Mortality analysis of an urban building stock

Building Research and Information

Volumn 45, Issue 3, 2017, Pages 259-277

  Aksözen, Mehmet ^a   Hassler, Uta ^a   Rivallain, Mathieu ^a   Kohler, Niklaus ^a  

^a ETH ZURICH   (Switzerland)

Author keywords

building stocks; demolition; geographical information system (GIS); Kaplan Meier estimator; lifespan; mortality; survival probability

Indexed keywords

BUILDINGS; DEMOLITION; GEOGRAPHIC INFORMATION SYSTEMS; INFORMATION SYSTEMS; PROBABILITY;

BUILDING STOCKS; CONSTRUCTION PERIOD; DEMOLISHED BUILDINGS; DIFFERENT GRANULARITIES; LEVELS OF ANALYSIS; LIFE SPAN; MORTALITY; SURVIVAL PROBABILITIES;

CONSTRUCTION;

EID: 84962124088     PISSN: 09613218     EISSN: 14664321     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1080/09613218.2016.1152531     Document Type: Article

References (45)

1. Akademischer Verein Hütte. (1858). Des Ingenieurs Taschenbuch (Vol. 1, 2. Edition). Berlin, Germany:Ernst und Korn.
2. Aksözen, M. H., (2012). Adaptive cycle analysis of urban fragments (Doctoral dissertation). Karlsruhe, Germany:Karlsruher Institut für Technologie (KIT).
3. Aksözen, M., Hassler, U., & Kohler, N., (2016). Reconstitution of the dynamics of an urban building stock. Building Research & Information. doi:10.1080/09613218.2016.1152040.
4. Ashworth, A., (1996). Assessing the life expectancies of buildings and their components in life cycle costing. Presented at the Proceedings of the RICS construction, building and real estate research conference COBRA.
5. Bergsdal, H., Brattebø, H., Bohne, R. A., & Müller, D. B., (2007). Dynamic material flow analysis for Norway's dwelling stock. Building Research & Information, 35(5), 557–570. Retrieved from http://doi.org/10.1080/09613210701287588 doi:10.1080/09613210701287588
6. Bradley, P. E., Buergel-Goodwin, E., Ferrara, C., & Kohler, N., (2005). Survival functions of building stocks and components. Presented at the The 2005 World Sustainable Building Conference in Tokyo.
7. Bradley, P. E., & Kohler, N., (2007). Methodology for the survival analysis of urban building stocks. Building Research & Information, 35(5), 529–542. Retrieved from http://doi.org/10.1080/09613210701266939 doi:10.1080/09613210701266939
8. Felson, A. J., & Pickett, S. T., (2005). Designed experiments:New approaches to studying urban ecosystems. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 3(10), 549–556. doi:10.1890/1540-9295(2005)003[0549:DENATS]2.0.CO;2
9. Franck, G., & Wegener, M., (2002). Die Dynamik räumlicher Prozesse. na. Retrieved from http://www.corp.at/archive/CORP2003_Wegener.pdf.
10. Friedrich, S., (2003). Umbau des Wohnens am Stadtrand. disP–The Planning Review, 39(155), 38–48. Retrieved from http://doi.org/10.1080/02513625.2003.10556862 doi:10.1080/02513625.2003.10556862
11. Galvin, R., & Sunikka-Blank, M., (2013). Economic viability in thermal retrofit policies:Learning from ten years of experience in Germany. Energy Policy, 54, 343–351. Retrieved from http://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2012.11.044 doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2012.11.044
12. Gruen, A., Behnisch, M., & Kohler, N., (2009). Perspectives in the reality-based generation, n D modelling, and operation of buildings and building stocks. Building Research & Information, 37(5-6), 503–519. Retrieved from http://doi.org/10.1080/09613210903189509
13. Hassler, U., Kohler, N., Rivallain, M., & Aksoezen, M., (2015). Reasons for Demolition. Internal Report.
14. Hu, M., Bergsdal, H., van der Voet, E., Huppes, G., & Müller, D. B., (2010). Dynamics of urban and rural housing stocks in China. Building Research & Information, 38(3), 301–317. Retrieved from http://doi.org/10.1080/09613211003729988 doi:10.1080/09613211003729988
15. ISO, B., (2000). 15686 (2000):Building and constructed assets–Service life planning. Part, 1, 11.
16. ISO, B., (2013). 15686 (2012):Building and constructed assets–Service life planning. Part, 2, 25.
17. Johnstone, I. M., (1994). The mortality of New Zealand housing stock. Architectural Science Review, 37(4), 181–188. doi:10.1080/00038628.1994.9697345
18. Johnstone, I. M., (2001). Energy and mass flows of housing:Estimating mortality. Building and Environment, 36(1), 43–51. doi:10.1016/S0360-1323(99)00066-9
19. Kaplan, E. L., & Meier, P., (1958). Nonparametric estimation from incomplete observations. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 53(282), 457–481. Retrieved from http://doi.org/10.2307/2281868 doi:10.1080/01621459.1958.10501452
20. Kohler, N., Hassler, U., & Paschen, H., (1999). Stoffströme und kosten in den bereichen bauen und wohnen. Berlin, Germany:Springer.
21. Kohler, N., Steadman, P., & Hassler, U., (2009). Research on the building stock and its applications. Building Research & Information, 37(5-6), 449–454. Retrieved from http://doi.org/10.1080/09613210903189384
22. König, H., Kohler, N., Kreißig, J., & Lützkendorf, T., (2009). Lebenszyklusanalyse in der Gebäudeplanung. Munich, Germany:Institut für internationale Architektur-Dokumentation GmbH & Company.
23. König, H., Kohler, N., Kreissig, J., & Lützkendorf, T. (2010). A life cycle approach to buildings:Principles-calculations-design tools. Regensburg, Germany:Detail Green Books.
24. Kortmann, K., (2008). Abriss und Neubau oder Kernsanierung? Eine empirische Untersuchung der Nutzungsdauer von Wohngebäuden des 20. Jahrhunderts im Ruhrgebiet. Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL).
25. Liegenschaftenbewertung–Immobilienökonomie. (2011). Landpreiszonenplan für Gebührenordnung zum Sondergebrauchsreglement der Stadt Zürich (GOSGR), Pub. L. No. GV-Nr. 50/2010.
26. Liu, G., Xu, K., Zhang, X., & Zhang, G., (2014). Factors influencing the service lifespan of buildings:An improved hedonic model. Habitat International, 43, 274–282. Retrieved from http://doi.org/10.1016/j.habitatint.2014.04.009 doi:10.1016/j.habitatint.2014.04.009
27. Mansfield, J., (2000). Much discussed, much misunderstood:A critical evaluation of the term ‘obsolescence'. Paper presented at the RICS Cutting Edge Conference, London, 6-8 September 2000, London, UK.
28. Müller, D. B., (2006). Stock dynamics for forecasting material flows—Case study for housing in The Netherlands. Ecological Economics, 59(1), 142–156. doi:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2005.09.025
29. Needleman, L., (1965). The economics of housing. London, UK:Staples Press.
30. NZZ. (2015, July 9). Ein untypisches Zürcher Quartier:«Zürich-West funktioniert»–NZZ Stadt Zürich. Retrieved September 9, 2015, from http://www.nzz.ch/zuerich/stadt-zuerich/zuerich-west-funktioniert-1.18576832
31. Pauliuk, S., & Müller, D. B., (2014). The role of in-use stocks in the social metabolism and in climate change mitigation. Global Environmental Change, 24, 132–142. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2013.11.006
32. Ratcliff, R. U., (1949). Urban land economics.
33. Rey, U., (2015). Zürich baut sich neu–Ersatzneubauprojekte 2004-2015–Analyse. Retrieved from http://dev.wbg-zh.ch/wp-content/uploads/St_ZH_baut_sich_neu_04-14.pdf
34. Sandberg, N. H., Sartori, I., & Brattebø, H., (2014). Using a dynamic segmented model to examine future renovation activities in the Norwegian dwelling stock. Energy and Buildings, 82, 287–295. doi:10.1016/j.enbuild.2014.07.005
35. Sartori, I., Bergsdal, H., Müller, D. B., & Brattebø, H., (2008). Towards modelling of construction, renovation and demolition activities:Norway's dwelling stock, 1900–2100. Building Research & Information, 36(5), 412–425. Retrieved from http://doi.org/10.1080/09613210802184312 doi:10.1080/09613210802184312
36. Statistik Schweiz–Die Volkszählungen im Laufe der Zeit. (2015). Retrieved November 27, 2015, from http://www.bfs.admin.ch/bfs/portal/de/index/150/03.html
37. Statistik Stadt Zürich. (1905 [2015]). Statistisches Jahrbuch der Stadt Zürich–Stadt Zürich. Retrieved November 30, 2015, from https://www.stadt-zuerich.ch/prd/de/index/statistik/publikationen-angebote/publikationen/Jahrbuch.html
38. Tanner, C., (1913). Die Amortisation des Gebäudekapitals in der schweizerischen Landwirtschaft (Sonder-Abdruck aus dem Archiv für exakte Wirtschaftsforschung (Thünen-Archiv). herausgegeben von Dr. Richard Ehrenberg, Professor der Staatswissenschaften an der Universität Rostock., Vol. 3). Gustav Fischer in Jena.
39. Thomsen, A., Schultmann, F., & Kohler, N., (2011). Deconstruction, demolition and destruction. Building Research & Information, 39(4), 327–332. Retrieved from http://doi.org/10.1080/09613218.2011.585785 doi:10.1080/09613218.2011.585785
40. Thomsen, A., & van der Flier, K., (2009). Replacement or renovation of dwellings:The relevance of a more sustainable approach. Building Research & Information, 37(5-6), 649–659. Retrieved from http://doi.org/10.1080/09613210903189335 doi:10.1080/09613210903189335
41. Timms, D., (1975). The urban mosaic:Towards a theory of residential differentiation. Cambridge, UK:Cambridge University Press Archive.
42. Van den Berg, L., Drewett, R., Klaasen, L. H., Rossi, A., & Vijverberg, C. H., (1982). Urban Europe:A study of growth and decline.
43. Van der Voet, E., Kleijn, R., Huele, R., Ishikawa, M., & Verkuijlen, E., (2002). Predicting future emissions based on characteristics of stocks. Ecological Economics, 41(2), 223–234. doi:10.1016/S0921-8009(02)00028-9
44. Wolff, H. (1908). Die bauliche Entwicklung Zürichs im 19. Jh. bis zur Gegenwart, Neue Zürcher Zeitung, Zürich, Switzerland.
45. Zurich. (2011). Zürcher Baumeisterhäuser:Zeugen einer wachsenden Stadt. Verkannte Architektur aus dem 19. Jahrhundert. Stadt Zürich. Hochbaudepartment. Amt für Städtebau. Baugeschichtliches Archiv. Institut für Denkmalpflege und Bauforschung. ETH Zürich. Retrieved December 1, 2015, from https://www.stadt-zuerich.ch/content/dam/stzh/hbd/Deutsch/Archaeologie_Denkmalpflege/Publikationen%20und%20Broschueren/Zuercher_Baumeisterhaeuser_opt.pdf