Predictability from a forecast provider’s perspective

Predictability of Weather and Climate

Volumn 9780521848824, Issue , 2006, Pages 596-613

  Mylne, Ken ^a  

^a MET OFFICE   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

DECISION MAKING; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

BESPOKE SERVICES; DECISION MAKING PROCESS; END USERS; ENSEMBLE FORECASTS; ENSEMBLE PREDICTION; FORECAST UNCERTAINTY; INDIVIDUAL CUSTOMERS; RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES;

FORECASTING;

EID: 84926981353     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Book    
DOI: 10.1017/CBO9780511617652.024     Document Type: Chapter

References (9)

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2. Hewson, T. (2004). The Value of Field Modifications in Forecasting. Forecasting Research Technical Report 437. Met Office.
3. Jolliffe, I. T. and D. B. Stephenson (2003). Forecast Verification: A Practitioner’s Guide in Atmospheric Science. Wiley.
4. Legg, T. P. and K. R. Mylne (2004). Early warnings of severe weather from ensemble forecast information. Weather and Forecasting, 19, 891-906.
5. Murphy, A. H. (1973). A new vector partition of the probability score. J. Appl. Meteorol., 12, 595-600.
6. Mylne, K. R. (2002). Decision-making from probability forecasts based on forecast value. Meteorol. Appl., 9, 307-16.
7. Mylne, K. R., C. Woolcock, J. C. W. Denholm-Price and R. J. Darvell (2002). Operational calibrated probability forecasts from the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System: implementation and verification. In Preprints of Symposium on Observations, Data Assimilation, and Probabilistic Prediction, 13-17 January 2002, Orlando, FL, pp. 113-18. American Meteorological Society.
8. Stanski, H. R., L. J. Wilson and W. R. Burrows (1989). Survey of Common Verification Methods in Meteorology. WWW Technical Report 8, WMO TD 358, WMO.
9. Wilks, D. S. (1995). Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences. Academic Press.