Carotid Intima-Media Thickness and Arterial Stiffness and the Risk of Atrial Fibrillation: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study, Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA), and the Rotterdam Study

Journal of the American Heart Association

Volumn 5, Issue 5, 2016, Pages

  Chen, Lin Y ^a   Leening, Maarten J G ^b   Norby, Faye L ^c   Roetker, Nicholas S ^c   Hofman, Albert ^b   Franco, Oscar H ^b   Pan, Wei ^c   Polak, Joseph F ^d   Witteman, Jacqueline C M ^b   Kronmal, Richard A ^e   Folsom, Aaron R ^c   Nazarian, Saman ^g   Stricker, Bruno H ^b,h   Heckbert, Susan R ^e,f   Alonso, Alvaro ^c  

^a UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA MEDICAL SCHOOL   (United States)

^b ERASMUS MEDICAL CENTER   (Netherlands)

^c UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA   (United States)

^d TUFTS UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF MEDICINE   (United States)

^e UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON   (United States)

^f UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON SCHOOL OF MEDICINE   (United States)

^g JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF MEDICINE   (United States)

^h Netherlands Health Care Inspectorate   (Netherlands)

Author keywords

Arterial stiffness; Atherosclerosis; Atrial fibrillation; Carotid intima media thickness

Indexed keywords

AGE DISTRIBUTION; AGED; ANTIHYPERTENSIVE THERAPY; ARTERIAL STIFFNESS; ARTERIAL WALL THICKNESS; ARTERY COMPLIANCE; ARTICLE; ATRIAL FIBRILLATION; BODY HEIGHT; BODY WEIGHT; CARDIOVASCULAR RISK; CAROTID ATHEROSCLEROSIS; COHORT ANALYSIS; CONTROLLED STUDY; DIABETES MELLITUS; DIASTOLIC BLOOD PRESSURE; DISEASE ASSOCIATION; FEMALE; HAZARD RATIO; HEART FAILURE; HEART INFARCTION; HUMAN; INCIDENCE; MAJOR CLINICAL STUDY; MALE; POPULATION RESEARCH; PRIORITY JOURNAL; PULSE WAVE; SCORING SYSTEM; SEX DIFFERENCE; SMOKING; SYSTOLIC BLOOD PRESSURE; AORTA; ATHEROSCLEROTIC PLAQUE; CAROTID ARTERY DISEASE; DIAGNOSTIC IMAGING; ECHOGRAPHY; MIDDLE AGED; NETHERLANDS; PATHOPHYSIOLOGY; PHYSIOLOGY; PROPORTIONAL HAZARDS MODEL; UNITED STATES; VERY ELDERLY;

AGED; AGED, 80 AND OVER; AORTA; ATRIAL FIBRILLATION; CAROTID ARTERY DISEASES; CAROTID INTIMA-MEDIA THICKNESS; COHORT STUDIES; FEMALE; HUMANS; INCIDENCE; MALE; MIDDLE AGED; NETHERLANDS; PLAQUE, ATHEROSCLEROTIC; PROPORTIONAL HAZARDS MODELS; PULSE WAVE ANALYSIS; ULTRASONOGRAPHY; UNITED STATES; VASCULAR STIFFNESS;

EID: 84992143049     PISSN: None     EISSN: 20479980     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1161/JAHA.115.002907     Document Type: Article

References (57)

1. Mitchell GF, Vasan RS, Keyes MJ, Parise H, Wang TJ, Larson MG, D'Agostino RB, Kannel WB, Levy D, Benjamin EJ. Pulse pressure and risk of new-onset atrial fibrillation. JAMA. 2007;297:709-715.
2. Heeringa J, van der Kuip DA, Hofman A, Kors JA, van Rooij FJ, Lip GY, Witteman JC. Subclinical atherosclerosis and risk of atrial fibrillation: the Rotterdam study. Arch Intern Med. 2007;167:382-387.
3. Chen LY, Foo DC, Wong RC, Seow SC, Gong LL, Benditt DG, Ling LH. Increased carotid intima-media thickness and arterial stiffness are associated with lone atrial fibrillation. Int J Cardiol. 2013;168:3132-3134.
4. Larstorp ACK, Ariansen I, Gjesdal K, Olsen MH, Ibsen H, Devereux RB, Okin PM, Dahlof B, Kjeldsen SE, Wachtell K. Association of pulse pressure with new-onset atrial fibrillation in patients with hypertension and left ventricular hypertrophy the losartan intervention for endpoint (LIFE) reduction in hypertension study. Hypertension. 2012;60:347-353.
5. Valbusa F, Bonapace S, Bertolini L, Zenari L, Arcaro G, Targher G. Increased pulse pressure independently predicts incident atrial fibrillation in patients with type 2 diabetes. Diabetes Care. 2012;35:2337-2339.
6. Proietti M, Calvieri C, Malatino L, Signorelli S, Corazza GR, Perticone F, Vestri AR, Loffredo L, Davi G, Violi F, Basili S, Fibrillation AA. Relationship between carotid intima-media thickness and non valvular atrial fibrillation type. Atherosclerosis. 2015;238:350-355.
7. Adamsson Eryd S, Ostling G, Rosvall M, Persson M, Smith JG, Melander O, Hedblad B, Engstrom G. Carotid intima-media thickness is associated with incidence of hospitalized atrial fibrillation. Atherosclerosis. 2014;233:673-678.
8. Laurent S, Cockcroft J, Van Bortel L, Boutouyrie P, Giannattasio C, Hayoz D, Pannier B, Vlachopoulos C, Wilkinson I, Struijker-Boudier H; Non-invasive EN. Expert consensus document on arterial stiffness: methodological issues and clinical applications. Eur Heart J. 2006;27:2588-2605.
9. Schnabel RB, Sullivan LM, Levy D, Pencina MJ, Massaro JM, D'Agostino RB Sr, Newton-Cheh C, Yamamoto JF, Magnani JW, Tadros TM, Kannel WB, Wang TJ, Ellinor PT, Wolf PA, Vasan RS, Benjamin EJ. Development of a risk score for atrial fibrillation (Framingham Heart Study): a community-based cohort study. Lancet. 2009;373:739-745.
10. Chamberlain AM, Agarwal SK, Folsom AR, Soliman EZ, Chambless LE, Crow R, Ambrose M, Alonso A. A clinical risk score for atrial fibrillation in a biracial prospective cohort (from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities [ARIC] study). Am J Cardiol. 2011;107:85-91.
11. Alonso A, Krijthe BP, Aspelund T, Stepas KA, Pencina MJ, Moser CB, Sinner MF, Sotoodehnia N, Fontes JD, Janssens ACJW, Kronmal RA, Magnani JW, Witteman JC, Chamberlain AM, Lubitz SA, Schnabel RB, Agarwal SK, McManus DD, Ellinor PT, Larson MG, Burke GL, Launer LJ, Hofman A, Levy D, Gottdiener JS, Kaab S, Couper D, Harris TB, Soliman EZ, Stricker BHC, Gudnason V, Heckbert SR, Benjamin EJ. Simple risk model predicts incidence of atrial fibrillation in a racially and geographically diverse population: the CHARGE-AF consortium. J Am Heart Assoc. 2013;2:e000102 doi: 10.1161/JAHA.112.000102.
12. The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study: design and objectives. The ARIC Investigators. Am J Epidemiol. 1989;129:687-702.
13. Bild DE, Bluemke DA, Burke GL, Detrano R, Roux AVD, Folsom AR, Greenland P, Jacobs DR, Kronmal R, Liu K, Nelson JC, O'Leary D, Saad MF, Shea S, Szklo M, Tracy RP. Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis: objectives and design. Am J Epidemiol. 2002;156:871-881.
14. Hofman A, Darwish Murad S, van Duijn CM, Franco OH, Goedegebure A, Ikram MA, Klaver CC, Nijsten TE, Peeters RP, Stricker BH, Tiemeier HW, Uitterlinden AG, Vernooij MW. The Rotterdam Study: 2014 objectives and design update. Eur J Epidemiol. 2013;28:889-926.
15. Alonso A, Agarwal SK, Soliman EZ, Ambrose M, Chamberlain AM, Prineas RJ, Folsom AR. Incidence of atrial fibrillation in Whites and African-Americans: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. Am Heart J. 2009;158:111-117.
16. Soliman EZ, Prineas RJ, Case LD, Zhang ZM, Goff DC. Ethnic distribution of ECG predictors of atrial fibrillation and its impact on understanding the ethnic distribution of ischemic stroke in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. Stroke. 2009;40:1204-1211.
17. Leening MJ, Kavousi M, Heeringa J, van Rooij FJ, Verkroost-van Heemst J, Deckers JW, Mattace-Raso FU, Ziere G, Hofman A, Stricker BH, Witteman JC. Methods of data collection and definitions of cardiac outcomes in the Rotterdam Study. Eur J Epidemiol. 2012;27:173-185.
18. High-resolution B-mode ultrasound scanning methods in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study (ARIC). The ARIC Study Group. J Neuroimaging. 1991;1:68-73.
19. Li R, Cai J, Tegeler C, Sorlie P, Metcalf PA, Heiss G. Reproducibility of extracranial carotid atherosclerotic lesions assessed by B-mode ultrasound: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study. Ultrasound Med Biol. 1996;22:791-799.
20. Li R, Duncan BB, Metcalf PA, Crouse JR III, Sharrett AR, Tyroler HA, Barnes R, Heiss G. B-mode-detected carotid artery plaque in a general population. Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study Investigators. Stroke. 1994;25:2377-2383.
21. Chambless LE, Zhong MM, Arnett D, Folsom AR, Riley WA, Heiss G. Variability in B-mode ultrasound measurements in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study. Ultrasound Med Biol. 1996;22:545-554.
22. Polak JF, Pencina MJ, Herrington D, O'Leary DH. Associations of edge-detected and manual-traced common carotid intima-media thickness measurements with Framingham risk factors the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis. Stroke. 2011;42:1912-1916.
23. Polak JF, Pencina MJ, O'Leary DH, D'Agostino RB. Common carotid artery intima-media thickness progression as a predictor of stroke in Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis. Stroke. 2011;42:3017-3021.
24. Bots ML, Mulder PG, Hofman A, van Es GA, Grobbee DE. Reproducibility of carotid vessel wall thickness measurements. The Rotterdam Study. J Clin Epidemiol. 1994;47:921-930.
25. Bots ML, Hofman A, deJong PTVM, Grobbee DE. Common carotid intima media thickness as an indicator of atherosclerosis at other sites of the carotid artery-the Rotterdam Study. Ann Epidemiol. 1996;6:147-153.
26. Riley WA, Evans GW, Sharrett AR, Burke GL, Barnes RW. Variation of common carotid artery elasticity with intimal-medial thickness: the ARIC Study. Ultrasound Med Biol. 1997;23:157-164.
27. Arnett DK, Boland LL, Evans GW, Riley W, Barnes R, Tyroler HA, Heiss G. Hypertension and arterial stiffness: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study. ARIC Investigators. Am J Hypertens. 2000;13:317-323.
28. Arnett DK, Chambless LE, Evans GW, Riley W. Variability in ultrasonic measurements of arterial stiffness in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study. Ultrasound Med Biol. 1999;25:175-180.
29. Riley WA, Barnes ME, Evans GW, Smith SO, Heiss G. Measurement of arterial distensibility in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) cohort. In: Borgatti F, ed. Follow-Up and Prevention of Atherosclerotic Plaque. Torino, Italy: Centro Scientifico Editore; 1992:45-54.
30. Hoeks APG, Brands PJ, Smeets FAM, Reneman RS. Assessment of the distensibility of superficial arteries. Ultrasound Med Biol. 1990;16:121-128.
31. Asmar R, Benetos A, Topouchian J, Laurent P, Pannier B, Brisac AM, Target R, Levy BI. Assessment of arterial distensibility by automatic pulse-wave velocity-measurement-validation and clinical-application studies. Hypertension. 1995;26:485-490.
32. Egger M, Smith G, Altman D. Systematic Reviews in Health Care: Meta-Analysis in Context. London: BMJ Publishing Group; 2001.
33. Chambless LE, Diao G. Estimation of time-dependent area under the roc curve for long-term risk prediction. Stat Med. 2006;25:3474-3486.
34. Steyerberg EW, Harrell FE Jr, Borsboom GJ, Eijkemans MJ, Vergouwe Y, Habbema JD. Internal validation of predictive models: efficiency of some procedures for logistic regression analysis. J Clin Epidemiol. 2001;54:774-781.
35. Pencina MJ, D'Agostino RB, Steyerberg EW. Extensions of net reclassification improvement calculations to measure usefulness of new biomarkers. Stat Med. 2011;30:11-21.
36. Pencina MJ, D'Agostino RB, Pencina KM, Janssens ACJW, Greenland P. Interpreting incremental value of markers added to risk prediction models. Am J Epidemiol. 2012;176:473-481.
37. May S, Hosmer DW. A simplified method of calculating an overall goodness-of-fit test for the cox proportional hazards model. Lifetime Data Anal. 1998;4:109-120.
38. Mitchell GF, Lacourciere Y, Ouellet JP, Izzo JL, Neutel J, Kerwin LJ, Block AJ, Pfeffer MA. Determinants of elevated pulse pressure in middle-aged and older subjects with uncomplicated systolic hypertension-the role of proximal aortic diameter and the aortic pressure-flow relationship. Circulation. 2003;108:1592-1598.
39. O'Neal WT, Efird JT, Dawood FZ, Yeboah J, Alonso A, Heckbert SR, Soliman EZ. Coronary artery calcium and risk of atrial fibrillation (from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis). Am J Cardiol. 2014;114:1707-1712.
40. Benjamin EJ, Chen PS, Bild DE, Mascette AM, Albert CM, Alonso A, Calkins H, Connolly SJ, Curtis AB, Darbar D, Ellinor PT, Go AS, Goldschlager NF, Heckbert SR, Jalife J, Kerr CR, Levy D, Lloyd-Jones DM, Massie BM, Nattel S, Olgin JE, Packer DL, Po SS, Tsang TSM, Van Wagoner DR, Waldo AL, Wyse DG. Prevention of atrial fibrillation report from a National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute workshop. Circulation. 2009;119:606-618.
41. Benjamin EJ, Levy D, Vaziri SM, D'Agostino RB, Belanger AJ, Wolf PA. Independent risk factors for atrial fibrillation in a population-based cohort. The Framingham Heart Study. JAMA. 1994;271:840-844.
42. Anderson KR, Sutton MGS, Lie JT. Histo-pathological types of cardiac fibrosis in myocardial-disease. J Pathol. 1979;128:79-85.
43. Davies MJ, Pomerance A. Pathology of atrial fibrillation in man. Br Heart J. 1972;34:520-525.
44. Falk RH. Etiology and complications of atrial fibrillation: insights from pathology studies. Am J Cardiol. 1998;82:10n-16n.
45. Lau DH, Mackenzie L, Kelly DJ, Psaltis PJ, Brooks AG, Worthington M, Rajendram A, Kelly DR, Zhang YA, Kuklik P, Nelson AJ, Wong CX, Worthley SG, Rao M, Faull RJ, Edwards J, Saint DA, Sanders P. Hypertension and atrial fibrillation: evidence of progressive atrial remodeling with electrostructural correlate in a conscious chronically instrumented ovine model. Heart Rhythm. 2010;7:1282-1290.
46. Abed HS, Samuel CS, Lau DH, Kelly DJ, Royce SG, Alasady M, Mahajan R, Kuklik P, Zhang Y, Brooks AG, Nelson AJ, Worthley SG, Abhayaratna WP, Kalman JM, Wittert GA, Sanders P. Obesity results in progressive atrial structural and electrical remodeling: implications for atrial fibrillation. Heart Rhythm. 2013;10:90-100.
47. Dimitri H, Ng M, Brooks AG, Kuklik P, Stiles MK, Lau DH, Antic N, Thornton A, Saint DA, McEvoy D, Antic R, Kalman JM, Sanders P. Atrial remodeling in obstructive sleep apnea: implications for atrial fibrillation. Heart Rhythm. 2012;9:321-327.
48. Gardin JM, Arnold A, Gottdiener JS, Wong ND, Fried LP, Klopfenstein HS, Oleary DH, Tracy R, Kronmal R. Left ventricular mass in the elderly-the Cardiovascular Health Study. Hypertension. 1997;29:1095-1103.
49. Hundley WG, Kitzman DW, Morgan TM, Hamilton CA, Darty SN, Stewart KP, Herrington DM, Link KM, Little WC. Cardiac cycle-dependent changes in aortic area and distensibility are reduced in older patients with isolated diastolic heart failure and correlate with exercise intolerance. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2001;38:796-802.
50. Leite-Moreira AF, Correia-Pinto J, Gillebert TC. Afterload induced changes in myocardial relaxation: a mechanism for diastolic dysfunction. Cardiovasc Res. 1999;43:344-353.
51. Vaziri SM, Larson MG, Lauer MS, Benjamin EJ, Levy D. Influence of blood-pressure on left atrial size-the Framingham Heart Study. Hypertension. 1995;25:1155-1160.
52. Camm AJ, Lip GY, De Caterina R, Savelieva I, Atar D, Hohnloser SH, Hindricks G, Kirchhof P; Guidelines ESCCfP. 2012 Focused update of the ESC guidelines for the management of atrial fibrillation: an update of the 2010 ESC guidelines for the management of atrial fibrillation. Developed with the special contribution of the European Heart Rhythm Association. Eur Heart J. 2012;33:2719-2747.
53. January CT, Wann LS, Alpert JS, Calkins H, Cleveland JC Jr, Cigarroa JE, Conti JB, Ellinor PT, Ezekowitz MD, Field ME, Murray KT, Sacco RL, Stevenson WG, Tchou PJ, Tracy CM, Yancy CW. 2014 AHA/ACC/HRS guideline for the management of patients with atrial fibrillation: executive summary: a report of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Task Force on practice guidelines and the Heart Rhythm Society. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2014;64:2246-2280.
54. Abed HS, Wittert GA, Leong DP, Shirazi MG, Bahrami B, Middeldorp ME, Lorimer MF, Lau DH, Antic NA, Brooks AG, Abhayaratna WP, Kalman JM, Sanders P. Effect of weight reduction and cardiometabolic risk factor management on symptom burden and severity in patients with atrial fibrillation a randomized clinical trial. JAMA. 2013;310:2050-2060.
55. Pathak RK, Middeldorp ME, Lau DH, Mehta AB, Mahajan R, Twomey D, Alasady M, Hanley L, Antic NA, McEvoy RD, Kalman JM, Abhayaratna WP, Sanders P. Aggressive risk factor reduction study for atrial fibrillation and implications for the outcome of ablation. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2014;64:2222-2231.
56. Chen LY, Bigger JT, Hickey KT, Chen H, Lopez-Jimenez C, Banerji MA, Evans G, Fleg JL, Papademetriou V, Thomas A, Woo V, Seaquist ER, Soliman EZ. Effect of intensive blood pressure lowering on incident atrial fibrillation and P-wave indices in the ACCORD Blood Pressure Trial. Am J Hypertens. 2015; doi: 10.1093/ajh/hpv172. [Epub ahead of print]
57. Okin PM, Hille DA, Larstorp ACK, Wachtell K, Kjeldsen SE, Dahlof B, Devereux RB. Effect of lower on-treatment systolic blood pressure on the risk of atrial fibrillation in hypertensive patients. Hypertension. 2015;66:368-373.