Potential for Southern Hemisphere climate surprises

Journal of Quaternary Science

Volumn 30, Issue 5, 2015, Pages 391-395

  Mayewski, P A ^a   Bracegirdle, T ^b   Goodwin, I ^c   Schneider, D ^d   Bertler, N A N ^e   Birkel, S ^a   Carleton, A ^f   England, M H ^g   Kang, J H ^h   Khan, A ⁱ   Russell, J ^j   Turner, J ^b   Velicogna, I ^k  

^a UNIVERSITY OF MAINE   (United States)

^b BRITISH ANTARCTIC SURVEY   (United Kingdom)

^c MACQUARIE UNIVERSITY   (Australia)

^d NATIONAL CENTER FOR ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH   (United States)

^e VICTORIA UNIVERSITY OF WELLINGTON   (New Zealand)

^f PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^g UNIVERSITY OF NEW SOUTH WALES   (Australia)

^h Korea Polar Research Institute (KOPRI)   (South Korea)

ⁱ UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO   (United States)

^j The University of Arizona   (United States)

^k UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA   (United States)

more..

Author keywords

Antarctica; Climate modeling; Paleoclimate; Southern Hemisphere climate; Westerlies

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE MODELING; CLIMATE VARIATION; MERIDIONAL CIRCULATION; PALEOCLIMATE; SEA LEVEL CHANGE; SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE; WESTERLY;

ANTARCTIC ICE SHEET; ANTARCTICA; SOUTHERN OCEAN;

EID: 84936996258     PISSN: 02678179     EISSN: 10991417     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/jqs.2794     Document Type: Article

References (38)

1. Abram NJ, Mulvaney R, Vimeux F, et al. 2014. Evolution of the Southern Annular Mode during the past millennium. Nature Climate Change 4: 564-569.
2. ACCE (Antarctic Climate Change and the Environment). 2009. Turner J, Bindschadler R, Convey P, di Prisco G, Fahrbach E, Gutt J, Hodgson D, Mayewski P, Summerhayes (eds). Scientific Committee on Antarctic Research: Cambridge UK.
3. Arblaster JM, Meehl GA, Karoly DJ. 2011. Future climate change in the southern hemisphere: competing effects of ozone and greenhouse gases. Geophysical Research Letters 38: L02701.
4. Barnes EA. 2013. Revisiting the evidence linking Arctic amplification to extreme weather in mid-latitudes. Geophysical Research Letters 40: 4728-4733.
5. Bracegirdle TJ, Shuckburgh E, Sallee J-B, et al. 2013. Assessment of surface winds over the Atlantic, Indian, and Pacific Ocean sectors of the Southern Ocean in CMIP5 models: historical bias, forcing response, and state dependence. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 118: 547-562.
6. Cai W, Wang G, Santoso A, et al. 2015. Increased frequency of extreme la Niña events under greenhouse warming. Nature Climate Change 5: 132-137.
7. Connolley WM. 1997. Variability in annual mean circulation in southern high latitudes. Climate Dynamics 13: 745-756.
8. Ding Q, Steig EJ, Battisti DS, et al. 2011. Winter warming in West Antarctica caused by central tropical Pacific warming. Nature Geosciences 4: 398-403.
9. Ding Q, Wallace JM, Battisti DS, et al. 2014. Tropical forcing of the recent rapid Arctic warming in northeastern Canada and Greenland. Nature 509: 209-211.
10. 2 on geological timescales. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 110: 1209-1214.
11. Francis JA, Vavrus SJ. 2015. Evidence for a wavier jet stream in response to rapid Arctic warming. Environmental Research Letters 10: doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/10/1/014005
12. Golledge NR, Menviel L, Carter L, et al. 2014. Antarctic contribution to meltwater pulse 1A from reduced Southern Ocean overturning. Nature Communications 5: doi: 10.1038/ncomms6107
13. Goodwin ID, Browning S, Lorrey AM, et al. 2013. A reconstruction of extratropical Indo-Pacific sea-level pressure patterns during the Medieval Climate Anomaly. Climate Dynamics 43: 1197-1219.
14. Goodwin ID, Browning SA, Anderson AJ. 2014. Climate windows for Polynesian voyaging to New Zealand and Easter Island. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 111: 14716-14721.
15. Grigholm B, Mayewski PA, Kang S, et al. 2015. Twentieth century dust lows and the weakening of the westerly winds over the Tibetan Plateau. Geophysical Research Letters 42: 2434-2441.
16. 2: distinguishing the roles of sea surface temperature and direct radiative forcing. Geophysical Research Letters 41: 6863-6871.
17. Kidston J, Gerber EP. 2010. Intermodel variability of the poleward shift of the austral jet stream in the CMIP3 integrations linked to biases in 20th century climatology. Geophysical Research Letters 37: L09708.
18. Lamy F, Kilian R, Arz HW, et al. 2010. Holocene changes in the position and intensity of the southern westerly wind belt. Nature Geoscience 3: 695-699.
19. Lu J, Chen G, Frierson DMW. 2008. Response of the zonal mean atmospheric circulation to El Nino versus global warming. Journal of Climate 21: 5835-5851.
20. Mayewski PA, Maasch KA, Dixon D, et al. 2013. West Antarctica's sensitivity to natural and human-forced climate change over the Holocene. Journal of Quaternary Science 28: 40-48.
21. Mayewski PA, Sneed SB, Birkel SD, et al. 2014. Holocene warming marked by abrupt onset of longer summers and reduced storm frequency around Greenland. Journal of Quaternary Science 29: 99-104.
22. Naish TR, Wilson GS. 2009. Constraints on the amplitude of Mid-Pliocene (3.6-2.4Ma) eustatic sea-level fluctuations from the New Zealand shallow-marine sediment record. Transactions of the Royal Society of London A 367: 169-187.
23. Pollard D, DeConto RM. 2009. Modelling West Antarctic ice sheet growth and collapse through the past five million years. Nature 458: 329-332.
24. Pollard D, DeConto RM, Alley RB. 2015. Potential Antarctic Ice Sheet retreat driven by hydrofracturing and ice cliff failure. Earth and Planetary Sciences Letters 412: 112-121.
25. Reason CJC, Rouault M. 2005. Links between the Antarctic Oscillation and winter rainfall over western South Africa. Geophysical Research Letters 32: L07705.
26. Rignot E, Mouginot J, Morlighem M, et al. 2014. Widespread, rapid grounding line retreat of Pine Island, Thwaites, Smith, and Kohler glaciers, West Antarctica, from 1992-2011. Geophysical Research Letters 41: 3502-3509.
27. Robinson SA, Erickson DJ. 2015. Not just about sunburn - the ozone hole's profound effect on climate has significant implications for Southern Hemisphere ecosystems. Global Change Biology 21: 515-527.
28. Schneider DP, Steig EJ. 2008. Ice cores record significant 1940s Antarctic warmth related to tropical climate variability. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 105: 12154-12158.
29. Schofield O, Ducklow HW, Martinson DG, et al. 2010. How do polar marine ecosystems respond to rapid climate change? Science 328: 1520-1523.
30. Screen JA, Simmonds I. 2014. Amplified mid-latitude planetary waves favour particular regional weather extremes. Nature Climate Change 4: 704-709.
31. Seidel DJ, Qiang F, Randel WJ, et al. 2008. Widening of the tropical belt in a changing climate. Nature Geosciences 1: 21-24.
32. Shulmeister J, Goodwin I, Renwick J, et al. 2004. The Southern Hemisphere westerlies in the Australasian sector over the last glacial cycle: a synthesis. Quaternary International 118-119: 23-53.
33. Spencer P, Griffies SM, England MH, et al. 2014. Rapid subsurface warming and circulation changes of Antarctic coastal waters by poleward shifting winds. Geophysical Research Letters 41: 4601-4610.
34. Stager JC, Mayewski PA, White J, et al. 2012. Rainfall variability in South Africa and Australia during the last millennium linked to meridional shifts in the austral westerlies. Climates of the Past 7: 4375-4399.
35. Thompson DWJ, Solomon S, Kushner PJ, et al. 2011. Signatures of the Antarctic ozone hole in Southern Hemisphere surface climate change. Nature Geosciences 4: 741-749.
36. Trenberth KE, Fasullo JT, Branstator G, et al. 2014. Seasonal aspects of the recent pause in surface warming. Nature Climate Change 4: 911-916.
37. Van Ommen TD, Morgan VI. 2010. Snowfall increase in coastal East Antarctica linked with southwest Western Australian drought. Nature Geosciences 3: 267-272.
38. Weber ME, Clark PU, Kuhn G, et al. 2014. Millennial-scale variability in Antarctic ice-sheet discharge during the last deglaciation. Nature 510: 134-138.