The disconnect between summer and winter monarch trends for the eastern migratory population: Possible links to differing drivers

Annals of the Entomological Society of America

Volumn 108, Issue 5, 2015, Pages 691-699

  Ries, Leslie ^a,b   Taron, Douglas J ^c   Rendón Salinas, Eduardo ^d  

^a Bldg 142   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND   (United States)

^c Peggy Notebaert Nature Museum   (United States)

^d Programa Mariposa Monarca   (Mexico)

Author keywords

conservation; ecology and population dynamics; Papilionidae

Indexed keywords

BREEDING SITE; BUTTERFLY; CONSERVATION MANAGEMENT; ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING; MIGRATORY POPULATION; MIGRATORY SPECIES; OVERWINTERING; POPULATION DECLINE; POPULATION DYNAMICS; SEASONAL VARIATION; TREND ANALYSIS;

PAPILIONIDAE;

EID: 84944037055     PISSN: 00138746     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1093/aesa/sav055     Document Type: Article

References (27)

1. Batalden, R. V. and K. S. Oberhauser. 2015. Potential changes in Eastern North American monarch migration in response to an introduced milkweed, Asclepias curassavica. In K. S. Oberhauser, K. R. Nail, and S. M. Altizer (eds), Monarchs in a changing world: Biology and conservation of an iconic butterfly. Cornell University Press, Ithaca, NY.
2. Brower, L. P., D. R. Kust, E. Rendon-Salinas, E. Garcia-Serrano, K. R. Kust, J. Miller, C. Fernandez del Rey, and K. Pape. 2004. Catastrophic winter storm mortality of monarch butterflies during January 2002, pp. 151-166. In K. S. Oberhauser andM. J. Solensky (eds), Themonarch butterfly: Biology and conservation. Cornell University Press, Ithaca, NY.
3. Brower, L. P., O.R. Taylor, E.H. Williams, D. A. Slayback, R. R. Zubieta, and M. I., Ramirez. 2012. Decline of monarch butterflies overwintering in Mexico: Is the migratory phenomenon at risk?. Insect Conserv.Divers. 5: 95-100.
4. Cook, R., and S. Weisberg. 1982. Residuals and influence in regression. Chapman andHall, New York, NY.
5. Davis, A. K. 2012. Are migratory monarchs really declining in eastern North America?. Examining evidence from two fall census programs. Insect Conserv.Divers. 5: 101-105.
6. Diffendorfer, J. E., J. B. Loomis, L. Ries, K. Oberhauser, L. Lopez-Hoffman, D. Semmens, B. Semmens, B. Butterfield, K. Bagstad, and J. Goldstein. 2014. National valuation of monarch butterflies indicates an untapped potential for incentive-based conservation. Conserv. Lett. 7: 253-262.
7. Garcia-Serrano, E., J. L. Reyes, and B.X.M. Alvarez. 2004. Locations and area occupied by monarch butterflies overwintering inMexico from 1993 to 2002, pp. 129-134. In K. S. Oberhauser and M. J. Solensky (eds), The monarch butterfly: Biology and conservation. Cornell University Press, Ithaca, NY.
8. Haddad, N.M., B. Hudgens, C. Damiani, K. Gross, D. Kuefler, and K. Pollock. 2008.Determining optimal population monitoring for rare butterflies. Conserv. Biol. 22: 929-940.
9. Holm, S. 1979. A simple sequentially rejective multiple test procedure. Scand. J. Stat. 6: 65-70.
10. Matteson, K. C., D. J. Taron, and E. S. Minor. 2012. Assessing citizen contributions to butterfly monitoring in two large cities. Conserv. Biol. 26: 557-564.
11. Muggeo, V.M.R. 2014. segmented: an R Package to Fit Regression Models with Broken-Line Relationships. R News, 8: 2025. http://cran.r-project.org/doc/Rnews/
12. Oberhauser, K. S. 2004. Overview of monarch breeding biology, pp. 3-7. In K. S. Oberhauser, and M. J. Solensky (eds), The monarch butterfly: Biology and conservation. Cornell University Press, Ithaca, NY.
13. Pleasants, J. 2015. Monarch butterflies and agriculture. In K. S. Oberhauser, K. R. Nail, and S. M. Altizer (eds)Monarchs in a changing world: Biology and conservation of an iconic butterfly. Cornell University Press. Ithaca, NY.
14. Pleasants, J. M., and K. S. Oberhauser. 2013. Milkweed loss in agricultural fields because of herbicide use: Effect on the monarch butterfly population. Insect Conserv. Divers. 6: 135-144.
15. Pollard, E. 1977. A method for assessing changes in the abundance of butterflies. Biol.Conserv. 12: 115-134.
16. Quinn, G. P., and M. J. Keough. 2002. Experimental design and data analysis for biologists. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
17. R Core Team. 2014. R: A language and environment for statistical computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria. (http://www.R-project.org/
18. Ries, L., and K. Oberhauser. 2015. A citizen-Army for science: Quantifying the contributions of citizen scientists to our understanding of monarch butterfly biology. Bioscience 4: 419-430.
19. Ries L., K. S. Oberhauser, D. J. Taron, and E. Rendon-Salinas. (2015). Connecting eastern monarch population dynamics across their migratory cycle. In K. S. Oberhauser, K. R. Nail, and S. M. Altizer (eds), Monarchs in a changing world: Biology and conservation of an iconic butterfly. Cornell University Press., Ithaca, NY.
20. Satterfield, D. A., J. C. Maerz, and S. Altizer. 2015. Loss of migratory behavior increases infection risk for a butterfly host. Proc. R. Soc. Lond. Proc. B 282.
21. Swengel, A. B. 1990. Monitoring butterfly populations using the Fourth of July Butterfly Count. Am.Midl. Nat. 124: 395-406.
22. Swengel, A. B. 1995. Population fluctuations of the monarch (Danaus-plexippus) in the 4th of July butterfly count 1977-1994. Am.Midl. Nat. 134: 205-214.
23. Toms, J. D., and M. L. Lesperance. 2003. Piecewise regression: A tool for identifying ecological thresholds. Ecology 84: 2034-2041.
24. Toone, W., and T. Hanscom. 2003. Conservation of monarch butterflies in Central Mexico: Protection of a biological phenomenon. Biodiversity 4: 14-20.
25. Urquhart, F. A., and N. R. Urquhart. 1976. The overwintering site of the eastern population of the monarch butterfly (Danaus p. plexippus; Danaidae) in southern Mexico. J. Lep. Soc. 30: 153.
26. Vidal, O., and E. Rendon-Salinas. 2014. Dynamics and trends of overwintering colonies of the monarch butterfly in Mexico. Biol. Conserv. 180: 165-175
27. Wassenaar, L. I., and K. A. Hobson. 1998. Natal origins of migratory monarch butterflies at wintering colonies in Mexico: New isotopic evidence. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 95: 15436-15439.