Estimates of volcanic-induced cooling in the Northern Hemisphere over the past 1,500 years

Nature Geoscience

Volumn 8, Issue 10, 2015, Pages 784-788

  Stoffel, Markus ^a,b   Khodri, Myriam ^c   Corona, Christophe ^d   Guillet, Sébastien ^b   Poulain, Virginie ^c   Bekki, Slimane ^e   Guiot, Joël ^f   Luckman, Brian H ^g   Oppenheimer, Clive ^h   Lebas, Nicolas ^c   Beniston, Martin ^a   Masson Delmotte, Valérie ⁱ  

^a UNIVERSITY OF GENEVA   (Switzerland)

^b UNIVERSITY OF BERN   (Switzerland)

^c UNIVERSITÉ PIERRE ET MARIE CURIE   (France)

^d Laboratoire de geographie physique et environnementale Clermont Ferrand   (France)

^e SERVICE D AÉRONOMIE DU CNRS   (France)

^f CEREGE   (France)

^g UNIVERSITY OF WESTERN ONTARIO   (Canada)

^h UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE   (United Kingdom)

ⁱ INSTITUT PIERRE SIMON LAPLACE   (France)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

AEROSOL; CLIMATE FORCING; CLIMATE MODELING; COOLING; ESTIMATION METHOD; NORTHERN HEMISPHERE; PALEOTEMPERATURE; PROXY CLIMATE RECORD; RECONSTRUCTION; TREE RING; VOLCANIC ERUPTION;

EID: 84942741988     PISSN: 17520894     EISSN: 17520908     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1038/ngeo2526     Document Type: Article

References (35)

1. Oppenheimer, C. Eruptions that Shook the World (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2011).
2. Sigl, M. et al. Timing and climate forcing of volcanic eruptions for the past 2, 500 years. Nature 523, 543-549 (2015).
3. Timmreck, C. et al. Limited temperature response to the very large AD 1258 volcanic eruption. Geophys. Res. Lett. 36, L21708 (2009).
4. Briffa, K. R., Jones, P. D., Schweingruber, F. H. & Osborn, T. J. Influence of volcanic eruptions on Northern Hemisphere summer temperature over the past 600 years. Nature 393, 450-455 (1998).
5. D'Arrigo, R., Wilson, R. & Jacoby, G. On the long-term context for late twentieth century warming. J. Geophys. Res. 111, D03103 (2006).
6. Anchukaitis, K. J. et al. Tree rings and volcanic cooling. Nature Geosci. 5, 836-837 (2012).
7. Büntgen, U. et al. Extraterrestrial confirmation of tree-ring dating. Nature Clim. Change 4, 404-405 (2014).
8. Mann, M. E., Fuentes, J. D. & Rutherford, S. Underestimation of volcanic cooling in tree-ring-based reconstructions of hemispheric temperatures. Nature Geosci. 5, 202-205 (2012).
9. Marotzke, J. & Forster, P. M. Forcing, feedback and internal variability in global temperature trends. Nature 517, 565-570 (2015).
10. Pinto, J. P., Turco, R. P. & Toon, O. B. Self-limiting physical and chemical effects in volcanic eruption clouds. J. Geophys. Res. 94, 11174 (1989).
11. Lavigne, F. et al. Source of the great A.D. 1257 mystery eruption unveiled, Samalas volcano, Rinjani Volcanic Complex, Indonesia. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 110, 16742-16747 (2013).
12. Oppenheimer, C. Climatic, environmental and human consequences of the largest known historic eruption: Tambora volcano (Indonesia) 1815. Prog. Phys. Geogr. 27, 230-259 (2003).
13. Luterbacher, J. & Pfister, C. The year without a summer. Nature Geosci. 8, 246-248 (2015).
14. D'Arrigo, R., Wilson, R. & Anchukaitis, K. J. Volcanic cooling signal in tree ring temperature records for the past millennium. J. Geophys. Res. 118, 9000-9010 (2013).
15. Rohde, R., Muller, R. A., Jacobsen, R., Muller, E. & Wickham, C. A new estimate of the average earth surface land temperature spanning 1753 to 2011. Geoinform. Geostat. Overv. 01, 1000101 (2013).
16. Jones, P. D. et al. Hemispheric and large-scale land-surface air temperature variations: An extensive revision and an update to 2010. J. Geophys. Res. 117, D05127 (2012).
17. Esper, J. Low-frequency signals in long tree-ring chronologies for reconstructing past temperature variability. Science 295, 2250-2253 (2002).
18. Esper, J. et al. European summer temperature response to annually dated volcanic eruptions over the past nine centuries. Bull. Volcanol. 75, 736 (2013).
19. Schneider, L. et al. Revising midlatitude summer temperatures back to A.D. 600 based on a wood density network: Revising hemispheric temperature history. Geophys. Res. Lett. 42, 4556-4562 (2015).
20. Gao, C., Robock, A. & Ammann, C. Volcanic forcing of climate over the past 1500 years: An improved ice core-based index for climate models. J. Geophys. Res. 113, D23111 (2008).
21. Crowley, T. J. & Unterman, M. B. Technical details concerning development of a 1200 yr proxy index for global volcanism. Earth Syst. Sci. Data 5, 187-197 (2013).
22. Schmidt, G. A. et al. Climate forcing reconstructions for use in PMIP simulations of the last millennium (v1.0). Geosci. Model Dev. 4, 33-45 (2011).
23. Dufresne, J.-L. et al. Climate change projections using the IPSL-CM5 Earth System Model: From CMIP3 to CMIP5. Clim. Dynam. 40, 2123-2165 (2013).
24. 5 measurements in the Arctic upper stratosphere. J. Geophys. Res. 102, 8977-8984 (1997).
25. Kravitz, B. & Robock, A. Climate effects of high-latitude volcanic eruptions: Role of the time of year. J. Geophys. Res. 116, D01105 (2011).
26. Toohey, M., Krüger, K., Niemeier, U. & Timmreck, C. The influence of eruption season on the global aerosol evolution and radiative impact of tropical volcanic eruptions. Atmos. Chem. Phys. 11, 12351-12367 (2011).
27. Aquila, V., Oman, L. D., Stolarski, R. S., Colarco, P. R. & Newman, P. A. Dispersion of the volcanic sulfate cloud from a Mount Pinatubo-like eruption. J. Geophys. Res. 117, D06216 (2012).
28. Gao, C., Oman, L., Robock, A. & Stenchikov, G. L. Atmospheric volcanic loading derived from bipolar ice cores: Accounting for the spatial distribution of volcanic deposition. J. Geophys. Res. 112, D09109 (2007).
29. Self, S., Gertisser, R., Thordarson, T., Rampino, M. R. & Wolff, J. A. Magma volume, volatile emissions, and stratospheric aerosols from the 1815 eruption of Tambora. Geophys. Res. Lett. 31, L20608 (2004).
30. 2 from the Mt. Pinatubo Volcano. Geophys. Res. Lett. 20, 1299-1302 (1993).
31. Stothers, R. B. Climatic and Demographic Consequences of the Massive Volcanic Eruption of 1258. Climatic Change 45, 361-374 (2000).
32. Nicault, A., Guiot, J., Edouard, J. L. & Brewer, S. Preserving long-term fluctuations in standardisation of tree-ring series by the adaptative regional growth curve (ARGC). Dendrochronologia 28, 1-12 (2010).
33. Melvin, T. & Briffa, K. A 'signal-free' approach to dendroclimatic standardisation. Dendrochronologia 26, 71-86 (2008).
34. Cook, E. R. Long-term aridity changes in the western United States. Science 306, 1015-1018 (2004).
35. Osborn, T., Briffa, K. R. & Jones, P. D. Adjusting variance for sample-size in tree-ring chronologies and other regional-mean time-series. Dendrochronologia 15, 89-99 (1997).