Spatial-temporal Variations of Bovine Tuberculosis Incidence in France between 1965 and 2000

Transboundary and Emerging Diseases

Volumn 63, Issue 1, 2016, Pages 101-113

  Bekara, M E A ^a   Azizi, L ^b   Benet J J ^a   Durand, B ^a  

^a UNIVERSITÉ PARIS EST   (France)

^b CEMAGREF   (France)

Author keywords

Bovine tuberculosis; Professionalization; Spatiotemporal; Specialization

Indexed keywords

ANIMAL; BAYES THEOREM; BOVINE; FEMALE; FRANCE; INCIDENCE; ISOLATION AND PURIFICATION; MYCOBACTERIUM BOVIS; PREVALENCE; RISK FACTOR; SPATIOTEMPORAL ANALYSIS; THEORETICAL MODEL; TUBERCULIN TEST; TUBERCULOSIS, BOVINE; VETERINARY;

ANIMALS; BAYES THEOREM; CATTLE; FEMALE; FRANCE; INCIDENCE; MODELS, THEORETICAL; MYCOBACTERIUM BOVIS; PREVALENCE; RISK FACTORS; SPACE-TIME CLUSTERING; TUBERCULIN TEST; TUBERCULOSIS, BOVINE;

EID: 84953836443     PISSN: 18651674     EISSN: 18651682     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/tbed.12224     Document Type: Article

References (42)

1. Abellan, J. J., S. Richardson, and N. Best, 2008: Use of space-time models to investigate the stability of patterns of disease. Environ. Health Perspect. 116, 1111-1119.
2. Allepuz, A., J. Casal, S. Napp, M. Saez, A. Alba, M. Vilar, M. Domingo, M. A. Gonzalez, M. Duran-Ferrer, J. Vicente, J. Alvarez, M. Munoz, and J. L. Saez, 2011: Analysis of the spatial variation of Bovine tuberculosis disease risk in Spain (2006-2009). Prev. Vet. Med. 100, 44-52.
3. Alvarez, J., A. Perez, J. Bezos, S. Marques, A. Grau, J. L. Sarez, O. Minguez, L. de Juan, and L. Dominguez, 2012: Eradication of bovine tuberculosis at herd-level in Madrid, Spain: study of within-herd transmission dynamics over a 12 year period.BMC. Vet. Res. 8, 100.
4. Barlow, N. D., J. M. Kean, G. Hickling, P. G. Livingstone, and A. B. Robson, 1997: A simulation model for the spread of bovine tuberculosis within New Zealand cattle herds. Prev. Vet. Med. 32, 57-75.
5. Besag, J., J. York, and A. Mollie, 1991: Bayesian image restoration with applications in spatial statistics. Ann. Inst. Stat. Math. 43, 1-20.
6. Brooks-Pollock, E., and M. Keeling, 2009: Herd size and bovine tuberculosis persistence in cattle farms in Great Britain. Prev. Vet. Med. 92, 360-365.
7. Carrique-Mas, J. J., G. F. Medley, and L. E. Green, 2008: Risks for bovine tuberculosis in British cattle farms restocked after the foot and mouth disease epidemic of 2001. Prev. Vet. Med. 84, 85-93.
8. Derville, M., S. Patin, and L. Avon, 2009: Races bovines de France: Origine, Standard, Sélection. 1st edn. Edition France Agricole, Paris.
9. Gelman, A., and D. B. Rubin, 1992: Inference from iterative simulation using multiple sequences. Stat. Sci. 7, 457-511.
10. Gilbert, M., A. Mitchell, D. Bourn, J. Mawdsley, R. Clifton-Hadley, and W. Wint, 2005: Cattle movements and bovine tuberculosis in Great Britain. Nature 435, 491-496.
11. Good, M., 2006: Bovine tuberculosis eradication in Ireland. Ir. Vet. J. 59, 154-162.
12. Green, L. E., and S. J. Cornell, 2005: Investigations of cattle herd breakdowns with bovine tuberculosis in four counties of England and Wales using VETNET data. Prev. Vet. Med. 70, 293-311.
13. Griffin, J. M., T. Hahesy, K. Lynch, M. D. Salman, J. McCarthy, and T. Hurley, 1993: The association of cattle husbandry practices, environmental factors and farmer characteristics with the occurrence of chronic bovine tuberculosis in dairy herds in the Republic of Ireland. Prev. Vet. Med. 17, 145-160.
14. Griffin, J. M., S. Wayne Martin, M. A. Thorburn, J. A. Eves, and R. F. Hammond, 1996: A case-control study on the association of selected risk factors with the occurrence of bovine tuberculosis in the Republic of Ireland. Prev. Vet. Med. 27, 217-229.
15. Humblet, M. F., M. L. Boschiroli, and C. Saegerman, 2009: Classification of worldwide bovine tuberculosis risk factors in cattle: a stratified approach. Vet. Res. 40, 50.
16. Humblet, M. F., M. Gilbert, M. Govaerts, M. Fauville-Dufaux, K. Walravens, and C. Saegerman, 2010: New assessment of bovine tuberculosis risk factors in Belgium based on nationwide molecular epidemiology. J. Clin. Microbiol. 48, 2802-2808.
17. Johnston, W. T., G. Gettinby, D. R. Cox, C. A. Donnelly, J. Bourne, R. Clifton-Hadley, A. M. Le Fevre, J. P. McInerney, A. Mitchell, W. I. Morrison, and R. Woodroffe, 2005: Herd-level risk factors associated with tuberculosis breakdowns among cattle herds in England before the 2001 foot-and-mouth disease epidemic. Biol. Lett. 1, 53-56.
18. Johnston, W. T., F. Vial, G. Gettinby, F. J. Bourne, R. S. Clifton-Hadley, D. R. Cox, P. Crea, C. A. Donnelly, J. P. McInerney, A. P. Mitchell, W. I. Morrison, and R. Woodroffe, 2011: Herd-level risk factors of bovine tuberculosis in England and Wales after the 2001 foot-and-mouth disease epidemic. Int. J. Infect. Dis. 15, e833-e840.
19. Karolemeas, K., T. J. McKinley, R. S. Clifton-Hadley, A. V. Goodchild, A. Mitchell, W. T. Johnston, A. J. Conlan, C. A. Donnelly, and J. L. Wood, 2011: Recurrence of bovine tuberculosis breakdowns in Great Britain: risk factors and prediction. Prev. Vet. Med. 102, 22-29.
20. Kelsall, J. E., and J. C. Wakefield, 1999: Discussion of "Bayesian models for spatially correlated disease and exposure data", by Best et al. In: Bernardo, J. M., J. O. Berger, A. P. Dawid, and A. F. M. Smith (eds) Bayesian Statistics 6, pp. 151. Oxford, University Press.
21. Knorr-Held, L., 2000: Bayesian modelling of inseparable space-time variation in disease risk. Stat. Med. 19, 2555-2567.
22. Kunsch, H. R., 1987: Intrinsic autoregressions and related models on the two dimensional lattice. Biometrika 74, 517-524.
23. Lunn, D. J., A. Thomas, N. Best, and D. Spiegelhalter, 2000: WinBUGS - a Bayesian modelling framework: concepts, structure, and extensibility. Stat. Comput. 10, 325-337.
24. Lunn, D., D. Spiegelhalter, A. Thomas, and N. Best, 2009: The BUGS project: evolution, critique and future directions. Stat. Med. 28, 3049-3067.
25. Morgenstern, H., 1982: Uses of ecologic analysis in epidemiologic research. Am. J. Public Health 72, 1336-1344.
26. Morgenstern, H., 1995: Ecologic studies in epidemiology: concepts, principles, and methods. Annu. Rev. Public Health 16, 61-81.
27. Munroe, F. A., I. R. Dohoo, W. B. McNab, and L. Spangler, 1999: Risk factors for the between-herd spread of Mycobacterium bovis in Canadian cattle and cervids between 1985 and 1994. Prev. Vet. Med. 41, 119-133.
28. Munyeme, M., J. B. Muma, E. Skjerve, A. M. Nambota, I. G. Phiri, K. L. Samui, P. Dorny, and M. Tryland, 2008: Risk factors associated with bovine tuberculosis in traditional cattle of the livestock/wildlife interface areas in the Kafue basin of Zambia. Prev. Vet. Med. 85, 317-328.
29. O'Connor, R., A. Conway, and M. Murphy, 1993: Study of Socio-Economic Impediments to Bovine Tuberculosis Eradication. A Report by The Economic and Social Research Institute for the Eradication of Animal Disease Board. Dublin. pp. 215.
30. Olea-Popelka, F. J., P. W. White, J. D. Collins, J. O'Keeffe, D. F. Kelton, and S. W. Martin, 2004: Breakdown severity during a bovine tuberculosis episode as a predictor of future herd breakdowns in Ireland. Prev. Vet. Med. 63, 163-172.
31. Pluvinage, J., 1971: Regard sur l'élevage Bovin Français et Son Avenir. 1st edn. Editions Genin-Librairies Techniques, Paris.
32. Porphyre, T., M. A. Stevenson, and J. McKenzie, 2008: Risk factors for bovine tuberculosis in New Zealand cattle farms and their relationship with possum control strategies. Prev. Vet. Med. 86, 93-106.
33. QGIS Development Team, 2012: version 1.7.4. QGIS Geographic Information System. Open Source Geospatial Foundation Project. Available at http://qgis.osgeo.org.
34. Ramirez-Villaescusa, A. M., G. F. Medley, S. Mason, and L. E. Green, 2010: Risk factors for herd breakdown with bovine tuberculosis in 148 cattle herds in the south west of England. Prev. Vet. Med. 95, 224-230.
35. Reilly, L. A., and O. Courtenay, 2007: Husbandry practices, badger sett density and habitat composition as risk factors for transient and persistent bovine tuberculosis on UK cattle farms. Prev. Vet. Med. 80, 129-142.
36. Richardson, S., I. Stucker, and D. Hemon, 1987: Comparison of relative risks obtained in ecological and individual studies: some methodological considerations. Int. J. Epidemiol. 16, 111-120.
37. Robert, C. 2007: The Bayesian Choice. From Decision-Theoretic Foundations to Computational Implementation, 2nd edn. Springer, New York.
38. de la Rua-Domenech, R., 2006: Bovine Tuberculosis in the European Union and other countries: current status, control programmes and constrains to eradication. Gov. Vet. J. 16, 19-45.
39. Schliesser, T., 1982: History and development of the fight against bovine tuberculosis (author's transl). Zbl. Bakt-Int. J. Med. M. 251, 326-340.
40. Spiegelhalter, D. J., N. G. Best, B. P. Carlin, and A. van der Linde, 2002: Bayesian measures of model complexity and fit. J. Roy. Stat. Soc. B. 64, 583-639.
41. Vial, F., W. T. Johnston, and C. A. Donnelly, 2011: Local cattle and badger populations affect the risk of confirmed tuberculosis in British cattle herds. PLoS ONE 6, e18058.
42. Wolfe, D. M., O. Berke, D. F. Kelton, P. W. White, S. J. More, J. O'Keeffe, and S. W. Martin, 2010: From explanation to prediction: a model for recurrent bovine tuberculosis in Irish cattle herds. Prev. Vet. Med. 94, 170-177.