메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 10, Issue 6, 2015, Pages

Long-range forecasts of UK winter hydrology

Author keywords

North Atlantic Oscillation; river flow; seasonal forecast; United Kingdom

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC PRESSURE; BALLOONS; CATCHMENTS; FLOW OF WATER; OSCILLATING FLOW; RESERVOIRS (WATER); RIVERS; STREAM FLOW; WATER SUPPLY;

EID: 84937467985     PISSN: 17489318     EISSN: 17489326     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/10/6/064006     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (66)

References (33)
  • 1
    • 84937444190 scopus 로고
    • Bayliss A C and Jones R C 1993 (Wallingford, UK: Institute of Hydrology) 61 Peaks-Over-Threshold Flood Database: Summary Statistics and Seasonality - IH Report No. 121 pp
    • (1993) , pp. 61
    • Bayliss, A.C.1    Jones, R.C.2
  • 2
    • 84883302266 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Developing a large-scale water-balance approach to seasonal forecasting: Application to the 2012 drought in Britain
    • Bell V A, Davies H N, Kay A L, Marsh T J, Brookshaw A and Jenkins A 2013 Developing a large-scale water-balance approach to seasonal forecasting: application to the 2012 drought in Britain Hydrol. Process. 27 3003-12
    • (2013) Hydrol. Process. , vol.27 , pp. 3003-3012
    • Bell, V.A.1    Davies, H.N.2    Kay, A.L.3    Marsh, T.J.4    Brookshaw, A.5    Jenkins, A.6
  • 3
    • 70349776190 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Use of soil data in a grid-based hydrological model to estimate spatial variation in changing flood risk across the UK
    • Bell V A, Kay A L, Jones R G, Moore R J and Reynard N S 2009 Use of soil data in a grid-based hydrological model to estimate spatial variation in changing flood risk across the UK J. Hydrol. 377 335-50
    • (2009) J. Hydrol. , vol.377 , pp. 335-350
    • Bell, V.A.1    Kay, A.L.2    Jones, R.G.3    Moore, R.J.4    Reynard, N.S.5
  • 4
    • 76449113619 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Seasonal predictability of European discharge: NAO and hydrological response time
    • Bierkens M F P and van Beek L P H 2009 Seasonal predictability of European discharge: NAO and hydrological response time J. Hydrometeorol. 10 953-68
    • (2009) J. Hydrometeorol. , vol.10 , pp. 953-968
    • Bierkens, M.F.P.1    Van Beek, L.P.H.2
  • 5
    • 84881032617 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • North Atlantic Oscillation amplifies orographic precipitation and river flow in upland Britain
    • Burt T P and Howden N J K 2013 North Atlantic Oscillation amplifies orographic precipitation and river flow in upland Britain Water Resour. Res. 49 3504-15
    • (2013) Water Resour. Res. , vol.49 , pp. 3504-3515
    • Burt, T.P.1    Howden, N.J.K.2
  • 11
    • 84906877753 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Potential influences on the United Kingdom's floods of winter 2013/14
    • Huntingford C et al 2014 Potential influences on the United Kingdom's floods of winter 2013/14 Nat. Clim. Change 4 769-77
    • (2014) Nat. Clim. Change , vol.4 , pp. 769-777
    • Huntingford, C.1
  • 12
    • 0029479274 scopus 로고
    • Decadal trends in the North Atlantic Oscillation: Regional temperature and precipitation
    • Hurrel J W 1995 Decadal trends in the North Atlantic Oscillation: regional temperature and precipitation Science 269 676-9
    • (1995) Science , vol.269 , pp. 676-679
    • Hurrel, J.W.1
  • 13
    • 77954387248 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modification of climate-river flow associations by basin properties
    • Laizé C L R and Hannah D M 2010 Modification of climate-river flow associations by basin properties J. Hydrol. 389 186-204
    • (2010) J. Hydrol. , vol.389 , pp. 186-204
    • Laizé, C.L.R.1    Hannah, D.M.2
  • 14
    • 84921684436 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • From months to minutes - Exploring the value of high-resolution rainfall observation and prediction during the UK winter storms of 2013/2014
    • Lewis H et al 2015 From months to minutes - exploring the value of high-resolution rainfall observation and prediction during the UK winter storms of 2013/2014 Meteorol. Appl. 22 90-104
    • (2015) Meteorol. Appl. , vol.22 , pp. 90-104
    • Lewis, H.1
  • 15
    • 84908266773 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A lumped conceptual model to simulate groundwater level time-series
    • Mackay J D, Jackson C R and Wang L 2014 A lumped conceptual model to simulate groundwater level time-series Environ. Modelling. Softw. 61 229-45
    • (2014) Environ. Modelling. Softw. , vol.61 , pp. 229-245
    • Mackay, J.D.1    Jackson, C.R.2    Wang, L.3
  • 16
    • 84924357473 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global Seasonal forecast system version 5 (GloSea5): A high-resolution seasonal forecast system
    • MacLachlan C et al 2014 Global Seasonal forecast system version 5 (GloSea5): a high-resolution seasonal forecast system Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. at press ()
    • (2014) Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc.
    • Maclachlan, C.1
  • 17
    • 0030619011 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparison of annual maximum series and partial duration series methods for modelling extreme hydrologic events 1. At-site modelling
    • Madsen H, Rasmussen P F and Rosbjerg D 1997 Comparison of annual maximum series and partial duration series methods for modelling extreme hydrologic events 1. At-site modelling Water Resour. Res. 33 747-57
    • (1997) Water Resour. Res. , vol.33 , pp. 747-757
    • Madsen, H.1    Rasmussen, P.F.2    Rosbjerg, D.3
  • 18
    • 0014776873 scopus 로고
    • River flow forecasting through conceptual models: I. A discussion of principles
    • Nash J E and Sutcliffe J V 1970 River flow forecasting through conceptual models: I. A discussion of principles J. Hydrol. 10 282-90
    • (1970) J. Hydrol. , vol.10 , pp. 282-290
    • Nash, J.E.1    Sutcliffe, J.V.2
  • 22
    • 84897954690 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Skillful long-range prediction of European and North American winters
    • Scaife A A et al 2014 Skillful long-range prediction of European and North American winters Geophys. Res. Lett. 41 2514-9
    • (2014) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.41 , pp. 2514-2519
    • Scaife, A.A.1
  • 25
    • 84937444191 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Seasonal river flow forecasts for the United Kingdom using persistence and historical analogues
    • Svensson C 2014 Seasonal river flow forecasts for the United Kingdom using persistence and historical analogues Hydrol. Sci. J. at press ()
    • (2014) Hydrol. Sci. J.
    • Svensson, C.1
  • 26
    • 26444458914 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Trend detection in river flow series: 2. Flood and low-flow index series
    • Svensson C, Kundzewicz Z W and Maurer T 2005 Trend detection in river flow series: 2. Flood and low-flow index series Hydrol. Sci. J. 50 811-24
    • (2005) Hydrol. Sci. J. , vol.50 , pp. 811-824
    • Svensson, C.1    Kundzewicz, Z.W.2    Maurer, T.3
  • 27
    • 23744486019 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Prediction of British summer river flows using winter predictors
    • Svensson C and Prudhomme C 2005 Prediction of British summer river flows using winter predictors Theor. Appl. Climatol. 82 1-15
    • (2005) Theor. Appl. Climatol. , vol.82 , pp. 1-15
    • Svensson, C.1    Prudhomme, C.2
  • 28
    • 17444395232 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Experimental seasonal forecasts of low summer flows in the River Thames, UK, using expert systems
    • Wedgbrow C S, Wilby R L and Fox H R 2005 Experimental seasonal forecasts of low summer flows in the River Thames, UK, using expert systems Clim. Res. 28 133-41
    • (2005) Clim. Res. , vol.28 , pp. 133-141
    • Wedgbrow, C.S.1    Wilby, R.L.2    Fox, H.R.3
  • 29
    • 0036475527 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Prospect for seasonal forecasting of summer drought and low river flow anomalies in England and Wales
    • Wedgbrow C S, Wilby R L, Fox H R and O'Hare G 2002 Prospect for seasonal forecasting of summer drought and low river flow anomalies in England and Wales Int. J. Climatol. 22 219-36
    • (2002) Int. J. Climatol. , vol.22 , pp. 219-236
    • Wedgbrow, C.S.1    Wilby, R.L.2    Fox, H.R.3    O'Hare, G.4
  • 30
    • 0002638881 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Seasonal forecasting of river flows in the British Isles using North Atlantic pressure patterns
    • Wilby R L 2001 Seasonal forecasting of river flows in the British Isles using North Atlantic pressure patterns J. Chart. Inst. Water Environ. Manage. 15 56-63
    • (2001) J. Chart. Inst. Water Environ. Manage. , vol.15 , pp. 56-63
    • Wilby, R.L.1
  • 31
    • 0347653404 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The North Atlantic Oscillation and British Isles climate variability, 1865-1996
    • Wilby R L, O'Hare G and Barnsley N 1997 The North Atlantic Oscillation and British Isles climate variability, 1865-1996 Weather 52 266-76
    • (1997) Weather , vol.52 , pp. 266-276
    • Wilby, R.L.1    O'Hare, G.2    Barnsley, N.3
  • 32
    • 3142538915 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Seasonal predictability of the summer hydrometeorology of the River Thames, UK
    • Wilby R L, Wedgbrow C S and Fox H R 2004 Seasonal predictability of the summer hydrometeorology of the River Thames, UK J. Hydrol. 295 1-16
    • (2004) J. Hydrol. , vol.295 , pp. 1-16
    • Wilby, R.L.1    Wedgbrow, C.S.2    Fox, H.R.3
  • 33
    • 84937444192 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Attribution of hydrologic forecast uncertainty within scalable forecast windows
    • Yang L, Tian F, Sun Y, Yuan X and Hu H 2013 Attribution of hydrologic forecast uncertainty within scalable forecast windows Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss. 10 11795-828
    • (2013) Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss. , vol.10 , pp. 11795-11828
    • Yang, L.1    Tian, F.2    Sun, Y.3    Yuan, X.4    Hu, H.5


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.