The Sheffield alcohol policy model - A mathematical description

Health Economics (United Kingdom)

Volumn 24, Issue 10, 2015, Pages 1368-1388

  Brennan, Alan ^a   Meier, Petra ^a   Purshouse, Robin ^b   Rafia, Rachid ^a   Meng, Yang ^a   Hill Macmanus, Daniel ^a   Angus, Colin ^a   Holmes, John ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF SHEFFIELD   (United Kingdom)

^b UNIVERSITY OF SHEFFIELD   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

alcohol; economic evaluation; modelling methodology; public health

Indexed keywords

ABSENTEEISM; ALCOHOL CONSUMPTION; ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGE; ARTICLE; CONSUMER; COST; CRIME; ECONOMIC EVALUATION; HARM REDUCTION; HEALTH CARE POLICY; HEALTH SERVICE; HUMAN; MARKETING; MATHEMATICAL MODEL; MORTALITY; PREVALENCE; PRIORITY JOURNAL; SHEFFIELD ALCOHOL POLICY MODEL; TAX; UNEMPLOYMENT; UNITED KINGDOM;

EID: 84941173555     PISSN: 10579230     EISSN: 10991050     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/hec.3105     Document Type: Article

References (53)

1. Angus C, Scafato E, Ghirini S, Torbica A, Ferre F, Struzzo P, Purshouse R, Brennan A,. 2014. Cost-effectiveness of a programme of screening and brief interventions in primary care in Italy. BMC Family Practice 15: 26. DOI: 10.1186/1471-2296-15-26.
2. Babor TF, Caetano R, Casswell S, Edwards G, Giesbrecht N, Graham K, Grube J, Hill L, Holder HD, Homel R, Livingston M, Osterberg E, Rehm J, Room R, Rossow I,. 2010. Alcohol: No Ordinary Commodity. Research and Public Policy (2nd edn). Oxford University Press: Oxford.
3. Booth A, Meier P, Stockwell T, Sutton A, Wilkinson A, Wong R, Brennan A, O'Reilly D, Purshouse RC, Taylor K,. 2008. Independent review of the effects of alcohol pricing and promotion: systematic reviews. School of Health and Related Research, University of Sheffield, Sheffield.
4. Brand S, Price R,. 2000. The economic and social costs of crime. Home Office, London.
5. Brennan A, Purshouse R, Taylor K, Rafia R, Meier P, Booth A, O'Reilly D, Stockwell T, Sutton A, Wilkinson A, Wong R,. 2008. Independent review of the effects of alcohol pricing and promotion: part B. Results from the Sheffield Alcohol Policy Model. University of Sheffield, Sheffield. (Available from: http://www.shef.ac.uk/polopoly-fs/1.95621!/file/PartB.pdf)[Accessed on 28 March 2013].
6. Brennan A, Meier P, Purshouse R, Rafia R, Meng Y, Hill-McManus D,. 2013. Developing policy analytics for public health strategy and decisions-the Sheffield Alcohol Policy Model framework. Annals of Operational Research. DOI: 10.1007/s10479-013-1451-z.
7. Cabinet Office/Strategy Unit. 2003. Alcohol misuse: how much does it cost? The Stationery Office, London.
8. Carthy T, Chilton S, Covey J, Hopkins L, Jones-Lee M, Loomes G, Pidgeon N, Spencer A,. 1998. On the contingent valuation of safety and the safety of contingent valuation: part 2-the CV/SG "chained" approach. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 17 (3): 187-213. available from: WOS:000079997500001.
9. Chisholm D, Rehm J, Van Ommeren M, Monteiro M,. 2004. Reducing the global burden of hazardous alcohol use: a comparative cost-effectiveness analysis. Journal of Studies on Alcohol 65 (6): 782-793. available from: WOS:000226266000014.
10. Corrao G, Bagnardi V, Zambon A, La Vecchia C,. 2004. A meta-analysis of alcohol consumption and the risk of 15 diseases. Preventive Medicine 38 (5): 613-619. available from: WOS:000220958000013.
11. Department of Health, Health Improvement Analytical Team. 2008. The cost of alcohol harm to the NHS in England. An update to the Cabinet Office (2003) study.
12. Dolan P, Loomes G, Peasgood T, Tsuchiya A,. 2005. Estimating the intangible victim costs of violent crime. British Journal of Criminology 45 (6): 958-976.
13. Dubourg R, Hamed J, Thorns J,. 2005. The economic and social costs of crime against individuals and households 2003/04. Home Office, London.
14. Gallet CA,. 2007. The demand for alcohol: a meta-analysis of elasticities. Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 51 (2): 121-135. available from: WOS:000246397400002.
15. Gunningschepers L,. 1989. The health benefits of prevention-a simulation approach. Health Policy 12 (1-2): 1-255. available from: WOS:A1989AD34000001.
16. Gutjahr E, Gmel G, Rehm J,. 2001. Relation between average alcohol consumption and disease: an overview. European Addiction Research 7 (3): 117-127. available from: WOS:000170528000004.
17. Hamajima N, Hirose K, Tajima K, Rohan T, Calle EE, Heath CW Jr., Coates RJ, Liff JM, Talamini R, Chantarakul N, Koetsawang S, Rachawat D, Morabia A, Schuman L, Stewart W, Szklo M, Bain C, Schofield F, Siskind V, Band P, Coldman AJ, Gallagher RP, Hislop TG, Yang P, Kolonel LM, Nomura AM, Hu J, Johnson KC, Mao Y, De Sanjosé S, Lee N, Marchbanks P, Ory HW, Peterson HB, Wilson HG, Wingo PA, Ebeling K, Kunde D, Nishan P, Hopper JL, Colditz G, Gajalanski V, Martin N, Pardthaisong T, Silpisornkosol S, Theetranont C, Boosiri B, Chutivongse S, Jimakorn P, Virutamasen P, Wongsrichanalai C, Ewertz M, Adami HO, Bergkvist L, Magnusson C, Persson I, Chang-Claude J, Paul C, Skegg DC, Spears GF, Boyle P, Evstifeeva T, Daling JR, Hutchinson WB, Malone K, Noonan EA, Stanford JL, Thomas DB, Weiss NS, White E, Andrieu N, Brêmond A, Clavel F, Gairard B, Lansac J, Piana L, Renaud R, Izquierdo A, Viladiu P, Cuevas HR, Ontiveros P, Palet A, Salazar SB, Aristizabel N, Cuadros A, Tryggvadottir L, Tulinius H, Bachelot A, Lê MG, Peto J, Franceschi S, Lubin F, Modan B, Ron E, Wax Y, Friedman GD, Hiatt RA, Levi F, Bishop T, Kosmelj K, Primic-Zakelj M, Ravnihar B, Stare J, Beeson WL, Fraser G, Bullbrook RD, Cuzick J, Duffy SW, Fentiman IS, Hayward JL, Wang DY, McMichael AJ, McPherson K, Hanson RL, Leske MC, Mahoney MC, Nasca PC, Varma AO, Weinstein AL, Moller TR, Olsson H, Ranstam J, Goldbohm RA, van den Brandt PA, Apelo RA, Baens J, de la Cruz JR, Javier B, Lacaya LB, Ngelangel CA, La Vecchia C, Negri E, Marubini E, Ferraroni M, Gerber M, Richardson S, Segala C, Gatei D, Kenya P, Kungu A, Mati JG, Brinton LA, Hoover R, Schairer C, Spirtas R, Lee HP, Rookus MA, van Leeuwen FE, Schoenberg JA, McCredie M, Gammon MD, Clarke EA, Jones L, Neil A, Vessey M, Yeates D, Appleby P, Banks E, Beral V, Bull D, Crossley B, Goodill A, Green J, Hermon C, Key T, Langston N, Lewis C, Reeves G, Collins R, Doll R, Peto R, Mabuchi K, Preston D, Hannaford P, Kay C, Rosero-Bixby L, Gao YT, Jin F, Yuan JM, Wei HY, Yun T, Zhiheng C, Berry G, Cooper Booth J, Jelihovsky T, MacLennan R, Shearman R, Wang QS, Baines CJ, Miller AB, Wall C, Lund E, Stalsberg H, Shu XO, Zheng W, Katsouyanni K, Trichopoulou A, Trichopoulos D, Dabancens A, Martinez L, Molina R, Salas O, Alexander FE, Anderson K, Folsom AR, Hulka BS, Bernstein L, Enger S, Haile RW, Paganini-Hill A, Pike MC, Ross RK, Ursin G, Yu MC, Longnecker MP, Newcomb P, Bergkvist L, Kalache A, Farley TM, Holck S, Meirik O,;, Collaborative Group on Hormonal Factors in Breast Cancer,. 2002. Alcohol, tobacco and breast cancer-collaborative reanalysis of individual data from 53 epidemiological studies, including 58,515 women with breast cancer and 95,067 women without the disease. British Journal of Cancer 87 (11): 1234-1245. available from: MEDLINE:12439712.
18. Health Improvement Analytical Team. 2008. The cost of alcohol harm to the NHS in England. An update to the Cabinet Office (2003) study. Department of Health, London.
19. Health Outcomes Data Repository. HODaR. 2011. 5-9-2008. Ref Type: Online Source.
20. Hill-McManus D, Brennan A, Stockwell T, Giesbrecht N, Thomas G, Zhao J, Martin G, Wettlaufer A,. 2012. Model-based appraisal of alcohol minimum pricing in Ontario and British Columbia: a Canadian adaptation of the Sheffield Alcohol Policy Model version 2, ScHARR, University of Sheffield, Sheffield. (Available from: http://www.carbc.ca/Portals/0/PropertyAgent/558/Files/240/AlcMinPricingOntBC.pdf)[Accessed on 28 March 2013].
21. HM Government. 2012. The Government's Alcohol Strategy. Cm 8336, TSO, London.
22. Holder HD, Blose JO,. 1987. Reduction of community alcohol-problems-computer-simulation experiments in 3 counties. Journal of Studies on Alcohol 48 (2): 124-135. available from: WOS:A1987G294500005.
23. Hollingworth W, Ebel BE, McCarty CA, Garrison MM, Christakis DA, Rivara FP,. 2006. Prevention of deaths from harmful drinking in the United States: the potential effects of tax increases and advertising bans on young drinkers. Journal of Studies on Alcohol 67 (2): 300-308. available from: WOS:000235318900014.
24. Home Office Research. 2011. D. a. S. D. O. S. a. R. Offending, Crime and Justice Survey, 2005. Colchester, Distributor: UK Data Archive SN: 5601. 20-7-2011. Ref Type: Online Source.
25. Huang C-D,. 2003. Econometric Models of Alcohol Demand in the United Kingdom. HM Customs and Excise: London.
26. Jackson R, Johnson M, Campbell F, Messina J, Guillaume L, Meier P, Goyder E, Chilcott J, Payne N,. 2009a. Interventions on control of alcohol price, promotion and availability for prevention of alcohol use disorders in adults and young people: report to the NICE Centre for Public Health Excellence. 2-7-2011a. Ref Type: Online Source.
27. Jackson R, Johnson M, Campbell F, Messina J, Guillaume L, Meier P, Goyder E, Chilcott J, Payne N,. 2009b. Screening and brief interventions for prevention and early identification of alcohol use disorders in adults and young people: report to the NICE Centre for Public Health Excellence. 20-7-2011b. Ref Type: Online Source.
28. Jones L, Bellis MA, Dedman D, Sumnall H, Tocque K,. 2008. Alcohol-attributable fractions for England: alcohol-attributable mortality and hospital admissions. Liverpool John Moores University, Centre for Public Health, Liverpool.
29. MacDonald Z, Shields MA,. 2004. Does problem drinking affect employment? Evidence from England. Health Economics 13 (2): 139-155. available from: WOS:000188742300003.
30. Meier P, Purshouse RC, Brennan A,. 2010. Policy options for alcohol price regulation: the importance of modelling population heterogeneity. Addiction 105 (3): 383-393.
31. Meier PS, Meng Y, Holmes J, Baumberg B, Purshouse R, Hill-McManus D, Brennan A,. 2013. Adjusting for unrecorded consumption in survey and per capita sales data: quantifications of impact on gender- and age-specific alcohol-attributable fractions for oral and pharyngeal cancers in Great Britain. Alcohol and Alcoholism 48 (2): 241-249.
32. Meng Y, Purshouse RC, Brennan A, Meier PS,. 2010. Model-based appraisal of alcohol minimum pricing and off-licensed trade discount bans in Scotland using the Sheffield Alcohol Policy Model version 2: an update based on newly available data. University of Sheffield, Sheffield. (Available from: http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Resource/Doc/309903/0097778.pdf)[Accessed on 28 March 2013].
33. Meng Y, Hill-McManus D, Brennan A, Meier PS,. 2012. Model-based appraisal of alcohol minimum pricing and off-licensed trade discount bans in Scotland using the Sheffield Alcohol Policy Model (v.2): second update based on newly available data. University of Sheffield, Sheffield. (Available from: http://www.sheffield.ac.uk/polopoly-fs/1.150021!/file/scotlandupdatejan2012.pdf)[Accessed on 28 March 2013].
34. Meng Y, Brennan A, Holmes J, Hill-MacManus D, Angus C, Purshouse R, Meier P,. 2013a. Modelled income group-specific impacts of alcohol minimum unit pricing in England 2014/15: policy appraisals using new developments to the Sheffield Alcohol Policy Model (v2.5). ScHARR, University of Sheffield, Sheffield. (Available from: www.sheffield.ac.uk/polopoly-fs/1.291621!/file/julyreport.pdf)[Accessed on 28 March 2013].
35. Meng Y, Brennan A, Holmes J, Hill-Mcmanus D, Angus C, Purshouse R, Meier P,. 2013b. Modelled income group-specific impacts of alcohol minimum unit pricing in England 2014/15: policy appraisals using new developments to the Sheffield Alcohol Policy Model (v2.5): addendum examining the impact of a ban on 'below cost selling'. ScHARR, University of Sheffield, Sheffield. (Available from: http://www.shef.ac.uk/polopoly-fs/1.291630!/file/Addendum.pdf)[Accessed on 28 March 2013].
36. Meng Y, Brennan A, Purshouse R, Hill-McManus D, Angus C, Holmes J, Meier PS,. 2014. Estimation of own and cross price elasticities of alcohol demand in the UK-a pseudo-panel approach using the Living Costing and Food Survey 2001 to 2009. Journal of Health Economics 34C: 96-103. (Available from: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhealeco.2013.12.006) [Accessed on 31 May 2014].
37. Norstrom T, Skog OJ,. 2001. Alcohol and mortality: methodological and analytical issues in aggregate analyses. Addiction 96: S5-S17. available from: WOS:000167168900001.
38. Office for National Statistics. 2005. Focus on people and migration: 2005 edition.
39. Office for National Statistics. 2011. Labour Force Survey (LFS) 2001-2006. The Stationery Office, London.
40. Office for National Statistics and Department for Environment. 2007. F. a. R. A. Expenditure and Food Survey (EFS) 2001-2005. Colchester, Distributor: UK Data Archive SN: 5688. 20-7-2011. Ref Type: Online Source.
41. Purshouse R, Brennan A, Latimer N, Meng Y, Rafia R, Jackson R, Meier P,. 2009a. Modelling to assess the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of public health related strategies and interventions to reduce alcohol attributable harm in England using the Sheffield Alcohol Policy Model version 2.0: report to the NICE Public Health Programme Development Group, 9 November 2009. University of Sheffield, Sheffield. (Available from: http://guidance.nice.org.uk/PHG/21/EconomicModellingReport/pdf/English)[Accessed on 28 March 2013].
42. Purshouse R, Brennan A, Latimer N, Meng Y, Rafia R, Jackson R, Meier P,. 2009b. Modelling to assess the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of public health related strategies and interventions to reduce alcohol attributable harm in England using the Sheffield Alcohol Policy Model version 2.0: report to the NICE Public Health Programme Development Group, APPENDICES, 9 November 2009, University of Sheffield, Sheffield. (Available from: http://www.sheffield.ac.uk/polopoly-fs/1.107991!/file/Appendices.pdf).
43. Purshouse R, Meng Y, Rafia R, Brennan A, Meier P,. 2009c. Model-based appraisal of alcohol minimum pricing and off-licensed trade discount bans in Scotland: a Scottish adaptation of the Sheffield Alcohol Policy Model version 2. 2009. University of Sheffield, Sheffield. (Available from: http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Resource/Doc/285795/0087053.pdf).
44. Purshouse RC, Meier P, Brennan A, Taylor B, Rafia R,. 2010a. Estimated effect of alcohol pricing policies on health and health economic outcomes in England: an epidemiological model. Web appendix. 20-7-2011a. Ref Type: Online Source.
45. Purshouse RC, Meier PS, Brennan A, Taylor KB, Rafia R,. 2010b. Estimated effect of alcohol pricing policies on health and health economic outcomes in England: an epidemiological model. Lancet 375 (9723): 1355-1364. available from: WOS:000277057800026.
46. Rehm J, Room R, Monteiro M, Gmel G, Graham K,. 2004. Alcohol use. In Comparative Quantification of Health Risks. Global and Regional Burden of Disease Attribution to Selected Major Risk Factors, Ezzati M, Lopez AD, Rodgers A, Murray CJL, (eds). World Health Organization: Geneva.
47. Rehm J, Kehoe T, Gmel G, Stinson F, Grant B, Gmel G,. 2010. Statistical modeling of volume of alcohol exposure for epidemiological studies of population health: the US example, Popul Health Metr, 8, 3 available from: MEDLINE:20202213.
48. Roche AM, Pidd K, Berry JG, Harrison JE,. 2008. Workers' drinking patterns: the impact on absenteeism in the Australian work-place. Addiction 103 (5): 738-748. available from: WOS:000254988300013.
49. Scottish Government: Alcohol etc. (Scotland) Act 2010. 2010. asp 18. (Available from: http://www.legislation.gov.uk/asp/2010/18/enacted)[Accessed on 28 March 2013].
50. Scottish Government: Alcohol (Minimum Pricing) (Scotland) Act 2012. 2012. asp4. (Available from: http://www.legislation.gov.uk/asp/2012/4/contents/enacted [Accessed on 28 March 2013]).
51. Stockwell T, Donath S, Cooper-Stanbury M, Chikritzhs T, Catalano P, Mateo C,. 2004. Under-reporting of alcohol consumption in household surveys: a comparison of quantity-frequency, graduated-frequency and recent recall. Addiction 99 (8): 1024-1033. available from: WOS:000222992800012.
52. Wagenaar AC, Salois MJ, Komro KA,. 2009. Effects of beverage alcohol price and tax levels on drinking: a meta-analysis of 1003 estimates from 112 studies. Addiction 104 (2): 179-190. available from: WOS:000262450600007.
53. WHO. 2011. Global Status Report on Alcohol 2011. World Health Organization, Geneva.