Promise and Performance: A Dynamic Model of Presidential Popularity

American Political Science Review

Volumn 79, Issue 2, 1985, Pages 334-358

  Ostrom, Charles W ^a   Simon, Dennis M ^b  

^a MICHIGAN STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 84973969232     PISSN: 00030554     EISSN: 15375943     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.2307/1956653     Document Type: Article

References (45)

1. P. Abramson, Political attitudes in America, 1983, San Francisco: Freeman
2. P. Abramson, J. Aldrich, D. Rohde, Continuity and change in the 1980 elections, 1982, Washington, D.C.: Congressional Quarterly Press
3. The non-linear two-stage least squares estimator, T. Amemiya, Journal of Econometrics, 1974, 2, 105-110
4. E. Azar, Conflict and peace data bank (COPDAB), 1948-1978: Daily aggregation, 1982, Ann Arbor, Mich.: Inter-University Consortium for Political and Social Research, ICPSR 7767
5. Discontinuities in the symbolic environment: A problem in scaling events, E. Azar, T. Havener, International Interactions, 1976, 2, 231-246
6. R. Brody, That special moment: The public response to international crises, 1983, Presented at the, Annual Meeting of the Western Political Science Association, Seattle, Washington
7. The impact of events on presidential popularity, R. Brody, B.I. Page, Perspectives on the presidency, 1975, Wildavsky A. (ed.), Boston: Little, Brown
8. T. Cronin, The state of the presidency, 1980, (2nd ed.), Boston: Little, Brown
9. An expository development of a mathematical model of the electoral process, O. Davis, M. Hinich, P. Ordeshook, American Political Science Review, 1970, 64, 426-448
10. J. Fishel, From campaign promise to presidential performance, 1979, Presented at, the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars, Washington, D.C. June 20
11. The concept of national interest, A. George, F. Keohane, Presidential decisionmaking in foreign policy, 1980, 217-238, George A. (ed.), Boulder, Colo.: Westview Press
12. F. Greenstein, The hidden hand presidency, 1982, New York: Basic Books
13. The mass media and presidential popularity, T. Haight, R. Brody, Communications Research, 1977, 41-60, January
14. On the demands for economic outcomes: Macroeconomic performance and mass political support in the United States, D.A. Hibbs, Jr., Journal of Politics, 1982, 34, 426-462, (a)
15. The dynamics of political support for American presidents among occupational and partisan groups, D.A. Hibbs, Jr., American Journal of Political Science, 1982, 26, 312-332, (b)
16. President Reagan's mandate from the 1980 elections, D.A. Hibbs, Jr., American Politics Quarterly, 1982, 10, 387-420, (c)
17. D.A. Hibbs, Jr., H. Fassbender, Contemporary political economy, 1981, (Eds.), Amsterdam: North Holland
18. G. Hodgson, All things to all men, 1980, New York: Simon and Schuster
19. Subjective political efficacy as a measure of diffuse support, S. Iyengar, Public Opinion Quarterly, 1980, 44, 249-256
20. The impact of economic conditions on presidential popularity, H. Kenski, Journal of Politics, 1977, 39, 764-773, (b)
21. Inflation and presidential popularity, H. Kenski, Public Opinion Quarterly, 1977, 41, 86-90
22. Explaining presidential popularity, S. Kernell, American Political Science Review, 1978, 72, 506-522
23. Presidential popularity and negative voting, S. Kernell, American Political Science Review, 1977, 71, 44-66
24. L. Klein, A textbook of econometrics, 1974, Englewood Cliffs, N.J.: Prentice-Hall
25. J. Kmenta, Elements of econometrics, 1971, New York: Macmillan
26. Rallying around the flag, J. Lee, Presidential Studies Quarterly, 1977, 7, 252-256
27. P. Light, The president's agenda, 1982, Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press
28. S.M. Lipset, W. Schneider, The confidence gap, 1983, New York: Free Press
29. Political drama, economic conditions, and the dynamics of presidential popularity, M. MacKuen, American Journal of Political Science, 1983, 27, 165-192
30. R. McCleary, R. Hay, Jr., Applied time series analysis, 1980, Beverly Hills, Calif.: Sage
31. Presidential popularity: An Almon distributed lag model, K. Monroe, Political Methodology, 1981, 7, 43-70
32. Presidential popularity from Truman to Johnson, J. Mueller, American Political Science Review, 1970, 64, 18-34
33. J. Mueller, War, presidents, and public opinion, 1973, New York: Wiley
34. R. Neustadt, Presidential power, 1980, New York: Wiley
35. Macroeconomic conditions and fluctuations of presidential popularity, H. Norpoth, T. Yantek, American Journal of Political Science, 1983, 27, 785-807
36. C. Ostrom, B. Job, The president and the political use of force, 1982, Presented at, the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Denver, Colorado
37. Managing popular support, C. Ostrom, D. Simon, Policy Studies Journal, 1984, 12, 677-690
38. R. Pindyck, D. Rubinfeld, Econometric models and economic forecasts, 1981, New York: McGraw-Hill
39. W. Riker, P. Ordeshook, An introduction to positive political theory, 1973, Englewood Cliffs, N.J.: Prentice Hall
40. D. Rivers, R. Rose, Passing the president's program, 1981, Presented at, the Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Cincinnati, Ohio
41. D. Rohde, D. Simon, Presidential vetoes and the congressional response, 1983, Presented at, the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Chicago, Illinois
42. The primacy principle: Attitude change and political socialization, D. Searing, S. Wright, G. Rabinowitz, British Journal of Politics, 1976, 6, 83-113
43. Public support for American presidents, J. Stimson, Public Opinion Quarterly, 1976, 40, 1-21
44. Determinants of outcomes of midterm congressional elections, E. Tufte, American Political Science Review, 1975, 69, 812-826
45. The two presidencies, A. Wildavsky, Trans-Action, 166-4, 7-14