The potential impact of time-variation in vital rates on fisheries management targets for marine fishes

Fisheries Research

Volumn 169, Issue , 2015, Pages 8-17

  Thorson, James T ^a   Monnahan, Cole C ^b   Cope, Jason M ^a  

^a NORTHWEST FISHERIES SCIENCE CENTER   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON   (United States)

Author keywords

Fisheries management; Life history strategy, elasticity, vital rates; Life table; Nonstationary; Perturbation analysis; Time varying parameters

Indexed keywords

PISCES;

EID: 84928949735     PISSN: 01657836     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.fishres.2015.04.007     Document Type: Article

References (57)

1. Beverton R.J.H. Patterns of reproductive strategy parameters in some marine teleost fishes. J. Fish Biol. 1992, 41:137-160.
2. Brodziak J., Ianelli J., Lorenzen K., Methot R.D. Estimating Natural Mortality in Stock Assessment Applications (No. NMFS-F/SPO-119) 2011, Alaska Fisheries Science Center, National Marine Fisheries Service, Seattle, WA.
3. Brooks E.N. Effects of variable reproductive potential on reference points for fisheries management. Fish. Res. 2013, 138:152-158. 10.1016/j.fishres.2012.06.003.
4. Carpenter S.R. Ecological futures: building an ecology of the long now. Ecology 2002, 83:2069-2083.
5. Caswell H. Prospective and retrospective perturbation analyses: their roles in conservation biology. Ecology 2000, 81:619-627.
6. Charnov E.L. Life History Invariants: Some Explorations of Symmetry in Evolutionary Ecology 1993, Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK.
7. Charnov E.L., Gislason H., Pope J.G. Evolutionary assembly rules for fish life histories. Fish Fish. 2013, 14:213-224.
8. Clark C.W., Mangel M. Dynamic state Variable Models in Ecology: Methods and Applications 2000, Oxford University Press, New York.
9. Clark W.G., Hare S.R. Effects of climate and stock size on recruitment and growth of Pacific Halibut. N. Am. J. Fish. Manag. 2002, 22:852-862.
10. Conover D.O., Munch S.B. Sustaining fisheries yields over evolutionary time scales. Science 2002, 297:94-96.
11. Cordue P.L. Fishing intensity metrics for use in overfishing determination. ICES J. Mar. Sci. J. Cons. 2012, 69:615-623. 10.1093/icesjms/fss036..
12. Dick E.J., MacCall A.D. Depletion-based stock reduction analysis: a catch-based method for determining sustainable yields for data-poor fish stocks. Fish. Res. 2011, 110:331-341.
13. Dorner B., Peterman R.M., Haeseker S.L. Historical trends in productivity of 120 Pacific pink, chum, and sockeye salmon stocks reconstructed by using a Kalman filter. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 2008, 65:1842-1866.
14. Essington T.E., Kitchell J.F., Walters C.J. The von Bertalanffy growth function, bioenergetics, and the consumption rates of fish. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 2001, 58:2129-2138.
15. Frisk M.G., Miller T.J., Dulvy N.K. Life histories and vulnerability to exploitation of elasmobranchs: inferences from elasticity, perturbation and phylogenetic analyses. J. N. Atl. Fish. Organ. 2005, 35:27-45.
16. Froese R. FishBase: an information system to support fisheries and aquaculture research. ICLARM Fishbyte 1990, 8:21-24.
17. Froese R., Thorson J.T., Reyes R.B. A Bayesian approach for estimating length-weight relationships in fishes. J. Appl. Ichthyol. 2014, 30:78-85. 10.1111/jai.12299..
18. Gerber L.R., Heppell S.S. The use of demographic sensitivity analysis in marine species conservation planning. Biol. Conserv. 2004, 120:121-128.
19. Gislason H., Daan N., Rice J.C., Pope J.G. Size, growth, temperature and the natural mortality of marine fish. Fish Fish. 2010, 11:149-158.
20. Haltuch M.A., Punt A.E. The promises and pitfalls of including decadal-scale climate forcing of recruitment in groundfish stock assessment. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 2011, 68:912-926.
21. Heino M., Baulier L., Boukal D.S., Ernande B., Johnston F.D., Mollet F.M., Pardoe H., Therkildsen N.O., Uusi-Heikkilä S., Vainikka A., Arlinghaus R., Dankel D.J., Jorgensen C., Laugen A.T., Matumura S., Nusslé S., Urbach D., Whitlock R., Rijnsdorp A.D., Dieckmann U. Can fisheries-induced evolution shift reference points for fisheries management?. ICES J. Mar. Sci. J. Cons. 2013, 70:707-721.
22. Heppell S.S., Caswell H., Crowder L.B. Life histories and elasticity patterns: perturbation analysis for species with minimal demographic data. Ecology 2000, 81:654-665. 10.1890/0012-9658(2000)081[0654:LHAEPP]2.0.CO;2..
23. Hilborn R., Minte-Vera C.V. Fisheries-induced changes in growth rates in marine fisheries: are they significant?. Bull. Mar. Sci. 2008, 83:95-105.
24. Hilborn R., Quinn T.P., Schindler D.E., Rogers D.E. Biocomplexity and fisheries sustainability. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A. 2003, 100:6564-6568.
25. Hilborn R., Walters C.J. Quantitative Fisheries Stock Assessment - Choice, Dynamics and Uncertainty 1992, Springer, Norwell, MA. first ed.
26. King J.R., McFarlane G.A. Marine fish life history strategies: applications to fishery management. Fish. Manag. Ecol. 2003, 10:249-264.
27. Kinzey D., Punt A.E. Multispecies and single-species models of fish population dynamics: comparing parameter estimates. Nat. Resour. Model. 2008, 22:67-104. 10.1111/j.1939-7445.2008.00030.x..
28. Mangel M., Brodziak J., DiNardo G. Reproductive ecology and scientific inference of steepness: a fundamental metric of population dynamics and strategic fisheries management. Fish Fish. 2010, 11:89-104.
29. Minto C., Mills Flemming J., Britten G.L., Worm B., Rose K. Productivity dynamics of Atlantic cod. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 2014, 71:203-216. 10.1139/cjfas-2013-0161..
30. Morgan M.J., Colbourne E.B. Variation in maturity-at-age and size in three populations of American plaice. ICES J. Mar. Sci. J. Cons. 1999, 56:673-688. 10.1006/jmsc.1999.0487..
31. Myers R.A., Bowen K.G., Barrowman N.J. Maximum reproductive rate of fish at low population sizes. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 1999, 56:2404-2419.
32. Pinsky M.L., Palumbi S.R. Meta-analysis reveals lower genetic diversity in overfished populations. Mol. Ecol. 2014, 23:29-39. 10.1111/mec.12509..
33. Plagányi E.E., Punt A.E., Hillary R., Morello E.B., Thébaud O., Hutton T., Pillans R.D., Thorson J.T., Fulton E.A., Smith A.D. Multispecies fisheries management and conservation: tactical applications using models of intermediate complexity. Fish Fish. 2014, 15:1-22.
34. Punt A.E. Refocusing stock assessment in support of policy evaluation. Fisheries for Global Welfare and Environment 2008, 139-152. TerraPub, Tokyo. K. Tsukamoto, T. Kawamura, T. Takeuchi, T.D. Beard, M.J. Kaiser (Eds.).
35. Punt A.E., Smith D.C., Smith A.D. Among-stock comparisons for improving stock assessments of data-poor stocks: the "Robin Hood" approach. ICES J. Mar. Sci. J. Cons. 2011, 68:972.
36. Raymond H.L. Effects of hydroelectric development and fisheries enhancement on spring and summer Chinook salmon and steelhead in the Columbia River basin. N. Am. J. Fish. Manag. 1988, 8:1-24.
37. R Core Development Team R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing 2013, R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria.
38. Ricard D., Minto C., Jensen O.P., Baum J.K. Examining the knowledge base and status of commercially exploited marine species with the RAM Legacy Stock Assessment Database. Fish Fish. 2012, 13:380-398. 10.1111/j.1467-2979.2011.00435.x..
39. Ricker W.E. Changes in the average size and average age of Pacific salmon. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 1981, 38:1636-1656.
40. Rochet M.-J. A comparative approach to life-history strategies and tactics among four orders of teleost fish. ICES J. Mar. Sci. J. Cons. 2000, 57:228-239.
41. Rochet M.-J. Maylife history traits be used as indices of population viability?. J. Sea Res. 2000, 44:145-157.
42. Sampson D.B., Scott R.D. An exploration of the shapes and stability of population-selection curves. Fish Fish. 2012, 13:89-104.
43. Smith T.D. Scaling Fisheries: The Science of Measuring the Effects of Fishing, 1855-1955 2007, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK. first ed.
44. Stearns S.C. The evolution of life histories 1992, Oxford University Press, Oxford, New York.
45. Stearns S.C. Life-history tactics: a review of the ideas. Q. Rev. Biol. 1976, 51:3-47.
46. Stewart I.J. Status of the U.S. Canary Rockfish Resource in 2007. Status of the Pacific Coast Groundfish Fishery through 2008, Stock Assessment and Fishery Evaluation: Stock Assessments, STAR Panel Reports, and Rebuilding Analyses 2008, Pacific Fisheries Management Council, Portland, OR.
47. Stewart I.J., Martell S. Assessment of the Pacific halibut stock at the end of 2013. International Pacific Halibut Commission Report of Assessment and Research Activities 2013 2014, 169-196. International Pacific Halibut Commission, Seattle, WA.
48. Stommel H. Varieties of oceanographic experience. Science 1963, 139:572-576.
49. Szuwalski C., Punt A.E. Regime shifts and recruitment dynamics of snow crab, Chionoecetes opilio, in the eastern Bering Sea. Fish. Oceanogr. 2013, 22:345-354.
50. Szuwalski C.S., Vert-Pre K.A., Punt A.E., Branch T.A., Hilborn R. Examining common assumptions about recruitment: a meta-analysis of recruitment dynamics for worldwide marine fisheries. Fish Fish. 2014.
51. Thorson J.T. Auxiliary and focal assessment models: a proof-of-concept involving time-varying catchability and fishery stock status evaluation. ICES J. Mar. Sci. 2011, 68:2264-2276.
52. Thorson J.T. Spatio-temporal variation in fish condition is not consistently explained by density, temperature, or season for Northeast Pacific groundfishes. Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser. 2015, 526:101-112.
53. Thorson J., Taylor I., Stewart I.J., Punt A.E. Using a recruitment-linked multispecies stock assessment model to estimate common trends in recruitment for U.S. West Coast groundfishes. Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser. 2013, 483:245-256.
54. Thorson J.T., Taylor I.G., Stewart I., Punt A.E. Rigorous meta-analysis of life history correlations by simultaneously analyzing multiple population dynamics models. Ecol. Appl. 2014, 24:315-326.
55. Wang H.-Y., Höök T.O., Ebener M.P., Mohr L.C., Schneeberger P.J. Spatial and temporal variation of maturation schedules of lake whitefish (Coregonus clupeaformis) in the Great Lakes. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 2008, 65:2157-2169.
56. Williams E.H., Shertzer K.W. Implications of life-history invariants for biological reference points used in fishery management. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 2003, 60:710-720.
57. Winemiller K.O., Rose K.A. Patterns of life-history diversification in North American fishes: implications for population regulation. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 1992, 49:2196-2218.