Daily weather generator with drought properties by copulas and standardized precipitation indices

Environmental Monitoring and Assessment

Volumn 188, Issue 6, 2016, Pages

  Hong, Nien Ming ^a   Lee, Tsung Yu ^b   Chen, Yun Ju ^c  

^a CHINESE CULTURE UNIVERSITY   (Taiwan)

^b NATIONAL TAIWAN NORMAL UNIVERSITY   (Taiwan)

^c NATIONAL SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY CENTER FOR DISASTER REDUCTION   (Taiwan)

Author keywords

Climate change; Downscaling; Drought characteristics; SPI; Water shortage

Indexed keywords

DROUGHT; PRECIPITATION (METEOROLOGY); PRINCIPAL COMPONENT ANALYSIS; RAIN; WATER RESOURCES;

ANALYTICAL RESULTS; CLIMATE CHANGE ASSESSMENT; DOWN-SCALING; DROUGHT CHARACTERISTICS; GLOBAL CIRCULATION MODEL; RESOURCE ASSESSMENTS; STANDARDIZED PRECIPITATION INDEX; WATER SHORTAGES;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

RAIN;

CLIMATE CHANGE; DOWNSCALING; DROUGHT; PRECIPITATION ASSESSMENT; RAINFALL;

ANALYTIC METHOD; ANALYTICAL PARAMETERS; ARTICLE; CLIMATE CHANGE; DATA PROCESSING; DROUGHT; ENVIRONMENTAL FACTOR; ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT ASSESSMENT; ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING; ENVIRONMENTAL PARAMETERS; FORECASTING; HISTORY; PRECIPITATION; STANDARDIZATION; WATER MANAGEMENT; WATER SUPPLY; WEATHER; PROCEDURES; SUPPLY AND DISTRIBUTION; TAIWAN; THEORETICAL MODEL;

CLIMATE CHANGE; DROUGHTS; ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING; MODELS, THEORETICAL; RAIN; TAIWAN; WATER RESOURCES;

EID: 84974721807     PISSN: 01676369     EISSN: 15732959     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s10661-016-5395-z     Document Type: Article

References (29)

1. Bouyé, E., Durrleman, V., Nikeghbali, A., Riboulet, G., & Roncalli, T. (2000). Copulas for finance-a reading guide and some applications. Available at SSRN 1032533.
2. Bussay, A. M., Szinell, C., Hayes, M., & Svoboda, M. (1998). Monitoring drought in Hungary using the standardized precipitation index. Annales Geophysicae, Supplement 11 to Vol 16, the Abstract Book of 23rd EGS General Assembly, C450. April 1998, Nice; France.
3. Chen, C. T., Chu, J. T., Hsu, H. H., Suu, C. H., Chou, C., & Weng, S. P. (2014). Projection of climate change over Taiwan using statistical downscaling scheme. Atmospheric Sciences, 42(3), 207–251 (Abstract in English).
4. Cowpertwait, P. S. P. (1991). Further developments of the Neyman-Scott clustered point process for modelling rainfall. Water Resources Research, 27, 1431–1438.
5. Fatichi, S., Ivanov, V. Y., & Caporali, E. (2011). Simulation of future climate scenarios with a weather generator. Advances in Water Resources, 34(4), 448–467.
6. Glenis, V., Pinamonti, V., Hall, J., & Kilsby, C. (2015). A transient stochastic weather generator incorporating climate model uncertainty. Advances in Water Resources, 85, 14–26.
7. Gregory, J. M., Wigley, T. M. L., & Jones, P. D. (1992). Determining and interpreting the order of a two-state Markov chain: application to models of daily precipitation. Water Resources Research, 28, 1443–1446.
8. Gregory, J. M., Wigley, T. M. L., & Jones, P. D. (1993). Application of Markov models to area-average daily precipitation series and interannual variability in seasonal totals. Climate Dynamics, 8, 299–310.
9. Guttman, N. B. (1998). Comparing the palmer drought index and the standardized precipitation index. Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 34, 113–121.
10. Hay, L. E., Wilby, R. L., & Leavesley, G. H. (2000). A comparison of delta change and downscaled GCM scenarios for three mounfainous basins in THE UNITED STATES1. Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 36(2), 387–397.
11. Hollinger, S. E., Isard, S. A., Welford, M. R. (1993). A new soil moisture drought index for predicting crop yields. In Preprints, 8th Conference on Applied Climatology (pp. 187–190). Anaheim, CA: American Mathematical Society.
12. Hydrologic Engineering Center (HEC) (1975). Hydrologic engineering methods for water resources development, Vol. 8, reservoir yield. US Army Corps of Engineers: Davis, CA.
13. Kilsby, C. G., Jones, P. D., Burton, A., Ford, A. C., Fowler, H. J., & Harpham, C. (2007). A daily weather generator for use in climate change studies. Environmental Modelling & Software, 22(12), 1705–1719.
14. Kim, D. W., Byun, H. R., & Choi, K. S. (2009). Evaluation, modification, and application of the effective drought index to 200-year drought climatology of Seoul, Korea. Journal of Hydrology, 378, 1–12.
15. Liu, J., Williams, J. R., Wang, X., & Yang, H. (2009). Using MODAWEC to generate daily weather data for the EPIC model. Environmental Modelling & Software, 24(5), 655–664.
16. McKee, T. B., Doesken, N. J., & Kleist, J. (1993). The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scales. In Proceedings of the 8th Conference on Applied Climatology, January 17–22, 1993 (pp. 179–184). Boston, Massachusetts: American Meteorological Society.
17. Meyer, S. J., Hubbard, K. G., & Wilhite, D. A. (1993). The development of a crop specific drought index for corn. Part I: model development and validation. Agronomy Journal, 85, 388–395.
18. Palmer, W. C. (1965). Meteorological drought (Vol. 30). Washington, DC, USA: US Department of Commerce, Weather Bureau.
19. Richardson, J. S. (1981). The anatomy and taxonomy of protein structure. Academic Press, 34, 167–339.
20. Richardson, C. W., & Wright, D. A. (1984). WGEN: a model for generating daily weather variables (p. 83). Washington, DC, USA: US Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Research Service.
21. Semenov, M. A. (2008). Simulation of extreme weather events by a stochastic weather generator. Climate Research, 35(3), 203.
22. Semenov, M. A., & Brooks, R. J. (1999). Spatial interpolation of the LARS-WG stochastic weather generator in Great Britain. Climate Research, 11(2), 137–148.
23. Serinaldi, F., Bonaccorso, B., Cancelliere, A., & Grimaldi, S. (2009). Probabilistic characterization of drought properties through copulas. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, Parts A/B/C, 34(10), 596–605.
24. Sklar, A. (1996). Random variables, distribution functions, and copulas: a personal look backward and forward. Lecture Notes-Monograph Series, 1–14.
25. Szalai, S., & Szinell, C. S. (2000). Comparison of two drought indices for drought monitoring in Hungary—a case study. In Drought and drought mitigation in Europe (pp. 161–166). Netherlands: Springer.
26. Thompson, C. S. (1984). Homogeneity analysis of rainfall series: an application of the use of a realistic rainfall model. Journal of Climatology, 4(6), 609–619.
27. Tung, C. P., & Haith, D. A. (1995). Global-warming effects on New York streamflows. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 121(2), 216–225.
28. Wilby, R. L., & Dawson, C. W. (2013). The statistical downscaling model: insights from one decade of application. International Journal of Climatology, 33(7), 1707–1719.
29. Williams, J. R., & Singh, V. P. (1995). The EPIC model. Computer models of watershed hydrology, 909–1000.