Global association of cold spells and adverse health effects: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Environmental Health Perspectives

Volumn 124, Issue 1, 2016, Pages 12-22

  Ryti, Niilo R I ^a,b   Guo, Yuming ^a,c   Jaakkola, Jouni J K ^a,b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF OULU   (Finland)

^b OULU UNIVERSITY HOSPITAL   (Finland)

^c UNIVERSITY OF QUEENSLAND   (Australia)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

AGE; CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE; CLIMATE CHANGE; COLD EXPOSURE; DATA EXTRACTION; DATA SYNTHESIS; GENDER; HEALTH HAZARD; HUMAN; META ANALYSIS; MORBIDITY; MORTALITY; PRIORITY JOURNAL; PUBLICATION; RESPIRATORY TRACT DISEASE; REVIEW; SCIENTIFIC LITERATURE; SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS; SYSTEMATIC REVIEW; CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASES; COLD; FACTUAL DATABASE; PUBLIC HEALTH; THEORETICAL MODEL;

CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASES; COLD TEMPERATURE; DATABASES, FACTUAL; HUMANS; MODELS, THEORETICAL; PUBLIC HEALTH;

EID: 84952684705     PISSN: 00916765     EISSN: 15529924     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1289/ehp.1408104     Document Type: Review

References (62)

1. Analitis A, Katsouyanni K, Biggeri A, Baccini M, Forsberg B, Bisanti L, et al. 2008. Effects of cold weather on mortality: results from 15 European cities within the PHEWE project. Am J Epidemiol 168:1397–1408.
2. Ballester J, Robine JM, Herrmann FR, Rodó X. 2011. Long-term projections and acclimatization scenarios of temperature-related mortality in Europe. Nat Commun 2:358; doi:10.1038/ncomms1360.
3. Barnett AG, Hajat S, Gasparrini A, Rocklöv J. 2012. Cold and heat waves in the United States. Environ Res 112:218–224.
4. Borenstein M, Hedges LV, Higgins JPT, Rothstein HR. 2009. Identifying and quantifying heterogeneity. In: Introduction to Meta-Analysis. Chichester, West Sussex, United Kingdom:John Wiley & Sons Ltd, 107–125.
5. Borst V, Schols JMGA, Mackenbach JP. 1997. Increased mortality among nursing home patients during ambient temperature extremes; more rise during hot than during cold spells [in Dutch]. Ned Tijdschr Geneeskd 141:2180–2183.
6. Carlsen KH. 2012. Sports in extreme conditions: the impact of exercise in cold temperatures on asthma and bronchial hyper-responsiveness in athletes. Br J Sports Med 46:796–799.
7. Chen VY, Wu PC, Yang TC, Su HJ. 2010. Examining non-stationary effects of social determinants on cardio-vascular mortality after cold surges in Taiwan. Sci Total Environ 408:2042–2049.
8. Conlon KC, Rajkovich NB, White-Newsome JL, Larsen L, O’Neill MS. 2011. Preventing cold-related morbidity and mortality in a changing climate. Maturitas 69:197–202.
9. Cruz AA, Togias A. 2008. Upper airways reactions to cold air. Curr Allergy Asthma Rep 8:111–117.
10. Curriero FC, Heiner KS, Samet JM, Zeger SL, Strug L, Patz JA. 2002. Temperature and mortality in 11 cities of the Eastern United States. Am J Epidemiol 155:80–87.
11. Díaz J, Linares C, Tobías A. 2006. Impact of extreme temperatures on daily mortality in Madrid (Spain) among the 45–64 age-group. Int J Biometeorol 50:342–348.
12. Donaldson GC, Wedzicha JA. 2014. The causes and consequences of seasonal variation in COPD exacerbations. Int J Chron Obstruct Pulmon Dis 9:1101–1110.
13. Ebi KL, Mills D. 2013. Winter mortality in a warming climate: a reassessment. Wiley Interdiscip Rev Clim Change 4:203–212; doi:10.1002/wcc.211.
14. Eccles R. 2002. An explanation for the seasonality of acute upper respiratory tract viral infections. Acta Otolaryngol 122:183–191.
15. Eurowinter Group. 1997. Cold exposure and winter mortality from ischaemic heart disease, cere-brovascular disease, respiratory disease, and all causes in warm and cold regions of Europe. Lancet 349:1341–1346.
16. Fitzgerald E, Pantea C, Lin S. 2011. Cold spells and asthma hospitalisation in New York State, USA: 1991–2006 [Poster abstract, P2-397]. J Epidemiol Community Health 65(suppl 1):A332.
17. Freund BJ, Sawka MN. 1996. Influence of cold stress on human fluid balance. In: Nutritional Needs in Cold and High-Altitude Environments: Applications for Military Personnel in Field Operations (Marriot BM, Carlson SJ, eds). Washington, DC:National Academies Press, 161–179.
18. Gasparrini A, Armstrong B. 2011. The impact of heat waves on mortality. Epidemiology 22:68–73.
19. Guo Y, Barnett AG, Yu W, Pan X, Ye X, Huang C, et al. 2011. A large change in temperature between neigh-bouring days increases the risk of mortality. PLoS One 6(2):e16511; doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0016511.
20. Guo Y, Jiang F, Peng L, Zhang J, Geng F, Xu J, et al. 2012. The association between cold spells and pediatric outpatient visits for asthma in Shanghai, China. PLoS One 7:e42232; doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0042232.
21. Guo Y, Li S, Zhang Y, Armstrong B, Jaakkola JJ, Tong S, et al. 2013. Extremely cold and hot temperatures increase the risk of ischaemic heart disease mortality: epidemiological evidence from China. Heart 99:195–203.
22. Ha J, Yoon J, Kim H. 2009. Relationship between winter temperature and mortality in Seoul, South Korea, from 1994 to 2006. Sci Total Environ 407:2158–2164.
23. Höfler M. 2005. Causal inference based on counter-factuals. BMC Med Res Methodol 5:28; doi:10.1186/1471-2288-5-28.
24. Holmér I, Hassi J, Ikäheimo TM, Jaakkola JJK. 2012. Cold stress: effects on performance and health. Patty’s Toxicology 97:1–26; doi:10.1002/0471435139.tox097.pub2.
25. Huang C, Barnett AG, Wang X, Tong S. 2012a. Effects of extreme temperatures on years of life lost for cardiovascular deaths: a time series study in Brisbane, Australia. Circ Cardiovasc Qual Outcomes 5:609–614.
26. Huang C, Barnett AG, Wang X, Tong S. 2012b. The impact of temperature on years of life lost in Brisbane, Australia. Nat Clim Chang 2:265–270; doi:10.1038/nclimate1369.
27. Huynen MM, Martens P, Schram D, Weijenberg MP, Kunst AE. 2001. The impact of heat waves and cold spells on mortality rates in the Dutch population. Environ Health Perspect 109:463–470.
28. Institut de veille sanitaire. 1988. Consequences of the cold wave of January 1985 on mortality in Ile-de- France [in French]. Revue Hospitaliére de France 52:633–642.
29. Jaakkola K, Saukkoriipi A, Jokelainen J, Juvonen R, Kauppila J, Vainio O, et al. 2014. Decline in temperature and humidity increases the occurrence of influenza in cold climate. Environ Health 13:22; doi:10.1186/1476-069X-13-22.
30. Keatinge WR, Coleshaw SR, Cotter F, Mattock M, Murphy M, Chelliah R. 1984. Increases in platelet and red cell counts, blood viscosity, and arterial pressure during mild surface cooling: factors in mortality from coronary and cerebral thrombosis in winter. Br Med J (Clin Res Ed) 289:1405–1408.
31. Koskela HO. 2007. Cold air-provoked respiratory symptoms: the mechanisms and management. Int J Circumpolar Health 66:91–100.
32. Koskela H, Tukiainen H. 1995. Facial cooling, but not nasal breathing of cold air, induces bronchoconstriction: a study in asthmatic and healthy subjects. Eur Respir J 8:2088–2093.
33. Kyselý J, Pokorna L, Kyncl J, Kriz B. 2009. Excess cardiovascular mortality associated with cold spells in the Czech Republic. BMC Public Health 9:19; doi:10.1186/1471-2458-9-19.
34. Laaidi K, Economopoulou A, Wagner V, Pascal M, Empereur-Bissonnet P, Verrier A, et al. 2013. Cold spells and health: prevention and warning. Public Health 127:492–499.
35. Laschewski G, Jendritzky G. 2002. Effects of the thermal environment on human health: an investigation of 30 years of daily mortality data from SW Germany. Clim Res 21:91–103.
36. Le Tertre A, Lefranc A, Eilstein D, Declercq C, Medina S, Blanchard M, et al. 2006. Impact of the 2003 heatwave on all-cause mortality in 9 French cities. Epidemiology 17:75–79.
37. Lin YK, Ho TJ, Wang YC. 2011. Mortality risk associated with temperature and prolonged temperature extremes in elderly populations in Taiwan. Environ Res 111:1156–1163.
38. Ma W, Xu X, Peng L, Kan H. 2011. Impact of extreme temperature on hospital admission in Shanghai, China. Sci Total Environ 409:3634–3637.
39. Ma W, Yang C, Chu C, Li T, Tan J, Kan H. 2012. The impact of the 2008 cold spell on mortality in Shanghai, China. Int J Biometeorol 57:179–184; doi:10.1007/s00484-012-0545-7.
40. Maclure M. 1991. The case-crossover design: a method for studying transient effects on the risk of acute events. Am J Epidemiol 133:144–152.
41. Maclure M. 1998. The case-specular study design and counterfactual controls. Epidemiology 9:6–7.
42. MacMahon B, Pugh TF. 1970. Epidemiology: Principles and Methods. Boston, MA:Little, Brown and Company, 103–174.
43. Mittelman MA, Maclure M, Tofler GH, Sherwood JB, Goldberg RJ, Muller JE. 1993. Triggering acute myocardial infarction by heavy physical exertion— protection against triggering by regular exertion. N Engl J Med 329:1677–1683.
44. Moher D, Liberati A, Tetzlaff J, Altman DG, PRISMA Group. 2009. Preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses: the PRISMA statement. PLoS Med 6:e1000097; doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1000097.
45. Monteiro A, Carvalho V, Góis J, Sousa C. 2012. Use of “Cold Spell” indices to quantify excess chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) morbidity during winter (November to March 2000–2007): case study in Porto. Int J Biometeorol 57:857–780; doi:10.1007/s00484-012-0613-z.
46. Montero JC, Mirón IJ, Criado-Álvarez JJ, Linares C, Díaz J. 2010. Mortality from cold waves in Castile—La Mancha, Spain. Sci Total Environ 408:5768–5774.
47. Neild PJ, Syndercombe-Court D, Keatinge WR, Donaldson GC, Mattock M, Caunce M. 1994. Cold- induced increases in erythrocyte count, plasma cholesterol and plasma fibrinogen of elderly people without a comparable rise in protein C or factor X. Clin Sci (Lond) 86:43–48.
48. Peel MC, Finlayson BL, McMahon TA. 2007. Updated world map of the Köppen-Geiger climate classification. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 11:1633–1644.
49. Plavcová E, Kyselý J. 2009. Comparison of the impacts of temperature extremes on mortality in Prague and other regions of the Czech Republic. In: Sustainable Development and Bioclimate: Reviewed Conference Proceedings (Pribullová A, Bicˇárová S, eds), 5–8 October 2009, the High Tatras–Stará Lesná Congress Centre of the SAS Academia. Bratislava:Geophysical Institute of the Slovak Academy of Sciences, 213–214.
50. R Core Team. 2014. R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing. Vienna, Austria:R Foundation for Statistical Computing. Available: http://www.R-project.org.
51. Revich B, Shaposhnikov D. 2008. Excess mortality during heat waves and cold spells in Moscow, Russia. Occup Environ Med 65:691–696.
52. Revich BA, Shaposhnikov DA. 2010. Extreme temperature episodes and mortality in Yakutsk, East Siberia. Rural Remote Health 10:1338. Available: http://www.rrh.org.au/articles/subviewnew.asp?ArticleID=1338 [accessed 14 June 2012].
53. Robine JM, Cheung SL, Le Roy S, Van Oyen H, Griffiths C, Michel JP, et al. 2008. Death toll exceeded 70,000 in Europe during the summer of 2003. C R Biol 331:171–178.
54. Rocklöv J, Ebi K, Forsberg B. 2011. Mortality related to temperature and persistent extreme temperatures: a study of cause-specific and age-stratified mortality. Occup Environ Med 68:531–536.
55. Rocklöv J, Forsberg B. 2008. The effect of temperature on mortality in Stockholm 1998–2003: a study of lag structures and heatwave effects. Scand J Public Health 36:516–523.
56. Rothman KJ. 2012. Types of Epidemiologic Studies. In: Epidemiology: An Introduction. New York:Oxford University Press, 69–109.
57. Stroup DF, Berlin JA, Morton SC, Olkin I, Williamson GD, Rennie D, et al. 2000. Meta-analysis of observational studies in epidemiology: a proposal for reporting. Meta-analysis Of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (MOOSE) group. JAMA 283:2008–2012.
58. Tan J, Mu L, Huang J, Yu S, Chen B, Yin J. 2005. An initial investigation of the association between the SARS outbreak and weather: with the view of the environmental temperature and its variation. J Epidemiol Community Health 59:186–192.
59. Wang YC, Lin YK, Chuang CY, Li MH, Chou CH, Liao CH, et al. 2012. Associating emergency room visits with first and prolonged extreme temperature event in Taiwan: a population-based cohort study. Sci Total Environ 416:97–104.
60. Xie H, Yao Z, Zhang Y, Xu Y, Xu X, Liu T, et al. 2013. Short- term effects of the 2008 cold spell on mortality in three subtropical cities in Guangdong Province, China. Environ Health Perspect 121:210–216; doi:10.1289/ehp.1104541.
61. Yang TC, Wu PC, Chen VY, Su HJ. 2009. Cold surge: a sudden and spatially varying threat to health? Sci Total Environ 407:3421–3424.
62. Zhong K, Zhang J. 2009. A case-crossover study between cold wave and the death of many kinds of disease in Beijing [Abstract]. Epidemiology 20:S229.