Estimating the secondary attack rate and serial interval of influenza-like illnesses using social media

Influenza and other Respiratory Viruses

Volumn 9, Issue 4, 2015, Pages 191-199

  Yom Tov, Elad ^a   Johansson Cox, Ingemar ^b,c   Lampos, Vasileios ^b   Hayward, Andrew C ^b  

^a MICROSOFT RESEARCH   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY COLLEGE LONDON   (United Kingdom)

^c UNIVERSITY OF COPENHAGEN   (Denmark)

Author keywords

Influenza like illness; Secondary attack rate; Social media

Indexed keywords

ADULT; ARTICLE; DISEASE COURSE; DISEASE SURVEILLANCE; DISEASE TRANSMISSION; FEMALE; FLU LIKE SYNDROME; HUMAN; INCIDENCE; MALE; PREVALENCE; PRIORITY JOURNAL; SEASONAL VARIATION; SECONDARY ATTACK RATE; SOCIAL MEDIA; SYMPTOM; UNITED KINGDOM; ENGLAND; INFLUENZA, HUMAN; SEASON; SOCIAL SUPPORT;

ENGLAND; HUMANS; INCIDENCE; INFLUENZA, HUMAN; SEASONS; SOCIAL MEDIA; SOCIAL SUPPORT;

EID: 84930790662     PISSN: 17502640     EISSN: 17502659     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/irv.12321     Document Type: Article

References (22)

1. Halloran ME. Secondary Attack Rate; in Peter A, Theodore C (eds): Encyclopedia of Biostatistics. New York: John Wiley & Sons Ltd, 2005.
2. Hayward AC, Fragaszy EB, Bermingham A et al. Comparative community burden and severity of seasonal and pandemic influenza: results of the Flu Watch cohort study. Lancet Respir Med 2014; 2:445-454.
3. McLean E, Pebody RG, Campbell C et al. Pandemic (h1n1) 2009 influenza in the UK: clinical and epidemiological findings from the first few hundred (ff100) cases. Epidemiol Infect 2010; 138:1531-1541.
4. Simonsen L, Taylor RJ, Viboud C, Miller MA, Jackson LA. Mortality benefits of influenza vaccination in elderly people: an ongoing controversy. Lancet Infect Dis 2007; 7:658-666.
5. Carcione D, Giele CM, Goggin LS et al. Secondary attack rate of pandemic influenza a (h1n1) 2009 in Western Australian households. Euro Surveill 2011; 16: pii-19765.
6. Ginsberg J, Mohebbi MH, Patel RS, Brammer L, Smolinski MS, Brilliant L. Detecting influenza epidemics using search engine query data. Nature 2008; 457:1012-1014.
7. Eysenbach G. Infodemiology: tracking flu-related searches on the web for syndromic surveillance. AMIA 2006; 244:248.
8. Lampos V, Cristianini N. Tracking the flu pandemic by monitoring the social web. IEEE CIP 2010:411-416.
9. Butler D. When Google got flu wrong. Nature 2013; 494:155.
10. White RW, Horvitz E. Cyberchondria: studies of the escalation of medical concerns in web search. ACM TOIS 2009; 27:23.
11. Hoerl AE, Kennard RW. Ridge regression: biased estimation for nonorthogonal problems. Technometrics 1970; 12:55-67.
12. Duda R, Hart P, Strok DG. Pattern Classification. New York: John Wiley & Sons, 2001.
13. Carmel D, Farchi E, Petruschka Y, Soffer A. Automatic query refinement using lexical affinities with maximal information gain. ACM SIGIR 2002:290.
14. Chang CC, Lin CJ. LIBSVM: A library for support vector machines. ACM TIST 2011; 2:27:1-27:27.
15. Lampos V, De Bie T, Cristianini N. Flu detector-tracking epidemics on Twitter; in Machine Learning and Knowledge Discovery in Databases, pp. 599-602. Berlin Heidelberg: Springer, 2010.
16. Signorini A, Segre AM, Polgreen PM. The use of Twitter to track levels of disease activity and public concern in the U.S. during the influenza A H1N1 pandemic. PLoS One 2011; 6:e19467.
17. Green HK, Pebody RG. Surveillance of influenza and other respiratory viruses in the United Kingdom: Winter 2013/14. Available at https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/325203/Flu_annual_report_June_2014.pdf, 2014 (Accessed 1 September 2014).
18. Zhao H, Green H, Lackenby A et al. A new laboratory-based surveillance system (Respiratory DataMart System) for influenza and other respiratory viruses in England: results and experience from 2009 to 2012. Euro Surveill 2014; 19:20680.
19. Odaira F, Takahashi H, Toyokawa T et al. Assessment of secondary attack rate and effectiveness of antiviral prophylaxis among household contacts in an influenza a (h1n1) v outbreak in Kobe, Japan, May-June 2009. Euro Surveill 2009; 14:e19320.
20. France AM, Jackson M, Schrag S et al. Household transmission of 2009 influenza a (h1n1) virus after a school-based outbreak in New York city, April-may 2009. J Infect Dis 2010; 201:984-992.
21. Yang Y, Sugimoto JD, Halloran ME et al. The transmissibility and control of pandemic influenza a (h1n1) virus. Science 2009; 326:729-733.
22. Vink MA, Bootsma MCJ, Wallinga J. Serial intervals of respiratory infectious diseases: a systematic review and analysis. Am J Epidemiol 2014; 180:865-875.