Long-term outcomes of the western australian trial of screening for abdominal aortic aneurysms: Secondary analysis of a randomized clinical trial

JAMA Internal Medicine

Volumn 176, Issue 12, 2016, Pages 1761-1767

  McCaul, Kieran A ^a   Lawrence Brown, Michael ^b   Dickinson, James A ^c,d   Norman, Paul E ^e  

^a UNIVERSITY OF WESTERN AUSTRALIA   (Australia)

^b CURTIN UNIVERSITY   (Australia)

^c UNIVERSITY OF CALGARY   (Canada)

^d UNIVERSITY OF CALGARY   (Canada)

^e UNIVERSITY OF WESTERN AUSTRALIA   (Australia)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ABDOMINAL AORTA ANEURYSM; ADULT; AGE; AGED; ANEURYSM SURGERY; ARTICLE; CONTROLLED STUDY; ECHOGRAPHY; ELECTIVE SURGERY; FOLLOW UP; HUMAN; MAJOR CLINICAL STUDY; MALE; MORTALITY RATE; OUTCOME ASSESSMENT; PRIORITY JOURNAL; RANDOMIZED CONTROLLED TRIAL (TOPIC); SCREENING; SECONDARY ANALYSIS; WESTERN AUSTRALIA; ABDOMINAL AORTA; AORTIC ANEURYSM, ABDOMINAL; AORTIC RUPTURE; AUSTRALIA; DIAGNOSTIC IMAGING; ENDOVASCULAR SURGERY; MASS SCREENING; MIDDLE AGED; MORTALITY; RANDOMIZED CONTROLLED TRIAL; STATISTICS AND NUMERICAL DATA; VERY ELDERLY;

AGED; AGED, 80 AND OVER; AORTA, ABDOMINAL; AORTIC ANEURYSM, ABDOMINAL; AORTIC RUPTURE; AUSTRALIA; ELECTIVE SURGICAL PROCEDURES; ENDOVASCULAR PROCEDURES; HUMANS; MALE; MASS SCREENING; MIDDLE AGED;

EID: 85011265978     PISSN: 21686106     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1001/jamainternmed.2016.6633     Document Type: Article

References (36)

1. Scott RAP, Wilson NM, Ashton HA, Kay DN. Influence of screening on the incidence of ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm: 5-year results of a randomized controlled study. Br J Surg. 1995;82(8): 1066-1070.
2. Ashton HA, Buxton MJ, Day NE, et al; Multicentre Aneurysm Screening Study Group. The Multicentre Aneurysm Screening Study (MASS) into the effect of abdominal aortic aneurysm screening on mortality in men: A randomised controlled trial. Lancet. 2002;360(9345):1531-1539.
3. Norman PE, Jamrozik K, Lawrence-Brown MM, et al. Population based randomised controlled trial on impact of screening on mortality from abdominal aortic aneurysm. BMJ. 2004;329(7477): 1259-1262.
4. Lindholt JS, Juul S, Fasting H, Henneberg EW. Screening for abdominal aortic aneurysms: single centre randomised controlled trial. BMJ. 2005;330 (7494):750-754.
5. Thompson SG, Ashton HA, Gao L, Scott RA; Multicentre Aneurysm Screening Study Group. Screening men for abdominal aortic aneurysm: 10 year mortality and cost effectiveness results from the randomised Multicentre Aneurysm Screening Study. BMJ. 2009;338:b2307.
6. Lindholt JS, Sørensen J, Søgaard R, Henneberg EW. Long-term benefit and cost-effectiveness analysis of screening for abdominal aortic aneurysms from a randomized controlled trial. Br J Surg. 2010;97(6):826-834.
7. Søgaard R, Laustsen J, Lindholt JS. Cost effectiveness of abdominal aortic aneurysm screening and rescreening in men in a modern context: evaluation of a hypothetical cohort using a decision analytical model. BMJ. 2012;345:e4276.
8. LeFevre ML; U.S. Preventive Services Task Force. Screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm: U.S. Preventive Services Task Force recommendation statement. Ann Intern Med. 2014;161(4):281-290.
9. Davis M, Harris M, Earnshaw JJ. Implementation of the National Health Service Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Screening Program in England. J Vasc Surg. 2013;57(5):1440-1445.
10. Svensjö S, Björck M, Gürtelschmid M, Djavani Gidlund K, Hellberg A,Wanhainen A. Low prevalence of abdominal aortic aneurysm among 65-year-old Swedish men indicates a change in the epidemiology of the disease. Circulation. 2011;124 (10):1118-1123.
11. Guirguis-Blake JM, Beil TL, Senger CA, Whitlock EP. Ultrasonography screening for abdominal aortic aneurysms: A systematic evidence review for the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force. Ann Intern Med. 2014;160(5):321-329.
12. Norman PE, Spilsbury K, Semmens JB. Falling rates of hospitalization and mortality from abdominal aortic aneurysms in Australia. J Vasc Surg. 2011;53(2):274-277.
13. Anjum A, von Allmen R, Greenhalgh R, Powell JT. Explaining the decrease in mortality from abdominal aortic aneurysm rupture. Br J Surg. 2012; 99(5):637-645.
14. Sandiford P, Mosquera D, Bramley D. Trends in incidence and mortality from abdominal aortic aneurysm in New Zealand. Br J Surg. 2011;98(5): 645-651.
15. Lederle FA. The rise and fall of abdominal aortic aneurysm. Circulation. 2011;124(10):1097-1099.
16. Conway AM, Malkawi AH, Hinchliffe RJ, et al. First-year results of a national abdominal aortic aneurysm screening programme in a single centre. Br J Surg. 2012;99(1):73-77.
17. Earnshaw JJ. Doubts and dilemmas over abdominal aortic aneurysm. Br J Surg. 2011;98(5): 607-608.
18. Jamrozik K, Norman PE, Spencer CA, et al. Screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm: lessons from a population-based study. Med J Aust. 2000; 173(7):345-350.
19. Fine JP, Gray RJ. A proportional hazards model for the subdistribution of a competing risk. J Am Stat Assoc. 1999;94:496-509.
20. Davies DJ, Graves DJ, Landgren AJ, et al; Royal College of Pathologists of Australasia Autopsy Working Party. The decline of the hospital autopsy: A safety and quality issue for healthcare in Australia. Med J Aust. 2004;180(6):281-285.
21. Spencer CA, Norman PE, Jamrozik K, Tuohy R, Lawrence-Brown M. Is screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm bad for your health and well-being? ANZ J Surg. 2004;74(12):1069-1075.
22. Schermerhorn ML, Buck DB, O'Malley AJ, et al. Long-term outcomes of abdominal aortic aneurysm in the Medicare population. N Engl J Med. 2015;373 (4):328-338.
23. Prasad V. An unmeasured harm of screening. Arch Intern Med. 2012;172(19):1442-1443.
24. Johansson M, Jørgensen KJ, Brodersen J. Harms of screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm: is there more to life than a 0.46%disease-specific mortality reduction? Lancet. 2016;387(10015): 308-310.
25. Lederle FA, Nelson DB, Joseph AM. Smokers' relative risk for aortic aneurysm compared with other smoking-related diseases: A systematic review. J Vasc Surg. 2003;38(2):329-334.
26. Australian Bureau of Statistics. Smoking 2013. http://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs.nsf/Lookup/4125.0main+features3320Jan%202013. Updated September 3, 2014. Accessed April 14, 2016.
27. Dwyer-Lindgren L, Mokdad AH, Srebotnjak T, Flaxman AD, Hansen GM, Murray CJL. Cigarette smoking prevalence in US counties: 1996-2012. Popul Health Metr. 2014;12(1):5.
28. Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Health statistics 2014. https://data.oecd.org/chart/4qMo. Accessed April 14, 2016.
29. Thompson SG, Ashton HA, Gao L, Buxton MJ, Scott RAP; Multicentre Aneurysm Screening Study (MASS) Group. Final follow-up of the Multicentre Aneurysm Screening Study (MASS) randomized trial of abdominal aortic aneurysm screening. Br J Surg. 2012;99(12):1649-1656.
30. Wild JB, Stather PW, Biancari F, et al. A multicentre observational study of the outcomes of screening detected sub-aneurysmal aortic dilatation. Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg. 2013;45(2): 128-134.
31. Norman P, Le M, Pearce C, Jamrozik K. Infrarenal aortic diameter predicts all-cause mortality. Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol. 2004;24 (7):1278-1282.
32. Forsdahl SH, Solberg S, Singh K, Jacobsen BK. Abdominal aortic aneurysms, or a relatively large diameter of non-aneurysmal aortas, increase total and cardiovascular mortality: The Tromsø study. Int J Epidemiol. 2010;39(1):225-232.
33. Duncan JL, Harrild KA, Iversen L, Lee AJ, Godden DJ. Long term outcomes in men screened for abdominal aortic aneurysm: prospective cohort study. BMJ. 2012;344:e2958.
34. U.S. Preventive Services Task Force. Screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm: recommendation statement. Ann Intern Med. 2005;142(3):198-202.
35. Kent KC, Zwolak RM, Egorova NN, et al. Analysis of risk factors for abdominal aortic aneurysm in a cohort of more than 3 million individuals. J Vasc Surg. 2010;52(3):539-548.
36. Spencer CA, Jamrozik K, Norman PE, Lawrence-Brown MMD. The potential for a selective screening strategy for abdominal aortic aneurysm. J Med Screen. 2000;7(4):209-211.