Hydrological drought severity explained by climate and catchment characteristics

Journal of Hydrology

Volumn 526, Issue , 2015, Pages 3-14

  Van Loon, A F ^a   Laaha, G ^b  

^a WAGENINGEN UNIVERSITY   (Netherlands)

^b UNIVERSITY OF NATURAL RESOURCES AND LIFE SCIENCES   (Austria)

Author keywords

Catchment characteristics; Climate; Drought deficit; Drought duration; Hydrological drought severity; Storage

Indexed keywords

AQUIFERS; CATCHMENTS; DIGITAL STORAGE; ENERGY STORAGE; HYDROGEOLOGY; LAND USE; RUNOFF; SNOW; STATISTICAL MECHANICS; STREAM FLOW; TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER;

BIVARIATE CORRELATIONS; CATCHMENT CHARACTERISTICS; CLIMATE; DROUGHT DURATION; HYDROLOGICAL DROUGHTS; HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DATA; MEAN ANNUAL PRECIPITATION; METEOROLOGICAL FORCING;

DROUGHT;

CATCHMENT; CLIMATE EFFECT; CLIMATE FORCING; DATA SET; DROUGHT; HYDROMETEOROLOGY; SNOWPACK; SPATIAL VARIATION; STREAMFLOW; WATER STORAGE;

AUSTRIA;

EID: 84928573999     PISSN: 00221694     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.10.059     Document Type: Article

References (65)

1. Akaike H. A new look at the statistical model identification. IEEE Trans. Automatic Control 1974, 19(6):716-723. 10.1109/TAC.1974.1100705.
2. Beyene B.S., Van Loon A.F., Van Lanen H.A.J., Torfs P.J.J.F. Investigation of variable threshold level approaches for hydrological drought identification. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss. 2014, 11:12765-12797. 10.5194/hessd-11-12765-2014.
3. Bloomfield J.P., Marchant B.P. Analysis of groundwater drought building on the standardised precipitation index approach. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 2013, 17(12):4769-4787. 10.5194/hess-17-4769-2013.
4. Bloomfield J.P., Allen D.J., Griffiths K.J. Examining geological controls on baseflow index (bfi) using regression analysis: an illustration from the thames basin, UK. J. Hydrol. 2009, 373(1-2):164-176. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.04.025.
5. Bond N., Lake P., Arthington A. The impacts of drought on freshwater ecosystems: an Australian perspective. Hydrobiologia 2008, 600(1):3-16. 10.1007/s10750-008-9326-z.
6. Carroll N., Frijters P., Shields M.A. Quantifying the costs of drought: new evidence from life satisfaction data. J. Population Econ. 2009, 22(2):445-461. 10.1007/s00148-007-0174-3.
7. Choat B., Jansen S., Brodribb T.J., Cochard H., Delzon S., Bhaskar R., Bucci S.J., Feild T.S., Gleason S.M., Hacke U.G., Jacobsen A.L., Lens F., Maherali H., Martinez-Vilalta J., Mayr S., Mencuccini M., Mitchell P.J., Nardini A., Pittermann J., Pratt R.B., Sperry J.S., Westoby M., Wright I.J., Zanne A.E. Global convergence in the vulnerability of forests to drought. Nature 2012, 491(7426):752-755. 10.1038/nature11688.
8. Clausen B., Pearson C. Regional frequency analysis of annual maximum streamflow drought. J. Hydrol. 1995, 173(1-4):111-130. doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0022-1694(95)02713-Y.
9. Dracup J.A., Kil Seong L., Paulson Jr E.G. On the statistical characteristics of drought events. Water Resour. Res. 1980, 16(2):289-296.
10. Fendeková M., Fendek M. Groundwater drought in the Nitra River Basin - identification and classification. J. Hydrol. Hydromech. 2012, 60:185.
11. Fleig A.K., Tallaksen L.M., Hisdal H., Demuth S. A global evaluation of streamflow drought characteristics. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 2006, 10(4):535-552. 10.5194/hess-10-535-2006.
12. Fox J. Effect displays in r for generalised linear models. J. Stat. Softw. 2003, 8(15):1-27.
13. Gaál L., Szolgay J., Kohnová S., Parajka J., Merz R., Viglione A., Blöschl G. Flood timescales: understanding the interplay of climate and catchment processes through comparative hydrology. Water Resour. Res. 2012, 48(4). 10.1029/2011WR011509.
14. Garcia-Herrera R., Daz J., Trigo R.M., Luterbacher J., Fischer E.M. A review of the european summer heat wave of 2003. Crit. Rev. Environ. Sci. Technol. 2010, 40(4):267-306.
15. Hannaford J., Lloyd-Hughes B., Keef C., Parry S., Prudhomme C. Examining the large-scale spatial coherence of European drought using regional indicators of precipitation and streamflow deficit. Hydrol. Process. 2011, 25(7):1146-1162. 10.1002/hyp.7725.
16. Haslinger K., Koffler D., Schöner W., Laaha G. Exploring the link between meteorological drought and streamflow: effects of climate-catchment interaction. Water Resour. Res. 2014, 50(3):2468-2487. 10.1002/2013WR015051.
17. Hayes M., Svoboda M., Wall N., Widhalm M. The lincoln declaration on drought indices: universal meteorological drought index recommended. Bull. Am. Meteor. Soc. 2010, 92(4):485-488. 10.1175/2010BAMS3103.1.
18. Hirabayashi Y., Kanaae S., Emori S., Oki T., Kimoto M. Global projections of changing risks of floods and droughts in a changing climate. Hydrol. Sci. J. 2008, 53(4):754-772. 10.1623/hysj.53.4.754.
19. Hisdal H., Tallaksen L.M., Clausen B., Peters E., Gustard A. Hydrological Drought Characteristics 2004, Elsevier Science B.V., Amsterdam, the Netherlands, Developments in Water Science, 48, 2004, Chapter 5, pp. 139-198.
20. Hsiang, S.M., Burke, M., Miguel, E. Quantifying the influence of climate on human conflict, Science 341 (6151)doi:10.1126/science.1235367.
21. Joetzjer E., Douville H., Delire C., Ciais P., Decharme B., Tyteca S. Hydrologic benchmarking of meteorological drought indices at interannual to climate change timescales: a case study over the amazon and mississippi river basins. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 2013, 17(12):4885-4895. 10.5194/hess-17-4885-2013.
22. Jonsdottir H., Eliasson J., Madsen H. Assessment of serious water shortage in the icelandic water resource system. Phys. Chemis. Earth, Parts A/B/C 2005, 30(6-7):420-425. integrated Water Resource Assessment. 10.1016/j.pce.2005.06.007.
23. Kim T., Valdés J., Yoo C. Nonparametric approach for estimating return periods of droughts in arid regions. J. Hydrol. Eng. 2003, 8(5):237-246. 10.1061/(ASCE)1084-0699(2003)8:5(237).
24. Kjeldsen T.R., Lundorf A., Rosbjerg D. Use of a two-component exponential distribution in partial duration modelling of hydrological droughts in zimbabwean rivers. Hydrol. Sci. J. - J. Sci. Hydrol. 2000, 45(2):285-298.
25. Koffler, D., Laaha, G. Lfstat-low-flow analysis in r. EGU General Assembly Conference Abstracts 15, 2013.
26. Laaha G., Blöschl G. Seasonality indices for regionalizing low flows. Hydrol. Process. 2006, 20(18):3851-3878.
27. Lake P.S. Drought and Aquatic Ecosystems: Effects and Responses 2011, John Wiley & Sons.
28. Lewis S.L., Brando P.M., Phillips O.L., van der Heijden G.M.F., Nepstad D. The 2010 Amazon drought. Science 2011, 331(6017):554. 10.1126/science.1200807.
29. McKee, T., Doesken, N., Kleist, J., 1993. The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scales. In: Eight Conference on Applied Climatology, 17-22 January 1993, Anaheim, California, Amer. Meteor. Soc., pp. 179-184. (last accessed 16.07.12). http://ccc.atmos.colostate.edu/relationshipofdroughtfrequency.pdf.
30. Mishra A.K., Singh V.P. A review of drought concepts. J. Hydrol. 2010, 391(1-2):202-216. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2010.07.012.
31. Mishra A., Singh V., Desai V. Drought characterization: a probabilistic approach. Stochastic Environ. Res. Risk Assessm. 2009, 23(1):41-55.
32. Nyabeze W.R. Estimating and interpreting hydrological drought indices using a selected catchment in Zimbabwe. Phys. Chem. Earth 2004, 29(15-18):1173-1180.
33. Parry S., Hannaford J., Lloyd-Hughes B., Prudhomme C. Multi-year droughts in Europe: analysis of development and causes. Hydrol. Res. 2012, 43(5):689-706. 10.2166/nh.2012.024.
34. Peters E., Torfs P.J.J.F., van Lanen H.A.J., Bier G. Propagation of drought through groundwater - a new approach using linear reservoir theory. Hydrol. Process. 2003, 17(15):3023-3040. 10.1002/hyp.1274.
35. Peters E., van Lanen H.A.J., Torfs P.J.J.F., Bier G. Drought in groundwater - drought distribution and performance indicators. J. Hydrol. 2005, 306(1-4):302-317.
36. Peters E., Bier G., van Lanen H.A.J., Torfs P.J.J.F. Propagation and spatial distribution of drought in a groundwater catchment. J. Hydrol. 2006, 321(1/4):257-275. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2005.08.004.
37. Prudhomme C., Parry S., Hannaford J., Clark D.B., Hagemann S., Voss F. How well do large-scale models reproduce regional hydrological extremes in Europe?. J. Hydrometeorol. 2011, 12(0):1181-1204. 10.1175/2011JHM1387.1.
38. Rossi G., Caporali E., Garrote L. Definition of risk indicators for reservoirs management optimization. Water Resour. Manage. 2012, 26(4):981-996. 10.1007/s11269-011-9842-x.
39. Salinas J.L., Laaha G., Rogger M., Parajka J., Viglione A., Sivapalan M., Blöschl G. Comparative assessment of predictions in ungauged basins - part 2: flood and low flow studies. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 2013, 17(7):2637-2652. 10.5194/hess-17-2637-2013.
40. Sheffield J., Wood E. Drought; Past Problems and Future Scenarios 2011, Earthscan, London, Washington DC.
41. Shiau J., Shen H. Recurrence analysis of hydrologic droughts of differing severity. J. Water Resour. Plann. Manage. 2001, 127(1):30-40. 10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9496(2001)127:1(30).
42. Stahl, K., 2001. Hydrological Drought - a Study across Europe. Ph.D. thesis, Albert-Ludwigs-Universität, Freiburg, Germany.
43. Tallaksen, L.M., Hisdal, H., 1997. Regional analysis of extreme streamflow drought duration and deficit volume, FRIEND '97 - regional hydrology: concepts and models for sustainable water resource management. In: Proc. International Conference, Postojna, vol. 246, pp. 141-150.
44. Tallaksen, L.M., Van Lanen, H.A.J. (Eds.), 2004. Hydrological drought: processes and estimation methods for streamflow and groundwater. In: Developments in Water Science; 48, The Netherlands, Elsevier Science B.V., Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
45. Tetzlaff D., McDonnell J.J., Uhlenbrook S., McGuire K.J., Bogaart P.W., Naef F., Baird A.J., Dunn S.M., Soulsby C. Conceptualizing catchment processes: simply too complex?. Hydrol. Process. 2008, 22(11):1727-1730. 10.1002/hyp.7069.
46. Tsakiris G., Nalbantis I., Vangelis H., Verbeiren B., Huysmans M., Tychon B., Jacquemin I., Canters F., Vanderhaegen S., Engelen G., Poelmans L., Becker P., Batelaan O. A system-based paradigm of drought analysis for operational management. Water Resour. Manage. 2013, 27(15):5281-5297. 10.1175/JHM-D-12-0186.1.
47. Van Huijgevoort, M., 2014. Hydrological drought: characterisation and representation in large-scale models. Ph.D. thesis, Wageningen University, the Netherlands.
48. Van Huijgevoort M.H.J., Hazenberg P., van Lanen H.A.J., Teuling A.J., Clark D.B., Folwell S., Gosling S.N., Hanasaki N., Heinke J., Koirala S., Stacke T., Voss F., Sheffield J., Uijlenhoet R. Global multimodel analysis of drought in runoff for the second half of the twentieth century. J. Hydrometeor 2013, 14:1535-1552. 10.1175/JHM-D-12-0186.1.
49. Van Lanen H.A.J. Drought propagation through the hydrological cycle. Climate Variability and Change Hydrological Inpacts 2006, vol. 308:122-127. IAHS-AISH Publication, IAHS Press, Wallingford, UK.
50. Van Lanen H.A.J., Wanders N., Tallaksen L.M., Van Loon A.F. Hydrological drought across the world: impact of climate and physical catchment structure. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 2013, 17:1715-1732. 10.5194/hess-17-1715-2013.
51. Van Loon, A.F., 2013. On the propagation of drought. How climate and catchment characteristics influence hydrological drought development and recovery. Ph.D. thesis, Wageningen University. (last accessed 28.05.13). http://edepot.wur.nl/249786.
52. Van Loon A.F., Van Lanen H.A.J. A process-based typology of hydrological drought. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 2012, 16(7):1915-1946. 10.5194/hess-16-1915-2012.
53. Van Loon A.F., Tijdeman E., Wanders N., Van Lanen H., Teuling A., Uijlenhoet R. How climate seasonality modifies drought duration and deficit. J. Geophys. Res.: Atmos. 2014, 119(8):4640-4656. 10.1002/2013JD020383.
54. Van Loon A.F., Ploum S.W., Parajka J., Fleig A.K., Garnier E., Laaha G., Van Lanen H.A.J. Hydrological drought typology: cold climate drought types and associated societal impacts. Hydr. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss. 2014, 11:10465-10514. 10.5194/hessd-11-10465-2014.
55. Van Vliet M.T.H., Yearsley J.R., Ludwig F., Vogele S., Lettenmaier D.P., Kabat P. Vulnerability of US and European electricity supply to climate change. Nature Clim. Change 2012, 2(9):676-681. 10.1038/nclimate1546.
56. Vicente-Serrano S.M., Beguería S., López-Moreno J.I. A multiscalar drought index sensitive to global warming: the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index. J. Climate 2009, 23(7):1696-1718. 10.1175/2009JCLI2909.1.
57. Vidal J.-P., Martin E., Franchistéguy L., Habets F., Soubeyroux J.-M., Blanchard M., Baillon M. Multilevel and multiscale drought reanalysis over France with the Safran-Isba-Modcou hydrometeorological suite. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 2010, 14(3):459-478. 10.5194/hess-14-459-2010.
58. Weingartner, R., Blöschl, G., Hannah, D., Marks, D., Parajka, J., Pearson, C., Rogger, M., Salinas, J.L., Sauquet, E., Srikanthan, R., Thompson, S., Viglione, A., 2013. Prediction of Seasonal Runoff in Ungauged Basins, Cambridge, pp. 102-134 (Chapter 6).
59. Drought: A Global Assessment 2000, vols. I &II. Routledge Hazards and Disasters Series, Routledge, London.
60. Wilhite D.A., Glantz M.H. Understanding the drought phenomenon: the role of definitions. Water Int. 1985, 10(3):111-120.
61. WMO, 2008. Manual on low flow estimation and prediction. Operational Hydrology Report No.50 WMO-No. 1029. p. 136.
62. Wong G., Van Lanen H.A.J., Torfs P.J.J.F. Probabilistic analysis of hydrological drought characteristics using meteorological drought. Hydrol. Sci. J. 2013, 58(2):253-270.
63. Woo M.-K., Tariiule A. Streamflow droughts of northern Nigerian rivers. Hydrol. Sci. J. 1994, 39(1):19-34.
64. Zaidman M.D., Rees H.G., Young A.R. Spatio-temporal development of streamflow droughts in northwest Europe. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 2002, 6(4):733-751.
65. Zelenhasić E., Salvai A. A method of streamflow drought analysis. Water Resour. Res. 1987, 23(1):156-168. 10.1029/WR023i001p00156.