Limits to predictability in 2000 and 2100

IEEE 2000 Adaptive Systems for Signal Processing, Communications, and Control Symposium, AS-SPCC 2000

Volumn , Issue , 2000, Pages 129-134

  Smith, L A ^a  

^a LONDON SCHOOL OF ECONOMICS   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ADAPTIVE SYSTEMS; CLIMATE MODELS; EARTH (PLANET); FORECASTING; RECONFIGURABLE HARDWARE; SIGNAL PROCESSING; STOCHASTIC MODELS; STOCHASTIC SYSTEMS;

DETERMINISTIC CHAOS; DETERMINISTIC MODELS; EARTH'S CLIMATE; IMPROVED TECHNIQUES; NONLINEAR CIRCUIT; PHYSICAL SYSTEMS; REAL PHYSICAL SYSTEMS; UNCERTAIN OBSERVATIONS;

ADAPTIVE CONTROL SYSTEMS;

EID: 84962449143     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Conference Proceeding    
DOI: 10.1109/ASSPCC.2000.882459     Document Type: Conference Paper

References (14)

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2. Rulkov, N., L. Tsimring, and H. Abarbanel, Tracking unstable orbits in chaos using dissipative feedback control, Phys. Rev. E, 50, 1, 314-324, 1994.
3. Abarbanel, H. Challenges in modelling nonlinear time series, in Nonlinear Dynamics and Statistics, edited by A. I. Mees, Birkhauser, Boston, (in press).
4. Smith, L. A. , C. Ziehmann, and K. Fraedrich Uncertainty Dynamics and Predictability in Chaotic Systems Quart. J. Royal Meteorological Soc., 125, 2855-2886, 1999.
5. Smith, L. A. The Maintenance of Uncertainty in Proc International School of Physics "Enrico Fermi", Course CXXXIII, 177-246, Società Italiana di Fisica, Bologna, Italy, 1997.
6. Palmer, T.N., Predicting uncertainty in forecasts of weather and climate, Rep. Prog. Phys., 63, 71-116, 2000.
7. Smith, L. A. Identification and Prediction of Low-Dimensional Dynamics, Physica 58 D, 50-76, 1992.
8. http://y2k.maths.ox.ac.uk
9. Gilmour, I. Nonlinear model evaluation: ι-shadowing, probabilistic prediction and weather forecasting D.Phil thesis, University of Oxford 1998.
10. Gilmour, I. and L. A. Smith Enlightenment in shadows in Applied nonlinear dynamics and stochastic systems near the millennium, edited by J. B. Kadtke and A. Bulsara. AIP, New York, 1997.
11. Orrell, D. Forecast error growth, imperfect models, and climatology of the two-scale Lorenz system, Transfer of status thesis. University of Oxford, 1999.
12. Judd, K. and L. A. Smith Indistinguishable States I Physica D, (in review Dec 1999).
13. M. Allen, Do-it-yourself climate prediction, Nature, 401, 642, 1999.
14. www.climate-dynamics.rl.ac.uk/hansen/casino21.html