An integrated approach for partitioning the effect of climate change and human activities on surface runoff

Water Resources Management

Volumn 28, Issue 11, 2014, Pages 3843-3858

  Zhan, Chesheng ^a   Zeng, Sidong ^b   Jiang, Shanshan ^c   Wang, Huixiao ^c   Ye, Wen ^c  

^a INSTITUTE OF GEOGRAPHIC SCIENCES AND NATURAL RESOURCES RESEARCH   (China)

^b Yangtze RiverWater Resources Committee   (China)

^c BEIJING NORMAL UNIVERSITY   (China)

Author keywords

Climate change; Elasticity coefficients; Human activities; Hydrological model; Runoff

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE MODELS; ELASTICITY; INTEGRATED CONTROL; RAIN; RUNOFF; STREAM FLOW; WATERSHEDS; HYDROLOGY; INFORMATION MANAGEMENT; WATER RESOURCES;

ELASTICITY COEFFICIENTS; HUMAN ACTIVITIES; HYDROLOGICAL MODELING; HYDROLOGICAL MODELLING; NON-PARAMETRIC MODEL; POTENTIAL EVAPOTRANSPIRATION; RAINFALL-RUNOFF MODELING; SCIENTIFIC FOUNDATIONS; WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE EFFECT; ELASTICITY; EVAPOTRANSPIRATION; HUMAN ACTIVITY; HYDROLOGICAL MODELING; INTEGRATED APPROACH; NATURE-SOCIETY RELATIONS; RAINFALL; RUNOFF; WATER RESOURCE;

CHINA; GUANZHONG PLAIN; SHAANXI;

EID: 84927804732     PISSN: 09204741     EISSN: 15731650     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s11269-014-0713-0     Document Type: Article

References (31)

1. Bao ZX, Zhang JY, Wang GQ, Fu GB, He RM, Yan XL, Jin JL, Liu YL, Zhang AJ (2012) Attribution for decreasing runoff of the Haihe River baisn, northern China: Climate variability or human activities? J Hydrol 460 461:117-129
2. Barnett TP, Pierce DW, Hidalgo HG, Bonfils C, Santer BD, Das T, Dettinger MD (2008) Human-induced changes in the hydrology of the western United States. Science 319(5866):1080-1083
3. Budyko MI (1948) Evaporation under natural conditions, Gidrometeorizdat, Leningrad. English translation by IPST, Jerusalem
4. Budyko MI (1974) Climate and life. Academic, Orlando, p 508
5. Chiew FHS, Peel MC, Western AW (2002) Application and testing of the simple rainfall-runoff model SIMHYD. In:Mathematical Models of Watershed Hydrology. Littleton: Water Resources Publication
6. Fu, BP (1981) On the calculation of the evaporation from land surface, Atmospheric Sciences, 5: 23-31(in Chinese)
7. Gao P, Geissen V, Ritsema C, Mu XM, Wang F (2013) Impact of climate change and anthropogenic activities on streamflow and sediment discharge in theWei River basin, China. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 17:961-972
8. Hao XM, Chen YN, Xu CC, Li WH (2008) Impacts of climate change and human activities on the surface runoff in the Tarim River Basin over the last fifty years. Water Resour Manag 22(9):1159-1171
9. Hargreaves GH, Samani ZA (1982) Estimating potential evapotranspiration. J Irrig Drain Div 108(3):225-230
10. Kendall MG (1975) Rank correlation methods. Charles Griffin, London
11. Labat D, Godderis Y, Probst JL, Guyot JL (2004) Evidence for global runoff increase related to climate warming. Adv Water Resour 27:631-642
12. Li LJ, Zhang L, Wang H, Wang J, Yang JW, Jiang DJ, Li JY, Qin DY (2007) Assessing the impact of climate variability and human activities on streamflow from the Wuding River basin in China. Hydrol Process 21: 3485-3491
13. Li H, Zhang Y, Vaze J, Wang B (2012) Separating effects of vegetation change and climate variability using hydrological modelling and sensitivity-based approaches. J Hydrol 420:403-418
14. Lorup JK, Refsgaard JC, Mazvimavi D (1998) Assessing the effect of land use change on catchment runoff by combined use of statistical tests and hydrological modelling: Case studies from Zimbabwe. J Hydrol 205(34):147-163
15. Mann HB (1945) Non-parametric test against trend. Econo Metic 13(3):245-259
16. Mu XM, Zhang L, McVicar TR (2007) Analysis of the impact of conservation measures on stream flow regime in catchments of the LoessPlateau, China. Hydrol Process 21(16):2124-2134
17. Nash LL, Gleick PH (1991) Sensitivity of streamflow in the Colorado basin to climatic changes. J Hydrol 125: 221-241
18. Peng S, Liu W, Wang W, Shao Q, Jiao X, Yu Z, Xing W, Xu J, Zhang Z, Luo Y (2013) Estimating the effects of climatic variability and human activities on streamflow in the Hutuo River Basin, China. J Hydrol Eng 18(4):422-430
19. Poter JW, McMahon TA (1971) A model for the simulation of streamflow data from climatic records. J Hydrol 13:297-324
20. Revelle RR, Waggoner PE (1983) Effects of a carbon dioxide-induced climatic change on water supplies in the western United States. In: Changing Climate (ed) Carbon dioxide assess. Comm., Natl. Acad, Washington, pp 419-432
21. Risbey JS, Entekhabi D (1996) Observed Sacramento basin stream-flow response to precipitation and temperature changes and its relevance to climate impact studies. J Hydrol 184(209):1996. doi:10.1016/0022-1694(95)02984-2
22. Sankarasubramanian A, Vogel RM, Limbrunner JF (2001) Climate elasticity of streamflow in the United States. Water Resour Res 37:1771-1781
23. Schaake JC (1990) From climate to flow. Climate Change and US Water Resources 177-206
24. Vimal M, Keith A, Cherkauer DN, Lei M, Vimal M, Keith A, Cherkauer DN, Ming L, Bryan CP, Deepak KR, Laura CB, Guo XY (2010) A regional scale assessment of land use/land cover and climatic changes on water and energy cycle in the upper Midwest United States. Int J Climatol 30:2025-2044
25. Vogel RM, Wilson I, Daly C (1999) Regional regression models of annual streamflow for the United States. J Irrig Drain Eng 125:148-157. doi:10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9437(1999)125:3(148)
26. Wang GQ, Wang JP, Jing XA, Li HB (2006) Application of SIMHYD model in Qingjianhe River Basin. Yellow River (3):29-30. (in Chinese)
27. Wong H, Hu BQ, Ip WC, Xia J (2006) Change-point analysis of hydrological time series using grey relational method. J Hydrol 324(1):323-338
28. Xu CY (2000) Modeling the effects of climate change on water resources in Central Sweden. Water Resour Manag 14(3):177-189
29. Yue S, and Wang CY (2002) Applicability of prewhitening to eliminate the influence of serial correlation on the Mann-Kendall test, Water Resour Res. 38(6), doi:10.1029/2001WR000861
30. Zhang AJ, Zhang C, Fu GB, Wang BD, Bao ZX, Zheng HX (2012) Assessments of impacts of climate change and human activities on runoff with SWAT for the Huifa River Basin, Northeast China.Water ResourManag 26(8):2199-2217
31. Zuo DP, Xu ZX, Wu W, Zhao J, Zhao FF (2014). Identification of streamflow response to climate change and human activities in the Wei River Basin, China. Water Resources Management, 1-19