Climate controls multidecadal variability in U. S. extreme sea level records

Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans

Volumn 121, Issue 2, 2016, Pages 1274-1290

  Wahl, Thomas ^a   Chambers, Don P ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH FLORIDA   (United States)

Author keywords

large scale climate variations; multidecadal variability; return water levels; statistical modeling; U.S. coastline

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE EFFECT; CLIMATE MODELING; CLIMATE PREDICTION; CLIMATE VARIATION; COAST; DECADAL VARIATION; NUMERICAL MODEL; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; SEA LEVEL CHANGE; WATER LEVEL;

UNITED STATES;

EID: 84958604831     PISSN: 21699275     EISSN: 21699291     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/2015JC011057     Document Type: Article

References (29)

1. Bernhardt, J. E,. and, A. T. DeGaetano, (2012), Meteorological factors affecting the speed of movement and related impacts of extratropical cyclones along the U.S. east coast, Nat Hazards, 61, 1463-1472.
2. Bromirski, P. D., R. E. Flick, and, D. R. Cayan, (2003), Storminess variability along the California coast: 1858-2000, J. Clim., 16, 982-993, doi: 10.1175/1520-0442(2003)016<0982:SVATCC>2.0.CO;2.
3. Cayan, D. R., P. D. Bromirski, K. Hayhoe, M. Tyree, M. Dettinger, and, R. E. Flick, (2008), Climate change projections of sea level extremes along the California coast, Clim. Change, 87, 57-73, doi: 10.1007/s10584-007-9376-7.
4. Church, J. A., et al., (2013), Sea level change, in Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by, T. F. Stocker, et al., pp. 1137-1216, Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, U. K.
5. Compo, G. B., et al., (2011), The twentieth century reanalysis project, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 137, 1-28, doi: 10.1002/qj.776.
6. Dangendorf, S., S. Müller-Navarra, J. Jensen, F. Schenk, T. Wahl, and, R. Weisse, (2014), North Sea Storminess from a Novel Storm Surge Record since AD 1843, J. Clim., 27, 3582-3595, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00427.1.
7. Elsner, J. B., (2003), Tracking hurricanes, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 84 (3), 353-356.
8. Enfield, D. B., A. M. Mestas-Nunez, and, P. J. Trimble, (2001), The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and its relationship to rainfall and river flows in the continental U.S., Geophys. Res. Lett., 28, 2077-2080.
9. Grinsted, A., J. C. Moore, and, S. Jevrejeva, (2013), Projected Atlantic hurricane surge threat from rising temperatures, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A., 110, 5369-5373, doi: 10.1073/pnas.1209980110.
10. Hurrell, J.W., (1995), Decadal trends in the North Atlantic oscillation: Regional temperatures and precipitation, Science, 269, 676-679.
11. Jaccard, J., R. Turrisi, and, C. K. Wan, (1990), Interaction effects in multiple regression, in Quantitative Applications in the Social Sciences, Sage Univ. Pap. Ser., 07-069, Sage Newbury Park, Calif.
12. Kennedy, A. J., M. L. Griffin, S. L. Morey, S. R. Smith, and, J. J. O'Brien, (2007), Effects of El Niño-Southern Oscillation on sea level anomalies along the Gulf of Mexico coast, J. Geophys. Res., 112, C05047, doi: 10.1029/2006JC003904.
13. Komar, P. D., J. C. Allan, and, P. Ruggiero, (2011), Sea level variations along the US Pacific Northwest coast: Tectonic and climate controls, J. Coastal Res., 27 (5), 808-823.
14. Mantua, N. J., S. R. Hare, Y. Zhang, J. M. Wallace, and, R. C. Francis, (1997), A Pacific decadal climate oscillation with impacts on salmon production, Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 78, 1069-1079.
15. Marcos, M., F. M. Calafat, Á. Berihuete, and, S. Dangendorf, (2015), Long-term variations in global sea level extremes, J. Geophys. Res. Oceans, 120, doi: 10.1002/2015JC011173.
16. Méndez, F. J., M. Menéndez, A. Luceño, and, I. J. Losada, (2007), Analyzing monthly extreme sea levels with a time-dependent GEV model, J. Atmos. Oceanic Technol., 24 (5), 894-911.
17. Park J., J. Obeysekera, M. Irizarry-Ortiz, J. Barnes, and, W. Park-Said, (2010a), Climate links and variability of extreme sea level events at Key West, Pensacola, and Mayport Florida, J Waterrw. Port Coastal Ocean Eng., 136, 350-356, doi: 10.1061/(ASCE)WW.1943-5460.0000052.
18. Park J., J. Obeysekera, and, J. Barnes, (2010b), Temporal energy partitions of Florida extreme sea level events as a function of Atlantic multidecadal oscillation, Ocean Sci., 6, 587-593.
19. Rayner N. A., D. E. Parker, E. B. Horton, C. K. Folland, L. V. Alexander, D. P. Rowell, E. C. Kent, and, A. Kaplan, (2003), Global analyses of sea surface temperature, sea ice, and night marine air temperature since the late nineteenth century, J. Geophys. Res., 108 (D14), 4407, doi: 10.1029/2002JD002670.
20. Ropelewski, C. F., and, P. D. Jones, (1987), An extension of the Tahiti-Darwin southern oscillation index, Mon. Weather Rev., 115115, 2161-2165.
21. Serafin, K. A., and, P. Ruggiero, (2014), Simulating extreme total water levels using a time-dependent, extreme value approach, J. Geophys. Res. Oceans, 119, 6305-6329, doi: 10.1002/2014JC010093.
22. Sweet, W. V., and, C. Zervas, (2011), Cool-season sea level anomalies and storm surges along the U.S. East Coast: Climatology and comparison with the 2009/10 El Niño, Mon. Weather Rev., 139, 2290-2299.
23. Talke, S. A., P. Orton, and, D. A. Jay, (2014), Increasing storm tides in New York Harbor, 1844-2013, Geophys. Res. Lett., 41, 3149-3155, doi: 10.1002/2014GL059574.
24. Tannehill, I. R., (1938), Hurricanes, 257 pp., Princeton Univ. Press, Princeton, N. J.
25. Thompson, D. W. J., and, J. M. Wallace, (1998), The Arctic oscillation signature in the wintertime geopotential height and temperature fields, Geophys. Res. Lett., 25, 1297-1300.
26. Thompson, P. R., G. T. Mitchum, C. Vonesch, and, J. Li, (2013), Variability of winter storminess in the eastern United States during the twentieth century from tide gauges, J. Clim., 26, 9713-9726.
27. Trenberth, K. E., and, J. W. Hurrell, (1994), Decadal atmosphere-ocean variations in the Pacific, Clim. Dyn., 9, 303-319.
28. Wahl, T., and, D. P. Chambers, (2015), Evidence for multidecadal variability in US extreme sea level records, J. Geophys. Res. Oceans, 120, 1527-1544, doi: 10.1002/2014JC010443.
29. Zhang, R., and, T. L. Delworth, (2007), Impact of the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation on North Pacific climate variability, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L23708, doi: 10.1029/2007GL031601.