Sources of variation in simulated ecosystem carbon storage capacity from the 5th Climate Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5)

Tellus, Series B: Chemical and Physical Meteorology

Volumn 66, Issue 1, 2014, Pages

  Yan, Yaner ^a,b   Luo, Yiqi ^b,c   Zhou, Xuhui ^a   Chen, Jianmin ^a  

^a FUDAN UNIVERSITY   (China)

^b UNIVERSITY OF OKLAHOMA   (United States)

^c TSINGHUA UNIVERSITY   (China)

Author keywords

C input; CMIP5; Ecosystem C storage capacity; Ecosystem residence time; Model intercomparison; Net primary productivity; Uncertainty

Indexed keywords

CARBON SEQUESTRATION; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE CYCLE; CLIMATE FEEDBACK; CLIMATE MODELING; COMPUTER SIMULATION; MODIS; NET PRIMARY PRODUCTION; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

AUSTRALIA;

EID: 84930965816     PISSN: 02806509     EISSN: 16000889     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.3402/tellusb.v66.22568     Document Type: Article

References (65)

1. Ahlström, A., Smith, B., Lindström, J., Rummukainen, M. and Uvo, C. B. 2013. GCM characteristics explain the majority of uncertainty in projected 21st century terrestrial ecosystem carbon balance. Biogeosciences. 10, 1517-1528.
2. Arora, V. K. and Boer, G. J. 2005. A parameterization of leaf phenology for the terrestrial ecosystem component of climate models. Glob. Chang. Biol. 11, 39-59.
3. Arora, V. K., Scinocca, J. F., Boer, G. J., Christian, J. R., Denman, K. L. and co-authors. 2011. Carbon emission limits required to satisfy future representative concentration pathways of greenhouse gases. Geophys. Res. Lett. 38, L05805.
4. Atkin, O. K., Atkinson, L. J., Fisher, R. A., Campbell, C. D., Zaragoza-Castells, J. and co-authors. 2008. Using temperaturedependent changes in leaf scaling relationships to quantitatively account for thermal acclimation of respiration in a coupled global climate-vegetation model. Glob. Chang. Biol. 14, 2709-2726.
5. Barrett, D. J. 2002. Steady state turnover time of carbon in the Australian terrestrial biosphere. Glob. Biogeochem. Cycles. 16(4), 1108. DOI: 1110.1029/2002GB001860.
6. Bowman, D. M., Balch, J. K., Artaxo, P., Bond, W. J., Carlson, J. M. and co-authors. 2009. Fire in the Earth system. Science. 324, 481-484.
7. 2 growth from economic activity, carbon intensity, and efficiency of natural sinks. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A. 104, 18866-18870.
8. Carbone, M. S. and Trumbore, S. E. 2007. Contribution of new photosynthetic assimilates to respiration by perennial grasses and shrubs: residence times and allocation patterns. New Phytol. 176, 124-135.
9. Chambers, J. Q., Fisher, J. I., Zeng, H., Chapman, E. L., Baker, D. B. and co-authors. 2007. Hurricane Katrina's carbon footprint on U.S. Gulf Coast forests. Science. 318, 1107.
10. 2. Glob. Biogeochem. Cycles. 13, 519-530.
11. Cox, P. M., Betts, R. A., Collins, M., Harris, P. P., Huntingford, C. and co-authors. 2004. Amazonian forest dieback under climate-carbon cycle projections for the 21st century. Theor. Appl. Climatol. 78, 137-156.
12. Cramer, W. and Field, C. B. 1999. Comparing global models of terrestrial net primary productivity (NPP): introduction. Glob. Chang. Biol. 5, Iii-Iv.
13. Cramer, W., Kicklighter, D. W., Bondeau, A., Moore, B., Churkina, G. and co-authors. 1999. Comparing global models of terrestrial net primary productivity (NPP): overview and key results. Glob. Chang. Biol. 5, 1-15.
14. Davidson, E. A. and Janssens, I. A. 2006. Temperature sensitivity of soil carbon decomposition and feedbacks to climate change. Nature. 440, 165-173.
15. Derrien, D. and Amelung, W. 2011. Computing the mean residence time of soil carbon fractions using stable isotopes: impacts of the model framework. Eur. J. Soil Sci. 62, 237-252.
16. Dungait, J. A. J., Hopkins, D. W., Gregory, A. S. and Whitmore, A. P. 2012. Soil organic matter turnover is governed by accessibility not recalcitrance. Glob. Chang. Biol. 18, 1781-1796.
17. Emanuel, W. R., Killough, G. G., Post, W. M. and Shugart, H. H. Modeling terrestrial ecosystems in the global carbon-cycle with shifts in carbon storage capacity by land-use change. Ecology. 65, 970-983.
18. FAO/IIASA/ISRIC/ISSCAS/JRC. 2012. Harmonized World Soil Database (version 1.10). FAO, Rome, Italy and IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria.
19. Friedlingstein, P., Cox, P., Betts, R., Bopp, L., Von Bloh, W. and co-authors. 2006. Climate-carbon cycle feedback analysis: results from the C4MIP model intercomparison. J. Clim. 19, 3337-3353.
20. Heimann, M. and Reichstein, M. 2008. Terrestrial ecosystem carbon dynamics and climate feedbacks. Nature. 451, 289-292.
21. Hiederer, R. and Köchy, M. 2011. Global Soil Organic Carbon Estimates and the Harmonized World Soil Database. EUR 25225 EN. Publications Office of the European Union, 79 pp.
22. Hopkins, F. M., Torn, M. S. and Trumbore, S. E. 2012. Warming accelerates decomposition of decades-old carbon in forest soils. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A. 109, E1753-1761.
23. Johnston, M. H., Homann, P. S., Engstrom, J. K. and Grigal, D. F. 1996. Changes in ecosystem carbon storage over 40 years on an old-field forest landscape in east-central Minnesota. Forest Ecol. Manag. 83, 17-26.
24. Kane, E. S. and Vogel, J. G. 2009. Patterns of total ecosystem carbon storage with changes in soil temperature in Boreal Black Spruce forests. Ecosystems. 12, 322-335.
25. Kicklighter, D. W., Bondeau, A., Schloss, A. L., Kaduk, J., McGuire, A. D. and co-authors. 1999. Comparing global models of terrestrial net primary productivity (NPP): global pattern and differentiation by major biomes. Glob. Chang. Biol. 5, 16-24.
26. Knorr, W., Prentice, I. C., House, J. I. and Holland, E. A. 2005. Long-term sensitivity of soil carbon turnover to warming. Nature. 433, 298-301.
27. Koven, C. D., Ringeval, B., Friedlingstein, P., Ciais, P., Cadule, P. and co-authors. 2011. Permafrost carbon-climate feedbacks accelerate global warming. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A. 108, 14769-14774.
28. Krinner, G., Viovy, N., de Noblet-Ducoudré, N., Ogée, J., Polcher, J. and co-authors. 2005. A dynamic global vegetation model for studies of the coupled atmosphere-biosphere system. Glob. Biogeochem. Cycles. 19, GB1015. DOI: 10.1029/2003 GB002199.
29. Krishan, G., Srivastav, S. K., Kumar, S., Saha, S. K. and Dadhwal, V. K. 2009. Quantifying the underestimation of soil organic carbon by the Walkley and Black-examples from Himalayan and Central Indian soils. Curr. Sci. India. 96, 1133-1136.
30. Lales, J. S., Lasco, R. D. and Geronimo, I. Q. 2001. Carbon storage capacity of agricultural and grassland ecosystems in a geothermal block. Philippine Agr. Sci. 84, 8-18.
31. Lawrence, D. M., Oleson, K. W., Flanner, M. G., Thornton, P. E., Swenson, S. C. and co-authors. 2011. Parameterization improvements and functional and structural advances in version 4 of the Community Land Model. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst. 3, 1942-2466.
32. Lawrence, P. J. and Chase, T. N. 2007. Representing a new MODIS consistent land surface in the Community Land Model (CLM 3.0). Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences. 112, G01023. DOI: 10.1029/2006JG000168.
33. Le Quere, C., Raupach, M. R., Canadell, J. G., Marland, G., Bopp, L. and co-authors. 2009. Trends in the sources and sinks of carbon dioxide. Nat. Geosci. 2, 831-836.
34. Luo, Y. 2007. Terrestrial carbon-cycle feedback to climate warming. Ann. Rev. Ecol. Evol. Syst. 38, 683-712.
35. Luo, Y. Q., White, L. W., Canadell, J. G., DeLucia, E. H., Ellsworth, D. S. and co-authors. 2003. Sustainability of terrestrial carbon sequestration: a case study in Duke Forest with inversion approach. Glob. Biogeochem. Cycles. 17(1), 1021. DOI: 10.1029/2002GB001923.
36. 2 differentiates ecosystem carbon processes: deconvolution analysis of Duke Forest FACE data. Ecol. Monogr. 71, 357-376.
37. Mahecha, M. D., Reichstein, M., Carvalhais, N., Lasslop, G., Lange, H. and co-authors. 2010. Global convergence in the temperature sensitivity of respiration at ecosystem level. Science. 329, 838-840.
38. 2 and climate. Global Biogeochem. Cycles. 13, 785-802.
39. Mooney, H., Canadell, J., Chapin, F., III, Ehleringer, J., Körner, C. and co-authors. 1999. Ecosystem Physiology Responses to Global Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 141-189.
40. Parton, W. J., Stewart, J. W. and Cole, C. V. 1988. Dynamics of C, N, P and S in grassland soils: a model. Biogeochemistry. 5, 109-131.
41. Piao, S., Luyssaert, S., Ciais, P., Janssens, I. A., Chen, A. and coauthors. Forest annual carbon cost: a global-scale analysis of autotrophic respiration. Ecology. 91, 652-661.
42. Pinsonneault, A. J., Matthews, H. D. and Kothavala, Z. 2011. Benchmarking climate-carbon model simulations against forest FACE data. Atmos. Ocean. 49, 41-50.
43. Prentice, I. C., Bondeau, A., Cramer, W., Harrison, S. P., Hickler, T. and co-authors. 2007. Dynamic global vegetation modeling: quantifying terrestrial ecosystem responses to large-scale environmental change. In: Terrestrial Ecosystems in a Changing World. (eds. J. G. Canadell, D. E. Pataki and L. Pitelka), Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg, pp. 175-192.
44. Raich, J. W. and Schlesinger, W. H. 1992. The global carbondioxide flux in soil respiration and its relationship to vegetation and climate. Tellus B. 44, 81-99.
45. 2 fertilization of plant growth. Tellus. B. 51, 668-678.
46. Ruimy, A., Dedieu, G. and Saugier, B. 1996. TURC: a diagnostic model of continental gross primary productivity and net primary productivity. Glob. Biogeochem. Cycles. 10, 269-285.
47. Sato, H., Itoh, A. and Kohyama, T. 2007. SEIB-DGVM: a new dynamic global vegetation model using a spatially explicit individual-based approach. Ecol. Model. 200, 279-307.
48. Schmidt, M. W. I., Torn, M. S., Abiven, S., Dittmar, T., Guggenberger, G. and co-authors. 2011. Persistence of soil organic matter as an ecosystem property. Nature. 478, 49-56.
49. Schuur, E. A. G., Vogel, J. G., Crummer, K. G., Lee, H., Sickman, J. O. and co-authors. 2009. The effect of permafrost thaw on old carbon release and net carbon exchange from tundra. Nature. 459, 556-559.
50. Solomon, S., Qin, D., Manning, M., Marquis, M., Averyt, K. and co-authors. 2007. Climate change 2007: the physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
51. 2 increases and future commitments due to losses of terrestrial sink capacity. Tellus B. 60, 583-603.
52. Tang, J. W., Yin, J. X., Qi, J. F., Jepsen, M. R. and Lu, X. T. Ecosystem carbon storage of tropical forests over limestone in Xishuangbanna, SW China. J. Trop. Forest Sci. 24, 399-407.
53. Thompson, M. V. and Randerson, J. T. 1999. Impulse response functions of terrestrial carbon cycle models: method and application. Glob. Chang. Biol. 5, 371-394.
54. Tian, H. Q., Chen, G. S., Zhang, C., Liu, M. L., Sun, G. and coauthors. Century-scale responses of ecosystem carbon storage and flux to multiple environmental changes in the southern united states. Ecosystems. 15, 674-694.
55. Todd-Brown, K. E. O., Randerson, J. T., Post, W. M., Hoffman, F. M., Tarnocai, C. and co-authors. 2013. Causes of variation in soil carbon simulations from CMIP5 Earth system models and comparison with observations. Biogeosciences. 10, 1717-1736.
56. van der Werf, G. R., Randerson, J. T., Giglio, L., Collatz, G., Mu, M. and co-authors. 2010. Global fire emissions and the contribution of deforestation, savanna, forest, agricultural, and peat fires (1997-2009). Atmos. Chem. Phys. 10, 11707-11735.
57. Wang, W., Dungan, J., Hashimoto, H., Michaelis, A. R., Milesi, C. and co-authors. 2011. Diagnosing and assessing uncertainties of terrestrial ecosystem models in a multimodel ensemble experiment: 1. primary production. Glob. Chang. Biol. 17, 1350-1366.
58. Weng, E. S., Luo, Y. Q., Wang, W., Wang, H., Hayes, D. J. and co-authors. 2012. Ecosystem carbon storage capacity as affected by disturbance regimes: A general theoretical model. Journal of Geophysical Research-Biogeosciences. 117, G3, DOI: 10.1029/ 2012JG002040.
59. Watanabe, S., Hajima, T., Sudo, K., Nagashima, T., Takemura, T. and co-authors. 2011. MIROC-ESM 2010: model description and basic results of CMIP5-20c3m experiments. Geosci. Model Dev. 4, 845-872.
60. Xia, J., Luo, Y., Wang, Y. P. and Hararuk, O. 2013. Traceable components of terrestrial carbon storage capacity in biogeochemical models. Glob. Chang. Biol. 19, 2104-2116.
61. Xu, T., White, L., Hui, D. F. and Luo, Y. Q. 2006. Probabilistic inversion of a terrestrial ecosystem model: analysis of uncertainty in parameter estimation and model prediction. Glob. Biogeochem. Cycles. 20, GB2007. DOI: 10.1029/2005GB002468.
62. Zhang, Y., Xu, M., Chen, H. and Adams, J. 2009. Global pattern of NPP to GPP ratio derived from MODIS data: effects of ecosystem type, geographical location and climate. Glob. Ecol. Biogeogr. 18, 280-290.
63. Zhao, M. and Running, S. W. 2010. Drought-induced reduction in global terrestrial net primary production from 2000 through 2009. Science. 329, 940-943.
64. Zhou, T. and Luo, Y. Q. 2008. Spatial patterns of ecosystem carbon residence time and NPP-driven carbon uptake in the conterminous United States. Glob. Biogeochem. Cycles. 22, GB3032. DOI: 10.1029/2007GB002939.
65. Zhou, X., Zhou, T. and Luo, Y. 2012. Uncertainties in carbon residence time and NPP-driven carbon uptake in terrestrial ecosystems of the conterminous USA: a Bayesian approach. Tellus B. 64, 17223.