Temporal trends in motor vehicle fatalities in the United States, 1968 to 2010 - a joinpoint regression analysis

Injury Epidemiology

Volumn 2, Issue 1, 2015, Pages 1-11

  Bandi, Priti ^a   Silver, Diana ^a   Mijanovich, Tod ^a   Macinko, James ^a  

^a NEW YORK UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ADULT; ARTICLE; COST EFFECTIVENESS ANALYSIS; FEMALE; HUMAN; MAJOR CLINICAL STUDY; MALE; MIDDLE AGED; MORTALITY; MOTOR VEHICLE; PRIORITY JOURNAL; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS; TRAFFIC ACCIDENT; UNITED STATES;

EID: 84977958037     PISSN: None     EISSN: 21971714     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1186/s40621-015-0035-6     Document Type: Article

References (51)

1. Anderson RN, Miniño AM, Hoyert DL, Rosenberg HM. Comparability of cause of death between ICD-9 and ICD-10: preliminary estimates. National Center for Health Statistics: Hyattsville, Maryland; 2001.
2. Bae JY, Anderson E, Silver D, Macinko J. Child passenger safety laws in the United States, 1978-2010: policy diffusion in the absence of strong federal intervention. Soc Sci Med. 2014;100:30–7. 10.1016/j.socscimed.2013.10.035.
3. Beck LF, Dellinger AM, O’Neil ME. Motor vehicle crash injury rates by mode of travel, United States: using exposure-based methods to quantify differences. Am J Epidemiol. 2007;166(2):212–8. 10.1093/aje/kwm064.
4. Blincoe LJ, Miller TR, Zaloshnja E, Lawrence BA. The economic and societal impact of motor vehicle crashes, 2010. (Report No. DOT HS 812 013). National Highway Traffic Safety Administration: Washington, DC; 2014.
5. Carter PM, Flannagan CA, Bingham CR, Cunningham RM, Rupp JD. Modeling the impact of rescinding Michigan’s primary and secondary seat belt laws on death and injury from passenger vehicle crashes. Traffic Inj Prev. 2014;15(7):701–5. 10.1080/15389588.2013.865167.
6. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Motor-vehicle safety: a 20th century public health achievement. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. 1999a;48(18):369–74.
7. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. National Center for Health Statistics, Vital Statistics of the United States: Mortality, 1999. 1999b. http://wonder.cdc.gov/wonder/sci_data/mort/mcmort/type_txt/mcmort05/techap99.pdf. Accessed January 26 2015.
8. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Helmet use among motorcyclists who died in crashes and economic cost savings associated with state motorcycle helmet laws - United States, 2008-2010. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. 2012;61(23):425–30.
9. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. CDC WONDER Online Database Compressed Mortality File: Data Description. CDC National Center for Health Statistics. 2014a.http://wonder.cdc.gov/wonder/help/cmf.html. Accessed October 30 2014.
10. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. CDC WONDER Online Database Compressed Mortality Files: Years 1968–1978 with ICD-8 Codes, 1979–1998 with ICD-9 Codes, and 1999–2010 with ICD-10 Codes. CDC National Center for Health Statistics. 2014b. http://wonder.cdc.gov/mortSQL.html. Accessed March 28 2014.
11. Clegg LX, Hankey BF, Tiwari R, Feuer EJ, Edwards BK. Estimating average annual per cent change in trend analysis. Stat Med. 2009;28(29):3670–82. 10.1002/sim.3733.
12. Congressional Budget Office. Spending and funding for highways. In: Economic and budget issue brief. 2011. http://www.cbo.gov/sites/default/files/cbofiles/ftpdocs/120xx/doc12043/01-19-highwayspending_brief.pdf. Accessed May 7 2014.
13. Daly L, Kallan MJ, Arbogast KB, Durbin DR. Risk of injury to child passengers in sport utility vehicles. Pediatrics. 2006;117(1):9–14. 10.1542/peds. 2004-1364.
14. Dischinger PC, Ryb GE, Kufera JA, Ho SM. Declining statewide trends in motor vehicle crashes and injury-related hospital admissions. Ann Adv Automot Med/Ann Sci Conf Assoc Adv Automot Med Assoc Adv Automot Med Sci Conf. 2013;57:247–56.
15. Elliott MR, Shope JT, Raghunathan TE, Waller PF. Gender differences among young drivers in the association between high-risk driving and substance use/environmental influences. J Stud Alcohol. 2006;67(2):252–60.
16. Federal Highway Administration. Summary of travel trends - 2009 National Household Travel Survey. Washington, DC: US Department of Transportation; 2011. http://nhts.ornl.gov/2009/pub/stt.pdf. Accessed February 9 2015.
17. Federal Highway Administration. Traffic volume trends - historical vehicle miles traveled report, US Department of Transportation. 2014. https://www.fhwa.dot.gov/policyinformation/travel_monitoring/tvt.cfm. Accessed May 12 2014.
18. Friedman LS, Hedeker D, Richter ED. Long-term effects of repealing the national maximum speed limit in the United States. Am J Public Health. 2009;99(9):1626–31. 10.2105/AJPH.2008.153726.
19. Governors Highway Safety Association. Speed limit laws. 2014. http://www.ghsa.org/html/stateinfo/laws/speedlimit_laws.html. Accessed May 8 2014.
20. Grabowski DC, Campbell CM, Morrisey MA. Elderly licensure laws and motor vehicle fatalities. JAMA. 2004;291(23):2840–6. 10.1001/jama.291.23.2840.
21. Hedlund J. Motorcyclist traffic fatalities by state: governors highway safety association. 2013. Contract No.: May 7.
22. Houston DJ, Richardson Jr LE. Motorcycle safety and the repeal of universal helmet laws. Am J Public Health. 2007;97(11):2063–9. 10.2105/AJPH.2006.094615.
23. Insurance Institute for Highway Safety. General statistics: gender. 2012. http://www.iihs.org/iihs/topics/t/general-statistics/fatalityfacts/gender. Accessed May 7 2014.
24. Joinpoint Regression Program. Version 4.1.1 - August 2014, Statistical Methodology and Applications Branch, Surveillance Research Program, National Cancer Institute. 2014.
25. Keall MD, Newstead S. Are SUVs dangerous vehicles? Accid Anal Prev. 2008;40(3):954–63. 10.1016/j.aap.2007.11.001.
26. Kelley-Baker T, Romano E. Female involvement in U.S. nonfatal crashes under a three-level hierarchical crash model. Accid Anal Prev. 2010;42(6):2007–12. 10.1016/j.aap.2010.06.010.
27. Kim HJ, Fay MP, Feuer EJ, Midthune DN. Permutation tests for joinpoint regression with applications to cancer rates. Stat Med. 2000;19(3):335–51.
28. Li G, Shahpar C, Grabowski JG, Baker SP. Secular trends of motor vehicle mortality in the United States, 1910–1994. Accid Anal Prev. 2001;33(3):423–32.
29. Liu C, Chen C-L, Subramanian R, Utter D. Analysis of speeding-related fatal motor vehicle traffic crashes. Washington, DC: National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, U.S. Department of Transportation; 2005. Contract No.: May 7.
30. Lopez-Charneco M, Conte-Miller MS, Davila-Toro F, Garcia-Rivera EJ, Zavala DE, Torres Y, et al. Motor vehicle accident fatalities trends, Puerto Rico 2000-2007. J Forensic Sci. 2011;56(5):1222–6. 10.1111/j.1556-4029.2011.01878.x.
31. MacKenzie EJ, Hoyt DB, Sacra JC, Jurkovich GJ, Carlini AR, Teitelbaum SD, et al. National inventory of hospital trauma centers. JAMA. 2003;289(12):1515–22. 10.1001/jama.289.12.1515.
32. Miniño AM, Anderson RN, Fingerhut LA, Boudreault MA, Warner M. Deaths: injuries, 2002. National Center for Health Statistics: Hyattsville, Maryland; 2006.
33. Mitchell JL, Russell AR, Schumacher JR. Trends in motor vehicle deaths in Wisconsin, 1986-1996: a decade of progress? WMJ: Offic Publ State Med Soc Wis. 2000;99(9):27–30.
34. Morrisey MA, Grabowski DC. State motor vehicle laws and older drivers. Health Econ. 2005;14(4):407–19. doi:10.1002/hec.955.
35. National Cancer Institute. Surveillance Research Program, Statistical Methodology and Applications Branch, Joinpoint Regression Program Online Help System Version 4.1.1. 2014.
36. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration. Lives saved by the Federal Motor Vehicle Safety Standards and Other Vehicle Safety Technologies, 1960-2002. Passenger Cars and Light Trucks, With a Review of 19 FMVSS and their Effectiveness in Reducing Fatalities, Injuries and Crashes. Washington, DC: US Department of Transportation, National Highway Traffic Safety Administration; 2004. http://www.nhtsa.gov/cars/rules/regrev/evaluate/809833.html. Accessed October 30 2014.
37. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration. Recent trends in fatal motorcycle crashes: an update. U.S. Department of Transportation. 2006. http://www-nrd.nhtsa.dot.gov/Pubs/810606.PDF. Accessed May 7 2014.
38. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration. Countermeasures that work: a highway safety countermeasure guide for state highway safety offices. 6th ed. Washington, DC: US Department of Transportation, National Highway Traffic Safety Administration; 2011. http://www.nhtsa.gov/staticfiles/nti/pdf/811444.pdf. Accessed May 7 2014.
39. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration. Motor vehicle traffic crashes as a leading cause of death in the United States, 2008 and 2009, U.S. Department of Transportation. 2012. http://www-nrd.nhtsa.dot.gov/Pubs/811620.pdf. Accessed October 30 2014.
40. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration. Traffic safety facts: 2009 motorcycles. U.S. Department of Transportation. 2013. http://www-nrd.nhtsa.dot.gov/Pubs/811389.pdf. Accessed May 7 2014.
41. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration. Federal legislative programs designed to encourage enactment of state impaired driving laws. 2014. http://www.nhtsa.gov/people/injury/alcohol/Archive/Archive/Limit.08/PresInit/federal.html. Accessed May 8 2014.
42. Orsi C, Bertuccio P, Morandi A, Levi F, Bosetti C, La Vecchia C. Trends in motor vehicle crash mortality in Europe, 1980–2007. Saf Sci. 2012;50(4):1009–18.
43. Polzin SE. The case for moderate growth in vehicle miles of travel: a critical juncture in U.S, Travel Behavior Trends Center for Urban Transportation Research. For: U.S. Department of Transportation. 2006. http://www.cutr.usf.edu/pdf/The%20Case%20for%20Moderate%20Growth%20in%20VMT-%202006%20Final.pdf. Accessed May 7 2014.
44. Puentes R, Tomer A. The road less traveled: an analysis of vehicle miles traveled trends in the U.S. Brookings. 2008. http://www.brookings.edu/research/reports/2008/12/16-transportation-tomer-puentes. Accessed May 7 2014.
45. Richter ED, Friedman LS, Berman T, Rivkind A. Death and injury from motor vehicle crashes: a tale of two countries. Am J Prev Med. 2005;29(5):440–9. 10.1016/j.amepre.2005.08.035.
46. Strom SF, Ambekar S, Madhugiri VS, Nanda A. Louisiana motorcycle fatalities in the wake of governmentally implemented change: a retrospective analysis of the motorcycle morbidity and mortality before, during, and after the repeal of a statewide helmet mandate. J Trauma Acute Care Surg. 2013;74(6):1559–66. 10.1097/TA.0b013e31829247c4.
47. Task Force on Community Preventive Services. Motor vehicle-related injury prevention. Atlanta, GA: Task Force on Community Preventive Services; 2010. http://www.thecommunityguide.org/mvoi/index.html. Accessed May 7 2014.
48. Trowbridge MJ, McKay MP, Maio RF. Comparison of teen driver fatality rates by vehicle type in the United States. Acad Emerg Med: Offic J Soc Acad Emerg Med. 2007;14(10):850–5. 10.1197/j.aem.2007.06.038.
49. U.S. Department of Transportation. A chronology of dates significant in the background, history and development of the Department of Transportation. 2013. http://ntl.bts.gov/historian/chronology.htm. Accessed October 30 2014.
50. Vaca F, Anderson CL. U.S. motor vehicle fatality trends in young Latino males. Ann Adv Automot Med/Annu Sci Conf Assoc Adv Automot Med Assoc Adv Automot Med Sci Conf. 2009;53:77–82.
51. Waldron I, McCloskey C, Earle I. Trends in gender differences in accidents mortality: relationships to changing gender roles and other societal trends. Demogr Res. 2005;13(17):415–54.