AROME-NWC: A new nowcasting tool based on an operational mesoscale forecasting system

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Volumn 141, Issue 690, 2015, Pages 1603-1611

  Auger, Ludovic ^a   Dupont, Olivier ^b   Hagelin, Susanna ^c   Brousseau, Pierre ^a   Brovelli, Pascal ^b  

^a CENTRE NATIONAL DE RECHERCHES MÉTÉOROLOGIQUES   (France)

^b MÉTÉO FRANCE   (France)

^c MET OFFICE   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

Data assimilation; Nowcasting; Numerical weather prediction

Indexed keywords

ERROR STATISTICS; WEATHER FORECASTING;

DATA ASSIMILATION; LATERAL BOUNDARY CONDITIONS; MESO-SCALE MODELING; MESOSCALE FORECASTING; NOWCASTING; NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION; OBSERVATION WINDOW; PRECIPITATION FORECAST;

BOUNDARY LAYERS;

DATA ASSIMILATION; MESOSCALE METEOROLOGY; NOWCASTING; NUMERICAL METHOD; PREDICTION; WEATHER FORECASTING;

EID: 84939465292     PISSN: 00359009     EISSN: 1477870X     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/qj.2463     Document Type: Article

References (24)

1. Brousseau P, Bouttier F, Hello G, Seity Y, Fischer C, Berre L, Montmerle T, Auger L, Malardel S, 'A prototype convective-scale data assimilation system for operation: The Arome-RUC'. HIRLAM Technical Report 68, 2008. SMHI, Norrköping, Sweden.
2. Brousseau P, Berre L, Bouttier F, Desroziers G. 2011. Background-error covariances for a convective-scale data-assimilation system: AromeFrance 3D-Var. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 137: 409-422.
3. Brovelli P, 'Nowcasting thunderstorms with SIGOONS -a significant weather object oriented nowcasting system', 2005.
4. Dixon M, Wiener G. 1993. Titan: Thunderstorm identification, tracking, analysis, and nowcasting -A radar-based methodology. J. Atmos. Oceanic Technol. 10: 785-797.
5. Fischer C, Auger L. 2011. Some experimental lessons on digital filtering in the Aladin-France 3DVAR based on near-ground examination. Mon. Weather Rev. 139: 774-785.
6. Fischer C, Montmerle T, Berre L, Auger L, Stefanescu S. 2005. An overview of the variational assimilation in the ALADIN/France numerical weather-prediction system wave-driven circulation of the mesosphere. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 131: 3477-3492.
7. Germann U, Zawadzki I. 2002. Scale-dependence of the predictability of precipitation from continental radar images. Part I: Description of the methodology. Mon. Weather Rev. 130: 2859-2873.
8. Golding BW, Ballard SP, Mylne K, Roberts N, Saulter A, Wilson C, Agnew P, Davis LS, Trice J, Jones C, Simonin D, Li Z, Pierce C, Bennett A, Weeks M, Moseley S. 2013. Forecasting capabilities for the London 2012 Olympics. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc 95: 883-896.
9. Heymsfield AJ, Donner LJ. 1990. A scheme for parameterizing ice-cloud water content in general circulation models. J. Atmos. Sci. 47: 1865-1877.
10. Hong SY, Lim KSS, Lee YH, Ha JC, Kim HW, Ham SJ, Dudhia J. 2010. Evaluation of the WRF double-moment 6-class microphysics scheme for precipitating convection. Adv. Meteorol 2010: 1-10.
11. Ingleby B. 2014. Global assimilation of air temperature, humidity, wind and pressure from surface stations. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc, doi: 10.1002/qj.2372.
12. Lean HW, Clark PA, Dixon M, Roberts NM, Fitch A, Forbes R, Halliwell C. 2008. Characteristics of high-resolution versions of the Met Office unified model for forecasting convection over the United Kingdom. Mon. Weather Rev. 136: 3408-3424.
13. Li L, Schmid W, Joss J. 1995. Nowcasting of motion and growth of precipitation with radar over a complex orography. J. Appl. Meteorol. 34: 1286-1300.
14. Lynch P, Huang XY. 1992. Initialization of the HIRLAM model using a digital filter. Mon. Weather Rev. 120: 1019-1034.
15. Mecklenburg S, Joss J, Schmid W. 2000. Improving the nowcasting of precipitation in an Alpine region with an enhanced radar echo tracking algorithm. J. Hydrol. 239: 46-68.
16. Menzel WP, Holt FC, Schmit TJ, Aune RM, Schreiner AJ, Wade GS, Gray DG. 1998. Application of GOES-8/9 soundings to weather forecasting and nowcasting. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 79: 2059-2077.
17. Montmerle T. 2012. Optimization of the assimilation of radar data at the convective scale using specific background-error covariances in precipitation. Mon. Weather Rev. 140: 3495-3506.
18. Rasmussen R, Dixon M, Hage F, Cole J, Wade C, Tuttle J, McGettigan S, Carty T, Stevenson L, Fellner W, Knight S, Karplus E, Rehak N. 2001. Weather support to deicing decision making (WSDDM): A winter weather nowcasting system. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 82: 579-595.
19. Rockel B, Will A, Hense A. 2008. The Regional Climate Model COSMO-CLM (CCLM). Meteorol. Z. 17: 347-348.
20. Saito K, Fujita T, Yamada Y, Ishida J, Kumagai Y, Aranami K, Ohmori S, Nagasawa R, Kumagai S, Muroi C, Kato T, Eito H, Yamazaki Y. 2006. The operational JMA nonhydrostatic mesoscale model. Mon. Weather Rev. 134: 1266-1298.
21. Seity Y, Brousseau P, Malardel S, Hello G, Bénard P, Bouttier F, Lac C, Masson V. 2011. The AROME-France convective-scale operational model. Mon. Weather Rev. 139: 976-991.
22. Sun J, Xue M, Wilson JW, Zawadzki I, Ballard SP, Onvlee-Hooimeyer J, Joe P, Barker DM, Li PW, Golding B, Xu M, Pinto J. 2013. Use of NWP for nowcasting convective precipitation: Recent progress and challenges. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 95: 409-426.
23. Wattrelot E, Caumont O, Mahfouf JF. 2014. Operational implementation of the 1D+3D-Var assimilation method of radar reflectivity data in the AROME model. Mon. Weather Rev. 142: 1852-1873.
24. Wilson JW, Crook NA, Mueller CK, Sun J, Dixon M. 1998. Nowcasting thunderstorms: A status report. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 79: 2079-2099.