An analysis of ozone damage to historical maize and soybean yields in the United States

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America

Volumn 112, Issue 46, 2015, Pages 14390-14395

  McGrath, Justin M ^a   Betzelberger, Amy M ^b   Wang, Shaowen ^a   Shook, Eric ^c   Zhu, Xin Guang ^a,d   Long, Stephen P ^a   Ainsworth, Elizabeth A ^a,e  

^a UNIVERSITY OF ILLINOIS AT URBANA CHAMPAIGN   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF CAPE TOWN   (South Africa)

^c KENT STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^d MAX PLANCK INSTITUTE   (Germany)

^e AGRICULTURAL RESEARCH SERVICE   (United States)

Author keywords

Agriculture; Air pollution; Maize; Ozone; Soybean

Indexed keywords

OZONE;

ARTICLE; COST BENEFIT ANALYSIS; CROP PRODUCTION; ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT; HARVEST; MAIZE; OZONE DEPLETION; PRIORITY JOURNAL; SOYBEAN; UNITED STATES; BIOLOGICAL MODEL; CROP; GROWTH, DEVELOPMENT AND AGING;

CROPS, AGRICULTURAL; MODELS, BIOLOGICAL; OZONE; SOYBEANS; UNITED STATES; ZEA MAYS;

EID: 84947561261     PISSN: 00278424     EISSN: 10916490     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1509777112     Document Type: Article

References (40)

1. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (2011) FAOSTAT (FAO, Rome). Available at faostat.fao.org/.
2. Mills G, et al. (2007) A synthesis of AOT40-based response functions and critical levels of ozone for agricultural and horticultural crops. Atmos Environ 41(12):2630-2643.
3. Mills G, et al. (2011) Evidence of widespread effects of ozone on crops and (semi-)natural vegetation in Europe (1990-2006) in relation to AOT40-and flux-based risk maps. Glob Change Biol 17(1):592-613.
4. Hartmann DL, et al. (2013) Observations: Atmosphere and Surface. Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, eds Stocker TF, et al. (Cambridge Univ Press, Cambridge, UK), pp 159-254.
5. Karenlampi L, Skärby L, eds (1996) Critical Levels for Ozone in Europe: Testing and Finalizing the Concepts (United Nations Economic Commission for Europe, Kuopio, Finland).
6. Mills G, et al. (2011) New stomatal flux-based critical levels for ozone effects on vegetation. Atmos Environ 45(28):5064-5068.
7. Young PJ, et al. (2013) Pre-industrial to end 21st century projections of tropospheric ozone from the Atmospheric Chemistry and Climate Model Intercomparison Project (ACCMIP). Atmos Chem Phys 13(4):2063-2090.
8. Avnery S, Mauzerall DL, Liu J, Horowitz LW (2011) Global crop yield reductions due to surface ozone exposure: 1. Year 2000 crop production losses and economic damage. Atmos Environ 45(13):2284-2296.
9. Long SP, Naidu SL (2002) Effects of oxidants at the biochemical, cell and physiological levels, with particular reference to ozone. Air Pollution and Plant Life, eds Bell JNB, Treshow M (Wiley, West Sussex, UK), 2nd Ed, pp 69-88.
10. Fiscus EL, Booker FL, Burkey KO (2005) Crop responses to ozone: Uptake, modes of action, carbon assimilation and partitioning. Plant Cell Environ 28(8):997-1011.
11. Kangasjärvi J, Talvinen J, Utriainen M, Karjalainen R (1994) Plant defence systems induced by ozone. Plant Cell Environ 17(7):783-794.
12. McKee IF, Mulholland BJ, Craigon J, Black CR, Long SP (2000) Elevated concentrations of atmospheric CO2 protect against and compensate for O3 damage to photosynthetic tissues of field-grown wheat. New Phytol 146(3):427-435.
13. Burney J, Ramanathan V (2014) Recent climate and air pollution impacts on Indian agriculture. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 111(46):16319-16324.
14. McLeod AR, Long SP (1999) Free-air carbon dioxide enrichment (FACE) in global change research: A review. Advances in Ecological Research, eds Fitter AH, Raffaelli D (Academic, San Diego), pp 1-56.
15. Lobell DB, Asner GP (2003) Climate and management contributions to recent trends in U.S. agricultural yields. Science 299(5609):1032.
16. McGrath JM, Lobell DB (2011) An independent method of deriving the carbon dioxide fertilization effect in dry conditions using historical yield data from wet and dry years. Glob Change Biol 17(8):2689-2696.
17. Lobell DB, Field CB (2008) Estimation of the carbon dioxide (CO2) fertilization effect using growth rate anomalies of CO2 and crop yields since 1961. Glob Change Biol 14(1):39-45.
18. Mauzerall DL, Wang X (2001) Protecting agricultural crops from the effects of tropospheric ozone exposure: Reconciling science and standard setting in the United States, Europe, and Asia. Annu Rev Energy Environ 26(1):237-268.
19. Reich PB, Amundson RG (1985) Ambient levels of ozone reduce net photosynthesis in tree and crop species. Science 230(4725):566-570.
20. Kirtman B, et al. (2013) Near-term climate change: Projections and predictability. Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, eds Stocker FT, et al. (Cambridge Univ Press, Cambridge, UK), pp 953-1028.
21. US EPA (2012) Our Nation's Air: Status and Trends Through 2010 (Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC).
22. Auffhammer M, Kellogg R (2011) Clearing the air? The effects of gasoline content regulation on air quality. Am Econ Rev 101(6):2687-2722.
23. Federal Register 62 (1997), pp 38856-38896, codified in 40 CFR part 50.
24. Lobell D (2010) Crop responses to climate: Time-series models. Climate Change and Food Security: Advances in Global Change Research, eds Lobell D, Burke M (Springer, Dordrecht, The Netherlands), 1st Ed, pp 85-98.
25. Ainsworth EA, Yendrek CR, Sitch S, Collins WJ, Emberson LD (2012) The effects of tropospheric ozone on net primary productivity and implications for climate change. Annu Rev Plant Biol 63(1):637-661.
26. Wilkinson S, Davies WJ (2010) Drought, ozone, ABA and ethylene: New insights from cell to plant to community. Plant Cell Environ 33(4):510-525.
27. Heagle AS (1989) Ozone and crop yield. Annu Rev Phytopathol 27(1):397-423.
28. Mulchi C, Rudorff B, Lee E, Rowland R, Pausch R (1995) Morphological responses among crop species to full-season exposures to enhanced concentrations of atmospheric CO2 and O3. Water Air Soil Pollut 85(3):1379-1386.
29. Rudorff BFT, Mulchi CL, Lee EH, Rowland R, Pausch R (1996) Effects of enhanced O3 and CO2 enrichment on plant characteristics in wheat and corn. Environ Pollut 94(1): 53-60.
30. Betzelberger AM, et al. (2012) Ozone exposure response for U.S. soybean cultivars: Linear reductions in photosynthetic potential, biomass, and yield. Plant Physiol 160(4): 1827-1839.
31. Betzelberger AM, et al. (2010) Effects of chronic elevated ozone concentration on antioxidant capacity, photosynthesis and seed yield of 10 soybean cultivars. Plant Cell Environ 33(9):1569-1581.
32. Singh AA, Agrawal SB, Shahi JP, Agrawal M (2014) Assessment of growth and yield losses in two Zea mays L. cultivars (quality protein maize and nonquality protein maize) under projected levels of ozone. Environ Sci Pollut Res Int 21(4):2628-2641.
33. Tai APK, Martin MV, Heald CL (2014) Threat to future global food security from climate change and ozone air pollution. Nat Clim Chang 4(9):817-821.
34. National Agricultural Statistics Service (2007) Census of Agriculture (National Agricultural Statistics Service, US Dept. of Agriculture, Washington, DC).
35. McGrath JM, Lobell DB (2013) Regional disparities in the CO2 fertilization effect and implications for crop yields. Environ Res Lett 8(1):014054.
36. Moore FC, Lobell DB (2014) Adaptation potential of European agriculture in response to climate change. Nat Clim Chang 4(7):610-614.
37. Efron B, Gong G (1983) A leisurely look at the bootstrap, the jackknife, and crossvalidation. Am Stat 37(1):36-48.
38. Cameron AC, Gelbach JB, Miller DL (2008) Bootstrap-based improvements for inference with clustered errors. Rev Econ Stat 90(3):414-427.
39. Moore FC, Lobell DB (2015) The fingerprint of climate trends on European crop yields. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 112(9):2670-2675.
40. Gurevitch J, Hedges LV (1999) Statistical issues in ecological meta-analyses. Ecology 80(4):1142-1149.