On the spatial decorrelation of stochastic solar resource variability at long timescales

Solar Energy

Volumn 117, Issue , 2015, Pages 46-58

  Perez, Marc J R ^a   Fthenakis, Vasilis M ^a,b  

^a Columbia University ^*  (United States)

^b BROOKHAVEN NATIONAL LABORATORY   (United States)

Author keywords

Correlation.; Photovoltaics; Solar energy.; Variability.

Indexed keywords

CORRELATION METHODS; SOLAR ENERGY; STOCHASTIC SYSTEMS;

DECORRELATION DISTANCES; ELECTRICAL INTERCONNECTIONS; METEOROLOGICAL PHENOMENA; NON-LINEAR LEAST SQUARES; PHOTOVOLTAICS; SPATIOTEMPORAL BEHAVIORS; TEMPORAL CHARACTERISTICS; VARIABILITY;

SOLAR POWER GENERATION;

CORRELATION; PHOTOVOLTAIC SYSTEM; RENEWABLE RESOURCE; SOLAR POWER; SPATIOTEMPORAL ANALYSIS; TIMESCALE;

EID: 84929465572     PISSN: 0038092X     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.solener.2015.04.020     Document Type: Article

References (32)

1. DESERTEC, 2009. Clean Power from Deserts: the DESERTEC Concept for Energy, Water and Climate Security. WhiteBook, fourth ed. DESERTEC Foundation.
2. Gueymard C., Wilcox S. Assessment of spatial and temporal variability in the US solar resource from radiometric measurements and predictions from models using ground-based or satellite data. Sol. Energy 2011, 85(5):1068-1084.
3. Hinkelman, L., George, R., Sengupta, M. 2011. Differences between along-wind and cross-wind solar variability. In: Proc. Solar 2011, American Solar Energy Society Conf., Raleigh, NC.
4. Hoff, T.E., 2011. US Patent Application: Computer-Implemented System and Method for Determining Point-to-Point Correlation of Sky Clearness for Photovoltaic Power Generation Fleet Output Estimation (Application Number 13/190,435).
5. Hoff, T.E., Norris, B. 2010. Mobile High-Density Irradiance Sensor Network: Cordelia Junction Personal Communication.
6. Hoff, T., Perez, R. 2010. PV Power Output Variability: Correlation Coefficients. Technical Report to the California Solar Initiative, Grant Agreement for Advanced Modeling and Verification for High Penetration PV.
7. Hoff T., Perez R. Quantifying PV power output variability. Sol. Energy 2010, 84(10):1782-1793.
8. Hoff T.E., Perez R. Chapter 6: solar resource variability. Solar Energy Forecasting and Resource Assessment 2013, 133-148. Elsevier.
9. Kleissl J. A poisson model for anisotropic solar ramp rate correlations. Sol. Energy 2014, 101C:192-202.
10. Lambert W.D. The distance between two widely separated points on the surface of the earth. J. Wash. Acad. Sci. 1942, 32(5):125-130.
11. Lave M., Kleissl J. Cloud speed impact on solar variability scaling - application to the wavelet variability model. Sol. Energy 2013, 91:11-21.
12. Lave M., Kleissl J., Arias-Castro E. High-frequency fluctuations in clear-sky index. Sol. Energy 2011, 86(8):2190-2199.
13. Mandelbrot B. The fractal Geometry of Nature 1982, WH Freeman and Co, New York.
14. Mills, A., Wiser, R. 2010. Implications of Wide-Area Geographic Diversity for Short-Term Variability of Solar Power. LBNL Report No. 3884E.
15. Mills, A., Alstrom, M., Brower, M., Ellis, A., George, R., Hoff, T., Kroposki, B., Lenox, C., Miller, N., Stein, J., Wan, Y. 2009. Understanding variability and uncertainty of photovoltaics for integration with the electric power system. Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory. Technical Report LBNL-2855E.
16. Murata, Yamaguchi H., Otani K. A method of estimating the output fluctuation of many photovoltaic power generation systems dispersed in a wide-area. Electr. Eng. Jpn 2009, 166(4):9-19.
17. NASA, 2013. Surface Meteorology and Solar Energy Data. Langley Research Center Atmospheric Science Data Center. Accessed, Fall, 2012.
18. NIMA, 2004. Department of Defense World Geodetic System 1984: It's Definition and Relationships with Local Geodetic Systems. National Imagery and Mapping Agency (NIMA). Technical Report TR8350.2.
19. Olseth Skartveit J.A. The probability density of autocorrelation of short-term global and beam irradiance. Sol. Energy 1992, 46(9):477-488.
20. Perez, M.J.R., 2014. Geographic Dispersion and Curtailment of VLS-PV Electricity. IEA PVPS Task 8 Report. (Chapter 4 Future Technical Options for the Entire Energy System).
21. Perez, M.J.R., 2014. A Model for Optimizing the Combination of Solar Electricity Generation, Supply Curtailment, Transmission and Storage. (Order No. 3621033, Columbia University). ProQuest Dissertations and Theses, 246 p.
22. Perez, M.J.R., Fthenakis, V.M. 2012. Quantifying the impacts of long-timescale solar resource variability at high PV penetrations. In: Proc. IEEE PVSC 38 Photovoltaic Specialists Conference.
23. Perez, M.J.R., Fthenakis, V.M. 2012. Quantifying long-timescale solar resource variability. In: Proc. WREF World Renewable Energy Forum.
24. Perez, M.J.R., Fthenakis, V.M. 2013. Long-distance interconnection as solar resource intermittency solution: Optimizing the use of energy storage and the geographic dispersion+interconnection of solar generating facilities. In: Proc. IEEE PVSC 29th Photovoltaic Specialists Conference.
25. Perez, M.J.R., Fthenakis, V.M., 2013. Optimizing the mix of energy storage and long-distance interconnection as solutions to solar resource intermittency at high penetrations of PV on the Grid. In: Proc. ASES National Solar Conference.
26. Perez, R., Hoff, T.E. 2011. Solar Resource Variability: Myth and Fact. Solar Today. August/September 2011.
27. Perez, R., Kivalov, S., Hoff, T. 2011. Spatial & temporal characteristics of solar radiation variability. In: Proc. of International Solar Energy World Congress, Kassel, Germany.
28. Perez R., Kivalov S., Schlemmer J., Hemker C., Hoff T.E. Parameterization of site-specific short-term irradiance variability. Sol. Energy 2011, 85:1343-1353.
29. Perez, R., Hoff, T., Kivalov, S. 2011. Spatial and temporal characteristics of solar radiation variability. In: Proc. of International Solar Energy (ISES) World Congress, Kassel, Germany.
30. Perez R., Kivalov S., Schlemmer J., Hemker K., Hoff T. Short-term irradiance variability: preliminary estimation of station pair correlation as a function of distance. Sol. Energy 2012, 86 8:2170-2176.
31. Vignola, F. 2001. Variability of solar radiation over short time intervals. In: Proc. Solar 2001, American Solar Energy Society Conf., Washington, D.C.
32. Woyte A., Belmans R., Nijs J. Fluctuations in instantaneous clearness index: analysis and statistics. Sol. Energy 2007, 81(2):195-206.