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Volumn 194, Issue 1, 2005, Pages 82-93

Stochastic infinite horizon forecasts for US social security finances

Author keywords

forecast; infinite horizon; Social security; stochastic; sustainable

Indexed keywords


EID: 84992885293     PISSN: 00279501     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1177/0027950105061498     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (6)

References (18)
  • 6
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    • Measuring solvency in the socialsecurity system
    • in Mitchell O.S., Myers R.J. and Young H. (eds) Philadelphia: University of Pennsylvania Press
    • Goss, S.C. (1999), ‘Measuring solvency in the socialsecurity system’, in Mitchell, O.S., Myers, R.J. and Young, H. (eds), Prospects for Social Security Reform, Philadelphia: University of Pennsylvania Press, pp. 16-36.
    • (1999) Prospects for Social Security Reform , pp. 16-36
    • Goss, S.C.1
  • 7
    • 7444248217 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • unpublished report commissioned by the Social Security Administration, and accessible through the websiteof the Office of the Actuary
    • Holmer, M.R. (2003), ‘Methods for stochastic trust fundprojection’, unpublished report commissioned by the Social Security Administration, and accessible through the websiteof the Office of the Actuary.
    • (2003) Methods for stochastic trust fundprojection
    • Holmer, M.R.1
  • 9
    • 84950457501 scopus 로고
    • Modeling and forecasting US mortality
    • September, pp. and ‘Rejoinder’, same issue, pp. 674-675
    • Lee, R. and Carter, L. (1992), ‘Modeling and forecasting US mortality’, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 87, 419, September, pp. 659-671,and ‘Rejoinder’, same issue, pp. 674-675.
    • (1992) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.87 , Issue.419 , pp. 659-671
    • Lee, R.1    Carter, L.2
  • 10
    • 0035512765 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing the performance of the Lee-Carter approach to modelingand forecasting mortality
    • November
    • Lee, R.D. and Miller, T. (2001), ‘Assessing the performance of the Lee-Carter approach to modelingand forecasting mortality’, Demography, 38, 4, November, pp. 537-549.
    • (2001) Demography , vol.38 , Issue.4 , pp. 537-549
    • Lee, R.D.1    Miller, T.2
  • 12
    • 0000213866 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stochastic forecasts for socialsecurity
    • in Wise D. (ed.) Chicago, University of Chicago Press
    • Lee, R. and Tuljapurkar, S. (1998a), ‘Stochastic forecasts for socialsecurity’, in Wise, D. (ed.), Frontiers in the Economics of Aging, Chicago, University of Chicago Press, pp. 393-420.
    • (1998) Frontiers in the Economics of Aging , pp. 393-420
    • Lee, R.1    Tuljapurkar, S.2
  • 13
    • 0001203679 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertain demographic futures and social security finances
    • Papers and Proceedings, May
    • Lee, R. and Tuljapurkar, S. (1998b), ‘Uncertain demographic futures and social security finances’, American Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings, May, pp. 237-241.
    • (1998) American Economic Review , pp. 237-241
    • Lee, R.1    Tuljapurkar, S.2
  • 14
    • 3042856214 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Population forecasting for fiscalplanning: issues and innovations
    • in Auerbach A. and Lee R. (eds) Cambridge, Cambride University Press
    • Lee, R. and Tuljapurkar, S. (2000), ‘Population forecasting for fiscalplanning: issues and innovations’, in Auerbach, A. and Lee, R. (eds), Demography and Fiscal Policy, Cambridge, Cambride University Press, pp. 7-57.
    • (2000) Demography and Fiscal Policy , pp. 7-57
    • Lee, R.1    Tuljapurkar, S.2
  • 15
    • 2942724558 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sustainable social security: what would it cost?
    • Lee, R. and Yamagata, H. (2003), ‘Sustainable social security: what would it cost?’, National Tax Journal, 56, 1, part 1,pp. 27-43.
    • (2003) National Tax Journal , vol.56 , Issue.1 , pp. 27-43
    • Lee, R.1    Yamagata, H.2
  • 17
    • 0037052454 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Broken limits to life expectancy
    • Oeppen, J. and Vaupel, J.W. (2002), ‘Broken limits to life expectancy’, Science, 296, pp. 1029-1031.
    • (2002) Science , vol.296 , pp. 1029-1031
    • Oeppen, J.1    Vaupel, J.W.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.