Differential fertility, human capital, and development

Review of Economic Studies

Volumn 83, Issue 1, 2016, Pages 365-401

  Vogl, Tom S ^a  

^a PRINCETON UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

Economic development; Economic growth; Fertility; Human capital

Indexed keywords

DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION; DEVELOPING WORLD; ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT; ECONOMIC GROWTH; FERTILITY; GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT; HUMAN CAPITAL; INCOME; INVESTMENT; SOCIOECONOMIC STATUS;

EID: 84962835806     PISSN: 00346527     EISSN: 1467937X     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1093/restud/rdv026     Document Type: Article

References (79)

1. ALTHAUS, P. G. (1980), "Differential Fertility and Economic Growth", Zeitschrift Für Die Gesamte Staatswissenschaft, 136, 309-326.
2. ANGRIST, J., LAVY, V. and SCHLOSSER, A. (2010), "Multiple Experiments for the Causal Link between the Quantity and Quality of Children", Journal of Labor Economics, 28, 773-824.
3. BARRO, R. J. and LEE, J.-W. (2010), "A New Data Set of Educational Attainment in the World, 1950-2010" (NBER Working Paper 15902).
4. BECKER, G. S. (1960), "An Economic Analysis of Fertility", in Demographic and Economic Change in Developed Countries, no. 11 in Universities-National Bureau Conference Series. (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press).
5. BECKER, G. S., KEVIN, M. and TAMURA, R. (1990), "Human Capital, Fertility, and Economic Growth", Journal of Political Economy, 98, S12-S37.
6. BEN-PORATH, Y (1976), "Fertility Response to Child Mortality: Micro Data from Israel", Journal of Political Economy, 84, S163-S178.
7. BENGTSSON, T. and DRIBE M. (2014), "The Fertility Transition at the Micro Level: Socioeconomic Status, Income and Fertility in Southern Sweden 1815-1939", Demographic Research, 30, 493-534.
8. BLACK, S., DEVEREUX, P. J. and SALVANES, K. G (2005), "The Morethe Merrier? The Effect of Family Composition on Children's Education", Quarterly Journal of Economics, 120, 669-700.
9. BOLDRIN, M. and JONES, L.E. (2002), "Mortality, Fertility and Saving in Malthusian Economy", Review of Economic Dynamics, 5, 775-814.
10. BUCHMANN, C. and HANNUM, E. (2001), "Education and Stratification in Developing Countries: A Review of Theories and Research", Annual Review of Sociology, 27, 77-102.
11. CAIN, M. (1983), "Fertility as an Adjustment to Risk", Population and Development Review, 9, 688-702.
12. CALDWELL, J. C. (1980), "Mass Education as a Determinant of the Timing of Fertility Decline", Population and Development Review, 6, 225-255.
13. CALDWELL, J. C. (1982), Theory of Fertility Decline. (New York: Academic Press).
14. CASTERLINE, J. B. (2001), "Diffusion Processes and Fertility Transition: Introduction", in J. B. Casterline, (ed.), Diffusion Processes and Fertility Transition. (Washington, DC: National Academy Press), pp. 1-38.
15. CLARK, G. (2007), A Farewell to Alms: A Brief Economic History of the World. (Princeton: Princeton University Press).
16. CLARK, G. and HAMILTON, G. C. (2006), "Survival of the Richest: The Malthusian Mechanism in Pre-Industrial England", Journal of Economic History, 66, 707-736.
17. CLARK, G and CUMMINS, N. (2015), "Malthus to Modernity: Wealth, Status, and Fertility in England, 1500-1879", Journal of Population Economics, 28, 3-29.
18. CLELAND, J. and RODRÍGUEZ, G. (1988), "The Effect of Parental Education on Marital Fertility in Developing Countries", Population Studies 42, 419-442.
19. COCHRANE, S. (1979), Fertility and Education: What Do We Really Know? (Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press).
20. COHEN, D. and SOTO, M. (2007), "Growth and Human Capital: Good Data, Good Results", Journal of Economic Growth, 12, 51-76.
21. DAHAN, M. and TSIDDON, D. (1998), "Demographic Transition, Income Distribution, and Economic Growth", Journal of Economic Growth, 3, 29-52.
22. DELACROIX, D. (2013), Fertility, Education, Growth, and Sustainability. (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press).
23. DE LA CROIX, D. and DOEPKE, M. (2003), "Inequality and Growth: Why Differential Fertility Matters", American Economic Review, 93, 1091-1113.
24. DOEPKE, M. (2005), "Child Mortality and Fertility Decline: Does the Barro-Becker Model Fit the Facts?" Journal of Population Economics, 18, 337-366.
25. DOEPKE, M. and ZILIBOTTI, F. (2005), "The Macroeconomics of Child Labor Regulation", American Economic Review, 95, 1492-1524.
26. DRIBE, M., ORIS, M. and POZZI, L. (2014), "Socioeconomic Status and Fertility before, during, and after the Demographic Transition: An Introduction", Demographic Research, 31, 161-182.
27. EHRLICH, I. and LUI, F. T. (1991), "Intergenerational Trade, Longevity, and Economic Growth", Journal of Political Economy, 99, 1029-1059.
28. FILMER, D. and PRITCHETT, L. H. (2001), "Estimating Wealth Effects Without Expenditure Data-Or Tears: An Application To Educational Enrollments In States Of India", Demography, 38, 115-132.
29. FULLER, W. A. (1987), Measurement Error Models. (New York: Wiley).
30. GALOR, O. (2011), Unified Growth Theory. (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press).
31. GALOR, O. and MICHALOPOULOS, S. (2012), "Evolution andthe Growth Process: Natural Selection of Entrepreneurial Traits", Journal of Economic Theory, 147, 759-780.
32. GALOR, O. and MOAV, O. (2002), "Natural Selection and the Origin of Economic Growth", Quarterly Journal of Economics, 117, 1133-1192.
33. GALOR, O. and WEIL, D. (1996), "The Gender Gap, Fertility and Growth", American Economic Review, 86, 374-387.
34. GALOR, O. and WEIL, D. (2000), "Population, Technology, and Growth: From the Malthusian Regime to the Demographic Transition and Beyond", American Economic Review, 90, 806-828.
35. GOLDIN, C. (1995), "The U-Shaped Female Labor Force Function in Econornic Development and Economic History", in Schultz, T. P. (ed.), Investment in Women's Human Capital. (Chicago: University of Chicago Press).
36. HALL, R. E. and JONES, C. I. (1999), "Why Do Some Countries Produce So Much More Output Per Worker Than Others?" Quarterly Journal Of Economics, 114, 83-116.
37. HAZAN, M. and BERDUGO, B. (2002), "Child Labour, Fertility, and Economic Growth", Economic Journal, 112, 810-828.
38. HADEISHI, H. (2003), "Economic Well-Being and Fertility in France: Nuits 1744-1792", Journal of Economic History, 62, 489-505.
39. HARTTGEN, K. and VOLLMER, S. (2014), "A Rversal in the Relationship of Human Development with Fertility?" Demography, 51, 173-184.
40. HAVEMAN, R. and WOLFE, B. (1995), "The Determinants of Children's Attainments: A Review of Methods and Findings", Journal of Economic Literature, 33, 1829-1878.
41. HAZAN, M. and ZOABI, H. (2015), "Do Highly Educated Women Choose Smaller Families?" Economic Journal, 125, 1191-1226.
42. HESKETH, T., LU, L. and XING, Z. W. (2005), "The Effect of China's One-Child Family Policy after 25 years", New England Journal of Medicine, 353, 1171-1176.
43. HESTON, A., SUMMERS, R. and ATEN, B. (2012), Penn World Table Version 7.1. Center for International Comparisons of Production, Income and Prices at the University of Pennsylvania.
44. INTERNATIONAL LABOUR OFFICE. (2012), Economically Active Population Estimates and Projections, 1950-2025: Volume 6.
45. JONES, L. E. and TERTILT, M. (2008), "An Economic History of Fertilityin the United States: 1826-1960", in Rupert, P. (ed.), Frontiers of Family Economics (Volume 1). (Bingley, UK: Emerald Press), pp. 165-230.
46. JONES, L. E., SCHOONBROODT, A. and TERTILT, M. (2010), "Fertility Theories: Can They Explain the Negative Fertility-Income Relationship?", in Shoven, J. B. (ed.), Demography and the Economy. (Chicago: University of Chicago Press), pp. 43-100.
47. KALEMLI-OZCAN, S. (2002), "Does the Mortality Decline Promote Economic Growth?" Journal of Economic Growth, 7, 411-439.
48. KREMER, M. and CHEN, D. L. (2002), "Income Distribution Dynamics with Endogenous Fertility", Journal of Economic Growth, 7, 227-258.
49. KNOWLES, J. (1999), "Can Parental Decisions Explain U.S. Income Inequality?" (Mimeo, University of Pennsylvania).
50. KUZNETS, S. (1973), Population, Capital and Growth. (New York: Norton).
51. LAM, D. (1986), "The Dynamics of Population Growth, Differential Fertility, and Inequality", American Economic Review, 76, 1103-1116.
52. LEE, R. (2000), "A Cross-Cultural Perspective on Intergenerational Transfers and the Economic Life Cycle", in Mason, A. and Tapinos, G. (eds), Sharing the Wealth: Demographic Change and Economic Transfers Between Generations. (Oxford: Oxford University Press), pp. 17-56.
53. LI, H., ZHANG, J. and ZHU, Y. (2008), "The Quantity-Quality Tradeoff of Children in a Developing Country: Identification Using Chinese Twins", Demography, 45, 223-243.
54. MALTHUS, T. R. (1826), An Essay on the Principle of Population. (London: John Murray).
55. MARE, R. D. and VIDA, M. (2006), "The Intergenerational Effects of Changes in Women's Educational Attainments", American Sociological Review, 71, 542-564.
56. MARALANI, V. (2008), "The Changing Relationship Between Family Size and Educational Attainment over the Course of Socioeconomic Development: Evidence from Indonesia", Demography, 45, 693-717.
57. MBOUP, G. and SAHA, T. (1998), Fertility Levels, Trends, and Differentials: Demographic and Health Surveys, Comparative Study No. 28. (Calverton, MD: Macro International).
58. MOAV, O. (2005), "Cheap Children and the Persistence of Poverty", Economic Journal, 115, 88-110.
59. MOOKHERJEE, D., PRINA, S. and RAY, D. (2012), "A Theory of Occupational Choice with Endogenous Fertility", American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, 4, 1-34.
60. MORAND, O. F. (1999), "Endogenous Fertility, Income Distribution, and Growth", Journal of Economic Growth, 4, 331-349.
61. MURTIN, F. (2013), "Long-term Determinants of the Demographic Transition: 1870-2000", Review of Economics and Statistics, 95, 617-631.
62. MYRSKYLA, M., KOHLER, H.-P. and BILLARI, F. C. (2009), "Advances in Development Reverse Fertility Declines", Nature, 460, 741-743.
63. NUGENT, J. B. (1985), "The Old-Age Security Motive for Fertility", Population and Development Review, 11, 75-97.
64. OLIVETTI, C. (2014), "The Female Labor Force and Long-run Development: The American Experience in Comparative Perspective", in Boustan, L. P., Frydman, C. and Margo, R. A. (eds), Human Capital and History: The American Record. (Chicago: University of Chicago Press).
65. PONCZEK, V. and SOUZA, A. P. (2012), "New Evidence of the Causal Effect of Family Size on Child Quality in a Developing Country", Journal of Human Resources, 47, 64-106.
66. POTTS, M. (1997), "Sex and the Birth Rate: Human Biology, Demographic Change, and Access to Fertility-Regulation Methods", Population and Development Review, 23, 1-39.
67. ROSENZWEIG, M. R. and WOLPIN, K. I. (1980), "Testing the Quantity-Quality Fertility Model: The Use of Twins as a Natural Experiment", Econometrica, 48, 227-240.
68. ROSENZWEIG, M. R. and ZHANG, J. (2009), "Do Population Control Policies Induce More Human Capital Investment? Twins, Birth Weight, and China's 'One Child' Policy", Review of Economic Studies, 76, 1149-1174.
69. SCHOELLMAN, T. (2012), "Education Quality and Development Accounting", Review of Economic Studies, 79, 388-417.
70. SCHULTZ, T. P. (1981), Economics of Population. (Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley).
71. SKIRBEKK, V. (2008), "Fertility Trends by Social Status", Demographic Research, 18, 145-180.
72. SOARES, R. R. (2005), "Mortality Reductions, Educational Attainment, and Fertility Choice", American Economic Review, 95, 580-601.
73. STEELMAN, L. C., POWELL, B., WERUM, R. and CARTER, S. (2002), "Reconsidering the Effects of Sibling Configuration: Recent Advances and Challenges", Annual Review of Sociology, 28, 243-269.
74. TERTILT, M. (2005), "Polygyny, Fertility, and Savings", Journal of Political Economy, 113, 1341-1371.
75. UNITED NATIONS (UN). (1987), Fertility Behavior in the Context of Development: Evidence from the World Fertility Survey, Population Study No. 100. (New York: United Nations).
76. UNITED NATIONS (UN). (1995), Women's Education and Fertility Behavior: Recent Evidence from the Demographic and Health Surveys. (New York: United Nations).
77. UNITED NATIONS POPULATION DIVISION (UNPD). (2011), World Urbanization Prospects: The 2011 Revision. (New York: United Nations).
78. VOIGTLÄNDER, N. and VOTH, H.-J. (2013), "How the West 'Invented' Fertility Restriction", American Economic-Review, 103, 2227-2264.
79. WEIR, D. R. (1995), "Family Income, Mortality, and Fertility on the Eve of The Demographic Transition: A Case Study of Rosny-Sous-Bois", Journal of Economic History, 55, 1-26.