메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 28, Issue 24, 2015, Pages 9918-9940

Explaining the spread in global mean thermosteric sea level rise in CMIP5 climate models

Author keywords

Atm Ocean Structure Phenomena; Climate change; Climate models; Energy budget balance; Model evaluation performance; Models and modeling; Physical meteorology and climatology; Sea level

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC RADIATION; BUDGET CONTROL; CLIMATE CHANGE; OCEANOGRAPHY; SEA LEVEL; THERMAL EXPANSION;

EID: 84957651968     PISSN: 08948755     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0200.1     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (25)

References (38)
  • 1
    • 84929084667 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Improved sea level record over the satellite altimetry era (1993-2010) from the Climate Change Initiative Project
    • Ablain, M., and Coauthors, 2014: Improved sea level record over the satellite altimetry era (1993-2010) from the Climate Change Initiative Project. Ocean Sci. Discuss., 11, 2029-2071, doi:10.5194/osd-11-2029-2014.
    • (2014) Ocean Sci. Discuss , vol.11 , pp. 2029-2071
    • Ablain, M.1
  • 2
    • 84884383193 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A review of global ocean temperature observations: Implications for ocean heat content estimates and climate change
    • Abraham, J. P., and Coauthors, 2013: A review of global ocean temperature observations: Implications for ocean heat content estimates and climate change. Rev. Geophys., 51, 450-483, doi:10.1002/rog.20022.
    • (2013) Rev. Geophys , vol.51 , pp. 450-483
    • Abraham, J.P.1
  • 3
    • 84861180918 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forcing, feedbacks and climate sensitivity in CMIP5 coupled atmosphere-ocean climate models
    • Andrews, T., J. M. Gregory, M. J. Webb, and K. E. Taylor, 2012: Forcing, feedbacks and climate sensitivity in CMIP5 coupled atmosphere-ocean climate models. Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L09712, doi:10.1029/2012GL051607.
    • (2012) Geophys. Res. Lett , vol.39
    • Andrews, T.1    Gregory, J.M.2    Webb, M.J.3    Taylor, K.E.4
  • 4
    • 84877822595 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The reversibility of sea level rise
    • Bouttes, N., J. M. Gregory, and J. A. Lowe, 2013: The reversibility of sea level rise. J. Climate, 26, 2502-2513, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00285.1.
    • (2013) J. Climate , vol.26 , pp. 2502-2513
    • Bouttes, N.1    Gregory, J.M.2    Lowe, J.A.3
  • 5
    • 0000981959 scopus 로고
    • New polynomials for thermal expansion, adiabatic temperature gradient and potential temperature of sea water
    • Bryden, H., 1973: New polynomials for thermal expansion, adiabatic temperature gradient and potential temperature of sea water. Deep-Sea Res., 20, 401-408.
    • (1973) Deep-Sea Res , vol.20 , pp. 401-408
    • Bryden, H.1
  • 7
    • 27744455612 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Significant decadalscale impact of volcanic eruptions on sea level and ocean heat content
    • Church, J.A., N. J.White, and J. Arblaster, 2005: Significant decadalscale impact of volcanic eruptions on sea level and ocean heat content. Nature, 438, 74-77, doi:10.1038/nature04237.
    • (2005) Nature , vol.438 , pp. 74-77
    • Church, J.A.1    White, N.J.2    Arblaster, J.3
  • 8
    • 80053000047 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Revisiting the Earth's sea-level and energy budgets from 1961 to 2008
    • Church, J.A., and Coauthors, 2011: Revisiting the Earth's sea-level and energy budgets from 1961 to 2008. Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L18601, doi:10.1029/2011GL048794.
    • (2011) Geophys. Res. Lett , vol.38
    • Church, J.A.1
  • 9
    • 84942085535 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • T. F. Stocker et al., Cambridge University Press
    • Church, J.A., and Coauthors, 2013a: Sea level change. Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis, T. F. Stocker et al., Cambridge University Press, 1137-1216. [Available online at https://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar5/wg1/WG1AR5_Chapter13_FINAL.pdf.].
    • (2013) Sea level change. Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis , pp. 1137-1216
    • Church, J.A.1
  • 10
    • 84876168299 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating the ability of process based models to project sea-level change
    • Church, J.A., D. Monselesan, J. M. Gregory, and B. Marzeion, 2013b: Evaluating the ability of process based models to project sea-level change. Environ. Res. Lett., 8, 014051, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/014051.
    • (2013) Environ. Res. Lett , vol.8
    • Church, J.A.1    Monselesan, D.2    Gregory, J.M.3    Marzeion, B.4
  • 11
    • 84928600768 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Long-term climate change: Projections, commitments and irreversibility
    • T. F. Stocker et al., Cambridge University Press
    • Collins, M., and Coauthors, 2013: Long-term climate change: Projections, commitments and irreversibility. Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis, T. F. Stocker et al., Cambridge University Press, 1029-1136.
    • (2013) Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis , pp. 1029-1136
    • Collins, M.1
  • 12
    • 33846105446 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Radiative forcing by wellmixed greenhouse gases: Estimates from climate models in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4)
    • Collins, W. D., and Coauthors, 2006: Radiative forcing by wellmixed greenhouse gases: Estimates from climate models in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4). J. Geophys. Res., 111, D14317, doi:10.1029/2005JD006713.
    • (2006) J. Geophys. Res , vol.111
    • Collins, W.D.1
  • 13
    • 32644442724 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The impact of aerosols on simulated global ocean temperature and heat content in the 20th century
    • Delworth, T. L., V. Ramaswamy, and G. L. Stenchikov, 2005: The impact of aerosols on simulated global ocean temperature and heat content in the 20th century. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L24709, doi:10.1029/2005GL024457.
    • (2005) Geophys. Res. Lett , vol.32
    • Delworth, T.L.1    Ramaswamy, V.2    Stenchikov, G.L.3
  • 15
    • 84908550680 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Quantifying underestimates of long-term upper-ocean warming
    • Durack, P. J., P. J.Gleckler, F. W. Landerer, and K. E. Taylor, 2014: Quantifying underestimates of long-term upper-ocean warming. Nat. Climate Change, 4, 999-1005, doi:10.1038/nclimate2389.
    • (2014) Nat. Climate Change , vol.4 , pp. 999-1005
    • Durack, P.J.1    Gleckler, P.J.2    Landerer, F.W.3    Taylor, K.E.4
  • 16
    • 84880273895 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating adjusted forcing and model spread for historical and future scenarios in the CMIP5 generation of climate models
    • Forster, P. M., T. Andrews, P. Good, J. M. Gregory, L. S. Jackson, and M. Zelinka, 2013: Evaluating adjusted forcing and model spread for historical and future scenarios in the CMIP5 generation of climate models. J. Geophys. Res., 118, 1139-1150, doi:10.1002/jgrd.50174.
    • (2013) J. Geophys. Res , vol.118 , pp. 1139-1150
    • Forster, P.M.1    Andrews, T.2    Good, P.3    Gregory, J.M.4    Jackson, L.S.5    Zelinka, M.6
  • 17
    • 78649523295 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Long-term effect of volcanic forcing on ocean heat content
    • Gregory, J. M., 2010: Long-term effect of volcanic forcing on ocean heat content. Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L22701, doi:10.1029/2010GL045507.
    • (2010) Geophys. Res. Lett , vol.37
    • Gregory, J.M.1
  • 18
    • 84876189453 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate models without preindustrial volcanic forcing underestimate historical ocean thermal expansion
    • Gregory, J. M., and Coauthors, 2013a: Climate models without preindustrial volcanic forcing underestimate historical ocean thermal expansion. Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 1600-1604, doi:10.1002/grl.50339.
    • (2013) Geophys. Res. Lett , vol.40 , pp. 1600-1604
    • Gregory, J.M.1
  • 19
    • 84876193464 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Twentieth-century global-mean sealevel rise: Is the whole greater than the sum of the parts?
    • Gregory, J. M., and Coauthors, 2013b: Twentieth-century global-mean sealevel rise: Is the whole greater than the sum of the parts? J. Climate, 26, 4476-4499, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00319.1.
    • (2013) J. Climate , vol.26 , pp. 4476-4499
    • Gregory, J.M.1
  • 20
    • 59749091161 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Transient climate response estimated from radiative forcing and observed temperature change
    • Gregory, J. M., and P. M. Forster, 2008: Transient climate response estimated from radiative forcing and observed temperature change. J. Geophys. Res., 113, D23105, doi:10.1029/2008JD010405.
    • (2008) J. Geophys. Res , vol.113
    • Gregory, J.M.1    Forster, P.M.2
  • 21
    • 40849113474 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Tropospheric adjustment induces a cloud component in CO2 forcing
    • Gregory, J. M., and M. J. Webb, 2008: Tropospheric adjustment induces a cloud component in CO2 forcing. J. Climate, 21, 58-71, doi:10.1175/2007JCLI1834.1.
    • (2008) J. Climate , vol.21 , pp. 58-71
    • Gregory, J.M.1    Webb, M.J.2
  • 22
    • 18144433604 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A new method for diagnosing radiative forcing and climate sensitivity
    • Gregory, J. M., and Coauthors, 2004: A new method for diagnosing radiative forcing and climate sensitivity. Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L03205, doi:10.1029/2003GL018747.
    • (2004) Geophys. Res. Lett , vol.31
    • Gregory, J.M.1
  • 23
    • 33749632745 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simulated global-mean sea level changes over the last half-millennium
    • Gregory, J. M., J. A. Lowe, and S. F. B. Tett, 2006: Simulated global-mean sea level changes over the last half-millennium. J. Climate, 19, 4576-4591, doi:10.1175/JCLI3881.1.
    • (2006) J. Climate , vol.19 , pp. 4576-4591
    • Gregory, J.M.1    Lowe, J.A.2    Tett, S.F.B.3
  • 24
    • 84877663460 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sensitivity of twenty-first-century global-mean steric sea level rise to ocean model formulation
    • Hallberg, R. W., A. Adcroft, J. P. Dunne, J. P. Krasting, and R. J. Stouffer, 2013: Sensitivity of twenty-first-century global-mean steric sea level rise to ocean model formulation. J. Climate, 26, 2947-2956, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00506.1.
    • (2013) J. Climate , vol.26 , pp. 2947-2956
    • Hallberg, R.W.1    Adcroft, A.2    Dunne, J.P.3    Krasting, J.P.4    Stouffer, R.J.5
  • 25
    • 65149096767 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Reevaluation of historical ocean heat content variations with time-varying XBT and MBT depth bias corrections
    • Ishii, M., and M. Kimoto, 2009: Reevaluation of historical ocean heat content variations with time-varying XBT and MBT depth bias corrections. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 65, 287-299, doi:10.1007/s10872-009-0027-7.
    • (2009) J. Phys. Oceanogr , vol.65 , pp. 287-299
    • Ishii, M.1    Kimoto, M.2
  • 26
    • 84867072893 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ocean heat uptake and its consequences for the magnitude of sea level rise and climate change
    • Kuhlbrodt, T., and J. M. Gregory, 2012: Ocean heat uptake and its consequences for the magnitude of sea level rise and climate change. Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L18608, doi:10.1029/2012GL052952.
    • (2012) Geophys. Res. Lett , vol.39
    • Kuhlbrodt, T.1    Gregory, J.M.2
  • 27
    • 16344394115 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Warming of the world ocean, 1955-2003
    • Levitus, S., J. I. Antonov, and T. P. Boyer, 2005: Warming of the world ocean, 1955-2003. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L02604, doi:10.1029/2004GL021592.
    • (2005) Geophys. Res. Lett , vol.32
    • Levitus, S.1    Antonov, J.I.2    Boyer, T.P.3
  • 28
  • 29
    • 84861393824 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • World ocean heat content and thermosteric sea level change (0-2000 m), 1955-2010
    • Levitus, S., and Coauthors, 2012: World ocean heat content and thermosteric sea level change (0-2000 m), 1955-2010. Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L10603, doi:10.1029/2012GL051106.
    • (2012) Geophys. Res. Lett , vol.39
    • Levitus, S.1
  • 30
    • 84873046100 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Depth-dependent temperature change contributions to global mean thermosteric sea level rise from 1960 to 2010
    • Llovel, W., I. Fukumori, and B. Meyssignac, 2013: Depth-dependent temperature change contributions to global mean thermosteric sea level rise from 1960 to 2010. Global Planet. Change, 101, 113-118, doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2012.12.011.
    • (2013) Global Planet. Change , vol.101 , pp. 113-118
    • Llovel, W.1    Fukumori, I.2    Meyssignac, B.3
  • 31
    • 76749096338 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment
    • Moss, R. H., and Coauthors, 2010: The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment. Nature, 463, 747-756, doi:10.1038/nature08823.
    • (2010) Nature , vol.463 , pp. 747-756
    • Moss, R.H.1
  • 32
    • 84928096253 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Internal variability of Earth's energy budget simulated by CMIP5 climate models
    • Palmer, M. D., and D. McNeall, 2014: Internal variability of Earth's energy budget simulated by CMIP5 climate models. Environ. Res. Lett., 9, 034016, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/9/3/034016.
    • (2014) Environ. Res. Lett , vol.9
    • Palmer, M.D.1    McNeall, D.2
  • 33
    • 78650538352 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Warming of global abyssal and deep Southern Ocean waters between the 1990s and 2000: Contributions to global heat and sea level rise budgets
    • Purkey, S. G., and G. C. Johnson, 2010: Warming of global abyssal and deep Southern Ocean waters between the 1990s and 2000s: Contributions to global heat and sea level rise budgets. J. Climate, 23, 6336-6351, doi:10.1175/2010JCLI3682.1.
    • (2010) J. Climate , vol.23 , pp. 6336-6351
    • Purkey, S.G.1    Johnson, G.C.2
  • 34
    • 0033756659 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Regional sea-level changes projected by the NASA/GISS atmosphere-ocean model
    • Russell, G. L., V. Gornitz, and J. R. Miller, 2000: Regional sea-level changes projected by the NASA/GISS atmosphere-ocean model. Climate Dyn., 16, 789-797, doi:10.1007/s003820000090.
    • (2000) Climate Dyn , vol.16 , pp. 789-797
    • Russell, G.L.1    Gornitz, V.2    Miller, J.R.3
  • 36
    • 84860684669 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An overview of CMIP5 and the experiment design
    • Taylor, K. E., R. J. Stouffer, and G. A. Meehl, 2012: An overview of CMIP5 and the experiment design. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 93, 485-498, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00094.1.
    • (2012) Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc , vol.93 , pp. 485-498
    • Taylor, K.E.1    Stouffer, R.J.2    Meehl, G.A.3
  • 37
    • 33644666197 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the contribution of local feedback mechanisms to the range of climate sensitivity in two GCM ensembles
    • Webb, M., and Coauthors, 2006: On the contribution of local feedback mechanisms to the range of climate sensitivity in two GCM ensembles. Climate Dyn., 27, 17-38, doi:10.1007/s00382-006-0111-2.
    • (2006) Climate Dyn , vol.27 , pp. 17-38
    • Webb, M.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.