Predicting long-term neurological outcomes after severe traumatic brain injury requiring decompressive craniectomy: A comparison of the CRASH and IMPACT prognostic models

Injury

Volumn 47, Issue 9, 2016, Pages 1886-1892

  Honeybul, Stephen ^a,b   Ho, Kwok M ^c  

^a SIR CHARLES GAIRDNER HOSPITAL   (Australia)

^b ROYAL PERTH HOSPITAL   (Australia)

^c UNIVERSITY OF WESTERN AUSTRALIA   (Australia)

Author keywords

CRASH prediction model; Decompressive craniectomy; IMPACT prediction model

Indexed keywords

ADULT; ARTICLE; AUSTRALIA; COHORT ANALYSIS; COMPARATIVE STUDY; DECOMPRESSIVE CRANIECTOMY; FEMALE; HUMAN; INJURY SEVERITY; MAJOR CLINICAL STUDY; MALE; NEUROLOGIC DISEASE; OBSERVATIONAL STUDY; OUTCOME ASSESSMENT; PREDICTION; PRIORITY JOURNAL; PROGNOSTIC ASSESSMENT; PROSPECTIVE STUDY; RISK ASSESSMENT; TRAUMATIC BRAIN INJURY; BRAIN INJURIES, TRAUMATIC; DISABILITY; GLASGOW OUTCOME SCALE; HEALTH CARE QUALITY; MIDDLE AGED; MORTALITY; PATHOPHYSIOLOGY; PERSISTENT VEGETATIVE STATE; PREDICTIVE VALUE; PROGNOSIS; RECEIVER OPERATING CHARACTERISTIC; STATISTICS AND NUMERICAL DATA; THEORETICAL MODEL; WESTERN AUSTRALIA; YOUNG ADULT;

ADULT; BRAIN INJURIES, TRAUMATIC; DECOMPRESSIVE CRANIECTOMY; DISABILITY EVALUATION; FEMALE; GLASGOW OUTCOME SCALE; HUMANS; MALE; MIDDLE AGED; MODELS, THEORETICAL; PERSISTENT VEGETATIVE STATE; PREDICTIVE VALUE OF TESTS; PROGNOSIS; PROSPECTIVE STUDIES; QUALITY ASSURANCE, HEALTH CARE; ROC CURVE; WESTERN AUSTRALIA; YOUNG ADULT;

EID: 84964727358     PISSN: 00201383     EISSN: 18790267     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.injury.2016.04.017     Document Type: Article

References (49)

1. [1] Guerra, W.K., Gaab, M.R., Dietz, H., Mueller, J.U., Piek, J., Fritsch, M.J., Surgical decompression for traumatic brain swelling: indications and results. J Neurosurg 90 (1999), 187–196.
2. [2] Polin, R.S., Shaffrey, M.E., Bogaey, C.A., Tisdale, N., Germanson, T., Bocchicchio, B., et al. Decompressive bifrontal craniectomy in the treatment of severe refractory posttraumatic cerebral edema. Neurosurgery 41 (1997), 84–94.
3. [3] Carter, B.S., Ogilvy, C.S., Candia, G.J., Rosas, H.D., Buonanno, F., One-year outcome after decompressive surgery for massive nondominant hemispheric infarction. Neurosurgery 40 (1997), 1168–1175.
4. [4] Schwab, S., Steiner, T., Aschoff, A., Schwarz, S., Steiner, H.H., Jansen, O., et al. Early hemicraniectomy in patients with complete middle cerebral artery infarction. Stroke 29 (1998), 1888–1893.
5. [5] Schirmer, C.M., Hoit, D.A., Malek, A.M., Decompressive hemicraniectomy for the treatment of intractable intracranial hypertension after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage. Stroke 38 (2007), 987–992.
6. [6] Scozzafava, J., Brindley, P.G., Mehta, V., Findlay, J.M., Decompressive bifrontal craniectomy for malignant intracranial pressure following anterior communicating artery aneurysm rupture: two case reports. Neurocrit Care 6 (2007), 49–53.
7. [7] Keller, E., Pangalu, A., Fandino, J., Könü, D., Yonekawa, Y., Decompressive craniectomy in severe cerebral venous and dural sinus thrombosis. Acta Neurochir Suppl 94 (2005), 177–183.
8. [8] Weber, J., Spring, A., Unilateral decompressive craniectomy in left transverse and sigmoid sinus thrombosis. Zentralbl Neurochir 65 (2004), 135–140.
9. [9] Adamo, M.A., Deshaies, E.M., Emergency decompressive craniectomy for fulminating infectious encephalitis. J Neurosurg 108 (2008), 174–176.
10. [10] Bayram, N., Ciftdogan, D.Y., Karapinar, B., Ozgiray, E., Polat, M., Cagliyan, E., et al. A case of herpes simplex encephalitis revealed by decompressive craniectomy. Eur J Pediatr 167 (2008), 821–822.
11. [11] Ahmed, A.I., Eynon, C.A., Kinton, L., Nicoll, J.A., Belli, A., Decompressive craniectomy for acute disseminated encephalomyelitis. Neurocrit Care 13 (2010), 393–395.
12. [12] Dombrowski, K.E., Mehta, A.I., Turner, D.A., McDonagh, D.L., Life-saving hemicraniectomy for fulminant acute disseminated encephalomyelitis. Br J Neurosurg 25 (2011), 249–252.
13. [13] Nguyen, H.S., Callahan, J.D., Cohen-Gadol, A.A., Life-saving decompressive craniectomy for diffuse cerebral edema during an episode of new-onset diabetic ketoacidosis: case report and review of the literature. Childs Nerv Syst 27 (2011), 657–664.
14. [14] Wendell, L.C., Khan, A., Raser, J., Lang, S.S., Malhotra, N., Kofke, W.A., et al. Successful management of refractory intracranial hypertension from acute hyperammonemic encephalopathy in a woman with ornithine transcarbamylase deficiency. Neurocrit Care 13 (2010), 113–117.
15. [15] Honeybul, S., Ho, K.M., The current role of decompressive craniectomy in the management of neurological emergencies. Brain Inj 27 (2013), 979–991.
16. [16] Hofmeijer, J., Kappelle, L.J., Algra, A., Amelink, G.J., van Gijn, J., Van der Worp, H.B., et al. Surgical decompression for space-occupying cerebral infarction (the Hemicraniectomy After Middle Cerebral Artery infarction with Life-threatening Edema Trial [HAMLET]): a multicentre, open, randomised trial. Lancet Neurol 8 (2009), 326–333.
17. [17] Jüttler, E., Schwab, S., Schmiedek, P., Unterberg, A., Hennerici, M., Woitzik, J., et al. Decompressive Surgery for the Treatment of Malignant Infarction of the Middle Cerebral Artery (DESTINY): a randomized, controlled trial. Stroke 38 (2007), 2518–2525.
18. [18] Vahedi, K., Vicaut, E., Mateo, J., Kurtz, A., Orabi, M., Guichard, J.P., et al. Sequential-design, multicenter, randomized, controlled trial of early decompressive craniectomy in malignant middle cerebral artery infarction (DECIMAL Trial). Stroke 38 (2007), 2506–2517.
19. [19] Vahedi, K., Hofmeijer, J., Juettler, E., Vicaut, E., George, B., Algra, A., et al. Early decompressive surgery in malignant infarction of the middle cerebral artery: a pooled analysis of three randomised controlled trials. Lancet Neurol 6 (2007), 215–222.
20. [20] Honeybul, S., Ho, K.M., Gillett, G., Outcome following decompressive hemicraniectomy for malignant cerebral infarction: ethical considerations. Stroke 46 (2015), 2695–2698.
21. [21] Puetz, V., Campos, C.R., Eliasziw, M., Hill, M.D., Demchuk, A.M., Calgary Stroke Program. Assessing the benefits of hemicraniectomy: what is a favourable outcome?. Lancet Neurol 6 (2007), 580–581.
22. [22] Cooper, D.J., Rosenfeld, J.V., Murray, L., Arabi, Y.M., Davies, A.R., D'Urso, P., et al. The DECRA Trial Investigators and the Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Society Clinical Trials Group. N Engl J Med 21 (2011), 1493–1502.
23. [23] Honeybul, S., Ho, K.M., Lind, C.R., Gillett, G.R., The future of decompressive craniectomy for diffuse traumatic brain injury. J Neurotrauma 28 (2011), 2199–2200.
24. [24] Hutchinson, P.J., Corteen, E., Czosnyka, M., Mendelow, A.D., Menon, D.K., Mitchell, P., et al. Decompressive craniectomy in traumatic brain injury: the randomized multicenter RESCUEicp study. Acta Neurochir Suppl 96 (2006), 17–20.
25. [25] Hoppe, D.J., Schemitsch, E.H., Morshed, S., Tornetta, P. 3rd, Bhandari, M., Hierarchy of evidence: where observational studies fit in and why we need them. J Bone Joint Surg Am 91:Suppl 3 (2009), 2–9.
26. [26] Song, J.W., Chung, K.C., Observational studies: cohort and case-control studies. Plast Reconstr Surg 126:6 (2010), 2234–2242.
27. [27] Honeybul, S., Ho, K.M., Lind, C.R., Corcoran, T., Gillett, G.R., The retrospective application of a prediction model to patients who have had a decompressive craniectomy for trauma. J Neurotrauma 26 (2009), 2179–2183.
28. [28] Honeybul, S., Ho, K.M., Lind, C.R.P., Gillett, G.R., Observed versus predicted outcome for decompressive craniectomy: a population based study. J Neurotrauma 27 (2010), 1225–1232.
29. [29] Honeybul, S., Ho, K.M., Lind, C.R., Gillett, G.R., Validation of the CRASH model in the prediction of 18-month mortality and unfavorable outcome in severe traumatic brain injury requiring decompressive craniectomy. J Neurosurg 120 (2014), 1131–1137.
30. [30] Perel, P., Arango, M., Claydon, T., Edwards, P., Komolafe, E., Poccock, S., et al. Predicting outcome after brain injury: practical prognostic models based on a large cohort of international patients. BMJ 23 (2008), 425–429.
31. [31] Steyerberg, E.W., Mushkudiani, N., Perel, P., Butcher, I., Lu, J., McHugh, G.S., et al. Predicting outcome after traumatic brain injury: development and international validation of prognostic scores based on admission characteristics. PLoS Med, 5, 2008, e165.
32. [32] Bratton, S.L., Chestnut, R.M., Ghajar, J., McConnell Hammond, F.F., Harris, O.A., Hartl, R., et al. Brain Trauma Foundation; American Association of Neurological Surgeons; Congress of Neurological Surgeons; Joint Section on Neurotrauma and Critical Care, AANS/CNS. Guidelines for the management of severe traumatic brain injury. J Neurotrauma, 24(Suppl. 1), 2007.
33. [33] Andrews, P.J., Sinclair, H.L., Rodriguez, A., Harris, B.A., Battison, C.G., Rhodes, J.K., et al. Hypothermia for intracranial hypertension after traumatic brain injury. N Engl J Med 373 (2015), 2403–2412.
34. [34] Honeybul, S., Morrison, D.A., Ho, K.M., Lind, C.R.P., Geelhoed, E., A randomised controlled trial comparing autologous cranioplasty with custom made titanium cranioplasty. J Neurosurg, 2016 [in press].
35. [35] Hanley, J.A., McNeil, B.J., A method of comparing the areas under receiver operating characteristic curves derived from the same cases. Radiology 148 (1983), 839–843.
36. [36] Ho, K.M., Forest and funnel plots illustrated the calibration of a prognostic model: a descriptive study. J Clin Epidemiol 60 (2007), 746–751.
37. [37] Vergouwe, Y., Steyerberg, E.W., Eijkemans, M.J., Habbema, J.D., Substantial effective sample sizes were required for external validation studies of predictive logistic regression models. J Clin Epidemiol 58 (2005), 475–483.
38. [38] Cremer, O.L., Moons, K.G., van Dijk, G.W., van Balen, P., Kalkman, C.J., Prognosis following severe head injury: development and validation of a model for prediction of death, disability, and functional recovery. J Trauma 61 (2006), 1484–1491.
39. [39] Perel, P., Edwards, P., Wentz, R., Roberts, I., Systematic review of prognostic models in traumatic brain injury. BMC Med Inform Decis Mak, 6, 2006, 38.
40. [40] Signorini, D.F., Andrews, P.J., Jones, P.A., Wardlaw, J.M., Miller, J.D., Predicting survival using simple clinical variables: a case study in traumatic brain injury. J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry 66 (1999), 20–25.
41. [41] Han, J., King, N.K., Neilson, S.J., Gandhi, M.P., Ng, I., External validation of the CRASH and IMPACT prognostic models in severe traumatic brain injury. J Neurotrauma 31 (2014), 1146–1152.
42. [42] Lingsma, H., Andriessen, T.M., Haitsema, I., Horn, J., van der Naalt, J., Franschman, G., et al. Prognosis in moderate and severe traumatic brain injury: external validation of the IMPACT models and the role of extracranial injuries. J Trauma Acute Care Surg 74 (2013), 639–646.
43. [43] Majdan, M., Lingsma, H.F., Nieboer, D., Mauritz, W., Rusnak, M., Steyerberg, E.W., Performance of IMPACT, CRASH and Nijmegen models in predicting six month outcome of patients with severe or moderate TBI: an external validation study. Scand J Trauma Resusc Emerg Med, 22, 2014, 68.
44. [44] Panczykowski, D.M., Puccio, A.M., Scruggs, B.J., Bauer, J.S., Hricik, A.J., Beers, S.R., et al. Prospective independent validation of IMPACT modeling as a prognostic tool in severe traumatic brain injury. J Neurotrauma 29 (2012), 47–52.
45. [45] Roozenbeek, B., Lingsma, H.F., Lecky, F.E., Lu, J., Weir, J., Butcher, I., et al. Prediction of outcome after moderate and severe traumatic brain injury: external validation of the International Mission on Prognosis and Analysis of Clinical Trials (IMPACT) and Corticoid Randomisation After Significant Head injury (CRASH) prognostic models. Crit Care Med 40 (2012), 1609–1617.
46. [46] Wong, G.K., Teoh, J., Yeung, J., Chan, E., Siu, E., Woo, P., et al. Outcomes of traumatic brain injury in Hong Kong: validation with the TRISS, CRASH, and IMPACT models. J Clin Neurosci 20 (2013), 1693–1696.
47. [47] Yeoman, P1, Pattani, H., Silcocks, P., Owen, V., Fuller, G., Validation of the IMPACT outcome prediction score using the Nottingham Head Injury Register dataset. J Trauma 71 (2011), 387–392.
48. [48] Gillett, G.R., Honeybul, S., Ho, K.M., Lind, C.R.P., Neurotrauma and the RUB: where tragedy meets ethics and science. J Med Ethics 36 (2010), 727–730.
49. [49] Honeybul, S., Gillett, G., Ho, K., Lind, C., Ethical considerations for performing decompressive craniectomy as a life-saving intervention for severe traumatic brain injury. J Med Ethics 38 (2012), 657–661.