Modelling deforestation and land cover transitions of tropical peatlands in Sumatra, Indonesia using remote sensed land cover data sets

Land

Volumn 4, Issue 3, 2015, Pages 670-687

  Elz, Ian ^a   Tansey, Kevin ^a   Page, Susan E ^a   Trivedi, Mandar ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF LEICESTER   (United Kingdom)

^b ZOOLOGICAL SOCIETY OF LONDON   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

Deforestation; Degradation; Indonesia; Land cover modeling; Oil palm; Tropical peat swamp forest

Indexed keywords

EID: 85002817876     PISSN: None     EISSN: 2073445X     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.3390/land4030670     Document Type: Article

References (43)

1. Global Carbon Project (GCP). Available online: http://www.globalcarbonproject.org/carbonbudget/ 14/hl-full.htm (accessed on 14 June 2015)
2. Global Forest Resources Assessment 2010; Food and Agricultural Organisation: Rome, Italy, 2010; p. 343
3. Hansen, M.C.; Potapov, P.V.; Moore, R.; Hancher, M.; Turubanova, S.A.; Tyukavina, A.; Thau, D.; Stehman, S.V.; Goetz, S.J.; Loveland, T.R.; et al. High-Resolution Global Maps of 21st-Century Forest Cover Change. Science 2013, 342, 850-853
4. Gaveau, D.L.; Epting, J.; Lyne, O.; Linkie, M.; Kumara, I.; Kanninen, M.; Leader-Williams, N. Evaluating whether protected areas reduce tropical deforestation in Sumatra. J. Biogeogr. 2009, 36, 2165-2175
5. Miettinen, J.; Shi, C.; Liew, S.C. Deforestation rates in insular Southeast Asia between 2000 and 2010 Glob. Change Biol. 2011, 17, 2261-2270
6. Geist, H.J.; Lambin, E.F. What Drives Tropical Deforestation? A Meta-Analysis of Proximate and Underlying Causes of Deforestation Based on Subnational Case Study Evidence; LUCC Report Series 4; LUCC International Project Office: Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium, 2001; p. 116
7. Geist, H.J.; Lambin, E.F. Proximate causes and underlying driving forces of tropical deforestation: Tropical forests are disappearing as the result of many pressures, both local and regional, acting in various combinations in different geographical locations. BioScience 2002, 52, 143-150
8. Lambin, E.F.; Geist, H.J.; Lepers, E. Dynamics of land-use and land-cover change in tropical regions. Annu. Rev. Environ. Resour. 2003, 28, 205-241
9. Carlson, K.M.; Curran, L.M.; Ratnasari, D.; Pittman, A.; Soares-Filho, B.S.; Asner, G.; Trigg, S.N.; Gaveau, D.A.; Lawrence, D.; Rodrigues, H.O. Committed carbon emissions, deforestation, and community land conversion from oil palm plantation expansion in West Kalimantan, Indonesia. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 2012, 109, 7559-7564
10. Koh, L.P.; Miettinen, J.; Liew, S.C.; Ghazoul, J. Remotely sensed evidence of tropical peatland conversion to oil palm. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 2011, 108, 5127-5132
11. Page, S.E.; Siegert, F.; Rieley, J.; Boehm, H.D.V.; Jaya, A.; Limin, S. The amount of carbon released from peat and forest fires in Indonesia during 1997. Nature 2002, 420, 61-65
12. Page, S.E.; Rieley, J.O.; Banks, C.J. Global and regional importance of the tropical peatland carbon pool. Glob. Change Biol. 2011, 17, 798-818
13. IPCC. Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change; Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, UK, New York, NY, USA, 2013; p. 1535
14. Claridge, G. Management of coastal ecosystems in eastern Sumatra: The case of Berbak Wildlife Reserve, Jambi Province. Hydrobiologia 1994, 285, 287
15. Ramsar Ramsar Information Sheet-Berbak National Park; 1991. Available online: https://rsis.ramsar.org/ris/554 (accessed on 13 July 2013)
16. Miettinen, J.; Wang, J.; Hooijer, A.; Liew, S. Peatland conversion and degradation processes in insular Southeast Asia: a case study in Jambi, Indonesia. Land Degrad. Dev. 2011, 24, 334-341
17. van Eijk, P.; Leenman, P. Regeneration of Fire Degraded Peatswamp Forest in Berbak National Park and Implementation in Replanting Programmes; Alterra Green World Research: Wageningen, The Netherlands, 2004; p. 71
18. Page, S.; Hoscilo, A.; Wösten, H.; Jauhiainen, J.; Silvius, M.; Rieley, J.; Ritzema, H.; Tansey, K.; Graham, L.; Vasander, H. Restoration ecology of lowland tropical peatlands in Southeast Asia: current knowledge and future research directions. Ecosystems 2009, 12, 888-905
19. Minister of Forestry. Indonesia Forestry Minister's Decision No. SK.549/2013-The Approval Procedures REDD+ Demonstration Activities in Berbak National Park Area; Minister of Forestry: Jakarta, Indonesia, 2013
20. Ainembabazi, J.H. A stepwise framework for developing REDD+ reference levels. In Analysing REDD+: Challenges and Choices; Cifor: Bogor Barat, Indonesia, 2012; pp. 279-300
21. Angelsen, A. How do we set the reference levels for REDD payments? In Moving Ahead with REDD: Issues, Options and Implications; Center for International Forestry Research (CIFOR): Bogor, Indonesia, 2008; pp. 53-56
22. Verified Carbon Standard. Available online: http://www.v-c-s.org/ (accessed on 13 July 2015)
23. Estrada, M.; Joseph, S. Baselines and monitoring in local REDD+ projects. In Analysing REDD+: Challenges and Choices; Cifor: Bogor Barat, Indonesia, 2012; p. 247-260
24. Dinamica Project. Available online: http://www.csr.ufmg.br/dinamica/ (accessed on 13 July 2013)
25. Soares-Filho, B.S.; Rodrigues, H.O.; Costa, W.L.S. Modeling Environmental Dynamics with Dinamica EGO. Centro de Sensoriamento Remoto/UFMG: Belo Horizonte, MG, Brazil, 2009; p. 115. Available online: http://www.csr.ufmg.br/dinamica/tutorial/Dinamica_EGO_guidebook.pdf (accessed on 13 July 2015)
26. Fuller, D.O.; Hardiono, M.; Meijaard, E. Deforestation projections for carbon-rich peat swamp forests of Central Kalimantan, Indonesia. Environ. Manage. 2011, 48, 436-447
27. Agterberg, F.P. Combining indicator patterns in weights of evidence modeling for resource evaluation. Nonrenewable Resour. 1992, 1, 39-50
28. Agterberg, F.P.; Bonham-Carter, G.F.; Cheng, Q.; Wright, D.F. Weights of evidence modeling and weighted logistic regression for mineral potential mapping. Comput. Geol. 1993, 25, 13-32
29. Cheng, Q.; Agterberg, F.P. Fuzzy Weights of Evidence Method and Its Application in Mineral Potential Mapping. Nat. Resour. Res. 1999, 8, 27-35
30. Neuhäuser, B.; Terhorst, B. Landslide susceptibility assessment using "weights-of-evidence" applied to a study area at the Jurassic escarpment (SW-Germany). Geomorphology 2007, 86, 12-24
31. Raines, G.L. Evaluation of weights of evidence to predict epithermal-gold deposits in the great basin of the western United States. Nat. Resour. Res. 1999, 8, 257-276
32. Bonham-Carter, G.F.; Agterberg, F.P. Arc-WofE: A GIS tool for statistical integration of mineral exploration datasets. Bull Int Stat Inst 1999, 52, 497-500
33. CRISP SAFE-Resources-Land Cover Map. Available online: http://www.eorc.jaxa.jp/ SAFE/LC_MAP/ (accessed on 12 August 2013)
34. Miettinen, J.; Shi, C.; Tan, W.J.; Liew, S.C. 2010 land cover map of insular Southeast Asia in 250-m spatial resolution. Remote Sens. Lett. 2012, 3, 11-20
35. Hagen, A. Fuzzy set approach to assessing similarity of categorical maps. Int. J. Geogr. Inf. Sci. 2003, 17, 235-249
36. Costanza, R. Model goodness of fit: A multiple resolution procedure. Ecol. Model. 1989, 47, 199-215
37. NOAA Climate Prediction Center-Monitoring & Data: ENSO Impacts on the U.S.-Previous Events. Available online: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/ensostuff/ ensoyears.shtml (accessed on 15 August 2013)
38. Maeda, E.E.; de Almeida, C.M.; de Carvalho Ximenes, A.; Formaggio, A.R.; Shimabukuro, Y.E.; Pellikka, P. Dynamic modeling of forest conversion: Simulation of past and future scenarios of rural activities expansion in the fringes of the Xingu National Park, Brazilian Amazon. Int. J. Appl. Earth Obs. Geoinf. 2011, 13, 435-446
39. Lambin, E.F.; Meyfroidt, P. Global land use change, economic globalization, and the looming land scarcity. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 2011, 108, 3465-3472
40. Miettinen, J.; Hooijer, A.; Shi, C.; Tollenaar, D.; Vernimmen, R.; Liew, S.C.; Malins, C.; Page, S.E. Extent of industrial plantations on Southeast Asian peatlands in 2010 with analysis of historical expansion and future projections. GCB Bioenergy 2012, 4, 908-918
41. Miettinen, J.; Hooijer, A.; Tollenaar, D.; Page, S.; Malins, C.; Vernimmen, R.; Shi, C.; Liew, S.C. Historical Analysis and Projection of Oil Palm Plantation Expansion on Peatland in Southeast Asia; International Council on Clean Transportation: Washington, DC, USA, 2012
42. WWF.WWF-Zero Net Deforestation and Degradation and Deforestation Fronts. Available online: http://wwf.panda.org/what_we_do/footprint/agriculture/soy/soyreport/soy_and_deforestation/zndd ___deforestation_fronts/ (accessed on 14 July 2015)
43. TFA2020 Tropical Forest Alliance 2020-Deforestation & Climate Change. Available online: http://www.tfa2020.com/ (accessed on 15 July 2015)