메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 3, Issue , 2015, Pages 3925-3932

Tools for Validating Causal and Predictive Claims in Social Science Models

Author keywords

Causal models; Convergent Cross Mapping; Dynamic time warp; Granger causality; Model validation; Predictive models

Indexed keywords


EID: 84986185288     PISSN: None     EISSN: 23519789     Source Type: Conference Proceeding    
DOI: 10.1016/j.promfg.2015.07.920     Document Type: Conference Paper
Times cited : (14)

References (22)
  • 1
    • 85194256904 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Munck, G.L. (1998). Canons of research design in qualitative analysis. Studies in Comparative International Development, 33, 18-45.
    • [1] Munck, G.L. (1998). Canons of research design in qualitative analysis. Studies in Comparative International Development, 33, 18-45.
  • 2
    • 85194242505 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • (2006). Toward a pluralistic vision of methodology. Political Analysis, 14, 353-368.
    • [2] Brady, H.E., Collier, D., and Seawright, J. (2006). Toward a pluralistic vision of methodology. Political Analysis, 14, 353-368.
    • Brady, H.E.1    Collier, D.2    Seawright, J.3
  • 3
    • 85194245892 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Harrell, F.E. (2001). Regression modeling strategies: with applications to linear models, logistic regression, and survival analysis. Springer.
    • [3] Harrell, F.E. (2001). Regression modeling strategies: with applications to linear models, logistic regression, and survival analysis. Springer.
  • 4
    • 85194288598 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Granger, C.W. J. Testing for causality: A personal viewpoint. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 2, 329-52. 1980.
    • [4] Granger, C.W. J. Testing for causality: A personal viewpoint. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 2, 329-52. 1980.
  • 5
    • 85194286610 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Granger, C.W. J. “Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross-spectral methods.” Econometrica 37. 424 (1969).
    • [5] Granger, C.W. J. “Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross-spectral methods.” Econometrica 37. 424 (1969).
  • 6
    • 85194289546 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Jenkins, G.M. (1970). Time series analysis: forecasting and control. San Francisco, CA: Holden Day.
    • [6] Box, G.P. and Jenkins, G.M. (1970). Time series analysis: forecasting and control. San Francisco, CA: Holden Day.
    • Box, G.P.1
  • 7
    • 85194278763 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Freeman, J.R. (1983). Granger causality and the times series analysis of political relationships. Am. Journal of Political Science, 327-358.
    • [7] Freeman, J.R. (1983). Granger causality and the times series analysis of political relationships. Am. Journal of Political Science, 327-358.
  • 8
    • 85194242012 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Goldthorpe, J.H. (2001). Causation, statistics, and sociology. European Sociological Review, 17, 1-20.
    • [8] Goldthorpe, J.H. (2001). Causation, statistics, and sociology. European Sociological Review, 17, 1-20.
  • 9
    • 85194225128 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • (1981). A level building dynamic time warping algorithm for connected word recognition. Acoustics, Speech and Signal Processing, IEEE Transactions on, 29, 284-297.
    • [9] Myers, C. and Rabiner, L. (1981). A level building dynamic time warping algorithm for connected word recognition. Acoustics, Speech and Signal Processing, IEEE Transactions on, 29, 284-297.
    • Myers, C.1    Rabiner, L.2
  • 10
    • 85194241168 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • S. Salvador. “Toward Accurate Dynamic Time Warping in Linear Time and Space.” Intelligent Data Analysis 11.5 (2007).
    • [10] Chan, P. and S. Salvador. “Toward Accurate Dynamic Time Warping in Linear Time and Space.” Intelligent Data Analysis 11.5 (2007).
    • Chan, P.1
  • 11
    • 85194260957 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • “Detecting Causality in Complex Ecosystems.” Science. (2012).
    • [11] Sugihara, G., et al. “Detecting Causality in Complex Ecosystems.” Science. (2012).
    • Sugihara, G.1
  • 12
    • 85194283013 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Olszewski. “Generalized Feature Extraction for Structural Pattern Recognition in Time Series Data.” Carnegie Mellon Univ. 2001.
    • [12] Robert T. Olszewski. “Generalized Feature Extraction for Structural Pattern Recognition in Time Series Data.” Carnegie Mellon Univ. 2001.
    • Robert, T.1
  • 13
    • 85194266627 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Neal Reilly, S. “A Big Data Methodology for Bridging Quantitative and Qualitative Political Science Research.” Proceedings of the American Political Science Association, August 2014.
    • [13] Sliva, A. and Neal Reilly, S. “A Big Data Methodology for Bridging Quantitative and Qualitative Political Science Research.” Proceedings of the American Political Science Association, August 2014.
    • Sliva, A.1
  • 14
    • 85194236869 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Neal Reilly, S. Validation Coverage Toolkit for HSCB Models. R09005-03. 2010. Cambridge, MA, Charles River Analytics Inc.
    • [14] Neal Reilly, S. Validation Coverage Toolkit for HSCB Models. R09005-03. 2010. Cambridge, MA, Charles River Analytics Inc.
  • 15
    • 85194261308 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Neal Reilly, W.S., A. Pfeffer, and J. Barnett. “A Metamodel Description Language for HSCB Modeling.” Advances in Cross-Cultural Decision Making. Ed. D. Schmorrow and D. Nicholson. CRC Press, 2010.
    • [15] Neal Reilly, W.S., A. Pfeffer, and J. Barnett. “A Metamodel Description Language for HSCB Modeling.” Advances in Cross-Cultural Decision Making. Ed. D. Schmorrow and D. Nicholson. CRC Press, 2010.
  • 16
    • 85194228956 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • “A Computational Toolset for Socio-Cultural Data Exploration, Model Refinement, and Model Validation”. HSCB Focus Chantilly, VA: 2011.
    • [16] Neal Reilly, W.S., et al. “A Computational Toolset for Socio-Cultural Data Exploration, Model Refinement, and Model Validation”. HSCB Focus Chantilly, VA: 2011.
    • Neal Reilly, W.S.1
  • 17
    • 85194263515 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Collier, Paul; Elliott, V.L.; Hegre, Håvard; Hoeffler, Anke; Reynal-Querol, Marta; Sambanis, Nicholas. (2003). Breaking the Conflict Trap: Civil War and Development Policy. Washington, DC: World Bank and Oxford University Press.
    • [17] Collier, Paul; Elliott, V.L.; Hegre, Håvard; Hoeffler, Anke; Reynal-Querol, Marta; Sambanis, Nicholas. (2003). Breaking the Conflict Trap: Civil War and Development Policy. Washington, DC: World Bank and Oxford University Press.
  • 18
    • 85194228552 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • (2004). “Greed and Grievances in Civil Wars.” Oxford Economic Papers 56.
    • [18] Collier, P. and Hoeffler, A. (2004). “Greed and Grievances in Civil Wars.” Oxford Economic Papers 56.
    • Collier, P.1    Hoeffler, A.2
  • 19
    • 85194231501 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Braithwaite, Alex, Niheer Dasandi, and David Hudson (2014). “Does poverty cause conflict? Isolating the causal origins of the conflict trap.” Conflict Management and Peace Science.
    • [19] Braithwaite, Alex, Niheer Dasandi, and David Hudson (2014). “Does poverty cause conflict? Isolating the causal origins of the conflict trap.” Conflict Management and Peace Science.
  • 20
    • 85194239807 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • (2008). “Poverty and Civil War: Revisiting the evidence”, CEPR No. 6980.
    • [20] Djankov, S. and Reynal-Querol, M. (2008). “Poverty and Civil War: Revisiting the evidence”, CEPR No. 6980.
    • Djankov, S.1    Reynal-Querol, M.2
  • 21
    • 85194248987 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Themnér, Lotta & Peter Wallensteen (2014) Armed Conflict, 1946-2013. Journal of Peace Research 51(4).
    • [21] Themnér, Lotta & Peter Wallensteen (2014) Armed Conflict, 1946-2013. Journal of Peace Research 51(4).
  • 22
    • 85194285971 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The World Bank. World Development Indicators. 2013.
    • [22] The World Bank. World Development Indicators. 2013.


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.