메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn , Issue , 2015, Pages 47-65

Climate forecasts: Emerging potential to reduce dryland farmers' risks

Author keywords

Agricultural system; Climate forecasts; Climate variability; Cropping system; Dryland farmers; Farm management decisions; Global circulation models; Grazing system; Southern Great Plains

Indexed keywords


EID: 84988399032     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Book    
DOI: 10.2135/cssaspecpub32.c5     Document Type: Chapter
Times cited : (4)

References (36)
  • 1
    • 0032147125 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Seasonal rainfall variability, the incidence of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome, and prediction of the disease in low-lying areas of China.
    • Bi, P., Wu, X.K., Parton, K.A., and Tong, S.L.1998. Seasonal rainfall variability, the incidence of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome, and prediction of the disease in low-lying areas of China. Am. J. Epidem. 148:276-281.
    • (1998) Am. J. Epidem , vol.148 , pp. 276-281
    • Bi, P.1    Wu, X.K.2    Parton, K.A.3    Tong, S.L.4
  • 3
    • 0034120305 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Reducing vulnerability to climate variability in Southern Africa: The growing role of climate information
    • Dilley, J. 2000. Reducing vulnerability to climate variability in Southern Africa: The growing role of climate information. Clim. Change 45:63-73.
    • (2000) Clim. Change , vol.45 , pp. 63-73
    • Dilley, J.1
  • 4
    • 0033364261 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Seasonal climate forecasting and the relevance of local knowledge
    • Eakin, H. 1999. Seasonal climate forecasting and the relevance of local knowledge. Phys. Geogr. 20:447-460.
    • (1999) Phys. Geogr. , vol.20 , pp. 447-460
    • Eakin, H.1
  • 5
    • 0035745183 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Making rain, making roads, making do: Public and private adaptations to drought in Ceara, Northeast Brazil
    • Finan, T.J., and D.R. Nelson. 2001. Making rain, making roads, making do: Public and private adaptations to drought in Ceara, Northeast Brazil. Climate Res. 19:97-108.
    • (2001) Climate Res. , vol.19 , pp. 97-108
    • Finan, T.J.1    Nelson, D.R.2
  • 6
    • 0028862593 scopus 로고
    • Forecasting rain for groundnut farmers-How good is good enough?
    • Gadgil, S., P.R.S. Rao, N.Y. Joshi, and S. Sridhar. 1995. Forecasting rain for groundnut farmers-How good is good enough? Current Sci. 68:301-309.
    • (1995) Current Sci , vol.68 , pp. 301-309
    • Gadgil, S.1    Rao, P.R.S.2    Joshi, N.Y.3    Sridhar, S.4
  • 7
    • 0001173861 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The value of skill in seasonal climate forecasting to wheat crop management in a region with high climatic variability
    • Hammer, G.L., D.P. Holzworth, and R. Stone. 1996. The value of skill in seasonal climate forecasting to wheat crop management in a region with high climatic variability. Aust. J. Agric. Res. 47:717-737.
    • (1996) Aust. J. Agric. Res. , vol.47 , pp. 717-737
    • Hammer, G.L.1    Holzworth, D.P.2    Stone, R.3
  • 8
    • 0003426953 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Applications of seasonal climate forecasting in agricultural and natural ecosystems.
    • Kluwer Academic Publ., Dordrecht, The Netherlands.
    • Hammer, G.L., N. Nicholls, and C. Mitchell. 2000. Applications of seasonal climate forecasting in agricultural and natural ecosystems. Kluwer Academic Publ., Dordrecht, The Netherlands.
    • (2000)
    • Hammer, G.L.1    Nicholls, N.2    Mitchell, C.3
  • 9
    • 0000970063 scopus 로고
    • The Southern Oscillation and prediction of Der season rainfall in Somalia
    • Hutchinson, P. 1992. The Southern Oscillation and prediction of Der season rainfall in Somalia. J. Clim. 5:525-531.
    • (1992) J. Clim. , vol.5 , pp. 525-531
    • Hutchinson, P.1
  • 10
    • 0033519218 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Different geographic distribution of winner and loser regions in strong and normal El Nino years, relative to neutral SST signals
    • Izaurralde, R.C., N.J. Rosenberg, R.A. Brown, D.M. Legler, M.T. Lopez, and R. Srinivasan. 1999. Different geographic distribution of winner and loser regions in strong and normal El Nino years, relative to neutral SST signals. Agric. Forest Meteor. 94:259-268.
    • (1999) Agric. Forest Meteor. , vol.94 , pp. 259-268
    • Izaurralde, R.C.1    Rosenberg, N.J.2    Brown, R.A.3    Legler, D.M.4    Lopez, M.T.5    Srinivasan, R.6
  • 13
    • 0037436169 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate and management contributions to recent trends in U.S
    • Lobell, D.B., and G.P. Asner. 2003. Climate and management contributions to recent trends in U.S. agricultural yields. Science (Washington DC) 299(5609): 1032.
    • (2003) agricultural yields. Science (Washington DC) , vol.299 , Issue.5609 , pp. 1032
    • Lobell, D.B.1    Asner, G.P.2
  • 14
    • 0034131213 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Long range forecasts of the numbers of Helicoverpa punctigera and H-arrnigera (Lepidoptera:Noctuidae) in Australia using the Southern Oscillation Index and the Sea Surface Temperature
    • Maelzer, D.A., and M.P. Zalucki. 2000. Long range forecasts of the numbers of Helicoverpa punctigera and H-arrnigera (Lepidoptera:Noctuidae) in Australia using the Southern Oscillation Index and the Sea Surface Temperature. Bull. Entomol. Res. 90:133-146.
    • (2000) Bull. Entomol. Res. , vol.90 , pp. 133-146
    • Maelzer, D.A.1    Zalucki, M.P.2
  • 16
    • 0004180347 scopus 로고
    • Weather generator
    • In D.C. Flanagan and M.A. Nearing (ed.), NSERL Rep. 10. USDA-ARS-NSERL, West Lafayette, IN. (verified 25 Nov. 2003).
    • Nicks, A.D., L.J. lane, and G.A. Gander. 1995. Weather generator. p. 2.1-2.22. In D.C. Flanagan and M.A. Nearing (ed.) USDA-Water Erosion Prediction Project: Hillslope Profile and Watershed Model documentation. NSERL Rep. 10. USDA-ARS-NSERL, West Lafayette, IN. Available at http://topsoil.nserl.purdue.edu/nserlweb/weppmainldocs/chap2.pdf (verified 25 Nov. 2003).
    • (1995) USDA-Water Erosion Prediction Project: Hillslope Profile and Watershed Model documentation , pp. 2.1-2.22
    • Nicks, A.D.1    Lane, L.J.2    Gander, G.A.3
  • 17
    • 0034610731 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting Andean rainfall and crop yield from the influence of El Nino on Pleiades visibility
    • Orlove, B.S., J.C.H. Ciang, and M.A. Cane. 2000. Forecasting Andean rainfall and crop yield from the influence of El Nino on Pleiades visibility. Nature (London) 403:69-71.
    • (2000) Nature (London) , vol.403 , pp. 69-71
    • Orlove, B.S.1    Ciang, J.C.H.2    Cane, M.A.3
  • 18
    • 0033945325 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting uncertainty in forecasts of weather and climate
    • Palmer, T.N. 2000. Predicting uncertainty in forecasts of weather and climate. Rep. Progr. Phys. 63:71-116.
    • (2000) Rep. Progr. Phys. , vol.63 , pp. 71-116
    • Palmer, T.N.1
  • 19
    • 38149148280 scopus 로고
    • Current and future agricultural meteorology and climatology education needs of the United States Extension Service
    • Perry, K.B. 1994. Current and future agricultural meteorology and climatology education needs of the United States Extension Service. Agric. For. Meteorol. 69:33-38.
    • (1994) Agric. For. Meteorol. , vol.69 , pp. 33-38
    • Perry, K.B.1
  • 20
    • 0034829527 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An assessment of the value of seasonal forecasting technology for Western Australian farmers
    • Petersen, E.H., and R.W. Fraser. 2001. An assessment of the value of seasonal forecasting technology for Western Australian farmers. Agric. Syst. 70:259-274.
    • (2001) Agric. Syst. , vol.70 , pp. 259-274
    • Petersen, E.H.1    Fraser, R.W.2
  • 21
    • 0034036012 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • ENSO and interannual rainfall variability in Uganda: Implications for agricultural management
    • Phillips, J., and B. Mcintyre. 2000. ENSO and interannual rainfall variability in Uganda: Implications for agricultural management. Int. J. Climatol. 20:171-182.
    • (2000) Int. J. Climatol. , vol.20 , pp. 171-182
    • Phillips, J.1    Mcintyre, B.2
  • 22
    • 0031954366 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • ENSO, seasonal rainfall patterns, and simulated maize yield variability in Zimbabwe
    • Phillips, J.G., M.A. Cane, and C. Rosenweig. 1998. ENSO, seasonal rainfall patterns, and simulated maize yield variability in Zimbabwe. Agric. For. Meteorol. 90:39-50.
    • (1998) Agric. For. Meteorol. , vol.90 , pp. 39-50
    • Phillips, J.G.1    Cane, M.A.2    Rosenweig, C.3
  • 23
    • 0036221542 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An alternative method for assessing the value of the Southern Oscillation Index (SOl), including case studies of its value for crop management in the northern grainbelt of Australia
    • Robinson, J.B, and D.G. Butler. 2002. An alternative method for assessing the value of the Southern Oscillation Index (SOl), including case studies of its value for crop management in the northern grainbelt of Australia. Austr. J. Agric. Res. 53:423-428
    • (2002) Austr. J. Agric. Res. , vol.53 , pp. 423-428
    • Robinson, J.B.1    Butler, D.G.2
  • 24
    • 85102879190 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Rainfall forecasting tool: Maximizing returns for Mallee farmers.
    • Research Project Information. CSIRO Land and Water. Sheet No. 24. March 2002.
    • Sadras, V. 2002. Rainfall forecasting tool: Maximizing returns for Mallee farmers. Research Project Information. CSIRO Land and Water. Sheet No. 24. March 2002.
    • (2002)
    • Sadras, V.1
  • 25
    • 0037417462 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dynamic cropping strategies for risk management in dryland farming systems
    • Sadras, V., D. Roget, and M. Krause. 2003. Dynamic cropping strategies for risk management in dryland farming systems. Agric. Syst. 76:929-948.
    • (2003) Agric. Syst. , vol.76 , pp. 929-948
    • Sadras, V.1    Roget, D.2    Krause, M.3
  • 26
    • 0037594575 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A measure of the usefulness of seasonal precipitation forecasts for agricultural applications.
    • Schneider, J.M., and J.D. Garbrecht. 2003a. A measure of the usefulness of seasonal precipitation forecasts for agricultural applications. Trans. Am. Soc. Agric. Eng. 46:257-267.
    • (2003) Trans. Am. Soc. Agric. Eng , vol.46 , pp. 257-267
    • Schneider, J.M.1    Garbrecht, J.D.2
  • 27
    • 1642435556 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Regional utility of NOANCPC seasonal climate precipitation forecasts
    • June 2003. [CO-Rom computer file] Environ. and Water Resourc. Inst. and Am. Soc. Civ. Eng., Reston, VA. (verified 24 Nov. 2003).
    • Schneider, J.M., and J.D. Garbrecht. 2003b. Regional utility of NOANCPC seasonal climate precipitation forecasts. In Proc., Symp. on Watershed Management and Restoration, World Water and Environmental Resources Congress, June 2003. [CO-Rom computer file] Environ. and Water Resourc. Inst. and Am. Soc. Civ. Eng., Reston, VA. Available at http://www.asce.org (verified 24 Nov. 2003).
    • (2003) In Proc., Symp. on Watershed Management and Restoration, World Water and Environmental Resources Congress
    • Schneider, J.M.1    Garbrecht, J.D.2
  • 28
    • 0024192811 scopus 로고
    • Improving and sustaining productivity in dryland regions of developing countries
    • Steiner, J.L., J.C. Day, R.I. Papendick, R.E. Meyer, and A.R. Bertrand. 1988. Improving and sustaining productivity in dryland regions of developing countries. Adv. Soil Sci. 8:79-122.
    • (1988) Adv. Soil Sci. , vol.8 , pp. 79-122
    • Steiner, J.L.1    Day, J.C.2    Papendick, R.I.3    Meyer, R.E.4    Bertrand, A.R.5
  • 31
    • 0001772540 scopus 로고
    • Response farming of maize and beans at Katumani, Machakos District, Kenya: Recommendations, yield expectations, and economic benefits
    • Stewart, J .I., and W.A. Faught. 1984. Response farming of maize and beans at Katumani, Machakos District, Kenya: Recommendations, yield expectations, and economic benefits. E. Afr. Agric. For. J. 44:29-51.
    • (1984) E. Afr. Agric. For. J. , vol.44 , pp. 29-51
    • Stewart, J.I.1    Faught, W.A.2
  • 32
    • 0020410642 scopus 로고
    • Impact of weather analysis on agricultural production and planning decisions for the semiarid areas of Kenya
    • Stewart, J.L., and C.T. Hash. 1982. Impact of weather analysis on agricultural production and planning decisions for the semiarid areas of Kenya. J. Appl. Meteorol. 21:477-494.
    • (1982) J. Appl. Meteorol. , vol.21 , pp. 477-494
    • Stewart, J.L.1    Hash, C.T.2
  • 33
    • 0001772539 scopus 로고
    • Rainfall criteria to enable response farming through crop-based climate analysis
    • Stewart, J.l., and D.A.R. Kashasha. 1984. Rainfall criteria to enable response farming through crop-based climate analysis. E. Afr. Agric. For. J. 44:58-79.
    • (1984) E. Afr. Agric. For. J. , vol.44 , pp. 58-79
    • Stewart, J.L.1    Kashasha, D.A.R.2
  • 34
    • 0029660787 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Prediction of global rainfall probabilities using phases of the Southern Oscillation Index
    • Stone, R.C., G.L. Hammer, and T. Marcussen. 1996a. Prediction of global rainfall probabilities using phases of the Southern Oscillation Index. Nature (London) 384:252-255.
    • (1996) Nature (London) , vol.384 , pp. 252-255
    • Stone, R.C.1    Hammer, G.L.2    Marcussen, T.3
  • 35
    • 0030438387 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Frost in northeast Australia: Trends and influence of phases of the southern oscillation
    • Stone, R., N. Nicholls, and G. Hammer. 1996b. Frost in northeast Australia: Trends and influence of phases of the southern oscillation. J. Clim. 9:1896-1909.
    • (1996) J. Clim. , vol.9 , pp. 1896-1909
    • Stone, R.1    Nicholls, N.2    Hammer, G.3
  • 36
    • 0141455886 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing seasonal climatic impact on water resources and crop production using CLIGEN and WEPP models
    • Zhang, X.C. 2003. Assessing seasonal climatic impact on water resources and crop production using CLIGEN and WEPP models. Trans. Am. Soc. Agric. Eng. 46:685-693.
    • (2003) Trans. Am. Soc. Agric. Eng. , vol.46 , pp. 685-693
    • Zhang, X.C.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.