Assessing the stochastic variability of the Benefit-Cost ratio in roadway safety management

Accident Analysis and Prevention

Volumn 93, Issue , 2016, Pages 189-197

  Cafiso, Salvatore ^a   D'Agostino, Carmelo ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF CATANIA   (Italy)

Author keywords

Benefit cost analysis; Crash modification factor; Montecarlo simulation; Reliability analysis; Road safety; Safety performance function; Stochastic analysis

Indexed keywords

ACCIDENT PREVENTION; ACCIDENTS; COST ACCOUNTING; COSTS; DECISION MAKING; FACTOR ANALYSIS; HIGHWAY ACCIDENTS; HIGHWAY PLANNING; INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS; MONTE CARLO METHODS; MOTOR TRANSPORTATION; PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS; RELIABILITY; RELIABILITY ANALYSIS; ROADS AND STREETS; SAFETY ENGINEERING; SAFETY FACTOR; STOCHASTIC SYSTEMS; TRANSPORTATION;

BENEFIT-COST ANALYSIS; MODIFICATION FACTORS; ROAD SAFETY; SAFETY PERFORMANCE FUNCTION; STOCHASTIC ANALYSIS;

COST BENEFIT ANALYSIS;

COST BENEFIT ANALYSIS; ECONOMICS; ENVIRONMENTAL PLANNING; HUMAN; PREVENTION AND CONTROL; REPRODUCIBILITY; SAFETY; STANDARDS; TRAFFIC ACCIDENT;

ACCIDENTS, TRAFFIC; COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS; ENVIRONMENT DESIGN; HUMANS; REPRODUCIBILITY OF RESULTS; SAFETY MANAGEMENT;

EID: 84969508545     PISSN: 00014575     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.aap.2016.04.027     Document Type: Article

References (33)

1. A.H.-S. Ang, and W.H. Tang Probability concepts in engineering planning and design Vol. I: Basic Principles 1984 John Wiley & Sons Hoboken, New Jersey, USA
2. htt://www.cmfclearinghouse.org/ Section Countermeasure: Shoulder Treatment (accessed 25. 5.14).
3. S. Cafiso, and C. D'Agostino Reliability-based assessment of Benefits in roadway safety management Transportation Research Record J. Transp. Res. Board 2513 2015 1 10 10.3141/2513-01 Washington, D.C., USA
4. S. Cafiso, and G. Di Silvestro Evaluation of safety identification methods for low-Volume roads using monte carlo simulation transportation research record J. Transp. Res. Board 2203 2011 106 115 Washington D.C., USA
5. S. Cafiso, D.I. Silvestro, B. Persaud, and M.A. Begum Revisiting Variability of Dispersion Parameter of Safety Performance for Two-Lane Rural Roads. Transportation Research Record J. Transp. Res. Board 2148 2010 38 46 Washington. D.C., USA
6. S. Cafiso, G. Di Silvestro, and G. Di Guardo Application of the highway safety manual to italian divided multilane highways Proc. Soc. Behav. Sci. 53 October (3) 2012 910 919
7. S. Cafiso, C. D'Agostino, and B. Persaud Investigating the influence on safety of retrofitting Italian motorways with barriers meeting a new EU standard Transportation Research Board of the National Academies 93rd Annual Meeting Washington D.C., USA 2014
8. A.C. Cameron, and P.K. Trivedi Regression Analysis of Count Data 1998 Cambridge University Press Cambridge UK
9. C. D'Agostino Investigating transferability and goodness of fit of two different approaches of segmentation and model form for estimating safety performance of Motorways Procedi. Eng. 84 2014 2014 613 623 10.1016/j.proeng.2014.10.478
10. D. Dominique Lord, and F. Mannering The statistical analysis of crash-frequency data: a review and assessment of methodological alternatives Transp. Res. Part A 44 2010 291 305
11. R. Elvik, A. Hoye, T. Vaa, and M. Sorensen Handbook of Road Safety Measures second edition 2009 Emerald Group Bingley, UK
12. R. Elvik To what extent can theory account for the findings of road safety evaluation studies? Accid. Anal. Prev. 36 2004 841 849
13. European Road Safety Observatory, (2006) Work-related road safety, retrieved September 14, 2007 from www.erso.eu
14. E. Hauer, and J. Bamfo Two tools for finding what function links the dependent variable to the explanatory variables Proc. ICTCT Conference Lund. Sweden 1997
15. E. Hauer, J.A. Bonneson, F. Council, R. Srinivasan, and C. Zegeer Crash modification factors, foundational issues. transportation research record J. Transp. Res. Board 2279 2012 67 74 (Transortation Research Board of the National Academies, Washington, D.C)
16. E. Hauer, J.A. Bonneson, F. Council, R. Srinivasan, and B. Geni Value of research on safety effects of actions transportation research record J. Transp. Res. Board 2288 2012 68 74 10.3141/2280-08 Washington D.C., USA.
17. E. Hauer Observational Before-After Studies in Road Safety 1997 Pergamon Press. Elsevier Science Ltd. Oxford, UK
18. E. Hauer Overdispersion in modelling accidents on road sections and in empirical bayes estimation Accid. Anal. Prev. 33 6 2001 799 808
19. B.G. Heydecke, and J. Wu Identification of sites for road accident remedial work by bayesian statistical methods: an example of uncertain inference Adv. Eng. Software 32 2001 859 869
20. Highway Safety Manual (HSM) Highway Safety Manual (HSM) first edition 2010 FHWA American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials Washington, DC, USA
21. J.L. Higle, and J.M. Witkowski Bayesian Identification of Hazardous Locations. In Transportation Research Record 1185 1988 TRB. National Research Council Washington, D.C. 24 36
22. ISTAT (National Institute of Statistics) I Dati Sugli Incidenti Stradali Rilevati Dal2001, Al 2012 2012 Istituto Nazionale di Statistica Milan, Italy
23. F. La Torre, L. Dominichini, F. Corsi, and F. Fanfani Transferability of the highway safety manual freeway model to the italian motorway network Transportation Research Board of the National Academies 93rd Annual Meeting Washington D.C. USA 2014
24. D. Lord, and F.L. Mannering The statistical analysis of crash-Frequency data: a review and assessment ofmethodological alternatives Transp. Res. Part A 44 2010 291 305
25. D. Lord Modeling motor vehicle crashes using Poisson-Gamma models: examining the effects of low sample mean values and small samples size on the estimation of the fixed dispersion parameter Accid. Anal. Prev. 38 2006 751 766
26. S.-P.Lord Miao Modeling traffic crash-Flow relationshipsfor intersections: dispersion parameter. functional form. and bayes versus empirical bayes methods transportation research record J. Transp. Res. Board 1840 2003 31 40 Washington, D.C., USA
27. A. Montella Safety evaluation of curve delineation improvements. empirical bayes observational before-and-After study. transportation research record J. Transp. Res. Board 2013 2009 69 79 Washington, D.C., USA.
28. S. Mordechai Applications of Monte Carlo Method in Science and Engineering 2011 InTech Rijeka, Croatia 10.5772/1954
29. NCHRP Report 641 Guidance for the design and application of shoulder and centerline rumble strips. project 17-32, torbic, et al Transp. Res. Board 2009
30. OECD and ITF Sharing Road Safety: Developing an International Framework for Crash Modification Functions 2012 OECD, Publishing Paris 10.1787/9789282103760-en
31. E. Sacchi, B. Persaud, and M. Bassani Assessing international transferability of highway safety manual crash prediction algorithm and its components. transportation research record J. Transp. Res. Board 2279 2012 90 98 Washington, D.C., USA
32. W.R. Shadish, T.D. Cook, and D.T. Campbell Experimental and Quasi-experimental Designs for Generalized Causal Inference 2002 Houghton Mifflin Company Boston, USA
33. M.L. Shooman Probabilistic Reliability: An Engineering Approach 1968 McGraw-Hill New York