Drought assessment using a multivariate drought index in the Luanhe River basin of Northern China

Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment

Volumn 29, Issue 6, 2015, Pages 1509-1520

  Li, Qiongfang ^a   Li, Pengcheng ^a   Li, Haoyang ^b   Yu, Meixiu ^a  

^a HOHAI UNIVERSITY   (China)

^b Water Resource Development Research Center of Taihu Basin Authority   (China)

Author keywords

Drought assessment; Luanhe river basin; Multivariate drought index; Palmer drought severity index; Principal component analysis; Standardized precipitation index; Variable infiltration capacity model

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE; DISTRIBUTION FUNCTIONS; ECONOMICS; INFILTRATION; PRINCIPAL COMPONENT ANALYSIS; RIVERS; SOIL MOISTURE; STREAM FLOW; WATERSHEDS;

DROUGHT INDICES; PALMER DROUGHT SEVERITY INDICES; RIVER BASINS; STANDARDIZED PRECIPITATION INDEX; VARIABLE INFILTRATION CAPACITY MODELS;

DROUGHT;

DROUGHT; EVAPOTRANSPIRATION; HYDROLOGICAL MODELING; INFILTRATION; MULTIVARIATE ANALYSIS; PRECIPITATION ASSESSMENT; PRINCIPAL COMPONENT ANALYSIS;

CHINA; LUANHE BASIN;

EID: 84938415136     PISSN: 14363240     EISSN: 14363259     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00477-014-0982-4     Document Type: Article

References (60)

1. Agboma CO, Yirdaw SZ, Snelgrove KR (2009) Intercomparison of the total storage deficit index (TSDI) over two Canadian Prairie catchments. J Hydrol 374:351–359. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.06.034
2. Alley WM (1984) The palmer drought severity index: limitations and assumptions. J Clim Appl Meteorol 23:1100–1109
3. Andreadis KM, Lettenmaier DP (2006) Trends in twentieth century drought over the continental United States. Geophys Res Lett. doi:10.1029/2006GL025711
4. Andreadis KM, Clark EA, Wood AW, Hamlet AF, Lettenmaier DP (2005) Twentieth-century drought in the conterminous United States. J Hydrometeorol 6:985–1001. doi:10.1175/JHM450.1
5. Bao Z, Zhang J, Liu J, Wang G, Fu G, He R, Yan X (2013) Estimation of baseflow parameters in variable infiltration capacity model using soil properties. Adv Water Sci 24:169–175 (in Chinese)
6. Beven K (2006) A manifesto for the equifinality thesis. J Hydrol 320:18–36
7. Bohn TJ, Livneh B, Oyler JW, Running SW, Nijssen B, Lettenmaier DP (2013) Global evaluation of MTCLIM and related algorithms for forcing of ecological and hydrological models. Agric For Meteorol 176:38–49. doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2013.03.003
8. Brown JF, Wardlow BD, Tadesse T, Hayes MJ, Reed BC (2008) The vegetation drought response index (VegDRI): a new integrated approach for monitoring drought stress in vegetation. GISci Remote Sens 45:16–46
9. Cattell RB (1952) Factor analysis: an introduction and manual for the Psychologist and Social Scientist, 462 pp. Greenport Press, Westport
10. Dai A (2011) Drought under global warming: a review. Wiley Interdiscip Rev 2:45–65
11. Dai A, Trenberth KE, Qian T (2004) A global dataset of palmer drought severity index for 1870–2002: relationship with soil moisture and effects of surface warming. J Hydrometeorol 5:1117–1130. doi:10.1175/JHM-386.1
12. FEMA (1995) National mitigation strategy: partnerships for building safer communities. Federal Emergency Management Agency, Washington, DC 26 pp
13. Giraldo OJD, García GSG (2012) Non-stationary analysis of dry spells in monsoon season of Senegal River Basin using data from regional climate models (RCMs). J Hydrol 450:82–92
14. Gu Y, Liu J, Lin J (2010) Characteristics of drought disasters in China in nearly 60 years. Water Resour Hydropower Eng 41:71–74 (in Chinese)
15. Hannaford J, Lloyd-Hughes B, Keef C, Parry S, Prudhomme C (2011) Examining the large-scale spatial coherence of European drought using regional indicators of precipitation and streamflow deficit. Hydrol Process 25:1146–1162. doi:10.1002/hyp.7725
16. Hansen MC, Defries RS, Townshend JRG, Sohlberg R (2000) Global land cover classification at 1 km spatial resolution using a classification tree approach. Int J Remote Sens 21:1331–1364. doi:10.1080/014311600210209
17. Hao Z, AghaKouchak A (2013) multivariate standardized drought index: a parametric multi-index model. Adv Water Resour 57:12–18
18. Heim RR (2002) A review of twentieth-century drought indices used in the United States. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 83:1149–1165
19. Hisdal H, Tallaksen LM (2003) Estimation of regional meteorological and hydrological drought characteristics: a case study for Denmark. J Hydrol 281:230–247. doi:10.1016/s0022-1694(03)00233-6
20. Jain SK, Keshri R, Goswami A, Sarkar A (2010) Application of meteorological and vegetation indices for evaluation of drought impact: a case study for Rajasthan, India. Nat Hazards 54:643–656. doi:10.1007/s11069-009-9493-x
21. Keyantash J, Dracup JA (2002) The quantification of drought: an evaluation of drought indices. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 83:1167–1180
22. Keyantash JA, Dracup JA (2004) An aggregate drought index: assessing drought severity based on fluctuations in the hydrologic cycle and surface water storage. Water Resour Res. doi:10.1029/2003WR002610
23. Li L, Zheng H (2000) Characteristics and driving forces of annual runoff changes for rivers in North China—a case study in the Chaobaihe River. Acta Geogr Sin 55:309–316 (in Chinese)
24. Li H, Li Q, Li P (2011) An analysis of social impact of drought in history of North China. J Hohai Univ (Philosophy and Social Sciences) 13:63–66 (in Chinese)
25. Liang X, Xie Z (2001) A new surface runoff parameterization with subgrid-scale soil heterogeneity for land surface models. Adv Water Resour 24:1173–1193
26. Liang X, Lettenmaier DP, Wood EF, Burges SJ (1994) A simple hydrologically based model of land surface water and energy fluxes for general circulation models. J Geophys Res. doi:10.1029/94JD00483
27. Liang E, Liu X, Yuan Y, Qin N, Fang X et al (2006) The 1920s drought recorded by tree rings and historical documents in the semi-arid and arid areas of Northern China. Clim Chang 79:403–432
28. McKee TB, Doesken NJ, Kleist J (1993) The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scales. In: Proceedings of the 8th conference on applied climatology vol 22. B Am Meteorol Soc 17:179–183
29. Mishra AK, Singh VP (2010) A review of drought concepts. J Hydrol 391:202–216. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2010.07.012
30. Mishra AK, Singh VP (2011) Drought modeling: a review. J Hydrol 403:157–175. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.03.049
31. Mu Q, Zhao M, Kimball JS, McDowell NG, Running SW (2013) A remotely sensed global terrestrial drought severity index. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 94:83–98
32. Narasimhan B, Srinivasan R (2005) Development and evaluation of soil moisture deficit index (SMDI) and evapotranspiration deficit index (ETDI) for agricultural drought monitoring. Agric For Meteorol 133:69–88. doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2005.07.012
33. Nijssen B, Schnur R, Lettenmaier DP (2001) Global retrospective estimation of soil moisture using the variable infiltration capacity land surface model, 1980–93. J Clim 14:1790–1808
34. Palmer WC (1965) Meteorologic drought. US Department of Commerce, Weather Bureau, Research Paper No. 45, p 58
35. Qian W, Shan X, Zhu Y (2011) Ranking regional drought events in China for 1960–2009. Adv Atmos Sci 28:310–321. doi:10.1007/s00376-009-9239-4
36. Reynolds CA, Jackson TJ, Rawls WJ (2000) Estimating soil water-holding capacities by linking the Food and Agriculture Organization soil map of the world with global pedon databases and continuous pedotransfer functions. Water Resour Res 36:3653–3662. doi:10.1029/2000WR900130
37. Romm J (2011) The next dust bowl. Nature 478:450–451. doi:10.1038/478450a
38. Sheffield J, Goteti G, Wen F, Wood EF (2004) A simulated soil moisture based drought analysis for the United States. J Geophys Res. doi:10.1029/2004JD00518
39. Sohrabiz MM, Ryu JH, Abatzoglou J, Tracy J (2013) Climate extreme and its linkage to regional drought over Idaho, USA. Nat Hazards 65:653–681. doi:10.1007/s11069-012-0384-1
40. Svoboda MD, Hayes M, Heim RR et al (2002) The drought monitor. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 83:1181–1190
41. Tang C, Piechota TC (2009) Spatial and temporal soil moisture and drought variability in the Upper Colorado River Basin. J Hydrol 379:122–135
42. Todisco F, Mannocchi F, Vergni L (2013) Severity–duration–frequency curves in the mitigation of drought impact: an agricultural case study. Nat Hazards 65:1863–1881. doi:10.1007/s11069-012-0446-4
43. Triola MF (1995) Elementary statistics (6th edition). Addison-Wesley, Reading
44. Wang G, Zhang J, Jin J et al (2012a) Assessing water resources in China using PRECIS projections and a VIC model. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 16:231–240. doi:10.5194/hess-16-231-2012
45. Wang L, Wen H, Yang C, Cheng B, Li Q, Shi Z, Li P (2012b) Comparison of three drought indices in Beijing area. Water Resour Power 30:5–7 (in Chinese)
46. Wilhite DA (2000) Drought as a natural hazard: concepts and definitions. In: Wilhite DA (ed) Drought: a global assessment. Routledge, New York, pp 3–18
47. Wilhite D, Svoboda M, Hayes M (2007) Understanding the complex impacts of drought: a key to enhancing drought mitigation and preparedness. Water Resour Manag 21:763–774. doi:10.1007/s11269-006-9076-5
48. Wu Z, Lu G, Wen L, Lin C, Zhang J, Yang Y (2007) Thirty-five year (1971–2005) simulation of daily soil moisture using the variable infiltration capacity model over China. Atmos Ocean 45:37–45. doi:10.3137/ao.v450103
49. Wu Z, Lu G, Wen L, Lin C (2011) Reconstructing and analyzing China’s fifty-nine year (1951–2009) drought history using hydrological model simulation. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 15:2881–2894. doi:10.5194/hess-15-2881-2011
50. Xie Z, Su F, Liang X, Zeng Q, Hao Z, Guo F (2003) Applications of a surface runoff model with Horton and Dunne runoff for VIC. Adv Atmos Sci 20:165–172
51. Yu M, Li Q, Hayes MJ, Svoboda MD, Heim RR (2014) Are droughts becoming more frequent or severe in China based on the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index: 1951–2010? Int J Climatol 34:545–558. doi:10.1002/joc.3701
52. Yuan F, Xie Z, Liu Q, Xia J (2005) Simulating hydrologic changes with climate change scenarios in the Haihe River Basin. Pedosphere 15:595–600
53. Zhai P, Zou X (2005) Changes in temperature and precipitation and their impacts on drought in China during 1951–2003. Adv Clim Chang Res 1:16–18 (in Chinese)
54. Zhang Q (2003) Drought and its impacts, in China Climate Impact Assessment. China Meteorological Press, Beijing
55. Zhang A, Jia G (2013) Monitoring meteorological drought in semiarid regions using multi-sensor microwave remote sensing data. Remote Sens Environ 134:12–23
56. Zhang J, Su Y, Song D, Zhang Y, Song H, Gu Y (2009) The historical droughts in China: 1949–2000. Hohai University Press, Nanjing (in Chinese)
57. Zhang BQ, Wu PT, Zhao XN, Wang YB, Wang JW, Shi YG (2012) Drought variation trends in different subregions of the Chinese Loess Plateau over the past four decades. Agric Water Manag 115:167–177. doi:10.1016/j.agwat.2012.09.004
58. Zhang Q, Xiao M, Singh VP, Chen X (2013) Copula-based risk evaluation of hydrological droughts in the East River basin, China. Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess 27:1397–1406
59. Zou X, Zhai P, Zhang Q (2005) Variations in droughts over China: 1951–2003. Geophys Res Lett. doi:10.1029/2004GL021853
60. Zou X, Ren G, Zhang Q (2010) Droughts variations in China based on a compound index of meteorological drought. Clim Environ Res 15:371–378 (in Chinese)