Rethinking failure: Time for closer engineer-scientist collaborations on design

Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers: Forensic Engineering

Volumn 168, Issue 2, 2015, Pages 49-57

  Tye, Mari R ^a   Holland, Greg J ^a   Done, James M ^a  

^a NATIONAL CENTER FOR ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH   (United States)

Author keywords

Infrastructure planning; Knowledge management; Risk probability analysis

Indexed keywords

KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT;

CATASTROPHIC FAILURES; COMMUNICATION STRATEGY; ENGINEERING COMMUNITY; INFRASTRUCTURE PLANNING; NATURAL ENVIRONMENTS; PROBABILITY ANALYSIS; SCIENTISTS AND ENGINEERS; TWO-WAY INTERACTION;

RISK ASSESSMENT;

EID: 84949584548     PISSN: 20439903     EISSN: 20439911     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1680/feng.14.00004     Document Type: Article

References (33)

1. Alexander LV, Zhang X, Peterson T et al. (2006) Global observed changes in daily climate extremes of temperature and precipitation. Journal of Geophysical Research 111, D05109, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2005JD006290.
2. Bates P (2014) Flood crisis: dredging is a simplistic response to a complex problem. The Guardian. See http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2014/feb/12/flood-crisisdredging-climate-change (accessed 10/03/2014).
3. Czajkowski J and Done J (2014) As the wind blows? Understanding hurricane damages at the local level through a case study analysis. Weather, Climate, and Society 6(2): 238-252.
4. Defra (Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs) (2012) The UK Climate Change Risk Assessment 2012 Evidence Report. Defra, London, UK.
5. Dilling L and Lemos MC (2011) Creating usable science: opportunities and constraints for climate knowledge use and their implications for science policy. Global Environmental Change 21(2): 680-689.
6. Done JM, Holland GJ, Bruyère CL, Leung LR and Suzuki-Parker A (2012) Modeling high-impact weather and climate: lessons from a tropical cyclone perspective. Climatic Change 129(3-4): 381-395, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0954-6.
7. Fowler HJ and Wilby RL (2010) Detecting changes in seasonal precipitation extremes using regional climate model projections: implications for managing fluvial flood risk. Water Resources Research 46(3): W03525, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2008WR007636.
8. Gersonius B, Ashley R, Pathirana A and Zevenbergen C (2012) Adaptation of flood risk infrastructure to climate resilience. Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers-Civil Engineering 165(6): 40-45, http://dx.doi.org/10.1680/cien.11.00053.
9. Grossi P, Kunreuther H and Patel CC (2005) Catastrophe Modeling: A New Approach to Managing Risk, Volume 25. Springer, Boston, MA, USA.
10. Guyennon N, Romno E, Portoghese I et al. (2013) Benefits from using combined dynamical-statistical downscaling approaches-lessons from a case study in the Mediterranean region. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 17(2): 705-720.
11. Hewitson BC, Daron J, Crane RG, Zermoglio MF and Jack C (2013) Interrogating empirical-statistical downscaling. Climatic Change 122(4): 539-554.
12. Holland GJ (2008) A revised hurricane pressure-wind model. Monthly Weather Review 136(9): 3432-3445, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2008MWR2395.1.
13. Holland G and Bruyère CL (2014) Recent intense hurricane response to global climate change. Climate Dynamics 42(3-4): 617-627, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1713-0.
14. IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) (2013) Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (Stocker TF, Qin D, Plattner G-K (eds)). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
15. Jones MR, Fowler HJ, Kilsby CG and Blenkinsop S (2013a) An assessment of changes in seasonal and annual extreme rainfall in the UK between 1961 and 2009. International Journal of Climatology 33(5): 1178-1194.
16. Jones MR, Holland GJ and Done JM (2013b) Integrating science and engineering to reduce vulnerability to climate extremes. Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union 94(49): 474.
17. Knutson TR, Sirutis J, Vecchi G et al. (2013) Dynamical downscaling projections of twenty-first-century Atlantic hurricane activity: CMIP3 and CMIP5 model-based scenarios. Journal of Climate 26(17): 6591-6617.
18. Kunkel KE, Karl T, Brooks H et al. (2013) Monitoring and understanding trends in extreme storms: state of knowledge. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 94(4): 499-514.
19. Linham MM and Nicholls RJ (2012) Adaptation technologies for coastal erosion and flooding: a review. Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers-Maritime Engineering 165(3): 95-111.
20. Meehl GA, Goddard L, Murphy J et al. (2009) Decadal prediction. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 90(10): 1467-1485.
21. Met Office (2014) Wettest Winter for England and Wales Since 1766. Met Office, London, UK. See http://www.metoffice. gov.uk/news/releases/archive/2014/early-winter-stats?utm_source5UKCIP+enews&utm_campaign5a947142bca-03_UKCIP_news_March_20143_7_2014&utm_medium5email&utm_term50_a7d6f30eab-a947142bca-3622621 (accessed 13/03/2014).
22. Mohleji S and Pielke R (2014) Reconciliation of trends in global and regional economic losses from weather events: 1980-2008. Natural Hazards Review 15(4): 04014009, http://dx. doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)NH.1527-6996.0000141.
23. Montgomery M, Broyd T, Cornell S et al. (2012) An innovative approach for improving infrastructure resilience. Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers-Civil Engineering 165(6): 27-32, http://dx.doi.org/10.1680/cien.11.00062.
24. Morss RE, Wilhelmi O, Meehl G and Dilling L (2011) Improving societal outcomes of extreme weather in a changing climate: an integrated perspective. Annual Review of Environment and Resources 36(1): 1-25.
25. Murphy J, Sexton D, Jenkins G et al. (2009) Climate Change Projections. Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK.
26. Preston I, Banks N, Hargreaves K et al. (2014) Climate Change and Social Justice: An Evidence Review. Joseph Rowntree Foundation, London, UK.
27. Schröder T (ed.) (2010) World Ocean Review: Living with the Oceans. Maribus GmbH, Hamburg, Germany. See http:// worldoceanreview.com/en/ (accessed 13/03/2014).
28. Slingo J and Palmer T (2011) Uncertainty in weather and climate prediction. Philosophical Transactions. Series A:Mathematical, Physical, and Engineering Sciences 369(1956): 4751-4767.
29. Slingo J, Belcher S, Scaife A et al. (2014) The Recent Storms and Floods in the UK. Met Office, UK. See http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/media/pdf/g/e/Recent_Storms_Briefing_Final_SLR_20140210.pdf (accessed 19/03/2014).
30. Swiss Re (2014) Natural Catastrophes and Man-made Disasters in 2013. Swiss Re, Zurich, Switzerland. See http://media.swissre.com/documents/sigma1_2014_en.pdf (accessed 27/03/2014).
31. UN Desa (United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs Population Division) (2012) World Urbanization Prospects: The 2011 Revision. UN Desa, New York, NJ, USA. See http://esa.un.org/unup/pdf/WUP2011_Highlights.pdf (accessed 13/03/2014).
32. Wilby RL and Dessai S (2010) Robust adaptation to climate change. Weather 65(7): 180-185.
33. Zurich Insurance Group (2013) European Floods: Using Lessons Learned to Reduce Risks. Zurich Insurance Group, Zurich, Switzerland.