메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 123, Issue 3-4, 2016, Pages 827-844

The Modified Rainfall Anomaly Index (mRAI)—is this an alternative to the Standardised Precipitation Index (SPI) in evaluating future extreme precipitation characteristics?

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE MODELING; CLIMATE PREDICTION; PRECIPITATION ASSESSMENT; RAINFALL; REGIONAL CLIMATE;

EID: 84955684423     PISSN: 0177798X     EISSN: 14344483     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00704-015-1389-y     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (69)

References (48)
  • 4
    • 84955665533 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Klimaprognose für Sachsen - Regionalisierung von Klimamodell-Ergebnissen mittels des statistischen Verfahrens der Wetterlagen-Klassifikation und nachgeordneter multipler Regression für Sachsen
    • Meteo-Research, Potsdam
    • Enke W, Küchler W, Sommer W (2001) Klimaprognose für Sachsen - Regionalisierung von Klimamodell-Ergebnissen mittels des statistischen Verfahrens der Wetterlagen-Klassifikation und nachgeordneter multipler Regression für Sachsen. Report to the Saxon State Agenvy for Environment and Geology, Meteo-Research, Potsdam
    • (2001) Report to the Saxon State Agenvy for Environment and Geology
    • Enke, W.1    Küchler, W.2    Sommer, W.3
  • 5
    • 23744463827 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A novel scheme to derive optimized circulation pattern classifications for downscaling and forecast purposes
    • Enke W, Schneider F, Deutschländer T (2005) A novel scheme to derive optimized circulation pattern classifications for downscaling and forecast purposes. Theor Appl Climatol 82:51–63. doi:10.1007/s00704-004-0116-x
    • (2005) Theor Appl Climatol , vol.82 , pp. 51-63
    • Enke, W.1    Schneider, F.2    Deutschländer, T.3
  • 6
    • 85014349892 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The 2003 European summer heatwaves and drought –synoptic diagnosis and impacts
    • Fink AH, Brücher T, Krüger A, Leckebusch GC, Pinto J, Ulbrich U (2004) The 2003 European summer heatwaves and drought –synoptic diagnosis and impacts. Weather 59:209–216. doi:10.1256/wea.73.04
    • (2004) Weather , vol.59 , pp. 209-216
    • Fink, A.H.1    Brücher, T.2    Krüger, A.3    Leckebusch, G.C.4    Pinto, J.5    Ulbrich, U.6
  • 7
    • 0031919538 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparing the Palmer drought index and the standardized precipitation index
    • Guttman NB (1998) Comparing the Palmer drought index and the standardized precipitation index. J Am Water Resour Assoc 34:113–121
    • (1998) J Am Water Resour Assoc , vol.34 , pp. 113-121
    • Guttman, N.B.1
  • 8
    • 0032910542 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Accepting the standardized precipitation index: a calculation algorithm
    • Guttman NB (1999) Accepting the standardized precipitation index: a calculation algorithm. J Am Water Resour Assoc 35:311–322
    • (1999) J Am Water Resour Assoc , vol.35 , pp. 311-322
    • Guttman, N.B.1
  • 10
    • 79957506232 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Lincoln declaration on drought indices: universal meteorological drought index recommended
    • Hayes M, Svoboda M, Wall N, Widhalm M (2011) The Lincoln declaration on drought indices: universal meteorological drought index recommended. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 92:485–488. doi:10.1175/2010BAMS3103.1
    • (2011) Bull Am Meteorol Soc , vol.92 , pp. 485-488
    • Hayes, M.1    Svoboda, M.2    Wall, N.3    Widhalm, M.4
  • 11
    • 84867921280 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The future of dry and wet spells in Europe: a comprehensive study based on the ENSEMBLES regional climate models
    • Heinrich G, Gobiet A (2012) The future of dry and wet spells in Europe: a comprehensive study based on the ENSEMBLES regional climate models. Int J Climatol 32:1951–1970. doi:10.1002/joc.2421
    • (2012) Int J Climatol , vol.32 , pp. 1951-1970
    • Heinrich, G.1    Gobiet, A.2
  • 13
    • 21744438047 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sensitivity studies with the regional climate model REMO
    • Jacob D, Podzun R (1997) Sensitivity studies with the regional climate model REMO. Meteorol Atmos Phys 63:119–129
    • (1997) Meteorol Atmos Phys , vol.63 , pp. 119-129
    • Jacob, D.1    Podzun, R.2
  • 15
    • 0032787430 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Clivar/GCOS/WMO Workshop on Indices and Indicators for Climate Extremes Workshop Summary
    • Karl TR, Nicholls N, Ghazi A (1999) Clivar/GCOS/WMO Workshop on Indices and Indicators for Climate Extremes Workshop Summary. Clim Chang 42:3–7. doi:10.1023/A:1005491526870
    • (1999) Clim Chang , vol.42 , pp. 3-7
    • Karl, T.R.1    Nicholls, N.2    Ghazi, A.3
  • 17
    • 0036700832 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The quantification of drought: an evaluation of drought indices
    • Keyantash J, Dracup JA (2002) The quantification of drought: an evaluation of drought indices. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 83:1167–1180
    • (2002) Bull Am Meteorol Soc , vol.83 , pp. 1167-1180
    • Keyantash, J.1    Dracup, J.A.2
  • 18
    • 33745866181 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • World map of the Köppen-Geiger climate classification updated
    • Kottek M, Grieser J, Beck C, Rudolf B, Rubel F (2006) World map of the Köppen-Geiger climate classification updated. Meteorol Z 15:259–263
    • (2006) Meteorol Z , vol.15 , pp. 259-263
    • Kottek, M.1    Grieser, J.2    Beck, C.3    Rudolf, B.4    Rubel, F.5
  • 19
    • 84955709404 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ergebnisse eines regionalen szenarienlaufs für Deutschland mit dem statistischen Modell WETTREG2010. Report to the German Federal Environmental Agency
    • Environment Consulting Potsdam GmbH, Potsdam
    • Kreienkamp F, Spekat A, Enke W (2010a) Ergebnisse eines regionalen szenarienlaufs für Deutschland mit dem statistischen Modell WETTREG2010. Report to the German Federal Environmental Agency. Climate & Environment Consulting Potsdam GmbH, Potsdam
    • (2010) Climate &
    • Kreienkamp, F.1    Spekat, A.2    Enke, W.3
  • 21
    • 33746386296 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Precipitation extremes in the changing climate of Europe
    • Kundzewicz ZW, Radziejewski M, Pińskwar I (2006) Precipitation extremes in the changing climate of Europe. Clim Res 31:51–58
    • (2006) Clim Res , vol.31 , pp. 51-58
    • Kundzewicz, Z.W.1    Radziejewski, M.2    Pińskwar, I.3
  • 22
    • 33744457305 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating the impact of global change on flood and drought risks in Europe: a continental, integrated analysis
    • Lehner B, Döll P, Alcamo J, Henrichs T, Kaspar F (2006) Estimating the impact of global change on flood and drought risks in Europe: a continental, integrated analysis. Clim Chang 75:273–299. doi:10.1007/s10584-006-6338-4
    • (2006) Clim Chang , vol.75 , pp. 273-299
    • Lehner, B.1    Döll, P.2    Alcamo, J.3    Henrichs, T.4    Kaspar, F.5
  • 23
    • 0037112551 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A drought climatology for Europe
    • Lloyd-Hughes B, Saunders MA (2002) A drought climatology for Europe. Int J Climatol 22:1571–1592. doi:10.1002/joc.846
    • (2002) Int J Climatol , vol.22 , pp. 1571-1592
    • Lloyd-Hughes, B.1    Saunders, M.A.2
  • 25
    • 0000570668 scopus 로고
    • Nonparametric tests against trend
    • Mann HB (1945) Nonparametric tests against trend. Econometrica 13:245–259. doi:10.2307/1907187
    • (1945) Econometrica , vol.13 , pp. 245-259
    • Mann, H.B.1
  • 27
    • 84955719345 scopus 로고
    • Kleist J: The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scales. Eighth Conf Appl Climatol
    • McKee TB, Doesken NJ, Kleist J (1993) The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scales. Eighth Conf Appl Climatol
    • (1993) Doesken NJ
    • McKee, T.B.1
  • 29
    • 84871447746 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing homogeneous regions relative to drought class transitions using an ANOVA-like inference. Application to Alentejo, Portugal
    • Moreira EE, Mexia JT, Pereira LS (2013) Assessing homogeneous regions relative to drought class transitions using an ANOVA-like inference. Application to Alentejo, Portugal. Stochast Environ Res Risk Assess 27:183–193. doi:10.1007/s00477-012-0575-z
    • (2013) Stochast Environ Res Risk Assess , vol.27 , pp. 183-193
    • Moreira, E.E.1    Mexia, J.T.2    Pereira, L.S.3
  • 30
    • 0003564167 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES). Special Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge Uni-versity Press
    • Nakicenovic N, Swart R (eds) (2001) Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES). Special Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge Uni-versity Press, UK. 520
    • (2001) UK , pp. 520
    • Nakicenovic, N.1
  • 31
    • 0032775778 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Workshop on indices and indicators for climate extremes: Ashville, NC, USA, 3-6 June 1997 - Breakout Group B: Precipitation
    • Nicholls N, Murray W (1999) Workshop on indices and indicators for climate extremes: Ashville, NC, USA, 3-6 June 1997 - Breakout Group B: Precipitation. Clim Chang 42:23–29
    • (1999) Clim Chang , vol.42 , pp. 23-29
    • Nicholls, N.1    Murray, W.2
  • 32
    • 0003255373 scopus 로고
    • Meteorological drought. Weather Bureau Research Paper No. 45, US Deptartment of Commerce, Washington
    • Palmer WC (1965) Meteorological drought. Weather Bureau Research Paper No. 45, US Deptartment of Commerce, Washington, DC. 58
    • (1965) DC , pp. 58
    • Palmer, W.C.1
  • 35
    • 84955681558 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The atmospheric general circulation model ECHAM5. Part II - Sensitivity of simulated climate to horizontal and vertical resolution. MPI Report, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology
    • Roeckner E, Brokopf R, Esch M, Giorgetta M, Hagemann S, Kornblueh L, Manzini E, Schlese U, Schulzweida U (2004) The atmospheric general circulation model ECHAM5. Part II - Sensitivity of simulated climate to horizontal and vertical resolution. MPI Report, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg. 55
    • (2004) Hamburg , pp. 55
    • Roeckner, E.1    Brokopf, R.2    Esch, M.3    Giorgetta, M.4    Hagemann, S.5    Kornblueh, L.6    Manzini, E.7    Schlese, U.8    Schulzweida, U.9
  • 37
    • 17144419523 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The hot summer 2003 in Germany. Some preliminary results of a statistical time series analysis
    • Schönwiese CD, Staeger T, Trömel S (2004) The hot summer 2003 in Germany. Some preliminary results of a statistical time series analysis. Meteorol Z 13:323–327. doi:10.1127/0941-2948/2004/0013-0323
    • (2004) Meteorol Z , vol.13 , pp. 323-327
    • Schönwiese, C.D.1    Staeger, T.2    Trömel, S.3
  • 38
    • 84938862700 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Projected changes in extreme precipitation characteristics for Central Eastern Germany (21st century, model-based analysis)
    • Schwarzak S, Hänsel S, Matschullat J (2014) Projected changes in extreme precipitation characteristics for Central Eastern Germany (21st century, model-based analysis). Int J Climatol. doi:10.1002/joc.4166
    • (2014) Int J Climatol
    • Schwarzak, S.1    Hänsel, S.2    Matschullat, J.3
  • 39
    • 84955723463 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Neuentwicklung von regional hoch aufgelösten Wetterlagen für Deutschland und Bereitstellung regionaler Klimaszenarios auf der Basis von globalen Klimasimulationen mit dem Regionalisierungsmodell WETTREG auf der Basis von globalen Klimasimulationen mit ECHAM5/MPI-OM T63 L31 2010 bis 2100 für die SRES-Szenarios B1
    • German Federal Environmental Agency, Dessau-Roßlau
    • Spekat A, Enke W, Kreienkamp F (2007) Neuentwicklung von regional hoch aufgelösten Wetterlagen für Deutschland und Bereitstellung regionaler Klimaszenarios auf der Basis von globalen Klimasimulationen mit dem Regionalisierungsmodell WETTREG auf der Basis von globalen Klimasimulationen mit ECHAM5/MPI-OM T63 L31 2010 bis 2100 für die SRES-Szenarios B1, A1B und A2. German Federal Environmental Agency, Dessau-Roßlau
    • (2007) A1B und A2
    • Spekat, A.1    Enke, W.2    Kreienkamp, F.3
  • 40
    • 28444494036 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Analysis of rainfall climate and evapo-transpiration in arid and semi-arid regions of Ethiopia using data over the last half a century
    • Tilahun K (2006) Analysis of rainfall climate and evapo-transpiration in arid and semi-arid regions of Ethiopia using data over the last half a century. J Arid Environ 64:474–487. doi:10.1016/j.jaridenv.2005.06.013
    • (2006) J Arid Environ , vol.64 , pp. 474-487
    • Tilahun, K.1
  • 41
    • 60749135925 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Establishing a drought index incorporating evapotranspiration
    • Tsakiris G, Vangelis H (2005) Establishing a drought index incorporating evapotranspiration. Eur Water 9:3–11
    • (2005) Eur Water , vol.9 , pp. 3-11
    • Tsakiris, G.1    Vangelis, H.2
  • 42
    • 85040426249 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The central European floods of August 2002: part 1 – rainfall periods and flood development
    • Ulbrich U, Brücher T, Fink AH, Leckebusch GC, Krüger A, Pinto JG (2003) The central European floods of August 2002: part 1 – rainfall periods and flood development. Weather 58:371–377. doi:10.1256/wea.61.03A
    • (2003) Weather , vol.58 , pp. 371-377
    • Ulbrich, U.1    Brücher, T.2    Fink, A.H.3    Leckebusch, G.C.4    Krüger, A.5    Pinto, J.G.6
  • 43
    • 0002428911 scopus 로고
    • A Rainfall anomaly index (RAI) independent of time and space
    • Van Rooy MP (1965) A Rainfall anomaly index (RAI) independent of time and space. Notos 14:43–48
    • (1965) Notos , vol.14 , pp. 43-48
    • Van Rooy, M.P.1
  • 44
    • 77953696347 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A multiscalar drought index sensitive to global warming: the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index
    • Vicente-Serrano SM, Beguería S, López-Moreno JI (2010) A multiscalar drought index sensitive to global warming: the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index. J Clim 23:1696–1718. doi:10.1175/2009JCLI2909.1
    • (2010) J Clim , vol.23 , pp. 1696-1718
    • Vicente-Serrano, S.M.1    Beguería, S.2    López-Moreno, J.I.3
  • 45
    • 84869427856 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evolution of spatio-temporal drought characteristics: validation, projections and effect of adaptation scenarios
    • Vidal J-P, Martin E, Kitova N, Najac J, Soubeyroux JM (2012) Evolution of spatio-temporal drought characteristics: validation, projections and effect of adaptation scenarios. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 16:2935–2955. doi:10.5194/hess-16-2935-2012
    • (2012) Hydrol Earth Syst Sci , vol.16 , pp. 2935-2955
    • Vidal, J.-P.1    Martin, E.2    Kitova, N.3    Najac, J.4    Soubeyroux, J.M.5
  • 46
    • 84955677754 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • WMO (2009) Lincoln declaration on drought indices. World Meteorological Organization (WMO) , last accessed 15 Dec 2014
    • WMO (2009) Lincoln declaration on drought indices. World Meteorological Organization (WMO) http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/wcp/agm/meetings/wies09/documents/Lincoln_Declaration_Drought_Indices.pdf, last accessed 15 Dec 2014
  • 47
    • 33846511608 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Appropriate application of the standardized precipitation index in arid locations and dry seasons
    • Wu H, Svoboda MD, Hayes MJ, Wilhite DA, Wen F (2007) Appropriate application of the standardized precipitation index in arid locations and dry seasons. Int J Climatol 27:65–79. doi:10.1002/joc.1371
    • (2007) Int J Climatol , vol.27 , pp. 65-79
    • Wu, H.1    Svoboda, M.D.2    Hayes, M.J.3    Wilhite, D.A.4    Wen, F.5
  • 48
    • 84871932649 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Copula-based risk evaluation of droughts across the Pearl River basin, China
    • Zhang Q, Xiao M, Sing VP, Chen X (2013) Copula-based risk evaluation of droughts across the Pearl River basin, China. Theor Appl Climatol 111:119–131. doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0656-4
    • (2013) Theor Appl Climatol , vol.111 , pp. 119-131
    • Zhang, Q.1    Xiao, M.2    Sing, V.P.3    Chen, X.4


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.