Anthropogenic forcing on the Hadley circulation in CMIP5 simulations

Climate Dynamics

Volumn 46, Issue 9-10, 2016, Pages 3337-3350

  Tao, Lijun ^a   Hu, Yongyun ^a   Liu, Jiping ^b  

^a PEKING UNIVERSITY   (China)

^b STATE UNIVERSITY OF NEW YORK   (United States)

Author keywords

Anthropogenic aerosols; Hadley circulation; Increasing greenhouse gases; Ozone depletion and recovery; Subtropical dry zone

Indexed keywords

AEROSOL; ANTHROPOGENIC EFFECT; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE MODELING; GREENHOUSE GAS; HADLEY CELL; OZONE DEPLETION;

EID: 84938492675     PISSN: 09307575     EISSN: 14320894     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-015-2772-1     Document Type: Article

References (44)

1. Allen RJ, Sherwood SC, Norris JR, Zender CS (2012) Recent Northern Hemisphere tropical expansion primarily driven by black carbon and tropospheric ozone. Nature 485:350–354. doi:10.1038/nature11097
2. Allen RJ, Norris JR, Kovilakam M (2014) Influence of anthropogenic aerosols and the Pacific decadal oscillation on tropical belt width. Nat Geosci 7:270–274. doi:10.1038/NGEO2091
3. Archer CL, Caldeira K (2008) Historical trends in the jet streams. Geophys Res Lett 35:L08803. doi:10.1029/2008gl033614
4. Bindoff NL, Stott PA, AchutaRao KM, Allen MR, Gillett N, Gutzler D, Hansingo K, Hegerl G, Hu Y, Jain S, Mokhov I, Overland J, Perlwitz J, Sebbari R, Zhang X (2013) Detection and Attribution of Climate Change: from Global to Regional. In: Stocker TF, Qin D, Plattner G-K, Tignor M, Allen SK, Boschung J, Nauels A, Xia Y, Bex V, Midgley PM (eds) Climate change 2013: the physical science basis. Contribution of working group I to the fifth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 867–952
5. Bond TC, Bhardwaj E, Dong R, Jogani R, Jung S, Roden C, Streets DG, Trautmann NM (2007) Historical emissions of black and organic carbon aerosol from energy-related combustion, 1850–2000. Global Biogeochem Cycles 21:1–16. doi:10.1029/2006GB002840
6. Cai W, Cowan T (2013) Southeast Australia autumn rainfall reduction: a climate-change-induced poleward shift of ocean-atmosphere circulation. J Clim 26:189–205. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00035.1
7. Cai W, Cowan T, Thatcher M (2012) Rainfall reductions over Southern Hemisphere semi-arid regions: the role of subtropical dry zone expansion. Sci Rep. doi:10.1038/srep00702
8. Chen G, Held IM (2007) Phase speed spectra and the recent poleward shift of Southern Hemisphere surface westerlies. Geophys Res Lett 34:L21805. doi:10.1029/2007gl031200
9. Cionni I, Eyring V, Lamarque JF, Randel WJ, Stevenson DS, Wu F, Bodeker GE, Shepherd TG, Shindell DT, Waugh DW (2011) Ozone database in support of CMIP5 simulations: results and corresponding radiative forcing. Atmos Chem Phys 11:11267–11292. doi:10.5194/acp-11-11267-2011
10. Davis SM, Rosenlof KH (2012) A multi-diagnostic intercomparison of tropical width time series using reanalyses and satellite observations. J Clim 25:1061–1078. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00127.1
11. Eyring V, Arblaster JM, Cionni I, Sedláček J, Perlwitz J, Young PJ, Bekki S, Bergmann D, Cameron-Smith P, Collins WJ, Faluvegi G, Gottschaldt K-D, Horowitz LW, Kinnison DE, Lamarque J-F, Marsh DR, Saint-Martin D, Shindell DT, Sudo K, Szopa S, Watanabe S (2013) Long-term ozone changes and associated climate impacts in CMIP5 simulations. J Geophys Res Atmos 118:5029–5060. doi:10.1002/jgrd.50316
12. Frierson DMW, Lu J, Chen G (2007) Width of the Hadley cell in simple and comprehensive general circulation models. Geophys Res Lett 34:L18804. doi:10.1029/2007gl031115
13. Fu Q, Johanson CM, Wallace JM, Reichler T (2006) Enhanced mid-latitude tropospheric warming in satellite measurements. Science 312:1179. doi:10.1126/science.1125566
14. Fu R, Yin L, Li W, Arias PA, Dickinson RE, Huang L, Chakrabortty S, Fernandes K, Liebmann B, Fisher R, Myneni RB (2013) Increased dry-season length over southern Amazonia in recent decades and its implication for future climate projection. Proc Natl Acad Sci 110:18110–18115. doi:10.1073/pnas.1302584110
15. Gettelman A, Hoor P, Pan LL, Randel WJ, Hegglin MI, Birner T (2011) The extratropical upper troposphere and lower stratosphere. Rev Geophys 49:RG3003. doi:10.1029/2011RG000355
16. Hartmann DL, Klein Tank AMG, Rusticucci M, Alexander LV, Brönnimann S, Charabi Y, Dentener FJ, Dlugokencky EJ, Easterling DR, Kaplan A, Soden BJ, Thorne PW, Wild M, Zhai PM (2013) Observations: Atmosphere and Surface. In: Stocker TF, Qin D, Plattner G-K, Tignor M, Allen SK, Boschung J, Nauels A, Xia Y, Bex V, Midgley PM (eds) Climate change 2013: The physical science basis. Contribution of working group I to the fifth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 159–254
17. Hu Y, Fu Q (2007) Observed poleward expansion of the Hadley circulation since 1979. Atmos Chem Phys 7:5229–5236
18. Hu Y, Zhou C (2010) Decadal changes in the Hadley circulation. In: Oh JH (ed) Advances in Geosciences, vol 10. World Scientific Publishing Company, Singapore, p 250
19. Hu Y, Zhou C, Liu J (2011) Observational evidence for poleward expansion of the Hadley circulation. Adv Atmos Sci 28:33–44. doi:10.1007/s00376-010-0032-1
20. Hu Y, Tao L, Liu J (2013) Poleward expansion of the Hadley circulation in CMIP5 simulations. Adv Atmos Sci 30:790–795. doi:10.1007/s00376-012-2187-4
21. Hudson RD (2012) Measurements of the movement of the jet streams at mid-latitudes, in the Northern and Southern Hemispheres, 1979 to 2010. Atmos Chem Phys 12:7797–7808. doi:10.5194/acp-12-7797-2012
22. Hudson RD, Andrade MF, Follette MB, Frolov AD (2006) The total ozone field separated into meteorological regimes—part II: northern Hemisphere mid-latitude total ozone trends. Atmos Chem Phys 6:5183–5191. doi:10.5194/acp-6-5183-2006
23. Johanson CM, Fu Q (2009) Hadley cell widening: model simulations versus observations. J Clim 22:2713–2725. doi:10.1175/2008jcli2620.1
24. Kang SM, Polvani LM, Fyfe JC, Sigmond M (2011) Impact of polar ozone depletion on subtropical precipitation. Science 332:951–954. doi:10.1126/science.1202131
25. Lamarque J-F, Kyle GP, Meinshausen M, Riahi K, Smith SJ, Van Vuuren DP, Conley AJ, Vitt F (2011) Global and regional evolution of short-lived radiatively-active gases and aerosols in the representative concentration pathways. Clim Change 109:191–212. doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0155-0
26. Lu J, Vecchi GA, Reichler T (2007) Expansion of the Hadley cell under global warming. Geophys Res Lett 34:L06805. doi:10.1029/2006gl028443
27. Lu J, Deser C, Reichler T (2009) Cause of the widening of the tropical belt since 1958. Geophys Res Lett 36:L03803. doi:10.1029/2008gl036076
28. Lucas C, Timbal B, Nguyen H (2013) The expanding tropics: a critical assessment of the observational and modeling studies. Wiley Interdiscip Rev Clim Chang. doi:10.1002/wcc.251
29. Min S-K, Son S-W (2013) Multimodel attribution of the Southern Hemisphere Hadley cell widening: major role of ozone depletion. J Geophys Res Atmos 118:3007–3015. doi:10.1002/jgrd.50232
30. Moss RH, Edmonds JA, Hibbard KA, Manning MR, Rose SK, Van Vuuren DP, Carter TR, Emori S, Kainuma M, Kram T, Meehl GA, Mitchell JFB, Nakicenovic N, Riahi K, Smith SJ, Stouffer RJ, Thomson AM, Weyant JP, Wilbanks TJ (2010) The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment. Nature 463:747–756. doi:10.1038/nature08823
31. Polvani LM, Previdi M, Deser C (2011a) Large cancellation, due to ozone recovery, of future Southern Hemisphere atmospheric circulation trends. Geophys Res Lett 38:L04707. doi:10.1029/2011GL046712
32. Polvani LM, Waugh DW, Correa GJP, Son S-W (2011b) Stratospheric ozone depletion: the main driver of twentieth-century atmospheric circulation changes in the Southern Hemisphere. J Clim 24:795–812. doi:10.1175/2010JCLI3772.1
33. Schneider T, Gorman PAO, Levine XJ, O’Gorman PA (2010) Water vapor and the dynamics of climate changes. Rev Geophys 48:RG3001. doi:10.1029/2009rg000302
34. Seidel DJ, Randel WJ (2007) Recent widening of the tropical belt: evidence from tropopause observations. J Geophys Res 112:D20113. doi:10.1029/2007jd008861
35. Seidel DJ, Fu Q, Randel WJ, Reichler TJ (2008) Widening of the tropical belt in a changing climate. Nat Geosci 1:21–24. doi:10.1038/ngeo.2007.38
36. Son S-W, Polvani LM, Waugh DW, Akiyoshi H, Garcia R, Kinnison D, Pawson S, Rozanov E, Shepherd TG, Shibata K (2008) The impact of stratospheric ozone recovery on the Southern Hemisphere westerly jet. Science 320:1486–1489. doi:10.1126/science.1155939
37. Son S-W, Polvani LM, Waugh DW, Birner T, Akiyoshi H, Garcia RR, Gettelman A, Plummer DA, Rozanov E (2009) The impact of stratospheric ozone recovery on tropopause height trends. J Clim 22:429–445. doi:10.1175/2008JCLI2215.1
38. Son S-W, Gerber EP, Perlwitz J, Polvani LM, Gillett NP, Seo K-H, Eyring V, Shepherd TG, Waugh D, Akiyoshi H, Austin J, Baumgaertner A, Bekki S, Braesicke P, Brühl C, Butchart N, Chipperfield MP, Cugnet D, Dameris M, Dhomse S, Frith S, Garny H, Garcia R, Hardiman SC, Jöckel P, Lamarque JF, Mancini E, Marchand M, Michou M, Nakamura T, Morgenstern O, Pitari G, Plummer DA, Pyle J, Rozanov E, Scinocca JF, Shibata K, Smale D, Teyssèdre H, Tian W, Yamashita Y (2010) Impact of stratospheric ozone on Southern Hemisphere circulation change: A multimodel assessment. J Geophys Res Atmos 115:D00M07. doi:10.1029/2010jd01427
39. Stachnik JP, Schumacher C (2011) A comparison of the Hadley circulation in modern reanalyses. J Geophys Res 116:D22102. doi:10.1029/2011jd016677
40. Sun L, Chen G, Lu J (2013) Sensitivities and mechanisms of the zonal mean atmospheric circulation response to tropical warming. J Atmos Sci 70:2487–2504. doi:10.1175/JAS-D-12-0298.1
41. Tandon NF, Gerber EP, Sobel AH, Polvani LM (2013) Understanding Hadley cell expansion versus contraction: insights from simplified models and implications for recent observations. J Clim 26:4304–4321. doi:10.1175/jcli-d-12-00598.1
42. Taylor GT, Muller-Karger FE, Thunell RC, Scranton MI, Astor Y, Varela R, Ghinaglia LT, Lorenzoni L, Fanning KA, Hameed S, Doherty O (2012a) Ecosystem responses in the southern Caribbean Sea to global climate change. Proc Natl Acad Sci 109:19315–19320. doi:10.1073/pnas.1207514109
43. Taylor KE, Stouffer RJ, Meehl GA (2012b) An overview of CMIP5 and the experiment design. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 93:485–498. doi:10.1175/bams-d-11-00094.1
44. Wilcox LJ, Highwood EJ, Dunstone NJ (2013) The influence of anthropogenic aerosol on multi-decadal variations of historical global climate. Environ Res Lett 8:024033. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/2/024033