Projected land photosynthesis constrained by changes in the seasonal cycle of atmospheric CO2

Nature

Volumn 538, Issue 7626, 2016, Pages 499-501

  Wenzel, Sabrina ^a   Cox, Peter M ^b   Eyring, Veronika ^a   Friedlingstein, Pierre ^b  

^a GERMAN AEROSPACE CENTER DLR   (Germany)

^b UNIVERSITY OF EXETER   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CARBON DIOXIDE; NITROGEN; SOIL ORGANIC MATTER;

CARBON CYCLE; CARBON DIOXIDE; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE MODELING; CONCENTRATION (COMPOSITION); NET ECOSYSTEM EXCHANGE; PHOTOSYNTHESIS; PRIMARY PRODUCTION; SEASONAL VARIATION; WARMING;

ARTICLE; ATMOSPHERE; BIOSPHERE; CARBON CYCLE; CLIMATE CHANGE; DECOMPOSITION; ECOSYSTEM; LATITUDE; PHOTOSYNTHESIS; PRIORITY JOURNAL; WARMING; ALASKA; CHEMISTRY; HAWAII; METABOLISM; SEASON; THEORETICAL MODEL; UNCERTAINTY;

ALASKA; HAWAII [UNITED STATES]; POINT BARROW; UNITED STATES;

ALASKA; ATMOSPHERE; CARBON CYCLE; CARBON DIOXIDE; CLIMATE CHANGE; ECOSYSTEM; HAWAII; MODELS, THEORETICAL; PHOTOSYNTHESIS; SEASONS; UNCERTAINTY;

EID: 84994059811     PISSN: 00280836     EISSN: 14764687     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1038/nature19772     Document Type: Article

References (19)

1. 2 is conserved across a broad range of productivity. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 102, 18052-18056 (2005).
2. 2 effects on plant carbon, nitrogen, and water relations: six important lessons from FACE. J. Exp. Bot. 60, 2859-2876 (2009).
3. Friedlingstein, P. et al. Climate-carbon cycle feedback analysis: results from the C4MIP model intercomparison. J. Clim. 19, 3337-3353 (2006).
4. Ciais, P. et al. in Climate Change 2013: the Physical Science Basis (eds Stocker, T. F. et al.) 465-570 (IPCC, Cambridge Univ. Press, 2013).
5. Anav, A. et al. Evaluating the land and ocean components of the global carbon cycle in the CMIP5 earth system models. J. Clim. 26, 6801-6843 (2013).
6. 2 trends. Glob. Chang. Biol. 19, 2117-2132 (2013).
7. Friedlingstein, P. et al. Uncertainties in CMIP5 climate projections due to carbon cycle feedbacks. J. Clim. 27, 511-526 (2014).
8. Allen, M. R. & Ingram, W. J. Constraints on future changes in climate and the hydrologic cycle. Nature 419, 224-232 (2002).
9. Hall, A. & Qu, X. Using the current seasonal cycle to constrain snow albedo feedback in future climate change. Geophys. Res. Lett. 33, L03502 (2006).
10. Cox, P. M. et al. Sensitivity of tropical carbon to climate change constrained by carbon dioxide variability. Nature 494, 341-344 (2013).
11. Wenzel, S., Cox, P. M., Eyring, V. & Friedlingstein, P. Emergent constraints on climate-carbon cycle feedbacks in the CMIP5 Earth system models. J. Geophys. Res. Biogeosci. 119, 794-807 (2014).
12. 2 measurements. Nature 382, 146-149 (1996).
13. 2 seasonal amplitude in the 21st century projected by the CMIP5 Earth system models. Earth Syst. Dynam. 5, 423-439 (2014).
14. 2 seasonality from increased cropland productivity. Nature 515, 398-401 (2014).
15. 2 by northern ecosystems since 1960. Science 341, 1085-1089 (2013).
16. Keeling, C., Whorf, T., Wahlen, M. & Plicht, J. Interannual extremes in the rate of rise of atmospheric carbon dioxide since 1980. Nature 375, 666-670 (1995).
17. Piao, S. et al. Net carbon dioxide losses of northern ecosystems in response to autumn warming. Nature 451, 49-52 (2008).
18. Taylor, K. E., Stouffer, R. J. & Meehl, G. A. An overview of CMIP5 and the experiment design. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 93, 485-498 (2012).
19. Eyring, V. et al. ESMVal Tool (v1.0) - a community diagnostic and performance metrics tool for routine evaluation of Earth system models in CMIP. Geosci. Model Dev. 9, 1747-1802 (2016).