Modeling approaches to detect land-use changes: Urbanization analyzed on a set of 43 US catchments

Journal of Hydrology

Volumn 538, Issue , 2016, Pages 138-151

  Salavati, Bahar ^a,b   Oudin, Ludovic ^a,b   Furusho Percot, Carina ^c   Ribstein, Pierre ^a,b  

^a SORBONNE UNIVERSITÉ   (France)

^b CNRS   (France)

^c CEMAGREF   (France)

Author keywords

Land use change; Paired catchments; Rainfall runoff modeling; Urbanization

Indexed keywords

CATCHMENTS; CLIMATE CHANGE; LAND USE; STREAM FLOW; URBAN GROWTH;

DETECTION AND QUANTIFICATIONS; FLOW CHARAC-TERISTICS; HYDROLOGICAL CHANGES; HYDROLOGICAL MODELING; LAND-USE CHANGE; PAIRED CATCHMENTS; RAINFALL-RUNOFF MODELING; URBANIZATION;

RUNOFF;

CATCHMENT; COMPARATIVE STUDY; FLOW PATTERN; GEOMORPHOLOGICAL RESPONSE; HUMAN ACTIVITY; HYDROLOGICAL CHANGE; HYDROLOGICAL MODELING; LAND USE CHANGE; MODEL VALIDATION; RAINFALL-RUNOFF MODELING; STREAMFLOW; URBANIZATION;

UNITED STATES;

EID: 84963972023     PISSN: 00221694     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.04.010     Document Type: Article

References (69)

1. Andréassian V. Waters and forests: from historical controversy to scientific debate. J. Hydrol. 2004, 291(1-2):1-27. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2003.12.015.
2. Andréassian V., Parent E., Michel C. A distribution-free test to detect gradual changes in watershed behavior. Water Resour. Res. 2003, 39(9):1252. 10.1029/2003wr002081.
3. Barringer T.H., Reiser R.G., Price C.V. Potential effects of development on flow characteristics of two New Jersey streams1. JAWRA - J. Am. Water Resour. Assoc. 1994, 30(2):283-295. 10.1111/j.1752-1688.1994.tb03291.
4. Blöschl G., et al. At what scales do climate variability and land cover change impact on flooding and low flows?. Hydrol. Process. 2007, 21(9):1241-1247. 10.1002/hyp.6669.
5. Booth D.B., Jackson C.R. Urbanization of aquatic systems: degradation thresholds, stormwater detection and the limits of mitigation 1. J. Am. Water Resour. Assoc. 1997, 33(5):1077-1090.
6. Bowling L.C., Storck P., Lettenmaier D.P. Hydrologic effects of logging in western Washington, United States. Water Resour. Res. 2000, 36(11):3223-3240.
7. Brandes D., Cavallo G.J., Nilson M.L. Base flow trends in urbanizing watersheds of the Delaware River basin. J. Am. Water Resour. Assoc. 2005, 41(6):1377-1391. 10.1111/j.1752-1688.2005.tb03806.x.
8. Brath A., Montanari A., Moretti G. Assessing the effect on flood frequency of land use change via hydrological simulation (with uncertainty). J. Hydrol. 2006, 324(1-4):141-153. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2005.10.001.
9. Braud I., Fletcher T.D., Andrieu H. Hydrology of peri-urban catchments: processes and modelling. J. Hydrol. 2013, 485:1-4. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.02.045.
10. Bronstert A., Niehoff D., Bürger G. Effects of climate and land-use change on storm runoff generation: present knowledge and modelling capabilities. Hydrol. Process. 2002, 16(2):509-529. 10.1002/hyp.326.
11. Changnon S.A., Demissie M. Detection of changes in streamflow and floods resulting from climate fluctuations and land use-drainage changes. Climatic Change 1996, 32(4):411-421.
12. Claessens L., Hopkinson C., Rastetter E., Vallino J. Effect of historical changes in land use and climate on the water budget of an urbanizing watershed. Water Resour. Res. 2006, 42(3).
13. Davis J.C. Statistics and Data Analysis in Geology 1986, 103-105. John Wiley & Sons.
14. De Roo A., Odijk M., Schmuck G., Koster E., Lucieer A. Assessing the effects of land use changes on floods in the meuse and order catchment. Phys. Chem. Earth Part B 2001, 26(7-8):593-599. 10.1016/S1464-1909(01)00054-5.
15. DeWalle D.R., Swistock B.R., Johnson T.E., McGuire K.J. Potential effects of climate change and urbanization on mean annual streamflow in the United States. Water Resour. Res. 2000, 36(9):2655-2664. 10.1029/2000wr900134.
16. Draper N.R., Smith H. Extra sums of squares and tests for several parameters being zero. Applied Regression Analysis 1998, 149-177. John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
17. Edijatno, De Oliveira Nascimento N., Yang X., Makhlouf Z., Michel C. GR3J: a daily watershed model with three free parameters. Hydrol. Sci. J. 1999, 44(2):263-277. 10.1080/02626669909492221.
18. Falcone, J., 2011. GAGES-II: Geospatial Attributes of Gages for Evaluating Streamflow, Reston, VA. http://water.usgs.gov/lookup/getspatial?gagesII_Sept2011.
19. FitzHugh T.W., Vogel R.M. The impact of dams on flood flows in the United States. River Res. Appl. 2011, 27(10):1192-1215. 10.1002/rra.1417.
20. Geiger W.F., Marsalek J., Rawls W.J., Zuidema F.C. Manual on Drainage in Urbanized Areas, Volume I: Planning and Design of Drainage Systems 1987, UNESCO, Belgium.
21. Hammer R.B., Stewart S.I., Winkler R., Radeloff V.C., Voss P.R. Characterizing spatial and temporal residential density patterns across the U.S. Midwest, 1940-1990. Landsc. Urban Plan 2004, 69:183-199.
22. Harr R.D., Harper W.C., Krygier J.T., Hsieh F.S. Changes in storm hydrographs after road building and clear-cutting in the Oregon Coast Range. Water Resour. Res. 1975, 11(3):436-444. 10.1029/WR011i003p00436.
23. Harrigan S., Murphy C., Hall J., Wilby R.L., Sweeney J. Attribution of detected changes in streamflow using multiple working hypotheses. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 2014, 18(5):1935-1952. 10.5194/hess-18-1935-2014.
24. Hejazi M.I., Moglen G.E. The effect of climate and land use change on flow duration in the Maryland Piedmont region. Hydrol. Process. 2008, 22(24):4710-4722. 10.1002/hyp.7080.
25. Homa E.S., Brown C., McGarigal K., Compton B.W., Jackson S.D. Estimating hydrologic alteration from basin characteristics in Massachusetts. J. Hydrol. 2013, 503:196-208. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.09.008.
26. Hundecha Y., Bárdossy A. Modeling of the effect of land use changes on the runoff generation of a river basin through parameter regionalization of a watershed model. J. Hydrol. 2004, 292(1-4):281-295. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2004.01.002.
27. Jacobson C.R. Identification and quantification of the hydrological impacts of imperviousness in urban catchments: a review. J. Environ. Manage. 2011, 92(6):1438-1448. 10.1016/j.jenvman.2011.01.018.
28. Jones J.A., Grant G.E. Peak flow responses to clear-cutting and roads in small and large basins, western Cascades, Oregon. Water Resour. Res. 1996, 32(4):959-974. 10.1029/95wr03493.
29. Karstensen, K.A., Shaver, D.K., Alexander, R.L, Over, T.M., Soong, D., 2013. Land change in the Central Corn Belt Plains Ecoregion and hydrologic consequences in developed areas 1939-2000: U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 2013-1157, 21 p. http://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2013/1157/.
30. Kauffman G., Belden A., Vonck K., Homsey A. Link between impervious cover and base flow in the White Clay Creek wild and scenic watershed in Delaware. J. Hydrol. Eng. 2009, 14(4):324-334.
31. Kjeldsen T.R. Modelling the impact of urbanization on flood frequency relationships in the UK. Hydrol. Res. 2010, 41(5):391-405.
32. Konrad C.P., Booth D.B. Hydrologic changes in urban streams and their ecological significance. Am. Fish. Soc. Symp. 2005, 47:157-177.
33. Kuczera G., Raper G.P., Brah N.S., Jayasuriya M.D. Modelling yield changes after strip thinning in a mountain ash catchment: an exercise in catchment model validation. J. Hydrol. 1993, 150(2-4):433-457. 10.1016/0022-1694(93)90120-X.
34. Le Moine N., Andréassian V., Perrin C., Michel C. How can rainfall-runoff models handle intercatchment groundwater flows? Theoretical study based on 1040 French catchments. Water Resour. Res. 2007, 43:W06428. 10.1029/2006wr005608.
35. Li Z., Liu W.-Z., Zhang X.-C., Zheng F.-L. Impacts of land use change and climate variability on hydrology in an agricultural catchment on the Loess Plateau of China. J. Hydrol. 2009, 377(1-2):35-42. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.08.007.
36. Livneh B., et al. A long-term hydrologically based dataset of land surface fluxes and states for the conterminous United States: update and extensions. J. Clim. 2013, 26(23):9384-9392. 10.1175/jcli-d-12-00508.1.
37. Lørup J.K., Refsgaard J.C., Mazvimavi D. Assessing the effect of land use change on catchment runoff by combined use of statistical tests and hydrological modelling: case studies from Zimbabwe. J. Hydrol. 1998, 205:147-163.
38. Maurer E.P., Wood A.W., Adam J.C., Lettenmaier D.P., Nijssen B. A long-term hydrologically based dataset of land surface fluxes and states for the conterminous United States. J. Clim. 2002, 15(22):3237-3251. 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00508.1.
39. McIntyre N., et al. Modelling the hydrological impacts of rural land use change. Hydrol. Res. 2014, 45(6):737-754.
40. Meyer S.C., Wilson S.D. Impact of urbanization on base flow and recharge rates, northeastern Illinois: summary of year 1 activities. Proceedings of the Annual IGC Conference 2002, 27-29. Illinois Groundwater Consortium.
41. Miller J.D., Grebby S. Mapping long-term temporal change in imperviousness using topographic maps. Int. J. Appl. Earth Obs. Geoinf. 2014, 30:9-20.
42. Miller J.D., et al. Assessing the impact of urbanization on storm runoff in a peri-urban catchment using historical change in impervious cover. J. Hydrol. 2014, 515:59-70. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.04.011.
43. Motta J.C., Tucci C.E.M. Simulation of the urbanization effect in flow. Hydrol. Sci. J. 1984, 29(2):131-147. 10.1080/02626668409490930.
44. Nash J.E., Sutcliffe J.V. River flow forecasting through conceptual models. Part I - a discussion of principles. J. Hydrol. 1970, 10:282-290.
45. Niehoff D., Fritsch U., Bronstert A. Land-use impacts on storm-runoff generation: scenarios of land-use change and simulation of hydrological response in a meso-scale catchment in SW-Germany. J. Hydrol. 2002, 267(1-2):80-93. 10.1016/S0022-1694(02)00142-7.
46. Oudin L., Andréassian V., Mathevet T., Perrin C., Michel C. Dynamic averaging of rainfall-runoff model simulations from complementary model parameterization. Water Resour. Res. 2006, 42(7):W07410.
47. Oudin L., et al. Which potential evapotranspiration input for a lumped rainfall-runoff model?: Part-towards a simple and efficient potential evapotranspiration model for rainfall-runoff modelling. J. Hydrol. 2005, 303(1-4):290-306. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2004.08.026.
48. Perrin C., Michel C., Andréassian V. Improvement of a parsimonious model for streamflow simulation. J. Hydrol. 2003, 279:275-289.
49. Plasker J.R. National landcover database 2006. Photorammetric Eng. Remote Sens. 2011, 77(9):855-864.
50. Prosdocimi I., Kjeldsen T.R., Miller J.D. Detection and attribution of urbanization effect on flood extremes using nonstationary flood-frequency models. Water Resour. Res. 2015, 51(6):4244-4262.
51. Rose S., Peters N.E. Effects of urbanization on streamflow in the Atlanta area (Georgia, USA): a comparative hydrological approach. Hydrol. Process. 2001, 15(8):1441-1457.
52. Rougé C., Cai X. Crossing-scale hydrological impacts of urbanization and climate variability in the greater Chicago area. J. Hydrol. 2014, 517:13-27. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.05.005.
53. Rozell D.P.E. Urbanization and trends in long island stream base flow. Seventeenth Annual Conference on Geology of Long Island and Metropolitan 2010, 12.
54. Salavati B., Oudin L., Furusho C., Ribstein P. Analysing the impact of urban areas patterns on the mean annual flow of 43 urbanized catchments. Proc. IAHS 2015, 370:29-32. 10.5194/piahs-370-29-2015.
55. Salvadore E., Bronders J., Batelaan O. Hydrological modelling of urbanized catchments: a review and future directions. J. Hydrol. 2015, 529(Part 1):62-81. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.06.028.
56. Schreider S.Y., et al. Detecting changes in streamflow response to changes in non-climatic catchment conditions: farm dam development in the Murray-Darling basin, Australia. J. Hydrol. 2002, 262:84-98.
57. Schueler T. The importance of imperviousness. Watershed Prot. Tech. 1994, 3:1-12.
58. Seibert J., McDonnell J.J. Land-cover impacts on streamflow: a change-detection modelling approach that incorporates parameter uncertainty. Hydrol. Sci. J. 2010, 55(3):316-332. 10.1080/02626661003683264.
59. Shaw M.E. Hydrology in Practice 1994, 569. Chapman & Hall, London. third ed.
60. Shuster W., Bonta J., Thurston H., Warnemuende E., Smith D. Impacts of impervious surface on watershed hydrology: a review. Urban Water J. 2005, 2(4):263-275.
61. Siriwardena L., Finlayson B.L., McMahon T.A. The impact of land use change on catchment hydrology in large catchments: the Comet River, Central Queensland, Australia. J. Hydrol. 2006, 326(1-4):199-214. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2005.10.030.
62. Theobald D.M. Landscape patterns of exurban growth in the USA from 1980 to 2020. Ecol. Soc. 2005, 10(1).
63. Thomas R.B., Megahan W.F. Peak flow responses to clear-cutting and roads in small and large basins, Western Cascades, Oregon: a second opinion. Water Resour. Res. 1998, 34(12):3393-3403. 10.1029/98wr02500.
64. Wagener T. Can we model the hydrological impacts of environmental change?. Hydrol. Process. 2007, 21(23):3233-3236. 10.1002/hyp.6873.
65. Wang D., Hejazi M. Quantifying the relative contribution of the climate and direct human impacts on mean annual streamflow in the contiguous United States. Water Resour. Res. 2011, 47(10):1-16. 10.1029/2010WR010283.
66. Weng Q. Remote sensing of impervious surfaces in the urban areas: requirements, methods, and trends. Anglais 2012, 117:34-49.
67. Yang L., et al. Urbanization and climate change: an examination of nonstationarities in urban flooding. J. Hydrometeorol. 2013, 14(6):1791-1809. 10.1175/jhm-d-12-095.1.
68. Zégre N., Skaugset A.E., Som N.A., McDonnell J.J., Ganio L.M. In lieu of the paired catchment approach: hydrologic model change detection at the catchment scale. Water Resour. Res. 2010, 46(11):W11544. 10.1029/2009wr008601.
69. Zhou F., et al. Hydrological response to urbanization at different spatio-temporal scales simulated by coupling of CLUE-S and the SWAT model in the Yangtze River Delta region. J. Hydrol. 2013, 485:113-125. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2012.12.040.