메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 543, Issue , 2016, Pages 1039-1053

Modelling climate change impacts on tourism demand: A comparative study from Sardinia (Italy) and Cap Bon (Tunisia)

Author keywords

Cap Bon; Climate change impacts; Regression analysis; Sardinia; Tourism; Weather Value at Risk

Indexed keywords

REGRESSION ANALYSIS; RISK ASSESSMENT; VALUE ENGINEERING;

EID: 84927653878     PISSN: 00489697     EISSN: 18791026     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2015.03.099     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (52)

References (50)
  • 1
    • 33746398832 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Impacts of short-term climate variability in the UK on demand for domestic and international tourism
    • Agnew M.D., Palutikof J.P. Impacts of short-term climate variability in the UK on demand for domestic and international tourism. Clim. Res. 2006, 31:109-120. 10.3354/cr031109.
    • (2006) Clim. Res. , vol.31 , pp. 109-120
    • Agnew, M.D.1    Palutikof, J.P.2
  • 2
    • 84859267211 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Costing the impact of climate change on tourism in Europe: results of the PESETA project
    • Amelung B., Moreno A. Costing the impact of climate change on tourism in Europe: results of the PESETA project. Clim. Chang. 2012, 112:83-100. 10.1007/s10584-011-0341-0.
    • (2012) Clim. Chang. , vol.112 , pp. 83-100
    • Amelung, B.1    Moreno, A.2
  • 3
    • 33746871118 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mediterranean tourism: exploring the future with the tourism climatic index
    • Amelung B., Viner D. Mediterranean tourism: exploring the future with the tourism climatic index. J. Sustain. Tour. 2006, 14:349-366. 10.2167/jost549.0.
    • (2006) J. Sustain. Tour. , vol.14 , pp. 349-366
    • Amelung, B.1    Viner, D.2
  • 4
    • 84947353200 scopus 로고
    • A test of goodness of fit
    • Anderson T.W., Darling D.A. A test of goodness of fit. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 1954, 49:765-769. 10.1080/01621459.1954.10501232.
    • (1954) J. Am. Stat. Assoc. , vol.49 , pp. 765-769
    • Anderson, T.W.1    Darling, D.A.2
  • 5
    • 84873974530 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Measuring the effect of weather on tourism: a destination- and activity-based analysis
    • Becken S. Measuring the effect of weather on tourism: a destination- and activity-based analysis. J. Travel Res. 2013, 52:156-167. 10.1177/0047287512461569.
    • (2013) J. Travel Res. , vol.52 , pp. 156-167
    • Becken, S.1
  • 6
    • 34047268858 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The effect of climate change and extreme weather events on tourism
    • Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei
    • Bigano A., Goria A., Hamilton J., Tol R.S.J. The effect of climate change and extreme weather events on tourism. Working Paper No. 2005.30 2005, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    • (2005) Working Paper No. 2005.30
    • Bigano, A.1    Goria, A.2    Hamilton, J.3    Tol, R.S.J.4
  • 7
    • 84962111882 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change and tourism in Tuscany, Italy: what if heat becomes unbearable?
    • Social Science Research Network, Rochester, NY
    • Cai M., Ferrise R., Moriondo M., Nunes P.A.L.D., Bindi M. Climate change and tourism in Tuscany, Italy: what if heat becomes unbearable?. SSRN Scholarly Paper No. ID 1942347 2011, Social Science Research Network, Rochester, NY.
    • (2011) SSRN Scholarly Paper No. ID 1942347
    • Cai, M.1    Ferrise, R.2    Moriondo, M.3    Nunes, P.A.L.D.4    Bindi, M.5
  • 8
    • 84962044225 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing weather risk in sun and sand destinations
    • Canales P., Pardo Á. Assessing weather risk in sun and sand destinations. Environ. Econ. 2011, 2:50-61.
    • (2011) Environ. Econ. , vol.2 , pp. 50-61
    • Canales, P.1    Pardo, Á.2
  • 9
    • 84953063700 scopus 로고
    • Are seasonal patterns constant over time? A test for seasonal stability
    • Canova F., Hansen B.E. Are seasonal patterns constant over time? A test for seasonal stability. J. Bus. Econ. Stat. 1995, 13:237. 10.2307/1392184.
    • (1995) J. Bus. Econ. Stat. , vol.13 , pp. 237
    • Canova, F.1    Hansen, B.E.2
  • 10
    • 84962054580 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Air passengers and tourism flows: evidence from Sicily and Sardinia
    • The Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis
    • Castellani M., Mussoni M., Pattitoni P. Air passengers and tourism flows: evidence from Sicily and Sardinia. Working Paper Series 2010, The Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    • (2010) Working Paper Series
    • Castellani, M.1    Mussoni, M.2    Pattitoni, P.3
  • 11
    • 84962119806 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Environmental conflicts and sustainable water policies in the Mediterranean region: the case of Sardinia
    • Corsale A. Environmental conflicts and sustainable water policies in the Mediterranean region: the case of Sardinia. Coll. Geogr. 2011, 9:121-130.
    • (2011) Coll. Geogr. , vol.9 , pp. 121-130
    • Corsale, A.1
  • 14
    • 84962075348 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • URL, (accessed March 2012)
    • ECA&D Indices dictionary [WWW document] URL, (accessed March 2012). http://eca.knmi.nl/indicesextremes/indicesdictionary.php.
    • Indices dictionary [WWW document]
  • 17
    • 82755161761 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Consumer behaviour and demand response of tourists to climate change
    • Gössling S., Scott D., Hall C.M., Ceron J.-P., Dubois G. Consumer behaviour and demand response of tourists to climate change. Ann. Tour. Res. 2012, 39:36-58. 10.1016/j.annals.2011.11.002.
    • (2012) Ann. Tour. Res. , vol.39 , pp. 36-58
    • Gössling, S.1    Scott, D.2    Hall, C.M.3    Ceron, J.-P.4    Dubois, G.5
  • 18
    • 79958745032 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Do climatic or institutional factors drive seasonal patterns of tourism visitation to protected areas across diverse climate zones in Eastern Australia?
    • Hadwen W.L., Arthington A.H., Boon P.I., Taylor B., Fellows C.S. Do climatic or institutional factors drive seasonal patterns of tourism visitation to protected areas across diverse climate zones in Eastern Australia?. Tour. Geogr. 2011, 13:187-208. 10.1080/14616688.2011.569568.
    • (2011) Tour. Geogr. , vol.13 , pp. 187-208
    • Hadwen, W.L.1    Arthington, A.H.2    Boon, P.I.3    Taylor, B.4    Fellows, C.S.5
  • 19
    • 58149250231 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A European daily high-resolution gridded data set of surface temperature and precipitation for 1950-2006
    • Haylock M.R., Hofstra N., Klein Tank A.M.G., Klok E.J., Jones P.D., New M. A European daily high-resolution gridded data set of surface temperature and precipitation for 1950-2006. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos. 2008, 113:D20119. 10.1029/2008JD010201.
    • (2008) J. Geophys. Res. Atmos. , vol.113 , pp. D20119
    • Haylock, M.R.1    Hofstra, N.2    Klein Tank, A.M.G.3    Klok, E.J.4    Jones, P.D.5    New, M.6
  • 20
    • 84962057115 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The impact of climate change on tourism in Spain
    • Hein L. The impact of climate change on tourism in Spain. CICERO Work. Pap. 2007 2007.
    • (2007) CICERO Work. Pap. 2007
    • Hein, L.1
  • 24
    • 0001869771 scopus 로고
    • Sulla determinazione empirica di una legge di distribuzione
    • Kolmogorov A.N. Sulla determinazione empirica di una legge di distribuzione. G. Ist. Ital. Attuari 1933, 4:83-91.
    • (1933) G. Ist. Ital. Attuari , vol.4 , pp. 83-91
    • Kolmogorov, A.N.1
  • 26
    • 34247480179 scopus 로고
    • Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root: How sure are we that economic time series have a unit root?
    • Kwiatkowski D., Phillips P.C.B., Schmidt P., Shin Y. Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root: How sure are we that economic time series have a unit root?. J. Econ. 1992, 54:159-178. 10.1016/0304-4076(92)90104-Y.
    • (1992) J. Econ. , vol.54 , pp. 159-178
    • Kwiatkowski, D.1    Phillips, P.C.B.2    Schmidt, P.3    Shin, Y.4
  • 27
    • 0002814084 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Weather and holiday destination preferences image, attitude and experience
    • Lohmann M., Kaim E. Weather and holiday destination preferences image, attitude and experience. Tour. Rev. 1999, 54:54-64. 10.1108/eb058303.
    • (1999) Tour. Rev. , vol.54 , pp. 54-64
    • Lohmann, M.1    Kaim, E.2
  • 30
    • 0022219973 scopus 로고
    • The tourism climatic index: a method of evaluating world climates for tourism
    • Mieczkowski Z. The tourism climatic index: a method of evaluating world climates for tourism. Can. Geogr. 1985, 29:220-233. 10.1111/j.1541-0064.1985.tb00365.x.
    • (1985) Can. Geogr. , vol.29 , pp. 220-233
    • Mieczkowski, Z.1
  • 32
    • 70349667000 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change and tourist comfort on Europe's beaches in summer: a reassessment
    • Moreno A., Amelung B. Climate change and tourist comfort on Europe's beaches in summer: a reassessment. Coast. Manag. 2009, 37:550-568. 10.1080/08920750903054997.
    • (2009) Coast. Manag. , vol.37 , pp. 550-568
    • Moreno, A.1    Amelung, B.2
  • 34
    • 84990012354 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Paris
    • OECD OECD. Stat 2012, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Paris.
    • (2012) OECD. Stat
  • 36
    • 78149499655 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Future climate resources for tourism in Europe based on the daily Tourism Climatic Index
    • Perch-Nielsen S.L., Amelung B., Knutti R. Future climate resources for tourism in Europe based on the daily Tourism Climatic Index. Clim. Chang. 2010, 103:363-381. 10.1007/s10584-009-9772-2.
    • (2010) Clim. Chang. , vol.103 , pp. 363-381
    • Perch-Nielsen, S.L.1    Amelung, B.2    Knutti, R.3
  • 37
    • 84928397648 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • "Weather value at risk": a uniform approach to describe and compare sectoral income risks from climate change
    • Prettenthaler F., Köberl J., Bird D.N. "Weather value at risk": a uniform approach to describe and compare sectoral income risks from climate change. Sci. Total Environ. 2015, 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2015.04.035.
    • (2015) Sci. Total Environ.
    • Prettenthaler, F.1    Köberl, J.2    Bird, D.N.3
  • 38
    • 84962075886 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistical Report 2009 - the Veneto: sharing and comparing facts
    • Regione del Veneto Statistical Report 2009 - the Veneto: sharing and comparing facts. Chapter 10: Tourism and Tourism Flows 2009.
    • (2009) Chapter 10: Tourism and Tourism Flows
  • 39
    • 84899032338 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change, tourism and water resources in the Mediterranean
    • Roson R., Sartori M. Climate change, tourism and water resources in the Mediterranean. Int. J. Clim. Chang. Strateg. Manag. 2014, 6:212-228. 10.1108/IJCCSM-01-2013-0001.
    • (2014) Int. J. Clim. Chang. Strateg. Manag. , vol.6 , pp. 212-228
    • Roson, R.1    Sartori, M.2
  • 40
    • 84901236841 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Recent trends in international tourist climate preferences: a revised picture for climatic change scenarios
    • Rosselló J., Santana-Gallego M. Recent trends in international tourist climate preferences: a revised picture for climatic change scenarios. Clim. Chang. 2014, 124:119-132. 10.1007/s10584-014-1086-3.
    • (2014) Clim. Chang. , vol.124 , pp. 119-132
    • Rosselló, J.1    Santana-Gallego, M.2
  • 42
    • 77956931902 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Will the Mediterranean become "too hot" for tourism? A reassessment
    • Rutty M., Scott D. Will the Mediterranean become "too hot" for tourism? A reassessment. Tour. Hosp. Plan. Dev. 2010, 7:267-281. 10.1080/1479053X.2010.502386.
    • (2010) Tour. Hosp. Plan. Dev. , vol.7 , pp. 267-281
    • Rutty, M.1    Scott, D.2
  • 43
    • 0000120766 scopus 로고
    • Estimating the dimension of a model
    • Schwarz G. Estimating the dimension of a model. Ann. Stat. 1978, 6:461-464. 10.1214/aos/1176344136.
    • (1978) Ann. Stat. , vol.6 , pp. 461-464
    • Schwarz, G.1
  • 45
    • 80052261270 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Relationship between tourism demand in the Swiss Alps and hot summer air temperatures associated with climate change
    • Serquet G., Rebetez M. Relationship between tourism demand in the Swiss Alps and hot summer air temperatures associated with climate change. Clim. Chang. 2011, 108:291-300. 10.1007/s10584-010-0012-6.
    • (2011) Clim. Chang. , vol.108 , pp. 291-300
    • Serquet, G.1    Rebetez, M.2
  • 46
    • 0001595204 scopus 로고
    • Table for estimating the goodness of fit of empirical distributions
    • Smirnov N. Table for estimating the goodness of fit of empirical distributions. Ann. Math. Stat. 1948, 19:279-281. 10.1214/aoms/1177730256.
    • (1948) Ann. Math. Stat. , vol.19 , pp. 279-281
    • Smirnov, N.1
  • 47
    • 0003839447 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Tourism demand modelling and forecasting
    • Pergamon, Amsterdam
    • Song H., Witt S.F. Tourism demand modelling and forecasting. Advances in Tourism Research 2000, Pergamon, Amsterdam.
    • (2000) Advances in Tourism Research
    • Song, H.1    Witt, S.F.2
  • 49
    • 84867718027 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Weather value at risk: on the measurement of noncatastrophic weather risk
    • Toeglhofer C., Mestel R., Prettenthaler F. Weather value at risk: on the measurement of noncatastrophic weather risk. Weather Clim. Soc. 2012, 4:190-199. 10.1175/WCAS-D-11-00062.1.
    • (2012) Weather Clim. Soc. , vol.4 , pp. 190-199
    • Toeglhofer, C.1    Mestel, R.2    Prettenthaler, F.3


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.