Pattern recognition methodologies and deterministic evaluation of seismic hazard: A strategy to increase earthquake preparedness

Bollettino della Societa Geologica Italiana

Volumn 1, Issue 1, 2002, Pages 37-46

  Peresan, Antonella ^a   Panza, Giuliano F ^a,b   Gorshkov, Alexander I ^b,c   Aoudia, Abdelkrim ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF TRIESTE   (Italy)

^b ABDUS SALAM INTERNATIONAL CENTRE FOR THEORETICAL PHYSICS   (Italy)

^c INSTITUTE OF EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION THEORY AND MATHEMATICAL GEOPHYSICS   (Russian Federation)

Author keywords

Earthquake prediction; Italy; Pattern recognition; Scenarios; Seismic risk

Indexed keywords

EID: 84968764350     PISSN: 00378763     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: None     Document Type: Article

References (33)

1. ALEKSEEVSKAYA M.A., GABRIELOV A.M., GVISHIANI A.D., GELFAND I.M. & RANZMAN E.YA. (1977) -Formal morphostructural zoning of mountain territories, J. Geophys, 43, 227-233.
2. AOUDIA A., CHIMERA G., COSTA G., NUNZIATA C., PANZA G.F., ROMANELLI F., SARAO A., SUHADOLC P. & VACCARI F. (2000) -Modelling of the seismic ground motion of the Umbria-Marche sequence (September 1997). Proceedings of the 12th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering, CdRom paperId-2500, Auckland-New Zealand.
3. BOSCHI E., FERRARI G., GASPERINI P., GUIDOBONI E., SMRIGLIO G. & VALENSISE G. (1995) -Catalogo dei forti terremoti in Italia dal 461 a.C. al 1980. Istituto Nazionale Di Geofisica e Storia Geofisica Ambiente.
4. CAMASSI R. & STUCCHI M. (1996) -NT 4.1, Un catalogo parametrico Di terremoti Di area Italiana al Di sopra della soglia Di danno. Open data file. Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche GNDT.
5. CAPUTO M., KEILIS-BOROK V., OFICEROVA E., RANZMAN E., ROTWAIN I. & SOLOVIEFF A. (1980) -Pattern recognition of earthquake-prone areas in Italy. Phys. Earth Planet. Inter., 2 (1), 305-320.
6. CORSANEGO A., FACCIOLI E., GAVARINI C., SCANDONE P., SLEIKO D. & STUCCHI M. (1997) -Gruppo Nazionale per la Difesa dai Terremoti. L'attività del triennio 1993-1995. CNR, GNDT, Roma, 1997.
7. COSTA G., PANZA G.F., SUHADOLC P. & VACCARI F. (1993) -Zoning of the Italian territory in terms of expected peak ground acceleration derived from complete synthetic seismograms, in: R. Cassinis, K. Helbig and G.F. Panza (eds.), Geophysical Exploration in Areas of Complex Geology, J. Appl. Geophys., 30, 149-160.
8. EUROCODICE 8 (1993) -Eurocode 8 structures in seismic regionsdesign-part 1 general and building, Doc TC250/SC8/N57A.
9. FIELD E.H. & THE SCEC PHASE III WORKING GROUP (2000) -Accounting for site effects in probabilistic seismic hazard analyses of Southern California: overview of the SCEC Phase III Report. Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., 90, S1-S31.
10. FLORSCH N., FAEH D., SUHADOLC P. & PANZA G.F. (1991) -Complete synthetic seismograms for high frequency multimode love waves. Pure Appl. Geophys., 136, 529-560.
11. GABRIELOV I., KEILIS-BOROK V. & JACKSON D.D. (1996) -Geometric incompatibility in a fault system. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 93 (9), 3838-3842.
12. GELFAND I., GUBERMAN SH., IZVEKOVA M., KEILIS-BOROK V. & RANTSMAN E. (1972) -Criteria of high seismicity, determined by pattern recognition. Tectonophysics, 13, 415-422.
13. GELFAND I., GUBERMAN SH., KEILIS-BOROK V., KNOPOFF L., PRESS F., RANTSMAN E., ROTWAIN I. & SADOVSKY A. (1976) -Pattern recognition applied to earthquake epicentres in California, Phys. Earth Planet. Inter., 11, 227-283.
14. GORSHKOV A., KUZNETSOV I., PANZA G. & SOLOVIEV A. (2000) -Identification of future earthquake sources in the Carpatho-Balkan orogenic belt using morphostuctural criteria. Pure and Appl. Geophys., 157, 79-95.
15. GORSHKOV A., PANZA G.F., SOLOVIEV A.A. & AOUDIA A. (2001) -Morphostructural zonation and preliminary recognition of seismogenic nodes around the Adria margin in peninsular Italy and Sicily. Submitted.
16. KEILIS-BOROK V.I. & ROTWAIN I.M. (1990) -Diagnosis of time of increased probability of strong earthquakes in different regions of the world: algorithm CN. Phys. Earth Planet. Inter., 61, 57-72.
17. KEILIS-BOROK V.I., KUTZNETSOV I.V., PANZA G.F., ROTWAIN I.M. & COSTA G. (1990) -On intermediate-term earthquake prediction in Central Italy. Pure and Appl. Geophys., 134, 79-92.
18. KEILIS-BOROK V.I. (1996) -Intermediate term earthquake prediction. Proc. Natl. Acad Sci. USA, 93, 3748-3755.
19. KOSSOBOKOV V.G., ROMASHKOVA L.L., KEILIS-BOROK V.I. & HEALY J.H. (1999) -Testing earthquake prediction algorithms: statistically significant advance prediction of the largest earthquakes in the Circum-Pacific, 1992-1997, Phys. Earth Planet. Inter., 111, 187-196.
20. MATTHEWS R. (1996) -How rigth can you be? New Scientist., 3, 28-31.
21. MATTHEWS, R. (1997) -Decision-theoretic limits on earthquake prediction. Geophys. J. Int., 131, 526-529.
22. MELETTI C., PATACCA E. & SCANDONE P. (2000) -Construction of a seismotectonic model: the case of Italy. Pure and Appl. Geophys., 157, 11-35.
23. MOLIN D., STUCCHI M. & VALENSISE G. (1996) -Massime intensità macrosismiche osservate nei comuni italiani, elaborato per il Dipartimento della Protezione Civile. GNDT, ING, SSN, Roma.
24. PANZA G.F. (1985) -Synthetic seismograms: the Rayleigh waves model summation, J. Geophys., 58, 125-145.
25. PANZA G.F., VACCARI F., COSTA G., SUHADOLC P. & FAH D. (1996) -Seismic input modelling for zoning and microzoning, Earthquake Spectra, 12 (3), 529-566.
26. PANZA G.F., CAZZARO R. & VACCARI F. (1997) -Correlation between macroseismic intensities and seismic ground motion parameters. Annali Di Geofisica, 5, 1371-1381.
27. PANZA G.F., VACCARI F. & CAZZARO R. (1999) -Deterministic seismic hazard assessment. In F. WENZEL et al (Eds), Vrancea Earthquakes: Tectonics, Hazard and Risk Mitigation, 269-286. Kluwer Academic Publishers, Olanda.
28. PERESAN A., COSTA G. & VACCARI F. (1997) -CCI1996: the Current Catalogue of Italy. The Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics. Internal report. Trieste, Italy.
29. PERESAN A. & ROTWAIN I.M. (1998) -Analysis and definition of magnitude selection criteria for NEIC (PDE) data, oriented to the compilation of a homogeneous updated catalogue for CN monitoring in Italy. The Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics. Internal report. Trieste. Italy.
30. PERESAN A., COSTA G. & PANZA G.F. (1999) -Seismotectonic model and CN earthquake prediction in Italy. Pure and Appl. Geophys., 154, 281-306.
31. RANTSMAN E.YA. (1979) -Morphostructure of mountain regions and sites of earthquakes. Nauka, Moscow, 170 p. (In Russian).
32. ROTWAIN I.M. & NOVIKOVA O. (1999) -Performance of the earthquake prediction algorithm CN in 22 regions of the world. Phys. Earth Planet. Inter., 111, 207-213.
33. WELLS D.L. & COPPERSMITH K.J. (1994) -New empirical relationships among magnitude, rupture length, rupture width, and surface displacement. Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., 84, 974-1002.