Global distribution of soil organic carbon – Part 2: Certainty of changes related to land use and climate

SOIL

Volumn 1, Issue 1, 2015, Pages 367-380

  Kochy M ^a   Don, A ^a   Van Der Molen, M K ^b,c   Freibauer, A ^a  

^a THÜNEN INSTITUTE OF CLIMATE SMART AGRICULTURE   (Germany)

^b VU UNIVERSITY AMSTERDAM   (Netherlands)

^c WAGENINGEN UNIVERSITY   (Netherlands)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

BIOSPHERE; CARBON DIOXIDE; GLOBAL CHANGE; HUMID TROPICS; LAND USE CHANGE; PERMAFROST; PROBABILITY DENSITY FUNCTION; SOIL CARBON; SOIL ORGANIC MATTER; THAWING; TROPICAL FOREST;

EID: 85011721109     PISSN: 21993971     EISSN: 2199398X     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.5194/soil-1-367-2015     Document Type: Article

References (71)

1. Allison, S. D., Wallenstein, M. D., and Bradford, M. A.: Soil-carbon response to warming dependent on microbial physiology, Nat. Geosci., 3, 336–340, doi:10.1038/ngeo846, 2010.
2. Alo, C. A. and Wang, G.: Potential future changes of the terrestrial ecosystem based on climate projections by eight general circulation models, J. Geophys. Res., 113, G01004, doi:10.1029/2007JG000528, 2008.
3. Anisimov, O. A., Shiklomanov, N. I., and Nelson, F. E.: Variability of seasonal thaw depth in permafrost regions: a stochastic modeling approach, Ecol. Model., 153, 217–227, doi:10.1016/S0304-3800(02)00016-9, 2002.
4. Armentano, T. V. and Mengeo, E. S.: Patterns of change in the carbon balance of organic soil-wetlands of the temperate zone, J. Ecol., 74, 755–774, 1985.
5. Brovkin, V., Boysen, L., Arora, V. K., Boisier, J. P., Cadule, P., Chini, L., Claussen, M., Friedlingstein, P., Gayler, V., van den Hurk, B. J. J. M., Hurtt, G. C., Jones, C. D., Kato, E., de Noblet-Ducoudré, N., Pacifico, F., Pongratz, J., and Weiss, M.: Effect of anthropogenic land-use and land-cover changes on climate and land carbon storage in CMIP5 projections for the twenty-first century, J. Climate, 26, 6859–6881, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00623.1, 2013.
6. Coleman, K. and Jenkins, D. S.: RothC-26.3. A model for the turnover of carbon in soil. Model description and users guide, IACR Rothamsted, Harpenden (United Kingdom), IACR Rothamsted, 1999.
7. Cornwell, W. K., Cornelissen, J. H. C., Amatangelo, K., Dorrepaal, E., Eviner, V. T., Godoy, O., Hobbie, S. E., Hoorens, B., Kurokawa, H., Pérez-Harguindeguy, N., Quested, H. M., Santiago, L. S., Wardle, D. A., Wright, I. J., Aerts, R., Allison, S. D., Bodegom, P. v., Brovkin, V., Chatain, A., Callaghan, T. V., Sandra Díaz, G., Eric, Gurvich, D. E., Kazakou, E., Klein, J. A., Read, J., Reich, P. B., Soudzilovskaia, N. A., Vaieretti, M. V., and Westoby, M.: Plant species traits are the predominant control on litter decomposition rates within biomes worldwide, Ecol. Lett., 11, 1065–1071, doi:10.1111/j.1461-0248.2008.01219.x, 2008.
8. Davidson, E. A. and Janssens, I. A.: Temperature sensitivity of soil carbon decomposition and feedbacks to climate change, Nature, 440, 165–173, doi:10.1038/nature04514, 2006.
9. Davidson, E. A., Trumbore, S. E., and Amundson, R.: Biogeochemistry – Soil warming and organic carbon content, Nature, 408, 789–790, doi:10.1038/35048672, 2000.
10. Del Grosso, S., Parton, W., Stohlgren, T., Zheng, D., Bachelet, D., Prince, S., Hibbard, K., and Olson, R.: Global potential net primary production predicted from vegetation class, precipitation, and temperature, Ecology, 89, 2117–2126, doi:10.1890/07-0850.1, 2008.
11. de Noblet-Ducoudré, N. and Peterschmitt, J.-Y.: Designing historical and future land-cover maps at the global scale for climate studies, ENSEMBLES, available at: http://www.cnrm.meteo.fr/ensembles/public/data/LandUseMaps_Informations.pdf (last access: 28 July 2009), 2008.
12. Don, A., Schumann, J., and Freibauer, A.: Impact of tropical land use change on soil organic carbon stocks – a meta analysis, Glob. Change Biol., 17, 1658–1670, doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2010.02336.x, 2011.
13. Fan, Y. and Miguez-Macho, G.: A simple hydrologic framework for simulating wetlands in climate and earth system models, Clim. Dynam., 37, 253–278, doi:10.1007/s00382-010-0829-8, 2011.
14. Finn, M., Lewis, M., Bosch, D., Giraldo, M., Yamamoto, K., Sullivan, D., Kincaid, R., Luna, R., Allam, G., Kvien, C., and Williams, M.: Remote sensing of soil moisture using airborne hyperspectral data, GISci. Remote Sens., 48, 522–540, doi:10.2747/1548-1603.48.4.522, 2011.
15. Fischer, G., Nachtergaele, F., Prieler, S., van Velthuizen, H. T., Verelst, L., and Wiberg, D.: Global agro-ecological zones assessment for agriculture (GAEZ 2008), IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria and FAO, Rome, Italy, IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria and FAO, Rome, Italy., available at: http://www.iiasa.ac.at/Research/LUC/External-World-soil-databaseHTML/SoilQualityData.html?sb=11 (last access: 3 November 2009), 2008.
16. Freeman, C., Ostle, N., and Kang, H.: An enzymic’latch’ on a global carbon store, Nature, 409, p. 149, doi:10.1038/35051650, 2001.
17. Gedalof, Z. and Berg, A. A.: Tree ring evidence for limited direct CO2 fertilization of forests over the 20th century, Global Biogeochem. Cy., 24, GB3027, doi:10.1029/2009GB003699, 2010.
18. Gerten, D., Schaphoff, S., Haberlandt, U., Lucht, W., and Sitch, S.: Terrestrial vegetation and water balance – hydrological evaluation of a dynamic global vegetation model, J. Hydrol., 286, 249–270, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2003.09.029, 2004.
19. Giardina, C. P. and Ryan, M. G.: Evidence that decomposition rates of organic carbon in mineral soil do not vary with temperature, Nature, 404, 858–861, doi:10.1038/35009076, 2000.
20. Gonzalez, P., Neilson, R. P., Lenihan, J. M., and Drapek, R. J.: Global patterns in the vulnerability of ecosystems to vegetation shifts due to climate change, Glob. Ecol. Biogeogr., 19, 755–768, doi:10.1111/j.1466-8238.2010.00558.x, 2010.
21. Grace, P. R., Ladd, J. N., Robertson, G. P., and Gage, S. H.: SOCRATES – A simple model for predicting long-term changes in soil organic carbon in terrestrial ecosystems, Soil Biol. Biochem., 38, 1172–1176, doi:10.1016/j.soilbio.2005.09.013, 2006.
22. Grosse, G., Harden, J., Turetsky, M., McGuire, A. D., Camill, P., Tarnocai, C., Frolking, S., Schuur, E., A. G., Jorgenson, T., Marchenko, S., Romanovsky, V., Wickland, K., P., French, N., Waldrop, M., Bourgeau-Chavez, L., and Striegl, R. G.: Vulnerability of high-latitude soil organic carbon in North America to disturbance, J. Geophys. Res.–Biogeosci., 116, G00K06, doi:10.1029/2010JG001507, 2011.
23. Haberl, H., Erb, K. H., Krausmann, F., Gaube, V., Bondeau, A., Plutzar, C., Gingrich, S., Lucht, W., and Fischer-Kowalski, M.: Quantifying and mapping the human appropriation of net primary production in earth’s terrestrial ecosystems, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 104, 12942–12947, doi:10.1073/pnas.0704243104, 2007.
24. Hararuk, O., Xia, J., and Luo, Y.: Evaluation and improvement of a global land model against soil carbon data using a Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo method, J. Geophys. Res.-Biogeosci., 119, 403–417, doi:10.1002/2013JG002535, 2014.
25. Holmes, K. W., Chadwick, O. A., Kyriakidis, P. C., Silva, D. F., Eliomar P., Soares, J. V., and Roberts, D. A.: Large-area spatially explicit estimates of tropical soil carbon stocks and response to land-cover change, Global Biogeochem. Cy., 20, GB3004, doi:10.1029/2005GB002507, 2006.
26. Hyvönen, R., Ågren, G. I., Linder, S., Persson, T., Cotrufo, M. F., Ekblad, A., Freeman, M., Grelle, A., Janssens, I. A., Jarvis, P. G., Kellomäki, S., Lindroth, A., Loustau, D., Lundmark, T., Norby, R. J., Oren, R., Pilegaard, K., Ryan, M. G., Sigurdsson, B. D., Strömgren, M., van Oijen, M., and Wallin, G.: The likely impact of elevated [CO2], nitrogen deposition, increased temperature and management on carbon sequestration in temperate and boreal forest ecosystems: a literature review, New Phytol., 173, 463–480, doi:10.1111/j.1469-8137.2007.01967.x, 2007.
27. IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change): Emission scenarios. Summary for policymakers. A special report of the IPCC Working Group III, IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland, 2000.
28. Ise, T. and Moorcroft, P. R.: The global scale temperature and moisture dependencies of soil organic carbon decomposition: an analysis using a mechanistic decomposition model, Biogeochemistry, 80, 217–231, doi:10.1007/s10533-006-9019-5, 2006.
29. Ise, T., Dunn, A. L., Wofsy, S. C., and Moorcroft, P. R.: High sensitivity of peat decomposition to climate change through water-table feedback, Nat. Geosci., 1, 763–766, doi:10.1038/ngeo331, 2008.
30. Jones, C., McConnell, C., Coleman, K., Cox, P., Falloon, P., Jenkin-son, D., and Powlson, D.: Global climate change and soil carbon stocks; predictions from two contrasting models for the turnover of organic carbon in soil, Glob. Change Biol., 11, 154–166, doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2004.00885.x, 2005.
31. Khvorostyanov, D. V., Ciais, P., Krinner, G., Zimov, S. A., Corradi, C., and Guggenberger, G.: Vulnerability of permafrost carbon to global warming. Part II: sensitivity of permafrost carbon stock to global warming, Tellus Ser. B, 60, 265–275, doi:10.1111/j.1600-0889.2007.00336.x, 2008.
32. Kirschbaum, M. U. F.: The temperature dependece of organic-matter decompostion – still a topic of debate, Soil Biol. Biochem., 38, 2510–2518, doi:10.1016/j.soilbio.2006.01.030, 2006.
33. Köchy, M. and Freibauer, A.: Global spatial distribution of wetlands, COCOS Report, D4.3a, Johann Heinrich von Thünen-Institut, Braunschweig, Germany, Johann Heinrich von Thünen-Institut, available at: http://literatur.ti.bund.de/digbib_extern/dk043226.pdf (last access: 11 July 2011), 2010.
34. Köchy, M., Hiederer, R., and Freibauer, A.: Global distribution of soil organic carbon – Part 1: Masses and frequency distributions of SOC stocks for the tropics, permafrost regions, wetlands, and the world, SOIL, 1, 351–365, doi:10.5194/soil-1-351-2015, 2015.
35. Kuhry, P., Dorrepaal, E., Hugelius, G., Schuur, E. A. G., and Tarnocai, C.: Potential remobilization of belowground permafrost carbon under future global warming, Permafrost Periglac. Process., 21, 208–214, doi:10.1002/ppp.684, 2010.
36. Laiho, R. and Prescott, C. E.: Decay and nutrient dynamics of coarse woody debris in Northern coniferous forests: a synthesis, Can. J. Forest Res., 34, 763–777, doi:10.1139/X03-241, 2004.
37. Lehner, B. and Döll, P.: Development and validation of a global database of lakes, reservoirs and wetlands, J. Hydrol., 296, 1–22, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2004.03.028, 2004.
38. Li, W. H., Dickinson, R. E., Fu, R., Niu, G. Y., Yang, Z. L., and Canadell, J. G.: Future precipitation changes and their implications for tropical peatlands, Geophys. Res. Let., 34, L01403, doi:10.1029/2006GL028364, 2007.
39. Loveland, T. R., Reed, B. C., Brown, J. F., Ohlen, D. O., Zhu, J., Yang, L., and Merchant, J. W.: Development of a Global Land Cover Characteristics Database and IGBP DISCover from 1-km AVHRR Data, Int. J. Remote Sens., 21, 1303–1330, doi:10.1080/014311600210191, 2000.
40. Mitra, S., Wassmann, R., and Vlek, P.: An appraisal of global wetland area and its organic carbon stock, Curr. Sci., 88, 25–35, 2005.
41. Moore, T. R. and Knowles, R.: The influence of water table levels on methane and carbon dioxide emissions from peatland soils, Can. J. Soil Sci., 69, 33–38, doi:10.4141/cjss89-004, 1989.
42. Norby, R. J., Warren, J. M., Iversen, C. M., Medlyn, B. E., and McMurtrie, R. E.: CO2 enhancement of forest productivity constrained by limited nitrogen availability, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 107, 19368–19373, doi:10.1073/pnas.1006463107, 2010.
43. Parmentier, F. J. W., van der Molen, M. K., van Huissteden, J., Karsanaev, S. A., Kononov, A. V., Suzdalov, D. A., Maximov, T. C., and Dolman, A. J.: Longer growing seasons do not increase net carbon uptake in the Northeastern Siberian tundra, J. Geophys. Res., 116, G04013, doi:10.1029/2011JG001653, 2011.
44. Paul, K.: Temperature and moisture effects on decomposition, in: Net ecosystem exchange: workshop proceedings, edited by: Kirschbaum, M. U. F. and Mueller, R., CRC for Greenhouse Accounting, Canberra, 95–102, available at: http://www.kirschbaum.id.au/NEE_Workshop_Proceedings.pdf (last access: 6 November 2014), 2001.
45. Paul, K. I., Polglase, P. J., O’Connell, A. M. O., Carlyle, J. C., Smethurst, P. J., and Khanna, P. K.: Soil nitrogen availability predictor (SNAP): a simple model for predicting mineralisation of nitrogen in forest soils, Aust. J. Soil Res., 40, 1011–1026, doi:10.1071/SR01114, 2002.
46. Poeplau, C., Don, A., Vesterdal, L., Leifeld, J., van Wesemael, B., Schumacher, J., and Gensior, A.: Temporal dynamics of soil organic carbon after land-use change in the temperate zone – carbon response functions as a model approach, Glob. Change Biol., 17, 2415–2427, doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02408.x, 2011.
47. Poutou, E., Krinner, G., Genthon, C., and de Noblet-Ducoudré, N.: Role of soil freezing in future boreal climate change, Clim. Dynam., 23, 621–639, doi:10.1007/s00382-004-0459-0, 2004.
48. Power, S. B., Delage, F., Colman, R., and Moise, A.: Consensus on twenty-first-century rainfall projections in climate models more widespread than previously thought, J. Climate, 25, 3792–3809, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00354.1, 2011.
49. Prentice, I. C., Farquhar, G. D., Fasham, M. J. R., Goulden, M. L., Heimann, M., Jaramillo, V. J., Kheshgi, H. S., Le Quéré, C., Sc-holes, R. J., and Wallace, D. W. R.: The Carbon Cycle and Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide, in: Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis, Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by: Houghton, J. T., Ding, Y., Griggs, D. J., Noguer, M., van der Linden, P. J., Dai, X., Maskell, K., and Johnson, C. A., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom, 2001.
50. Probert, M. E., Black, A. S., and Conyers, M. K.: APSIM’s water and nitrogen modules and simulation of the dynamics of water and nitrogen in fallow systems, Agr. Syst., 56, 1–28, doi:10.1016/S0308-521X(97)00028-0, 1998.
51. Qian, H. F., Joseph, R., and Zeng, N.: Enhanced terrestrial carbon uptake in the Northern High Latitudes in the 21st century from the Coupled Carbon Cycle Climate Model Intercomparison Project model projections, Glob. Change Biol., 16, 641–656, doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.01989.x, 2010.
52. Reeburgh, W. S.: Figures summerizing the global cycles of biogeo-chemically important elements, Bull. Ecol. Soc. Am., 78, 260–267, 1997.
53. Rice, A. H., Pyle, E. H., Saleska, S. R., Hutyra, L., Palace, M., Keller, M., de Camargo, P. B., Portilho, K., Marques, D. F., and Wofsy, S. C.: Carbon balance and vegetation dynamics in an old-growth Amazonian forest, Ecol. Appl., 14, S55–S71, doi:10.1890/02-6006, 2004.
54. Rodin, L. E. and Bazilevich, N. I.: Production and mineral cycling in terrestrial vegetations, edited by: Fogg, G. E., Oliver & Boyd, London, 1967.
55. Rouse, W. R., Douglas, M. S. V., Hecky, R. E., Hershey, A. E., Kling, G. W., Lesack, L., Marsh, P., McDonald, M., Nicholson, B. J., Roulet, N. T., and Smol, J. P.: Effects of climate change on the freshwaters of arctic and subarctic North America, Hydrol. Process., 11, 873–902, 1997.
56. Schaphoff, S., Lucht, W., Gerten, D., Sitch, S., Cramer, W., and Prentice, I. C.: Terrestrial biosphere carbon storage under alternative climate projections, Clim. Change, 74, 97–122, doi:10.1007/s10584-005-9002-5, 2006.
57. SEERAD, Scottish Executive Environment and Rural Affairs Department: ECOSSE – Estimating carbon in organic soils, sequestration and emission, Edinburgh, vi+165, 2007.
58. Sitch, S., Smith, B., Prentice, I. C., Arneth, A., Bondeau, A., Cramer, W., Kaplan, J. O., Levis, S., Lucht, W., and Sykes, M. T.: Evaluation of ecosystem dynamics, plant geography and terrestrial carbon cycling in the LPJ dynamic global vegetation model, Glob. Change Biol., 9, 161–185, doi:10.1046/j.1365-2486.2003.00569.x, 2003.
59. Sitch, S., Huntingford, C., Gedney, N., Levy, P. E., Lomas, M., Piao, S. L., Betts, R., Ciais, P., Cox, P., Friedlingstein, P., Jones, C. D., Prentice, I. C., and Woodward, F. I.: Evaluation of the terrestrial carbon cycle, future plant geography and climate-carbon cycle feedbacks using five Dynamic Global Vegetation Models (DGVMs), Glob. Change Biol., 14, 2015–2039, doi:10.1111/gcb.2008.14.issue-9, 2008.
60. Six, J., Conant, R. T., Paul, E. A., and Paustian, K.: Stabilization mechanisms of soil organic matter: Implications for C-saturation of soils, Plant Soil, 241, 155–176, doi:10.1023/A:1016125726789, 2002.
61. Smith, J., Gottschalk, P., Bellarby, J., Chapman, S., Lilly, A., Towers, W., Bell, J., Coleman, K., Nayak, D., Richards, M., Hillier, J., Flynn, H., Wattenbach, M., Aitkenhead, M., Yeluripati, J., Farmer, J., Milne, R., Thomson, A., Evans, C., Whitmore, A., Falloon, P., and Smith, P.: Estimating changes in Scottish soil carbon stocks using ECOSSE. II. Application, Clim. Res., 45, 193–205, doi:10.3354/cr00902, 2010.
62. Smith, P., Fang, C. M., Dawson, J. J. C., and Moncrieff, J. B.: Impact of global warming on soil organic carbon, Adv. Agronomy, 97, 1–43, doi:10.1016/S0065-2113(07)00001-6, 2008.
63. Spiegelhalter, D. J., Dawid, A. P., Lauritzen, S. L., and Cowell, R. G.: Bayesian analysis in expert systems, Statist. Sci., 8, 219–283, doi:10.1214/ss/1177010888, 1993.
64. Steinaker, D. F. and Wilson, S. D.: Belowground litter contributions to nitrogen cycling at a Northern grassland–forest boundary, Ecology, 86, 2825–2833, doi:10.1890/04-0893, 2005.
65. Sterling, S. and Ducharne, A.: Comprehensive data set of global land cover change for land surface model applications, Glob. Biogeochem. Cy., 22, GB3017, doi:10.1029/2007GB002959, 2008.
66. Todd-Brown, K. E. O., Randerson, J. T., Hopkins, F., Arora, V., Ha-jima, T., Jones, C., Shevliakova, E., Tjiputra, J., Volodin, E., Wu, T., Zhang, Q., and Allison, S. D.: Changes in soil organic carbon storage predicted by Earth system models during the 21st century, Biogeosciences, 11, 2341–2356, doi:10.5194/bg-11-2341-2014, 2014.
67. van Hees, P. A. W., Jones, D. L., Finlay, R., Godbold, D. L., and Lundström, U. S.: The carbon we do not see – the impact of low molecular weight compounds on carbon dynamics and respiration in forest soils: a review, Soil Biol. Biochem., 37, 1–13, doi:10.1016/j.soilbio.2004.06.010, 2005.
68. Vesterdal, L. and Leifeld, J.: Land-use change and management effects on soil carbon sequestration: forestry and agriculture, in: Greenhouse-gas budget of soils under changing climate and land use (BurnOut) COST 639, edited by: Jandl, R. and Olsson, M., Vienna, 25–32, 2007.
69. Walter, H. and Lieth, H.: Klimadiagramm-Weltatlas, Fischer, Jena, 1967.
70. Weedon, J. T., Cornwell, W. K., Cornelissen, J. H. C., Zanne, A. E., Wirth, C., and Coomes, D. A.: Global meta-analysis of wood decomposition rates: a role for trait variation among tree species?, Ecol. Lett., 12, 45–56, doi:10.1111/j.1461-0248.2008.01259.x, 2009.
71. Yurova, A. Y., Volodin, E. M., Ågren, G. I., Chertov, O. G., and Komarov, A. S.: Effects of variations in simulated changes in soil carbon contents and dynamics on future climate projections, Glob. Change Biol., 16, 823–835, doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.01992.x, 2010.