Sociotropic Politics: The American Case

British Journal of Political Science

Volumn 11, Issue 2, 1981, Pages 129-161

  Kinder, Donald R ^a   Kiewiet, D Roderick ^a  

^a YALE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 84976130741     PISSN: 00071234     EISSN: 14692112     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1017/S0007123400002544     Document Type: Article

References (109)

1. Gerald H. Kramer, ‘Short-Term Fluctuations in U.S. Voting Behavior, 1896-1964’, American Political Science Review, lxv (1971), 131-43;
2. Gerald H. Kramer and Susan Lepper, ‘Congressional Elections’, in William O. Aydelotte, ed., Dimensions of Quantitative Research in History (Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press, 1972);
3. Susan Lepper, ‘Voting Behavior and Aggregate Policy Targets’, Public Choice, xviii (1974), 67-81;
4. Edward R. Tufte, ‘Determinants of the Outcomes of Midterm Congressional Elections’, American Political Science Review, lxix (1975), 812–26
5. Political Control of the Economy (Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press, 1978);
6. Howard S. Bloom and H. Douglas Price, ‘Voter Response to Short-Run Economic Conditions: The Asymmetric Effect of Prosperity and Recession’, American Political Science Review, lxix (1975), 1240-54;
7. R. P. Y. Li, ‘Public Policy and Short-Term Fluctuations in U.S. Voting Behavior: A Reformulation and Expansion’, Political Methodology, in (1976), 49–70.
8. Alan H. Meltzer and Mark Vellrath, ‘The Effects of Economic Policies on Votes for the Presidency: Some Evidence from Recent Elections’, Journal of Law and Economics, xviii (1975), 781-98;
9. Ray C. Fair, ‘The Effects of Economic Events on Votes for President’, Review of Economics and Statistics, lx (1978), 159-73;
10. Tufte, Political Control of the Economy.
11. Bruno Frey and Friedrich Schneider, ‘An Empirical Study of Politico-Economic Interactions in the United States’, Review of Economics and Statistics, lx (1978), 174-83;
12. Samuel Kernell, ‘Explaining Presidential Popularity’, American Political Science Review, lxxii (1978), 506-22;
13. Kristen Monroe, ‘Economic Influences on Presidential Popularity’, Public Opinion Quarterly, xlii (1978), 360–9.
14. Michael Lewis-Beck, ‘Economic Conditions and Executive Popularity: The French Experience’, American Journal of Political Science, xxiv (1980), 306–23.
15. Bloom and Price, ‘Voter Response to Short-Run Economic Conditions’
16. Tufte, Political Control of the Economy.
17. Samuel Popkin, John W. Gorman, Charles Phillips and Jeffrey A. Smith, ‘Comment: What Have You Done for Me Lately? Toward an Investment Theory of Voting’, American Political Science Review, lxx (1976), 779–805
18. Kramer, ‘ Short-Term Fluctuations ’
19. Anthony Downs, An Economic Theory of Democracy (New York: Harper, 1957), p. 36.
20. Angus Campbell, Philip E. Converse, Warren E. Miller and Donald E. Stokes, The American Voter (New York: Wiley, 1960), p. 205.
21. Philip E. Converse, ‘Public Opinion and Voting Behavior’, in Fred I. Greenstein and Nelson W. Polsby, eds., Handbook of Political Science, Vol. VI (Reading, Mass: Addison-Wesley, 1975), p. 98.
22. Norman Nie and Kristi Andersen, ‘Mass Belief Systems Revisited: Political Change and Attitude Structure’, Journal of Politics, xxxvi (1974), 540–91
23. Joseph LaPalombara, ‘Decline of Ideology: A Dissent and Interpretation’, American Political Science Review, LX (1966), p. 9.
24. V. O. Key, The Responsible Electorate (Cambridge, Mass: Belknap, 1966).
25. Morris P. Fiorina, Retrospective Voting in American National Elections (New Haven, Conn.; Yale University Press, forthcoming).
26. Mikal Ben-Gera Logan, ‘Short-Term Economic Changes and Individual Voting Behavior’ (manuscript, Yale University, 1977);
27. Morris P. Fiorina, ‘Economic Retrospective Voting in American Elections: A Micro-Ana lysis’, American Journal of Political Science, xxn (1978), 426-43;
28. Donald R. Kinder and D. Roderick Kiewiet, ‘Economic Discontent and Political Behavior: The Role of Personal Grievances and Collective Economic Judgments in Congressional Voting’, American Journal of Political Science, xxiii (1979), 495-527;
29. Ricardo Klorman, ‘Trends in Personal Finances and the Vote’, Public Opinion Quarterly, xliii (1978), 31–48.
30. Campbell et al., The American Voter, pp. 416-21;
31. Fiorina, ‘Economic Retrospective Voting’
32. Klorman, ‘Trends in Personal Finances’
33. Tufte, Political Control of the Economy;
34. Jeffrey W. Wides, ‘ Self-Perceived Economic Change and Political Orientations: A Preliminary Exploration ’, American Politics Quarterly, iv (1976), 395–412.
35. The argument that voting in response to economic issues might be policy-oriented was made by George J. Stigler in his ‘General Economic Conditions and National Elections’, American Economic Review, lxiii (1973), 160–7.
36. ‘Political Parties and Macro-Economic Policy’, American Political Science Review, lxxi (1977), 1467–87.
37. David Cameron ‘Politics, Public Policy, and Economic Inequality: A Comparative Analysis’, paper delivered at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Chicago 1976
38. ‘The Expansion of the Public Economy: A Comparative Analysis’, American Political Science Review, lxxii (1978), 1243–61.
39. M. Stephen Weatherford's ‘Economic Conditions and Electoral Outcomes: Class Differences in the Political Response to Recession’, American Journal of Political Science, xxii (1978), 917—38
40. Richard A. Brody, ‘Stability and Change in Party Identification: Presidential to Off-Year’, paper delivered at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Washington, 1977;
41. W. Phillips Shively, ‘Information Costs and the Partisan Life Cycle’, paper delivered at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Washington, 1977;
42. Benjamin I. Page and Calvin Jones, ‘Reciprocal Effects of Policy Preferences, Party Loyalties, and the Vote ’, American Political Science Review, lxxiii (1979), 1071–89.
43. Douglas S. Gatlin, Michael W. Gile, and Everett F. Cataldo, ‘ Policy Support Within a Target Group: The Case of School Desegregation’, American Political Science Review, lxxii (1978), 985-95;
44. Donald R. Kinder and David O. Sears, ‘Prejudice and Politics: Symbolic Racism versus Racial Threats to the Good Life’, Journal of Personality and Social Psychology
45. Richard Lau, Thad Brown, and David O. Sears, ‘Self-Interest and Civilians’ Attitudes Toward Vietnam’, Public Opinion Quarterly, xlii (1978), 464-83;
46. David O. Sears, Carl P. Hensler, and Leslie K. Speer, ‘“Whites” Opposition to “Busing”: Self-Interest or Symbolic Racism?’, American Political Science Review, lxxiii (1979), 369-84;
47. David O. Sears and Donald R. Kinder, ‘ Racial Tension and Voting in Los Angeles’, in W. Z. Hirsch, ed., Los Angeles: Viability and Prospects for Metropolitan Leadership (New York: Praeger, 1971);
48. David O. Sears, Tom R. Tyler, Jack C. Citrin, and Donald R. Kinder, ‘Political System Support and Public Responses to the Energy Crisis’, American Journal of Political Science, xxn (1978), 56-82;
49. David O. Sears, Richard Lau, Tom R. Tyler and Harris M. Allen, Jr., ‘Self-Interest Versus Symbolic Politics in Policy Attitudes and Presidential Voting’, American Political Science Review, lxxiv (1980), -51
50. Kinder and Kiewiet, ‘Economic Discontent and Political Behavior’.
51. Arthur Miller, Patricia Gurin, and Gerald Gurin, ‘Electoral Implications of Group Identification and Consciousness: The Reintroduction of a Concept’, paper delivered at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, New York, 1978;
52. Laurie Rhodebeck, ‘ Group-Based Politics’(Ph.D. dissertation, Department of Political Science, Yale University, 1980).
53. James E. Alt, The Politics of Economic Decline (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1978).
54. Paul W. McCracken, ‘The Practice of Political Economy’, American Economic Review, lxiii (1973), 168-71;
55. Yankelovitch, Skelly and White, Inc., ‘The General Mills American Family Report: A Study of the American Family and Money’ (Minneapolis, Minn.: General Mills, Inc, 1975).
56. Campbell et al., The American Voter
57. Philip E. Converse, ‘The Concept of a Normal Vote,’
58. Angus Campbell, Philip E. Converse, Warren E. Miller and Donald E. Stokes, eds., Elections and the Political Order (New York: Wiley, 1966)
59. modestly so-see D. R. Kiewietand D. R. Kinder, ‘ Political Consequences of Economic Concerns - Personal and Collective’ (paper delivered at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, New York, 1978).
60. David R. Mayhew, Congress: The Electoral Connection (New Haven, Conn.: Yale University Press, 1974);
61. John Ferejohn, ‘On the Decline of Competition in Congressional Elections’, American Political Science Review, lxxi (1977), 166-76;
62. Albert D. Cover, ‘ One Good Term Deserves Another: The Advantages of Incumbency in Congressional Elections’, American Journal of Political Science, xxi (1977), 532–42.
63. Richard McKelvey and W. Zavoina, which they describe in their ‘A Statistical Model for the Analysis of Ordinal Level Dependent Variables’, Journal of Mathematical Sociology, iv (1975), 103–20.
64. Raymond E. Wolfinger and Steven J. Rosenstone, Who Votes (New Haven, Conn.: Yale University Press, 1980)
65. multivariate analysis see J. Cohen and P. Cohen, Applied Multiple Regression/Correlation Analysis for the Behavioral Sciences (Hillsdale, New Jersey: Erlbaum, 1975).
66. Greg B. Marcus, Analyzing Panel Data (Beverly Hills Calif.: Sage Publications, 1979).
67. Seymour Martin Lipset, Political Man (Garden City, New York: Doubleday, 1960).
68. Meltzer and Vellrath, ‘The Effects of Economic Policies’
69. Kay L. Schlozman and Sidney Verba, Injury to Insult (Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press, 1979).
70. Steven J. Rosenstone ‘ Economic Adversity and Voter Turnout ’ (manuscript, Department of Political Science, Yale University, 1980).
71. Richard J. Fenno, Home Style (Boston, Mass.: Little, Brown, 1978).
72. Klorman, ‘ Trends in Personal Finances’
73. Fiorina, ‘Economic Retrospective Voting’
74. Tufte, Political Control of the Economy;
75. Wides, ‘Self-Perceived Economic Change’.
76. A good exposition of this technique can be found in D. A. Kenny, ‘Cross-Lagged Panel Correlation: A Test for Spuriousness,’ Psychological Bulletin, lxxxii (1975), 345–62.
77. Philip E. Converse, The Dynamics of Party Support: Cohort-Analyzing Party Identification (Beverly Hills, Calif.: Sage, 1976);
78. Brody, ‘Stability and Change in Party Identification’
79. Philip E. Converse and Greg B. Markus, ‘Plus Ca Change… The New CPS Election Study Panel’, American Political Science Review, lxxiii (1979), 32–49.
80. Kenny, ‘Cross-Lagged panel Correlation’.
81. Kenny, ‘Cross-Lagged panel Correlation’.
82. Richard A. Brody and Benjamin Page, ‘ Comment: The Assessment of Issue Voting’, American Political Science Review, lxvi (1972), 450–8
83. Richard G. Niemi and Herbert F. Weisberg, eds., Controversies in American Voting Behavior (San Francisco: Freeman, 1976).
84. Brody, ‘Stability and Change in Party Identification’.
85. Brody and Page, ‘Comment: The Assessment of Issue Voting’
86. Donald R. Kinder, ‘ Presidents, Prosperity, and Public Opinion’, Public Opinion Quarterly, forthcoming; and especially Benjamin I. Page, Choices and Echoes in Presidential Elections (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1978).
87. D. Roderick Kiewiet and Donald R. Kinder, ‘Political Consequences of Economic Concerns-Personal and Collective’, paper delivered at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, New York, 1978.)
88. Klorman ‘Trend in Personal Finances’.
89. see Stephen J. Rosenstone, Raymord E. Wolfinger, and Richard A. McIntosh, ‘Voter Turnout in Midterm Elections’, paper delivered at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, New York, 1978. And at the aggregate level such retrospective judgements fluctuate
90. see Donald R. Kinder, W. Michael Denney, and J. Stephen Hendricks, ‘Political Consequences of Inflation’ (manuscript, Department of Political Science, Yale University, 1980).
91. W. Michael Denney, J. Stephen Hendricks, and Donald R. Kinder, ‘Personal Stakes and Local Politics’, paper presented at the thirty-fifth annual meeting of the American Association for Public Opinion Research, Cincinnati, Ohio, 1980;
92. Kiewiet, ‘Policy-Oriented Voting in Response to Economic Issues’
93. Kinder, ‘Presidents, Prosperity and Public Opinion’
94. Kinder, Denney, and Hendricks, ‘Political Consequences of Inflation’
95. Sears, Lau, Tyler, and Allen, ‘Self-Interest versus Symbolic Politics’.
96. Downs, An Economic Theory of Democracy.
97. Page, Choice and Echoes in Presidential Elections.
98. Popkin et al., ‘What Have You Done for Me Lately?’
99. Walter Lippman, Public Opinion (New York, Macmillan, 1922).
100. Converse, ‘Public Opinion and Voting Behavior’
101. David O. Sears, ‘Political Behavior’
102. Gardner Lindzey and Elliot Aronson, eds., The Handbook of Social Psychology, Vol. 5, 2nd edn. (Reading, Mass.: Addison-Wesley, 1969).
103. Douglas A. Hibbs, The Mass Public and Macroeconomic Performance: The Dynamics of Public Opinion Toward Unemployment and Inflation’, American Journal of Political Science, xxii (1979), 705-31;
104. Kernell, ‘Explaining Presidential Popularity’
105. Kinder and Kiewiet, ‘Economic Discontent and Political Behavior’
106. Paul M. Sniderman and Richard A. Brody, ‘Coping: The Ethic of Self-Reliance’, American Journal of Political Science, xxi (1977), 501-22;
107. Kinder, Denney, and Hendricks, ‘Political Consequences of Inflation’.
108. Robert E. Lane, Political Ideology (New York: Free Press, 1962).
109. Some provocative evidence on this point is reported in Richard E. Nisbett, Eugene Borgida, Rick Crandall and Harvey Reed, ‘Popular Induction: Information Is Not Necessarily Informative’, in J. Carroll and J. Payne, eds., Cognition and Social Behavior (Hillsdale, N.J.: Erlbaum, 1976), pp. 113-34