Inferring drought and heat sensitivity across a Mediterranean forest region in southwest Western Australia: A comparison of approaches

Forestry

Volumn 88, Issue 4, 2015, Pages 454-464

  Brouwers, N C ^a   Van Dongen, R ^b   Matusick, G ^c   Coops, N C ^d   Strelein, G ^b   Hardy, G ^a  

^a MURDOCH UNIVERSITY   (Australia)

^b Department of Parks and Wildlife ^*  (Australia)

^c THE NATURE CONSERVANCY   (United States)

^d UNIVERSITY OF BRITISH COLUMBIA   (Canada)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

AIRBORNE SURVEY; CLIMATE CHANGE; DAMAGE; DIEBACK; DROUGHT; EXTREME EVENT; FOREST ECOSYSTEM; FOREST HEALTH; FOREST MANAGEMENT; HEATING; LANDSAT; LANDSCAPE CHANGE; MAP GENERALIZATION; MEDITERRANEAN ENVIRONMENT; NDVI; SATELLITE IMAGERY; SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS; SPATIOTEMPORAL ANALYSIS; SUSTAINABILITY;

AUSTRALIA; JARRAH FOREST; WESTERN AUSTRALIA;

EUCALYPTUS MARGINATA;

EID: 84943311741     PISSN: 0015752X     EISSN: 14643626     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1093/forestry/cpv014     Document Type: Article

References (63)

1. Allen, A. and Beetson, B. 1999 The Land Monitor Project; A Multi-agency project of the Western Australian Salinity Action Plan supported by the Natural Heritage Trust. In Proceedings of WALIS Forum 1999. Perth, Western Australia, March 1999, pp. 74-77.
2. Allen, C.D., Macalady, A.K., Chenchouni, H., Bachelet, D., McDowell, N., Vennetier, M. et al. 2010 A global overview of drought and heat-induced tree mortality reveals emerging climate change risks for forests. For. Ecol. Manage. 259, 660-684.
3. Anderegg, W.R.L., Kane, J.M. and Anderegg, L.D.L. 2013 Consequences of widespread tree mortality triggered by drought and temperature stress. Nat. Clim. Change 3, 30-36.
4. Andrew, M.E., Wulder, M.A. and Coops, N.C. 2011 Patterns of protection and threats along productivity gradients in Canada. Biol. Conserv. 144, 2891-2901.
5. Arnone, J.A. III, Verburg, P.S.J., Johnson, D.W., Larsen, J.D., Jasoni, R.L., Lucchesi, A.J. et al. 2008 Prolonged suppression of ecosystem carbon dioxide uptake after an anomalously warmyear. Nature 455, 383-386.
6. AustralianGovernment.2012Australia'sbioregions. http://www.environment. gov.au/parks/nrs/science/ibra.html (accessed on 21 November 2011).
7. Barbeta, A., Ogaya, R. and Peñuelas, J. 2013 Dampening effects of long-term experimental drought on growth and mortality rates of a Holm oak forest. Global Change Biol. 19, 3133-3144.
8. Bates, B., Hope, P., Ryan, B., Smith, I. and Charles, S. 2008 Key findings from the Indian Ocean Climate Initiative and their impact on policy development in Australia. Clim. Change 89, 339-354.
9. Boer, M.M., Macfarlane, C., Norris, J., Sadler, R.J., Wallace, J. and Grierson, P.F. 2008 Mapping burned areas and burn severity patterns in SW Australian eucalypt forest using remotely-sensed changes in leaf area index. Remote Sens. Environ. 112, 4358-4369.
10. BOM. 2011a Perth in summer 2010/11: Very hot summer in Perth. http:// www.bom.gov.au/climate/current/season/wa/archive/201102.perth.shtml (accessed on 13 March 2012).
11. BOM. 2011b Western Australia in 2010: A very dry year in southwest Western Australia. http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/current/annual/wa/ archive/2010.summary.shtml (accessed on 21 November 2011).
12. Brouwers, N.C., Matusick, G., Ruthrof, K., Lyons, T. and Hardy, G. 2013 Landscape-scale assessment of tree crown dieback following extreme drought and heat in a Mediterranean eucalypt forest ecosystem. Landscape Ecol. 28, 69-80.
13. Brouwers, N.C., Mercer, J., Lyons, T., Poot, P., Veneklaas, E.andHardy, G.2012 Climate and landscape drivers of tree decline in a Mediterranean ecoregion. Ecol. Evol. 3, 67-79.
14. Brouwers, N.C., Newton, A.C., Watts, K. and Bailey, S. 2010 Evaluation of buffer-radius modelling approaches used in forest conservation and planning. Forestry 83, 409-421.
15. Cai, Y.F., Barber, P., Dell, B., O'Brien, P., Williams, N., Bowen, B. et al. 2010 Soil bacterial functional diversity is associated with the decline of Eucalyptus gomphocephala. For. Ecol. Manage. 260, 1047-1057.
16. Carnicer, J., Coll, M., Ninyerola, M., Pons, X., Sanchez, G. and Penuelas, J. 2011 Widespread crown condition decline, food web disruption, and amplified tree mortality with increased climate change-type drought. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. 108, 1474-1478.
17. Cavin, L., Mountford, E.P., Peterken, G.F. and Jump, A.S. 2013 Extreme drought alters competitive dominance within and between tree species in a mixed forest stand. Funct. Ecol. 27, 1424-1435.
18. CSIRO and BOM. 2007 Climate change in Australia-Technical Report. CSIRO and the Australian Bureau of Meteorology, Australia.
19. CSIROand BOM. 2008Anassessment of the impact of climate changeon the nature and frequency of exceptional climatic events. Commonwealth of Australia ACT.
20. Enright, N.J., Miller, B.P. and Crawford, A. 1994 Environmental correlates of vegetation patterns and species richness in the northern Grampians, Victoria. Aust. J. Ecol. 19, 159-168.
21. Evans, B.J. and Lyons, T. 2013 Bioclimatic extremes drive forest mortality in Southwest, Western Australia. Climate 1, 28-52.
22. Freitas, S.R., Mello, M.C.S.andCruz, C.B.M.2005Relationshipsbetweenforest structure and vegetation indices in Atlantic Rainforest. For. Ecol. Manage. 218, 353-362.
23. Giorgi, F. and Lionello, P. 2008 Climate change projections for the Mediterranean region. Global Planetary Change 63, 90-104.
24. Hansen, M.C., Potapov, P.V., Moore, R., Hancher, M., Turubanova, S.A., Tyukavina, A. et al. 2013 High-resolution global maps of 21st-century forest cover change. Science 342, 850-853.
25. Harper, R.J., Smettem, K.R.J. and Tomlinson, R.J. 2005 Using soil and climatic data to estimate the performance of trees, carbon sequestration and recharge potential at thecatchment scale.Aust. J. Exp.Agric.45, 1389-1401.
26. Huang, C.-Y. and Anderegg, W.R.L. 2012 Large drought-induced aboveground live biomass losses in southern Rocky Mountain aspen forests. Global Change Biol. 18, 1016-1027.
27. IPCC. 2013 Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. IPCC, Cambridge University Press.
28. Jones, D.A., Wang, W. and Fawcett, R. 2009 High-quality spatial climate data-sets for Australia. Aust. Meteorol. Oceanogr. J. 58, 233-248.
29. Klausmeyer, K.R. and Shaw, M.R. 2009 Climate change, habitat loss, protected areas and the climate adaptation potential of species in Mediterranean EcosystemsWorldwide. PLoS ONE 4, e6392.
30. Landis, J.R. and Koch, G.G. 1977 The measurement of observer agreement for categorical Data. Biometrics 33, 159-174.
31. Li, H. and Wu, J. 2006 Uncertainty analysis in ecological studies: an overview. In Scaling and Uncertainty Analysis in Ecology. Wu, J., Jones, K.B., Li, H. and Loucks, O. (eds). Springer, pp. 45-66.
32. Lindner, M., Maroschek, M., Netherer, S., Kremer, A., Barbati, A., Garcia-Gonzalo, J. et al. 2010 Climate change impacts, adaptive capacity, and vulnerability of European forest ecosystems. For. Ecol. Manage. 259, 698-709.
33. Logan, M. 2010 Biostatistical Design and Analysis Using R: A Practical Guide. Wiley-Blackwell, UK, 546 pp.
34. Mantyka-Pringle, C.S., Martin, T.G. and Rhodes, J.R. 2011 Interactions between climate and habitat loss effects on biodiversity: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Global Change Biol. 18, 1239-1252.
35. Matusick, G., Ruthrof, K.X., Brouwers, N.C., Dell, B. and Hardy, G.J. 2013 Sudden forest canopy collapse corresponding with extreme drought and heat in a Mediterranean-type eucalypt forest in southwestern Australia. Eur. J. For. Res. 132, 497-510.
36. Matusick, G., Ruthrof, K.X., Brouwers, N.C.and Hardy, G.S.J.2014Topography influences the distribution of autumn frost damage on trees in a Mediterranean-type Eucalyptus forest. Trees 28, 1449-1462.
37. McCune, B. and Keon, D. 2002 Equations for potential annual direct incident radiation and heat load. J. Veg. Sci. 13, 603-606.
38. Meddens, A.J.H., Hicke, J.A., Vierling, L.A. and Hudak, A.T. 2013 Evaluating methods to detect bark beetle-caused tree mortality using single-date and multi-date Landsat imagery. Remote Sensing Environ. 132, 49-58.
39. Medlyn, B.E., Zeppel, M., Brouwers, N.C., Howard, K., O'Gara, E., Hardy, G. et al. 2011 Biophysical impacts of climate change on Australia's forests. Contribution of Work Package 2 to the Forest Vulnerability Assessment, National Climate Change Adaptation Research Facility.
40. Millar, C.I., Stephenson, N.L. and Stephens, S.L. 2007 Climate change and forests of the future: managing in the face of uncertainty. Ecol. Appl. 17, 2145-2151.
41. Miller, J.R., Turner, M.G., Smithwick, E.A.H., Dent, C.L. and Stanley, E.H. 2004 Spatial extrapolation: the science of predicting ecological patterns and processes. BioScience 54, 310-320.
42. Moore, T.L., Valentine, L.E., Craig, M.D., Hardy, G.E.S.J. and Fleming, P.A. 2013 Is the reptile community affected by Eucalyptus wandoo tree condition? Wildl. Res. 40, 358-366.
43. Parker, K. 1988 Environmental relationships and vegetation associates of columnar cacti in the northern Sonoran Desert. Vegetatio 78, 125-140.
44. Peel, M.C., Finlayson, B.L. and McMahon, T.A. 2007 Updated world map of the Köppen-Geiger climate classification. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci 11, 1633-1644.
45. Peng, C., Ma, Z., Lei, X., Zhu, Q., Chen, H., Wang, W. et al. 2011 A drought-induced pervasive increase in tree mortality across Canada's boreal forests. Nat. Clim. Change 1, 467-471.
46. Pressey, R.L., Hager, T.C., Ryan, K.M., Schwarz, J., Wall, S., Ferrier, S. et al. 2000 Using abiotic data for conservation assessments over extensive regions: quantitative methods applied across New South Wales, Australia. Biol. Conserv. 96, 55-82.
47. Reyer, C.P.O., Brouwers, N., Rammig, A., Brook, B.W., Epila, J., Grant, R.F. et al. 2015 Forest resilience and tipping points at different spatio-temporal scales: approaches and challenges. J. Ecol. 103, 5-15.
48. Rigling, A., Bigler, C., Eilmann, B., Feldmeyer-Christe, E., Gimmi, U., Ginzler, C. et al. 2013 Driving factors of a vegetation shift from Scots pine to pubescent oak in dry Alpine forests. Global Change Biol. 19, 229-240.
49. Robinson, T.P., Novelly, P.E., Corner, R., Thomas, P.A. and Russell-Brown, A. 2012 Pastoral Lease Assessment Using Geospatial Analysis. Department of Agriculture and Food.
50. Ruiz-Benito, P., Lines, E.R., Gómez-Aparicio, L., Zavala, M.A.andCoomes, D.A. 2013 Patterns and drivers of tree mortality in Iberian forests: climatic effects are modified by competition. PLoS ONE 8, e56843.
51. Ruthrof, K.X., Matusick, G. and Hardy, G.S.J. 2015 Early differential responses of co-dominant canopy species to sudden and severe drought in a Mediterranean-climate type forest. Forests 6, 2082-2091.
52. Shi, L., Wang, H., Zhang, W., Shao, Q., Yang, F., Ma, Z. et al. 2013 Spatial response patterns of subtropical forests to a heavy ice storm: a case study in Poyang Lake Basin, southern China. Nat. Hazards 69, 2179-2196.
53. Stueve, K.M., Lafon, C.W. and Isaacs, R.E. 2007 Spatial patterns of ice storm disturbance on a forested landscape in the Appalachian Mountains, Virginia. Area 39, 20-30.
54. Tucker, C.J. 1979 Red and photographic infrared linear combinations for monitoring vegetation. Remote Sens. Environ. 8, 127-150.
55. Turner, M.G. 2005 Landscape ecology: what is the state of the science? Annu. Rev. Ecol. Evol. Syst. 36, 319-344.
56. Wallace, J., Behn, G. and Suzanne, F. 2006Vegetation condition assessment and monitoring from sequences of satellite imagery. Ecol. Manage. Restor. 7, S31-S36.
57. Wang, W., Qu, J.J., Hao, X., Liu, Y. and Stanturf, J.A. 2010 Post-hurricane forest damage assessment using satellite remote sensing. Agric. For. Meteorol. 150, 122-132.
58. Williams, A.P., Allen, C.D., Macalady, A.K., Griffin, D., Woodhouse, C.A., Meko, D.M. et al. 2013 Temperature as a potent driver of regional forest drought stress and tree mortality. Nat. Clim. Change 3, 292-297.
59. Wu, J. 2013 Landscape ecology. In Ecological Systems. Leemans, R. (ed). Springer, pp. 179-200.
60. Wu, X. and Danaher, T. 2001 Radiometric Calibration Methods and Software for Landsat MSS and TM Imagery. CSIRO Mathematical and Information Sciences and Queensland Department of Natural Resources.
61. Wu, J. and Hobbs, R. 2002 Key issues and research priorities in landscape ecology: an idiosyncratic synthesis. Landscape Ecol. 17, 355-365.
62. Wu, X., Furby, S. andWallace, J.F. 2004 An approach for terrain illumination correction. In The 12th Australasian Remote Sensing and Photogrammetry Conference, Fremantle, Western Australia, 18-22 October 2004. Spatial Sciences Institute, Canberrra, A.C.T, Australia.
63. Wu, J., Jones, K.B., Li, H.andLoucks, O.2006Scaling and Uncertainty Analysis in Ecology. Springer, p. 351.