The contribution of Paris to limit global warming to 2 °c

Environmental Research Letters

Volumn 10, Issue 12, 2015, Pages

  Iyer, Gokul C ^a   Edmonds, James A ^a   Fawcett, Allen A ^b   Hultman, Nathan E ^a   Alsalam, Jameel ^b   Asrar, Ghassem R ^a   Calvin, Katherine V ^a   Clarke, Leon E ^a   Creason, Jared ^b   Jeong, Minji ^a   Kyle, Page ^a   McFarland, James ^b   Mundra, Anupriya ^a   Patel, Pralit ^a   Shi, Wenjing ^a   McJeon, Haewon C ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND   (United States)

^b U S ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY   (United States)

Author keywords

climate change; conference of Parties; energy; INDC; integrated assessment model; mitigation; policy

Indexed keywords

CARBON; CLIMATE MODELS; EMISSION CONTROL; ENVIRONMENTAL REGULATIONS; FOSSIL FUEL POWER PLANTS; FOSSIL FUELS; GLOBAL WARMING; PUBLIC POLICY;

CONFERENCE OF PARTIES; ENERGY; INDC; INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT MODELS; MITIGATION;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

EMISSION CONTROL; ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT; ENVIRONMENTAL PLANNING; GLOBAL WARMING; POLLUTION POLICY; UNITED NATIONS FRAMEWORK CONVENTION ON CLIMATE CHANGE;

FRANCE; ILE DE FRANCE; PARIS; VILLE DE PARIS;

EID: 84952929549     PISSN: 17489318     EISSN: 17489326     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/125002     Document Type: Article

References (37)

1. Clarke J F and Edmonds J 1993 Modelling energy technologies in a competitive market Energy Econ. 15 123-29
2. Clarke L, Edmonds J, Krey V, Richels R, Rose S and Tavoni M 2009 International climate policy architectures: overview of the EMF 22 International Scenarios Energy Econ. 31 S64-81
3. Clarke L et al 2014 Assessing Transformation Pathways Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change ed O Edenhofer et al (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press)
4. Edmonds J, Clarke J, Dooley J, Kim S and Smith S 2004 Stabilization of CO2 in a B2 world: insights on the roles of carbon capture and disposal, hydrogen, andtransportation technologies Energy Econ. 26 517-37
5. Edmonds J, Clarke L, Lurz J and Wise M 2008 Stabilizing CO2 concentrations with incomplete international cooperation Clim. Policy 8 355-76
6. Edmonds J and Reilly J 1985 Global Energy: Assessing theFuture (Oxford: Oxford University Press)
7. EIA 2015 International Energy Statistics (www.eia.gov/cfapps/ipdbproject/IEDIndex3.cfm?tid=2&pid=2&aid=7)(accessed 24 June 2015)
8. Eom J, Edmonds J, Krey V, Johnson N, Longden T, Luderer G, Riahi K and VanVuuren D P 2015 The impact of near-term climate policy choices on technology and emission transition pathways Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 90 73-88
9. Fuss S et al 2014 Betting on negative emissions Nat. Clim. Change 4 850-53
10. Gough C and Upham P 2011 Biomass energy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS or Bio-CCS) Greenhouse Gases: Sci. Technol. 1 324-34
11. Hultman N E, Malone E L, Runci P, Carlock G and Anderson K L 2012 Factors in low-carbon energy transformations: comparing nuclear and bioenergy in Brazil, Sweden, and the United States Energy Policy 40 131-46
12. IEA 2014 World Energy Investment Outlook (Paris: International Energy Agency)
13. IPCC 2014 Climate change 2014: synthesis report Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III 2014 to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change ed R K Pachauri and L A Meyer (Geneva: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change)
14. Iyer G, Clarke L, Edmonds J, Flannery B, Ultman N, McJeon H and Victor D G 2015a Improved representation of investment decisions in assessments of CO2 mitigation Nat. Clim. Change 5 436-40
15. Iyer G, Hultman N, Eom J, McJeon H, Patel P and Clarke L 2015b Diffusion of low-carbon technologies and the feasibility of long-term climate targets Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 90A 103-18
16. Iyer G, Hultman N, Fetter S and Kim S H 2014 Implications of small modular reactors for climate change mitigation Energy Econ. 45 144-54
17. Jakob M, Luderer G, Steckel J, Tavoni M and Monjon S J 2012 Time to act now? Assessing the costs of delaying climate measures and benefits of early action Clim. Change 114 79-99
18. Kim S, Edmonds J, Lurz J, Smith S and Wise M 2006 The ObjECTS framework for integrated assessment: hybrid modeling of transportation Energy J. 27 63-91
19. Kriegler E et al 2015 Making or breaking climate targets: the AMPERE study on staged accession scenarios for climate policy Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 90 24-44
20. McFadden D 1980 Econometric models for probabilistic choice among products J. Bus. 53 S13-29
21. Meinshausen M, Raper S C B and Wigley T M L 2011 Emulating coupled atmosphere-ocean and carbon cycle models with a simpler model, MAGICC6 - Part 1: Model description and calibration Atmos. Chem. Phys. 11 1417-56
22. Moss R H et al 2010 The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment Nature 463 747-56
23. O'Neill B C, Kriegler E, Riahi K, Ebi K L, Hallegatte S, Carter T R, Mathur R and Van Vuuren D P 2013 A new scenario framework for climate change research: the concept of shared socioeconomic pathways Clim. Change 122 387-400
24. Peck S C and Wan Y S 1996 Analytic solutions of simple optimal greenhouse gas emissions models Economics of Atmospheric Pollution ed E C Van Ierland and K Gorka (Berlin: Springer)
25. Pizer W et al 2014 Using and improving the social cost of carbon Science 346 1189-90
26. Riahi K et al 2015 Locked into Copenhagen pledges - Implications of short-term emission targets for the cost and feasibility of long-term climate goals Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 90A 8-23
27. Rogelj J, McCollum D L, Reisinger A, Meinshausen M and Riahi K 2013 Probabilistic cost estimates for climate change mitigation Nature 493 79-83
28. Sands R and Leimbach M 2003 Modeling agriculture and land use in an integrated assessment framework Clim. Change 56 185-210
29. Tavoni M et al 2015 Post-2020 climate agreements in the major economies assessed in the light of global models Nat. Clim. Change 5 119-26
30. The White House 2014 U.S.-China Joint Announcement on Climate Change (www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2014/11/11/us-china-joint-announcement-climate-change) (accessed 30 July 2015)
31. Thomson A M et al 2011 RCP4.5: a pathway for stabilization of radiative forcing by 2100 Clim. Change 109 77-94
32. Train K 1993 Qualitative Choice Analysis: Theory, Econometrics, and an Application to Automobile Demand Choice Analysis (Cambridge, MA: MIT Press)
33. UNEP 2014 The Emissions Gap Report 2014 (Nairobi: United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP))
34. UNFCCC 2015 INDCs as Communicated by Parties (www4.unfccc.int/submissions/indc/Submission%20Pages/submissions.aspx) (accessed 30 July 2015)
35. Wigley T M 2008 MAGICC/SCENGEN 5.3: User Manual Version 2 (Boulder, CO: National Center for Atmospheric Research)
36. Wigley T M and Raper S C B 1992 Implications for climate and sea level of revised IPCC emissions scenarios Nature 357 293-300
37. Wise M, Calvin K, Thomson A, Clarke L, Bond-Lamberty B, Sands R, Smith S J, Janetos A and Edmonds J 2009 Implications of limiting CO2 concentrations for land use and energy Science 324 1183-86