The Electoral Consequences of North-South Migration

British Journal of Political Science

Volumn 22, Issue 4, 1992, Pages 419-443

  Mcmahon, Dorren ^a   Heath, Anthony ^a   Harrop, Martin ^a   Curtice, John ^b  

^a NEWCASTLE UNIVERSITY   (United Kingdom)

^b UNIVERSITY OF STRATHCLYDE   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 84972264142     PISSN: 00071234     EISSN: 14692112     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1017/S0007123400006475     Document Type: Article

References (31)

1. See, for example, John Curtice and Michael Steed, ‘Electoral Choice and the Production of Government: The Changing Operation of the Electoral System in the United Kingdom since 1955’, British Journal of Political Science, 12 (1982), 249-98;
2. Anthony Heath, Roger Jowell and John Curtice, How Britain Votes (Oxford: Pergamon, 1985);
3. R. J. Johnston, C. J. Pattie and J. G. Allsopp, A Nation Dividing? The Electoral Map of Great Britain 1979–87 (Harlow, Essex: Longman, 1988);
4. David Denver and Keith Halfacree, ‘Inter-Constituency Migration and General Election Results in Britain’ (North West Regional Research Laboratory Working Paper, University of Lancaster, 1991).
5. See Anthony Heath et al., Understanding Political Change: The British Voter 1964–87 (Oxford: Pergamon, 1991), chap. 7.
6. Angus Campbell, Philip E. Converse, Warren E. Miller and Donald Stokes, The American Voter (New York: Wiley, 1960), chap. 16, pp. 448–9.
7. Philip E. Converse, ‘On the Possibility of a Major Realignment in the South’, in Angus Campbell, Philip E. Converse, Warren E. Miller and Donald Stokes, Elections and the Political Order (New York: Wiley 1966).
8. Converse, On the Possibility of a Major Realignment in the South’, p. 227.
9. Thad A. Brown, ‘On Contextual Change and Partisan Attributes’, British Journal of Political Science, 11 (1981), 427-47;
10. see also Thad A. Brown, Migration and Politics (Chapel Hill: University of North Carolina Press, 1988)
11. For further details, see Heath et al., Understanding Political Change, pp. 230–3.
12. For some evidence counter to the usual assumption that age reduces political learning see Jerome Black, Richard Niemi and G. Bingham Powell, ‘Age, Resistance and Political Learning in a New Environment: The Case of Canadian Immigrants’, Comparative Politics, 20 (1987), 73–84.
13. S. E. Fienberg, The Analysis of Cross-Classified Categorical Data, 2nd edn (Boston, Mass: MIT Press, 1987).
14. For an introduction to logit models see J. H. Aldrich and F. D. Nelson, Linear Probability, Logit and Probit Models (Beverly Hills, Calif.: Sage, 1984).
15. There is a great deal of research on patterns of intra-generational regional migration. See, for example, A. A. Ogilvy, ‘Population Migration Between the Regions of Great Britain, 1971-9’, Regional Studies, 16 (1982), 65-73;
16. A. J. Fielding, ‘Inter-Regional Migration and Social Change: A Study of South East England Based upon Data from the Longitudinal Study’, Transactions of the Institute of British Geographers, NS 14 (1989), 24-36;
17. John Stillwell, Peter Boden and Philip Rees, Trends in Internal Net Migration in the UK: 1975-1986’, Area, 22 (1990), 57-65;
18. See C. van der Eijk and B. Niemoller, ‘Recall Accuracy and its Determinants’, Acta Politica 14 (1979), 289–342.
19. For an account of the index of concentration see S. J. Haberman, ‘Analysis of Dispersion of Multinomial Responses’, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 77 (1982), 568–80.
20. On social and geographical mobility, see Colin Bell, Middle Class Families: Social and Geographical Mobility (London: Routledge and Kegan Paul, 1969);
21. John B. Lansing and Eve Mueller, ‘The Geographic Mobility of Labor’ (Ann Arbor Survey Research Centre, 1967);
22. A. J. Fielding, ‘A Search for the ‘Missing Link’ between Social and Geographical Mobility’, Revue de Geographie de Lyon, 65 (1990), 24-36;
23. Mike Savage, ‘The Missing Link: The Relationship between Social and Geographical Mobility’, British Journal of Sociology, 39 (1988), 554-77;
24. See also Jonathan Kelley and Ian McAllister, ‘Social Context and Electoral Behavior in Britain’, American Journal of Political Science, 29 (1985), 564–86
25. G. A. Hughes and B. McCormick, ‘Migration Intentions in the UK. Which Households Want to Migrate and Which Succeed?’, Economic Journal, Supplement, 95 (1985), 113–23.
26. A further refinement is to include an interaction term in order to take account of possible asymmetrical effects between upward and downward mobility. See P. Clifford and A. F. Heath, ‘The Political Consequences of Social Mobility’, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, series A, forthcoming.
27. See Brown, Migration and Politics, pp. 88–104.
28. See J. W. Galbraith and N. C. Rae, ‘A Test of the Importance of Tactical Voting: Great Britain 1987’, British Journal of Political Science, 19 (1989), 126-136;
29. R. J. Johnston and C. J. Pattie, ‘Tactical Voting in Great Britain in 1983 and 1987: An Alternative Approach’, British Journal of Political Science, 21 (1991), 95–108.
30. Denver and Halfacree, ‘Inter-Constituency Migration and General Election Results in Britain’, p. 12.
31. See, for example, Donald R. Kinder and D. Roderick Kiewiet, ‘Sociotropic Politics: The American Case’, British Journal of Political Science, 11 (1981), 129–61. For a full discussion of the north-south divide itself see Johnston, Pattie and Allsopp, A Nation Dividing?