaction effects, covariation with climate and implications for productivity. Agric. For. Meteorol. 216 (2016), 177–187.
57. Xiao, D., Tao, F., Liu, Y., Shi, W., Meng, W., Liu, F., Shuai, Z., Zhu, Z., Observed changes in winter wheat phenology in the North China Plain for 1981–2009. Int. J. Biometeorol. 57:2 (2013), 275–285.
58. Yang, Y., Guan, H., Shen, M., Liang, W., Jiang, L., Changes in autumn vegetation dormancy onset date and the climate controls across temperate ecosystems in China from 1982 to 2010. Global Change Biol. 21:2 (2015), 652–665.
59. Yu, F., Price, K.P., Ellis, J., Shi, P., Response of seasonal vegetation development to climatic variations in eastern central Asia. Remote Sens. Environ. 87:1 (2003), 42–54.
60. Yue, W., Zhang, F., Li, Z., Li, W., Xue, F., Suo, Y., Effect of water stress, rewatering and fertilization on growth and yield of winter wheat during seedling establishment. J. Northwest A&F Univ. 40:2 (2012), 57–63 (in Chinese).
61. Zhang, S., Tao, F., Modeling the response of rice phenology to climate change and variability in different climatic zones: comparisons of five models. Eur. J. Agron. 45 (2013), 165–176.
62. Zhang, X., Friedl, M.A., Schaaf, C.B., Strahler, A.H., Hodges, J.C.F., Gao, F., Reed, B.C., Huete, A., Monitoring vegetation phenology using MODIS. Remote Sens. Environ. 84:3 (2003), 471–475.
63. Zhou, L., He, H., Sun, X., Zhang, L., Yu, G., Ren, X., Wang, J., Zhao, F., Modeling winter wheat phenology and carbon dioxide fluxes at the ecosystem scale based on digital photography and eddy covariance data. Ecol. Inform. 18 (2013), 69–78.
64. Zhu, Z., Bi, J., Pan, Y., Ganguly, S., Anav, A., Xu, L., Samanta, A., Piao, S., Nemani, R.R., Myneni, R.B., Global data sets of vegetation leaf area index (LAI) 3 g and Fraction of Photosynthetically Active Radiation (FPAR) 3g derived from Global Inventory Modeling and Mapping Studies (GIMMS) Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI3g) for the period 1981–2011. Remote Sens. 5:2 (2013), 927–948.